Modelling Economic Relationships with Smooth Transition Regressions
AbstractThis paper has been prepared for Handbook of Applied Economic Statistics, edited by David Giles and Aman Ullah. It considers a particular class of single-equation nonlinear multivariate models called smooth transition regression (STR) models. Inference in these models, including testing linearity against STR and testing Granger noncausality, is discussed. A modelling cycle, consisting of the specification, estimation, and evaluation of these models is presented and its different stages considered in detail. Model encompassing also receives attention. Furthermore, the chapter contains a previously unpublished empirical application of the STR model to modelling UK housing price expectations. This example illustrates the workings of the modelling cycle and possible usefulness of the STR model in dynamic macroeconomic modelling.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Stockholm School of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance with number 131.
Length: 79 pages
Date of creation: Nov 1996
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Handbook of Applied Economic Statistics, Ullah, A., Giles, D.E.A. (eds.), 1998, pages 507-552, Dekker.
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Causality; econometric modelling; linearity test; misspecification test; nonlinear model; structural change;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
- C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
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