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Huseyin Gulen

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Shuaiyu Chen & T. Clifton Green & Huseyin Gulen & Dexin Zhou, 2024. "What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts," Papers 2409.11540, arXiv.org.

    Cited by:

    1. Shumiao Ouyang & Pengfei Sui, 2026. "Dissecting AI Trading: Behavioral Finance and Market Bubbles," Papers 2604.18373, arXiv.org.
    2. Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang & Yutong Yan, 2026. "Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning," Papers 2604.02921, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.
    3. Babolmorad, N. & Massoud, N., 2025. "Supervising Sentiment Models: Market Signals or Human Expertise?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2577, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Bertomeu, Jeremy & Lin, Yupeng & Liu, Yibin & Ni, Zhenghui, 2025. "The impact of generative AI on information processing: Evidence from the ban of ChatGPT in Italy," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1).
    5. Olivia Zhang & Zhilin Zhang, 2026. "A Review of Large Language Models for Stock Price Forecasting from a Hedge-Fund Perspective," Papers 2605.05211, arXiv.org.
    6. Edward Li & Min Shen & Zhiyuan Tu & Dexin Zhou, 2024. "The Promise and Peril of Generative AI: Evidence from GPT as Sell-Side Analysts," Papers 2412.01069, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.

  2. Atmaz, Adem & Cassella, Stefano & Gulen, H. & Ruan, Fangcheng, 2024. "Contrarians, extrapolators, and stock market momentum and reversal," Other publications TiSEM 03234c35-3504-48b5-ba41-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Cassella, Stefano & Chen, Te-Feng & Gulen, Huseyin & Liu, Yan, 2025. "Extracting extrapolative beliefs from market prices: An augmented present-value approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    2. Chen, Chen & Stivers, Chris & Sun, Licheng, 2024. "Short-term momentum and reversals, turnover, and a stock’s price-to-52-week-high ratio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

  3. Cassella, Stefano & Golez, Benjamin & Gulen, H. & Kelly, Peter, 2023. "Horizon bias and the term structure of equity returns," Other publications TiSEM 2e72bbd4-bdc8-434c-a55c-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Golez, Benjamin & Kelly, Peter & Matthies, Ben, 2025. "What does the equity term structure tell us about Trump 2.0′s first 100 days in office?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    2. Golez, Benjamin & Koudijs, Peter, 2025. "Equity duration and predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    3. Golez, Benjamin & Matthies, Ben, 2025. "Fed information effects: Evidence from the equity term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    4. Prat, Georges & Le Bris, David, 2024. "Term structure of equity risk premia in rough terrain: 150 years of the French stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Galindo Gil, Hamilton, 2025. "The role of external habits and preference heterogeneity in the equity term structure," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    6. Beckmeyer, Heiner & Meyerhof, Paul, 2025. "The short-duration premium and news announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    7. Chen, Shan & Li, Tao, 2025. "A unified duration-based explanation of the value, profitability, and investment anomalies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Pujian Yang & Liu Yang, 2025. "Change of the disposition effect and investor sentiment," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(5), pages 489-505, September.
    9. Li, Ye & Wang, Chen, 2025. "The Information Cliff," SocArXiv bf8cx_v1, Center for Open Science.
    10. Jankauskas, Tomas, 2023. "Essays in empirical finance," Other publications TiSEM 4c319f87-ba97-44be-897e-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

  4. Rossi, Stefano & Gulen, Huseyin & Ion, Mihai, 2019. "Credit Cycles, Expectations, and Corporate Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13679, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Gemmi, Luca, 2024. "Rational overoptimism and limited liability," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Ren, Qiaoqiao & Hu, Chengxuan & Xu, Min & Song, Jiatong, 2026. "Association rule mining of damage severities in autonomous vehicle rear-end crashes with supplementary built environment data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 265(PA).
    3. John Berns & Patty Bick & Ryan Flugum & Reza Houston, 2022. "Do changes in MD&A section tone predict investment behavior?," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 129-153, February.
    4. Gregory Phelan & Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Hunter Wieman, 2023. "Technology Shocks and Predictable Minsky Cycles," Working Papers 23-06, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    5. Gonzálvez, Rubén & Cárdenas, Luis, 2026. "Leverage, liquidity, and investment: The cyclical effects of corporate debt," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

  5. Huseyin Gulen & Yuhang Xing & Lu Zhang, 2010. "Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 15993, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    2. Kostakis, Alexandros & Magdalinos, Tassos & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P., 2023. "Taking stock of long-horizon predictability tests: Are factor returns predictable?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    3. Da, Zhi & Guo, Re-Jin & Jagannathan, Ravi, 2012. "CAPM for estimating the cost of equity capital: Interpreting the empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 204-220.
    4. James Foye, 2015. "A New Perspective on the Size, Value, and Momentum Effects: Broad Sample Evidence from Europe," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 2604415, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    5. John L. Glascock & Ran Lu-Andrews, 2018. "The Asymmetric Conditional Beta-Return Relations of REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 231-245, August.
    6. MeiChi Huang, 2025. "Revisiting housing asset pricing: uncertainty and business-cycle factors in US state-level housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-25, March.
    7. Hafiz Muhammad Zia ul haq & Muhammad Sohail Shafiq & Muhammad Kashif & Saba Ameer, 2020. "Determining Force behind Value Premium: The Case of Financial Leverage and Operating Leverage," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, September.
    8. Galvani, Valentina, 2021. "The value premium during flights," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    9. Bianchi, Francesco, 2020. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A view from financial markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 240-261.
    10. Kishor, N. Kundan & Marfatia, Hardik A., 2013. "The time-varying response of foreign stock markets to U.S. monetary policy surprises: Evidence from the Federal funds futures market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-24.
    11. Simlai, Prodosh, 2014. "Persistence of ex-ante volatility and the cross-section of stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 253-261.
    12. Fletcher, Jonathan, 2021. "International equity U.S. mutual funds and diversification benefits," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 246-257.
    13. Tobias E Anheluk & Pradosh Simlai, 2011. "Information spillovers between size and value premium in average stock returns," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(6), pages 395-406, December.
    14. Sherwood Lane Lambert & Kevin Krieger & Nathan Mauck, 2024. "Predicting Operating Income via a Generalized Operating-Leverage Model," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, January.
    15. Yao Zheng & Peihwang Wei & Eric Osmer, 2022. "The relation between earnings and price momentum: Does it vary across regimes?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1145-1213, April.
    16. Kalinowski Sławomir & Puziak Marcin, 2018. "Does a Financial Crisis Affect Operating Risk? Evidence from Polish Listed Companies," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 4(1), pages 64-85, April.
    17. Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Chincoli, 2017. "Linear and Nonlinear Predictability in Investment Style Factors: Multivariate Evidence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1754, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    18. Spyros I. Spyrou, 2020. "Valuation ratio style investing and economic sentiment: evidence from major Eurozone markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 827-856, October.
    19. Pätäri, Eero & Leivo, Timo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2012. "Enhancement of equity portfolio performance using data envelopment analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(3), pages 786-797.
    20. M. Eskandar Shah & Sourafel Girm & R. Hudson, 2012. "Rationalizing the Value Premium under Economic Fundamentals in an Emerging Market," Working Papers 12010, Bangor Business School, Prifysgol Bangor University (Cymru / Wales).
    21. Maria Elisabete Neves & Mário Abreu Pinto & Carla Manuela de Assunção Fernandes & Elisabete Fátima Simões Vieira, 2021. "Value and growth stock returns: international evidence (JES)," International Journal of Accounting & Information Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(5), pages 698-733, October.
    22. Bazgour Tarik & Heuchenne Cedric & Hübner Georges & Sougné Danielle, 2021. "How do volatility regimes affect the pricing of quality and liquidity in the stock market?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(1), pages 1-17, February.
    23. Daehwan Kim, 2012. "Two Kinds of Value Premiums," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 281-299, April.
    24. T G Saji & S Harikumar, 2015. "Earnings Growth and Value Premium: The Indian Experience," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 40(4), pages 444-454, December.
    25. Li, Zhiyong & Wan, Yifan & Wang, Tianyi & Yu, Mei, 2023. "Factor-timing in the Chinese factor zoo: The role of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    26. Hwang, Soosung & Rubesam, Alexandre, 2013. "A behavioral explanation of the value anomaly based on time-varying return reversals," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2367-2377.
    27. Mehdi Zolfaghari & Bahram Sahabi, 2021. "The impact of oil price and exchange rate on momentum strategy profits in stock market: evidence from oil-rich developing countries," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 15(7), pages 1981-2023, October.
    28. Luis García‐Feijóo & Benjamin A. Jansen, 2023. "International evidence on the association of leverage with stock returns and the value premium," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(2), pages 315-341, May.
    29. Eero J. Pätäri & Timo H. Leivo & Sheraz Ahmed, 2022. "Can the FSCORE add value to anomaly-based portfolios? A reality check in the German stock market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(3), pages 321-367, September.
    30. MeiChi Huang, 2022. "Time‐varying roles of housing risk factors in state‐level housing markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4660-4683, October.
    31. Kim, Dongcheol & Roh, Tai-Yong & Min, Byoung-Kyu & Byun, Suk-Joon, 2014. "Time-varying expected momentum profits," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 191-215.
    32. Stadtmüller, Immo & Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2022. "On the time-varying dynamics of stock and commodity momentum returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    33. Angelidis, Timotheos & Tessaromatis, Nikolaos, 2014. "Global Style Portfolios Based on Country Indices," MPRA Paper 53094, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Galvani, Valentina & Gubellini, Stefano, 2013. "Mean–variance dominant trading strategies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 142-150.
    35. Ebrahim, M. Shahid & Girma, Sourafel & Shah, M. Eskandar & Williams, Jonathan, 2014. "Rationalizing the value premium in emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 51-70.
    36. Samuel Xin Liang, 2019. "What drives stock returns in Japan?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(1), pages 39-69, March.
    37. Max Leandro Ferreira Tavares & Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo & Gustavo Silva Araujo, 2014. "The Influence of information asymmetry on the return and volatility of value and growth stock portfolios," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 11(1), pages 111-129, January.
    38. Bianchi, Francesco, 2015. "Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 10520, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    39. Lambert, Marie & Platania, Federico, 2020. "The macroeconomic drivers in hedge fund beta management," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 65-80.
    40. Stefano Gubellini, 2014. "Conditioning information and cross-sectional anomalies," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 529-569, October.
    41. Ahmed Al Samman & Mahmoud Moustafa Otaify, 2017. "How Does Volatility of Characteristics-sorted Portfolios Respond to Macroeconomic Volatility?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 300-315.
    42. Ekaterini Panopoulou & Sotiria Plastira, 2014. "Fama French factors and US stock return predictability," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 15(2), pages 110-128, April.
    43. Da Silva Neto, Anibal Emiliano & Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2020. "Uncovering regimes in out of sample forecast errors from predictive regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 31555, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    44. Leite, André Luis & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & Pinto, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo & da Silveira Barbedo, Claudio Henrique, 2020. "The Fama-French’s five-factor model relation with interest rates and macro variables," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

  6. Arturo Bris & Huseyin Gulen & Padmaja Kadiyala & Raghavendra Rau, 2005. "Good Stewards, Cheap Talkers, or Family Men? The Impact of Mutual Fund Closures on Fund Managers, Flows, Fees, and Performance," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2658, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Sep 2006.

    Cited by:

    1. Narulita, Wista A. & Parwada, Jerry T., 2012. "Evolution of a mutual fund market: Empirical analysis of simultaneous growth and decline by fund category in Indonesia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 1217-1236.
    2. Cuthbertson, Keith & Nitzsche, Dirk & O'Sullivan, Niall, 2016. "A review of behavioural and management effects in mutual fund performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 162-176.
    3. Pástor, Ľuboš & Stambaugh, Robert F. & Taylor, Lucian A., 2020. "Fund tradeoffs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(3), pages 614-634.
    4. Jun, Xiao & Li, Mingsheng & Yugang, Chen, 2017. "Catering to behavioral demand for dividends and its potential agency issue," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB), pages 269-291.
    5. Padma Kadiyala, 2022. "Response of ETF flows and long-run returns to investor sentiment," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(4), pages 489-531, December.
    6. Giuseppe Galloppo, 2021. "Size," Springer Books, in: Asset Allocation Strategies for Mutual Funds, chapter 0, pages 151-190, Springer.
    7. Yezhou Sha & Jianwu Yi, 2024. "Cheaper is Better? Evidence from China Fund Expense and Performance," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 27(4), pages 697-720, December.
    8. Cashman, George D., 2010. "Pay-performance sensitivity and firm size: Insights from the mutual fund industry," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 400-412, September.
    9. Arpit Gupta & Kunal Sachdeva, 2025. "Skin or Skim? Inside Investment and Hedge Fund Performance," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(4), pages 3357-3383, April.
    10. Pástor, Luboš & Stambaugh, Robert F. & Taylor, Lucian, 2017. "Portfolio Liquidity and Diversification: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 12195, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Stambaugh, Robert F. & Pástor, Luboš & Taylor, Lucian, 2014. "Scale and Skill in Active Management," CEPR Discussion Papers 9854, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. F. Douglas Foster & Geoffrey J. Warren, 2015. "Why Might Investors Choose Active Management?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 20-39, January.
    13. Keith Cuthbertson & Dirk Nitzsche & Niall O'Sullivan, 2010. "Mutual Fund Performance: Measurement and Evidence," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(2), pages 95-187, May.
    14. Sensoy, Berk A., 2009. "Performance evaluation and self-designated benchmark indexes in the mutual fund industry," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 25-39, April.
    15. Wu, Youchang & Wermers, Russ & Zechner, Josef, 2016. "Managerial rents vs. shareholder value in delegated portfolio management: The case of closed-end funds," CFS Working Paper Series 548, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    16. Greg N. Gregoriou & Maher Kooli, 2017. "The profiles of merged hedge funds, funds of hedge funds, and CTA," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(1), pages 49-63, January.
    17. Agarwal, Vikas & Ray, Sugata, 2011. "Determinants and implications of fee changes in the hedge fund industry," CFR Working Papers 11-09, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    18. Bessler, Wolfgang & Blake, David & Lückoff, Peter & Tonks, Ian, 2010. "Why does mutual fund performance not persist? The impact and interaction of fund flows and manager changes," MPRA Paper 34185, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Xu, Ruihui & Zhang, Xuliang & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Yan, Cheng, 2023. "Investor flow-chasing and price–performance puzzle: Evidence from global infrastructure funds," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    20. Chen, Hsiu-Lang & Gao, Sheldon & Hu, Xiaoqing, 2012. "Closing and cloning in open-end mutual funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1210-1223.
    21. Ha, Yeonjeong & Ko, Kwangsoo, 2017. "Why do fund managers increase risk?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 108-116.

Articles

  1. Cooper, Michael & Gulen, Huseyin & Ion, Mihai, 2024. "The use of asset growth in empirical asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Lin Li, 2025. "The Role of Intangible Investment in Predicting Stock Returns: Six Decades of Evidence," Papers 2505.16336, arXiv.org.
    2. Huseyin Gulen & Dongmei Li & Ryan H. Peters & Morad Zekhnini, 2025. "Intangible Capital in Factor Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(2), pages 1756-1778, February.
    3. Lin Li, 2026. "The Role of Intangible Investment in Predicting Stock Returns: Six Decades of Evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 55(1), pages 99-119, March.
    4. He, Wei & Su, Zhiwei & Yu, Jianfeng, 2024. "Macroeconomic perceptions, financial constraints, and anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    5. Stephen Penman & Xiao‐Jun Zhang, 2025. "Accounting for Asset Pricing Factors," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(3), pages 1557-1584, June.
    6. Lin Li, 2025. "The Role of Intangible Investment in Predicting Stock Returns: Six Decades of Evidence," Post-Print hal-05074264, HAL.

  2. Huseyin Gulen & Brett W. Myers, 2024. "The Selective Enforcement of Government Regulations: Battleground States, State Regulators, and the Environmental Protection Agency," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(1), pages 225-263.

    Cited by:

    1. Ugur Lel, 2025. "Toxic Chief Executive Officers; Environmental, Social, and Governance Institutional Investors as Watchdogs; and the Labor Market Outcomes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(7), pages 5722-5745, July.

  3. Huseyin Gulen & Mihai Ion & Candace E Jens & Stefano Rossi, 2024. "Credit Cycles, Expectations, and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(11), pages 3335-3385.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Adem Atmaz & Huseyin Gulen & Stefano Cassella & Fangcheng Ruan, 2024. "Contrarians, Extrapolators, and Stock Market Momentum and Reversal," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(9), pages 5949-5984, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Stefano Cassella & Benjamin Golez & Huseyin Gulen & Peter Kelly & Stefano Giglio, 2023. "Horizon Bias and the Term Structure of Equity Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 1253-1288.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Stefano Cassella & Huseyin Gulen, 2018. "Extrapolation Bias and the Predictability of Stock Returns by Price-Scaled Variables," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(11), pages 4345-4397.

    Cited by:

    1. Cassella, Stefano & Chen, Te-Feng & Gulen, Huseyin & Liu, Yan, 2025. "Extracting extrapolative beliefs from market prices: An augmented present-value approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    2. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Recency bias and the cross-section of international stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Liao, Jingchi & Peng, Cheng & Zhu, Ning, 2019. "Price and volume dynamics in bubbles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102057, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Chue, Timothy K. & Gul, Ferdinand A. & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2019. "Aggregate investor sentiment and stock return synchronicity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Chue, Timothy K. & Hu, Yunke Katelyn, 2026. "Investor sentiment and the crash risk of anomalies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Mohrschladt, Hannes, 2021. "The ordering of historical returns and the cross-section of subsequent returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    7. Zhang, Huajing & Jiang, Fuwei & Liu, Yumin, 2024. "Extrapolative beliefs and return predictability: Evidence from China," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    8. Jin, Lawrence J. & Sui, Pengfei, 2022. "Asset pricing with return extrapolation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 273-295.
    9. Bansal, Avijit & Jacob, Joshy, 2022. "Impact of Price Path on Disposition Bias," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    10. Liao, Jingchi & Peng, Cameron & Zhu, Ning, 2022. "Extrapolative bubbles and trading volume," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 110514, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Adem Atmaz & Huseyin Gulen & Stefano Cassella & Fangcheng Ruan, 2024. "Contrarians, Extrapolators, and Stock Market Momentum and Reversal," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(9), pages 5949-5984, September.
    12. Devdeepta Bose & Henning Cordes & Sven Nolte & Judith Christiane Schneider & Colin Farrell Camerer, 2022. "Decision Weights for Experimental Asset Prices Based on Visual Salience," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(11), pages 5094-5126.
    13. Liao, Jingchi & Peng, Cameron & Zhu, Ning, 2021. "Extrapolative bubbles and trading volume," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118887, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. de Oliveira Souza, Thiago, 2019. "Predictability concentrates in bad times. And so does disagreement," Discussion Papers on Economics 8/2019, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    15. Tang, Guohao & Wu, Yiyong & Lou, Guanyu, 2024. "Extrapolation beyond peers: An asset pricing perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    16. Dayong Huang & Lijun Lei & Mengmeng Wang & Yuhang Xing, 2025. "Managerial Overextrapolation: Who and When," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(6), pages 5328-5350, June.
    17. Verdickt, Gertjan, 2020. "Is fertility a leading indicator for stock returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    18. Ricardo Delao & Sean Myers, 2021. "Subjective Cash Flow and Discount Rate Expectations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 1339-1387, June.
    19. Rizzo, Emanuele, 2018. "Essays on corporate governance and the impact of regulation on financial markets," Other publications TiSEM b5158260-ea13-4763-b992-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Li, Yihan, 2024. "Trading on trends: How the ordering of historical volume predicts Chinese stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    21. Oesinghaus, Andreas, 2024. "Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    22. Platonov, Konstantin, 2024. "Confidence spillovers, financial contagion, and stagnation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    23. Shuaiyu Chen & T. Clifton Green & Huseyin Gulen & Dexin Zhou, 2024. "What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts," Papers 2409.11540, arXiv.org.
    24. Liya Chu & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Jun Tu, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts in Equity Return Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4301-4325, June.
    25. Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022. "Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
    26. Aytekin Ertan & Stephen A. Karolyi & Peter W. Kelly & Robert Stoumbos, 2022. "Earnings announcement return extrapolation," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 185-230, March.
    27. Qi Xu & Yang Ye, 2023. "Commodity network and predictable returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1423-1449, October.
    28. Cooper, Michael & Gulen, Huseyin & Ion, Mihai, 2024. "The use of asset growth in empirical asset pricing models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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    3. Huang, Ying Sophie & Wu, Jiajia & Guo, Feng, 2022. "Venture capital staging under economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 572-596.
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    7. Chan, Yue-Cheong & Saffar, Walid & Wei, K.C. John, 2021. "How economic policy uncertainty affects the cost of raising equity capital: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    8. Yoshito Funashima, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and unconventional monetary policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(3), pages 278-292, June.
    9. Md Shahedur R. Chowdhury & Nicos Koussis & Michalis Makrominas & Lenos Trigeorgis, 2025. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty, real options, and corporate social responsibility," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 729-759, August.
    10. Sammy G. Muriithi & Bruce A. Walters & William R. McCumber & Luis R. Robles, 2022. "Managerial entrenchment and corporate social responsibility engagement: the role of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 26(2), pages 621-640, June.
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    42. Ying Zhang & J. Andrew Hansz & Wikrom Prombutr, 2022. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Real Estate Market: Evidence from U.S. REITs," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 25(1), pages 55-87.
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    381. Liu Hong & Tianpeng Zhou, 2024. "Firm-level political risk and the firm’s trade credit extension," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(3), pages 857-888, September.
    382. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Kyaw, Khine, 2025. "EPU diversity, corporate investments, and corporate governance," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3).
    383. Daniel Dejuan-Bitria & Corinna Ghirelli, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and investment in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 12(3), pages 351-388, September.
    384. Liu, Xia (Summer) & Megginson, William L. & Xia, Junjie, 2022. "Industrial policy and asset prices: Evidence from the Made in China 2025 policy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    385. Liu, Yi & Jin, Justin & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2022. "Firm-level political sentiment and corporate tax avoidance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    386. Laubsch, Joshua & Smales, Lee A. & Vo, Duc, 2024. "The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    387. Lin, Chen & Yao, Wentao & Zou, Hong, 2026. "The real effects of tick-size adjustments: Evidence from the 2016 tick-size pilot," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    388. Naima Lassoued & Imen Khanchel, 2025. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Earnings Management: An Evidence from Financial Reporting in European Firms," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 26(5), pages 1239-1263, October.
    389. Cheng, Maoyong & Meng, Yu & Jin, Justin & Nainar, S.M. Khalid, 2024. "Leadership vacuum and corporate investment," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    390. Jiang, Yonghong & Zhu, Zixuan & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2019. "Determinants of within and cross-country economic policy uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from US and China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    391. Kirak Kim & Trang Nguyen, 2024. "Debt Contracting When Borrowers Face Transitory Uncertainty: Evidence from U.S. Gubernatorial Elections," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4670-4692, July.
    392. Dung Viet Tran & Cuong Nguyen & Khanh Hoang, 2025. "Policy Uncertainty and Bank Stability: Investigation From Supply‐Side Effect," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 66-91, July.
    393. Heeney, Luke & Yang, Shanelle & Chowdhury, Hasibul & Tan, Kelvin Jui Keng, 2023. "Corporate cash holdings through economic policy uncertainty: An Australian study," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    394. Myznikava, Katsiaryna (Katherine) & Farinha, Jorge, 2023. "The impact of political freedoms on cross-border M&A abandonment likelihood," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 112-138.
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    399. Mo Chen & Xuhua Hu & Jijian Zhang & Zhe Xu & Guang Yang & Zenan Sun, 2023. "Are Firms More Willing to Seek Green Technology Innovation in the Context of Economic Policy Uncertainty? —Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, September.
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  8. Gulen, Huseyin & O'Brien, William J., 2017. "Option repricing, corporate governance, and the effect of shareholder empowerment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 389-415.

    Cited by:

    1. Vladimirov, Vladimir, 2021. "Financing Skilled Labor," CEPR Discussion Papers 15751, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Baochan Li & Anan Pongtornkulpanich & Thitinan Chankoson, 2024. "Knowledge Mapping to Understand Corporate Value: Literature Review and Bibliometrics," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
    3. Fujun Lai & Qiong Wu & Deping Xiong & Sha Zhu, 2024. "How Foreign Institutional Investors’ Ownership Affects Stock Liquidity? Evidence from China," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, June.

  9. Yun Kyung Oh & Huseyin Gulen & Jung-Min Kim & William T. Robinson, 2016. "Do stock prices undervalue investments in advertising?," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 611-626, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Mahabubur Rahman & M. Ángeles Rodríguez-Serrano & Mary Lambkin, 2019. "Advertising efficiency and profitability: Evidence from the pharmaceutical industry," Post-Print hal-02096913, HAL.

  10. Huseyin Gulen & Mihai Ion, 2016. "Editor's Choice Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(3), pages 523-564.

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    1. Zhu, Zhaobo & Lin, Hang & Chen, Min & Han, Peiwen, 2023. "The spillover effect of economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from analyst behaviors in Hong Kong," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Zixuan Zhang & Zhenyu Ge, 2024. "Fishing in muddy water? Climate policy uncertainty and corporate greenwashing in environmental, social, and governance," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(6), pages 4191-4207, September.
    3. Pinar Sener Tournus & Fatma Didin‐Sonmez & Elif Akben‐Selcuk, 2023. "How does the economic policy uncertainty affect the relationship between financial slack and firm performance in emerging countries?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 171-186, January.
    4. Huang, Jialin & Luo, Yu & Peng, Yuchao, 2021. "Corporate financial asset holdings under economic policy uncertainty: Precautionary saving or speculating?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1359-1378.
    5. Zhao, Yan & Su, Kun, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate financialization: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Wang, Xiaodong & Deng, Yunfeng & Mao, Xiaomeng, 2025. "The impact of bank digital transformation on enterprises digital technology innovation in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    7. Huang, Ying Sophie & Wu, Jiajia & Guo, Feng, 2022. "Venture capital staging under economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 572-596.
    8. Yu, Zhen & Li, Yuankun & Xie, Xubin, 2021. "Long-term trade impact of epidemic outbreaks: Is it V-shaped?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 16-40.
    9. Cheng, Hua & Gawande, Kishore & Ongena, Steven & Qi, Shusen, 2021. "Connected banks and economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    10. Tingli Liu & Xiao Chen & Jianing Liu, 2023. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Enterprise Financing Efficiency: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-27, May.
    11. Weifeng Xu & Chang Liu, 2024. "External environment uncertainty, key resources acquisition, and corporate technological innovation," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 4-18, January.
    12. Hyun, Jeong-Hoon & Kim, Natalie Kyung Won & Shin, Jae Yong, 2024. "Politically connected outside directors and the value of cash holdings," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    13. Md Shahedur R. Chowdhury & Nicos Koussis & Michalis Makrominas & Lenos Trigeorgis, 2025. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty, real options, and corporate social responsibility," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 729-759, August.
    14. Sammy G. Muriithi & Bruce A. Walters & William R. McCumber & Luis R. Robles, 2022. "Managerial entrenchment and corporate social responsibility engagement: the role of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 26(2), pages 621-640, June.
    15. Wu, Ji & Yao, Yao & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2020. "Economic uncertainty and bank risk: Evidence from emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    16. Jian, Jian-hui & Hu, Dan & Tian, Haiyan & Long, Chengfeng & Yang, Fan, 2023. "Political uncertainty, officials’ characteristics heterogeneity and firm cost stickiness," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 776-791.
    17. Julian di Giovanni & John Rogers, 2024. "The Impact of U.S. Monetary Policy on Foreign Firms," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 58-115, March.
    18. Rania Missaoui & Aymen Ajina, 2026. "Firm dynamics in corrupt environments: the case of the BRICS countries," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 1-38, February.
    19. Li, Lu & Yuan, Xi & Wei, Shuang & Yang, Guochao, 2024. "Heterogeneous uncertainty matters! Evidence based on firms' cost management decisions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    20. Liang, Zhanyong & Qiu, Kangquan & Zhuang, Jiakun & Zhang, Qingyang, 2025. "Business environment optimization and corporate sustainable innovation: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    21. Frank Kwabi & Andrews Owusu & Ernest Ezeani & Agyenim Boateng, 2024. "The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1397-1429, May.
    22. Stephanos Papadamou & Konstantinos Pitsilkas, 2025. "Policy uncertainty and non‐performing loans in Greece," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 84(2), pages 231-252, March.
    23. Jo, Eun Hye & Lee, Jung Wha, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and managerial short-termism," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    24. Selahattin Güriş & Sevcan Çağlayan, 2023. "Co2 Emisyonlarını Etkileyen Faktörlerin Zamanla Değişen Katsayılı Parametrik Olmayan Panel Veri Modelleri ile Analizi," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(39), pages 76-88, December.
    25. Amin, Md Ruhul & Wang, Xinyu & Aktas, Elvan, 2023. "Does oil price uncertainty affect corporate innovation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    26. Christian Dreyer & Oliver Schulz, 2023. "Policy uncertainty and corporate investment: public versus private firms," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 17(5), pages 1863-1898, July.
    27. Khanh Hoang, 2022. "How does corporate R&D investment respond to climate policy uncertainty? Evidence from heavy emitter firms in the United States," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(4), pages 936-949, July.
    28. Liu, Zhenhua & Zhong, Hongyu & Zhang, Deyuan, 2026. "Climate policy uncertainty, investor behavior, and carbon market returns," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    29. Azimli, Asil, 2023. "The impact of climate policy uncertainty on firm value: Does corporate social responsibility engagement matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    30. Zada, Hassan & Khan, Naveed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa, 2025. "Portfolio diversification amid economic uncertainty in Pakistan: empirical evidence from the quantile-on-quantile approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    31. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    32. Wang, Kai-Hua & Xiong, De-Ping & Mirza, Nawazish & Shao, Xue-Feng & Yue, Xiao-Guang, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk uncertainty strengthen or depress cash holdings of oil enterprises? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    33. Lu, Baizhou & Hao, Wei & Liao, Jing & Wongchoti, Udomsak, 2023. "A leap of faith that echoes well? The value impact of Chinese firms starting up business overseas," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    34. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    35. Buu Kiem Dang & Duc Toan Vo & Nguyen Tuyet Minh Ha, 2025. "The impact of economic uncertainty and institutional quality on bank profitability: global evidence," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1-29, July.
    36. Daniel Tut, 2022. "Policy uncertainty and cash dynamics," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 422-444, June.
    37. Dai, Yixin & Wang, Yixiao & Li, Rongrong, 2024. "Overcoming the “diversification trap”:firm investment decisions and innovation under policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 492-504.
    38. Demir, Ender & Ersan, Oguz, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and cash holdings: Evidence from BRIC countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 189-200.
    39. Black, Jeffrey R. & Das, Nirmol & Leal, Diego, 2025. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate bond liquidity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    40. Youtao Xiang & Sumuya Borjigin, 2024. "High–low volatility spillover network between economic policy uncertainty and commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1295-1319, August.
    41. Tudi, Tayier & Wu, Ji & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2025. "Does foreign demand affect corporate financialization? Some evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    42. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Hashmi, Shujahat Haider & Bakhsh, Satar, 2022. "Non-linear nexus between economic policy uncertainty and bank lending," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 657-679.
    43. Lina Mao & Guangfan Sun & Yining He & Shanshan Zheng & Changwei Guo, 2024. "Regional cultural inclusiveness and firm performance in China," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    44. Zahid Jumah & Nabeel Safdar & Zahid Irshad Younas & Adeel Ahmed, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty, corporate diversification and firm value: the global evidence," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 2677-2707, June.
    45. Wei Liu & Zhihui Zhao & Yan Cui & Fangchen Guo & Yuzhao Wu, 2024. "Does it matter where your ancestor come from? Genetic distance and bilateral foreign direct investment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 1032-1054, March.
    46. Nam, Eun-Young & Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty shocks and households’ consumption choice," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    47. Nguyen, Xuan Thang & Phuong Nguyen, Thi Ngoc, 2025. "The impact of state-level economic policy uncertainty on loan pricing," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    48. Yuan, Di & Li, Sufang & Li, Rong & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty, oil and stock markets in BRIC: Evidence from quantiles analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    49. Xiaohang Ren & Weichen Li & Kun Duan & Xinru Zhang, 2024. "Does climate policy uncertainty really affect corporate financialization?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 4705-4723, February.
    50. Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    51. El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Mansi, Sattar & Wang, He (Helen), 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty, institutional environments, and corporate cash holdings," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    52. Zhou, Xi & Xiao, Min & Wu, Huiying & You, Jiaxing, 2024. "Does policy uncertainty travel across borders? Evidence from MNC subsidiary investment decisions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    53. Li, Siqi & Fan, Hao & Wang, Zijin & Zhao, Qiuyun, 2025. "Exploring the relationship between climate policy uncertainty perception and green technology innovation in Chinese enterprises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 880-892.
    54. Tan, Wenqian & Zeng, Yanni & Zhang, Hao, 2025. "The impact of foreign ownership on share pledging by controlling shareholders," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    55. Woon Sau Leung & Jiong Sun, 2021. "Policy Uncertainty and Customer Concentration," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(5), pages 1517-1542, May.
    56. Rangan Gupta & Amine Lahiani & Chi-Chuan Lee & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric dynamics of insurance premium: the impacts of output and economic policy uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1959-1978, December.
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    58. Min Chen & Zhaobo Zhu & Peiwen Han & Bo Chen & Jia Liu, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and analyst behaviours: Evidence from the United Kingdom," Post-Print hal-03628930, HAL.
    59. Chatjuthamard, Pattanaporn & Wongboonsin, Patcharawalai & Kongsompong, Kritika & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2020. "Does economic policy uncertainty influence executive risk-taking incentives?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
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    61. Yi‐Ting Peng & Tsangyao Chang & Omid Ranjbar, 2022. "Analyzing the degree of persistence of economic policy uncertainty using linear and non‐linear fourier quantile unit root tests," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(4), pages 453-471, July.
    62. Wang, Huaxing & Li, Tianzi & Zhu, Junfan & Jian, Youting & Wang, Zeyu & Wang, Zengwen, 2023. "China's new environmental protection law: Implications for mineral resource policy, environmental precaution and green finance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    63. İlhan Çam & Nisa Özge Önal Tuğrul & Kevser Şimşek & Kamil Karaçuha & Ertuğrul Karaçuha & Gökhan Özer, 2024. "The effects of the investment decisions of telecommunications firms on their financial performance during the COVID-19 pandemic," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(5), pages 2007-2047, May.
    64. Yin, Weijun & Liu, Bing & Yao, Dingjun & Chen, Gang, 2025. "Property insurance demand in response to climate risk: The role of green finance, economic policy uncertainty, and non-linearity," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
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  14. Arturo Bris & Huseyin Gulen & Padma Kadiyala & P. Raghavendra Rau, 2007. "Good Stewards, Cheap Talkers, or Family Men? The Impact of Mutual Fund Closures on Fund Managers, Flows, Fees, and Performance," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 953-982.
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  15. Michael Cooper & Huseyin Gulen, 2006. "Is Time-Series-Based Predictability Evident in Real Time?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1263-1292, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Campbell R. Harvey & Yan Liu & Heqing Zhu, 2014. ". . . and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," NBER Working Papers 20592, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2011. "Do Mean Reverting based trading strategies outperform Buy and Hold?," Working Papers 1113, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    3. Simin, Timothy, 2008. "The Poor Predictive Performance of Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(2), pages 355-380, June.
    4. Hubrich, Kirstin & Granziera, Eleonora & Moon, Hyungsik Roger, 2013. "A predictability test for a small number of nested models," Working Paper Series 1580, European Central Bank.
    5. Wang, Zijun & Qian, Yan & Wang, Shiwen, 2018. "Dynamic trading volume and stock return relation: Does it hold out of sample?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 195-210.
    6. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19039, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Philip Gray, 2008. "Economic significance of predictability in Australian equities," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 48(5), pages 783-805, December.
    8. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2015. "Nonlinear expectation formation in the U.S. stock market: Empirical evidence from the Livingston survey," Kiel Working Papers 1947 [rev.], Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    9. Dangl, Thomas & Halling, Michael, 2012. "Predictive regressions with time-varying coefficients," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 157-181.
    10. Ahmad, Mashood & Ali, Syed Babar, 2008. "Technical Analysis in the Stock Markets of Pakistan: A Case of Commercial Banks," MPRA Paper 64521, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2014. "Heterogeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in the US stock market," Kiel Working Papers 1947, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    12. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2022. "Robust drivers of Bitcoin price movements: An extreme bounds analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    13. Han, Yufeng, 2012. "State uncertainty in stock markets: How big is the impact on the cost of equity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2575-2592.
    14. Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2015. "Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 160-177.
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    16. Cooper, Michael J. & Gubellini, Stefano, 2011. "The critical role of conditioning information in determining if value is really riskier than growth," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 289-305, March.
    17. Byrne, Joseph & Fu, Rong, 2016. "Stock Return Prediction with Fully Flexible Models and Coefficients," MPRA Paper 75366, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Barras, Laurent, 2007. "International conditional asset allocation under specification uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 443-464, September.
    19. Liya Chu & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Jun Tu, 2015. "Market Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts," Research Paper Series 356, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    20. Reitz, Stefan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2015. "Nonlinear Expectation Formation in the U.S. Stock Market," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113210, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    21. Fang, Jiali & Jacobsen, Ben & Qin, Yafeng, 2014. "Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out-of-sample test," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45.
    22. Yufeng Han, 2010. "On the Economic Value of Return Predictability," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(1), pages 1-33, May.
    23. Erie Febrian & Aldrin Herwany, 2009. "Liquidity Measurement Based on Bid-Ask Spread, Trading Frequency, and Liquidity Ratio: The Use of GARCH Model on Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX)," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200910, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Sep 2009.
    24. Stefano Gubellini, 2014. "Conditioning information and cross-sectional anomalies," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 529-569, October.

  16. Michael J. Cooper & Huseyin Gulen & P. Raghavendra Rau, 2005. "Changing Names with Style: Mutual Fund Name Changes and Their Effects on Fund Flows," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2825-2858, December.

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    3. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Peat, Maurice & Vigne, Samuel, 2018. "Bitcoin Futures—What use are they?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 23-27.
    4. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2018. "On the interdependence of natural gas and stock markets under structural breaks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 149-161.
    5. Hemantkumar P. Bulsara & Vaishali Samir Dhingra & Shailesh Gandhi, 2015. "Dynamic Interactions between Foreign Institutional Investment Flows and Stock Market Returns – The Case of India," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 9(3), September.
    6. Dash, M., 2019. "A Study on Commodity Market Behaviour, Price Discovery and its Factors," Journal of Applied Management and Investments, Department of Business Administration and Corporate Security, International Humanitarian University, vol. 8(3), pages 125-134, September.
    7. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2019. "Islamic and conventional equity markets: Two sides of the same coin, or not?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 191-205.
    8. Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Tharann, Björn & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2021. "Predictability in commodity markets: Evidence from more than a century," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    9. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "Stock market reactions to upside and downside volatility of Bitcoin: A quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    10. Corbet, Shaen & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Meegan, Andrew, 2018. "Long-term stock market volatility and the influence of terrorist attacks in Europe," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 118-131.
    11. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2021. "How do Islamic equity markets respond to good and bad volatility of cryptocurrencies? The case of Bitcoin," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Al Mafrachi, Mustafa, 2021. "Do higher-order realized moments matter for cryptocurrency returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 483-499.
    13. Baltussen, Guido & van Bekkum, Sjoerd & Da, Zhi, 2019. "Indexing and stock market serial dependence around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 26-48.
    14. Walker Hughen & Loran Chollete & Weijia Peng & Teresa Starzecki, 2025. "Does Introducing Futures Markets Affect Currency Variance Forecasts? Evidence from Asian Markets," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 627-654, October.
    15. Bouri, Elie, 2015. "A broadened causality in variance approach to assess the risk dynamics between crude oil prices and the Jordanian stock market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 271-279.
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    17. Meenakshi Malhotra & Dinesh Kumar Sharma, 2016. "Volatility Dynamics in Oil and Oilseeds Spot and Futures Market in India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 41(2), pages 132-148, June.
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    20. Sila Alan, Nazli & Karagozoglu, Ahmet K. & Korkmaz, Sibel, 2016. "Growing pains: The evolution of new stock index futures in emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-16.
    21. Habib Hasnaoui, 2014. "Alternative Beta Risk Estimators in Emerging Markets: The Case of Tunisia," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 2(2), pages 96-105.
    22. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Nitesh Pandey, 2021. "Forty years of the Journal of Futures Markets: A bibliometric overview," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1027-1054, July.
    23. Greppmair, Stefan & Theissen, Erik, 2019. "Small is beautiful? How the introduction of mini futures contracts affects the regular contract," CFR Working Papers 19-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    24. Wu, Ming & Ohk, Ki Yool, 2023. "Who benefits more? Shanghai-Hong Kong stock Connect—“Through Train”," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 409-427.
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    27. Trabelsi Mnif, Afef, 2017. "Political uncertainty and behavior of Tunisian stock market cycles: Structural unobserved components time series models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 206-214.
    28. Ashish Kumar, 2015. "Impact of Currency Futures on Volatility in Exchange Rate," Paradigm, , vol. 19(1), pages 95-108, June.
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    31. Frankie Chau & Phil Holmes & Krishna Paudyal, 2008. "The Impact of Universal Stock Futures on Feedback Trading and Volatility Dynamics," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1‐2), pages 227-249, January.
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    33. Banerjee, Pradip & Chatrath, Arjun & Christie-David, Rohan & Maitra, Debasish, 2018. "The effects of options listing and delisting in a short-sale-constrained market: Evidence from the Indian equities markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 157-169.
    34. Kutan, Ali M. & Shi, Yukun & Wei, Mingzhe & Zhao, Yang, 2018. "Does the introduction of index futures stabilize stock markets? Further evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 183-197.
    35. Gurmeet Singh & Muneer Shaik, 2020. "Re-examining the Expiration Effects of Index Futures: Evidence from India," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 16-23.
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    39. Imran Riaz Malik & Attaullah Shah, 2016. "Resumption of Single Stock Futures (SSFs) with Stringent Regulations and their Impact on the Risk Characteristics of the Underlying Stocks," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 8(2), pages 1-22, October.
    40. Lee, Chyi Lin & Stevenson, Simon & Cho, Hyunbum, 2022. "Listed real estate futures trading, market efficiency, and direct real estate linkages: International evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    41. Gurmeet Singh, 2017. "Estimating Optimal Hedge Ratio and Hedging Effectiveness in the NSE Index Futures," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 108-131, December.
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