IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecanpo/v88y2025icp926-946.html

The impact of extreme precipitation and flooding risk on corporate investment: Does government disaster preparedness matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Cheng, Xi
  • Li, Jun
  • Feng, Chao

Abstract

This study investigates how corporate investment reacts to climate change risk and how disaster preparedness effort by local government stimulates corporate investment. We quantify city-level extreme precipitation and flooding risk through both daily precipitation and disaster event data. Our results show that firms raise their investment in response to extreme precipitation and flooding risk. Furthermore, recognizing the importance of government commitment to combat climate change, this study reveals that local disaster preparedness fosters corporate investment in productive activities amid escalating climate change challenges, which results from lower financial burdens for risk mitigation and decreased investment prudence for risk avoidance. We identify the decline in corporate resilience investment, precautionary cash holdings, and outward FDI due to local disaster preparedness. Additionally, we highlight that large firms are not only more responsive to climate change risk than smaller counterparts, but exhibit heightened reaction to local disaster preparedness. Our findings not only uncover the influence of extreme precipitation and flooding risk on corporate investment, but unpack how government disaster preparedness serves to enhance corporate sustainability under climate uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, Xi & Li, Jun & Feng, Chao, 2025. "The impact of extreme precipitation and flooding risk on corporate investment: Does government disaster preparedness matter?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 926-946.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:88:y:2025:i:c:p:926-946
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.09.032
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592625004011
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eap.2025.09.032?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Berkman, Henk & Jona, Jonathan & Soderstrom, Naomi, 2019. "Firm value and government commitment to combating climate change," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 297-307.
    2. Xu, Weidong & Luo, Zijun & Li, Donghui, 2024. "Investor–firm interactions and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2016. "Expectations and Investment," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 379-431.
    4. Elizabeth J. Kendon & Erich M. Fischer & Chris J. Short, 2023. "Variability conceals emerging trend in 100yr projections of UK local hourly rainfall extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Benincasa, Emanuela & Betz, Frank & Gattini, Luca, 2024. "How do firms cope with losses from extreme weather events?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Gutiérrez, Emilio & Teshima, Kensuke, 2018. "Abatement expenditures, technology choice, and environmental performance: Evidence from firm responses to import competition in Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 264-274.
    7. Awondo, Sebastain N., 2019. "Efficiency of region-wide catastrophic weather risk pools: Implications for African Risk Capacity insurance program," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 111-118.
    8. Juliane Begenau & Juliana Salomao, 2019. "Firm Financing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(4), pages 1235-1274.
    9. Ella Mae Matsumura & Rachna Prakash & Sandra C. Vera-Muñoz, 2024. "Climate-risk materiality and firm risk," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 33-74, March.
    10. Edith Ginglinger & Quentin Moreau, 2023. "Climate Risk and Capital Structure," Post-Print hal-05623198, HAL.
    11. Teece, David J., 2016. "Dynamic capabilities and entrepreneurial management in large organizations: Toward a theory of the (entrepreneurial) firm," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 202-216.
    12. Abedifar, Pejman & Kashizadeh, Seyed Javad & Ongena, Steven, 2024. "Flood, farms and credit: The role of branch banking in the era of climate change," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    13. Geoffrey M. Hodgson, 1998. "The Approach of Institutional Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 36(1), pages 166-192, March.
    14. ManMohan S. Sodhi & Christopher S. Tang, 2021. "Supply Chain Management for Extreme Conditions: Research Opportunities," Journal of Supply Chain Management, Institute for Supply Management, vol. 57(1), pages 7-16, January.
    15. Gu, Grace Weishi & Hale, Galina, 2023. "Climate risks and FDI," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    16. Quynh Anh Do & Van Phan & Duc Tam Nguyen, 2023. "How do local banks respond to natural disasters?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(7), pages 754-779, May.
    17. Baker, Daniel & Refsgaard, Karen, 2007. "Institutional development and scale matching in disaster response management," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2-3), pages 331-343, August.
    18. Francesco Dottori & Wojciech Szewczyk & Juan-Carlos Ciscar & Fang Zhao & Lorenzo Alfieri & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Alessandra Bianchi & Ignazio Mongelli & Katja Frieler & Richard A. Betts & Luc Feyen, 2018. "Author Correction: Increased human and economic losses from river flooding with anthropogenic warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(11), pages 1021-1021, November.
    19. Fisher-Vanden, Karen & Thorburn, Karin S., 2011. "Voluntary corporate environmental initiatives and shareholder wealth," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 62(3), pages 430-445.
    20. Bergmann, Anne & Stechemesser, Kristin & Guenther, Edeltraud, 2016. "Natural resource dependence theory: Impacts of extreme weather events on organizations," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 1361-1366.
    21. Crick, Florence & Eskander, Shaikh M.S.U. & Fankhauser, Sam & Diop, Mamadou, 2018. "How do African SMEs respond to climate risks? Evidence from Kenya and Senegal," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 157-168.
    22. Chen, Hanwen & Yang, Daoguang & Zhang, Joseph H. & Zhou, Haiyan, 2020. "Internal controls, risk management, and cash holdings," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    23. Wenxia Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Liwei Zou & Lixia Zhang & Xiaolong Chen, 2018. "Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 °C less warming in global land monsoon regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    24. Daniel Nohrstedt & Maurizio Mazzoleni & Charles F. Parker & Giuliano Baldassarre, 2021. "Exposure to natural hazard events unassociated with policy change for improved disaster risk reduction," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    25. Monica Escaleras & Charles A. Register, 2011. "Natural Disasters and Foreign Direct Investment," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 87(2), pages 346-363.
    26. Chang-Koo Chi & Kyoung Jin Choi, 2017. "The impact of firm size on dynamic incentives and investment," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 48(1), pages 147-177, March.
    27. Frank Youhua Chen & Candace Arai Yano, 2010. "Improving Supply Chain Performance and Managing Risk Under Weather-Related Demand Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(8), pages 1380-1397, August.
    28. Rebecca Newman & Ilan Noy, 2023. "The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    29. John Dunning, 2001. "The Eclectic (OLI) Paradigm of International Production: Past, Present and Future," International Journal of the Economics of Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 173-190.
    30. Pagano, Marco & Wagner, Christian & Zechner, Josef, 2023. "Disaster resilience and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
    31. Rao, Sandeep & Koirala, Santosh & Thapa, Chandra & Neupane, Suman, 2022. "When rain matters! Investments and value relevance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    32. Henry He Huang & Joseph Kerstein & Chong Wang, 2018. "The impact of climate risk on firm performance and financing choices: An international comparison," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(5), pages 633-656, July.
    33. Nora Pankratz & Rob Bauer & Jeroen Derwall, 2023. "Climate Change, Firm Performance, and Investor Surprises," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7352-7398, December.
    34. Hausken, Kjell & Zhuang, Jun, 2013. "The impact of disaster on the strategic interaction between company and government," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 363-376.
    35. Jacob, Martin & Vossebürger, Robert, 2022. "The role of personal income taxes in corporate investment decisions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    36. Bowman, Gary & Foulser-Piggott, Roxane & Beamish, Paul W, 2023. "Natural disasters and MNE internalization: Reoptimizing subsidiary governance," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(2).
    37. Francois Gourio, 2008. "Disasters and Recoveries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 68-73, May.
    38. Christopher J. Boudreaux & Anand Jha & Monica Escaleras, 2023. "Natural disasters, entrepreneurship activity, and the moderating role of country governance," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1483-1508, April.
    39. Po-Hsuan Hsu & Hsiao-Hui Lee & Shu-Cing Peng & Long Yi, 2018. "Natural Disasters, Technology Diversity, and Operating Performance," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(4), pages 619-630, October.
    40. Chen, Sicen & Liu, Siyi & Zhang, Junsheng & Zhang, Pengdong, 2023. "The effect of extreme rainfall on corporate financing policies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 670-685.
    41. Grego, Marica & Magnani, Giovanna & Denicolai, Stefano, 2024. "Transform to adapt or resilient by design? How organizations can foster resilience through business model transformation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    42. Kersten, Renate & Harms, Job & Liket, Kellie & Maas, Karen, 2017. "Small Firms, large Impact? A systematic review of the SME Finance Literature," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 330-348.
    43. Nicolas Crouzet & Neil R. Mehrotra, 2020. "Small and Large Firms over the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(11), pages 3549-3601, November.
    44. Friedt, Felix L. & Toner-Rodgers, Aidan, 2022. "Natural disasters, intra-national FDI spillovers, and economic divergence: Evidence from India," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    45. Edith Ginglinger & Quentin Moreau, 2023. "Climate Risk and Capital Structure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7492-7516, December.
    46. Ang, James & de Jong, Abe & van der Poel, Marieke, 2014. "Does familiarity with business segments affect CEOs' divestment decisions?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 58-74.
    47. Chang Hoon Oh & Jennifer Oetzel, 2022. "Multinational enterprises and natural disasters: Challenges and opportunities for IB research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(2), pages 231-254, March.
    48. Liu, Yang & Dilanchiev, Azer & Xu, Kaifei & Hajiyeva, Aytan Merdan, 2022. "Financing SMEs and business development as new post Covid-19 economic recovery determinants," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 554-567.
    49. Stéphane J. G. Girod & Richard Whittington, 2017. "Reconfiguration, restructuring and firm performance: Dynamic capabilities and environmental dynamism," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 1121-1133, May.
    50. Anne M. Quarshie & Rudolf Leuschner, 2020. "Interorganizational Interaction in Disaster Response Networks: A Government Perspective," Journal of Supply Chain Management, Institute for Supply Management, vol. 56(3), pages 3-25, July.
    51. Ralph Hamann & Lulamile Makaula & Gina Ziervogel & Clifford Shearing & Alan Zhang, 2020. "Strategic Responses to Grand Challenges: Why and How Corporations Build Community Resilience," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 161(4), pages 835-853, February.
    52. Cagri Gurbuz, Mustafa & Yurt, Oznur & Ozdemir, Sena & Sena, Vania & Yu, Wantao, 2023. "Global supply chains risks and COVID-19: Supply chain structure as a mitigating strategy for small and medium-sized enterprises," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PB).
    53. Palazzo, Berardino, 2012. "Cash holdings, risk, and expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(1), pages 162-185.
    54. Georg Weinhofer & Timo Busch, 2013. "Corporate Strategies for Managing Climate Risks," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 121-144, February.
    55. Jun Rentschler & Melda Salhab & Bramka Arga Jafino, 2022. "Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    56. Francesco Dottori & Wojciech Szewczyk & Juan-Carlos Ciscar & Fang Zhao & Lorenzo Alfieri & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Alessandra Bianchi & Ignazio Mongelli & Katja Frieler & Richard A. Betts & Luc Feyen, 2018. "Increased human and economic losses from river flooding with anthropogenic warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(9), pages 781-786, September.
    57. Sidney G. Winter, 2003. "Understanding dynamic capabilities," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(10), pages 991-995, October.
    58. Zhu, Ying & Sardana, Deepak, 2020. "Multinational enterprises’ risk mitigation strategies in emerging markets: A political coalition perspective," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(2).
    59. Huseyin Gulen & Mihai Ion, 2016. "Editor's Choice Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(3), pages 523-564.
    60. Huang, Qiping & Li, Yongjia & Lin, Meimei & McBrayer, Garrett A., 2022. "Natural disasters, risk salience, and corporate ESG disclosure," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    61. Sven Norman Willner & Christian Otto & Anders Levermann, 2018. "Global economic response to river floods," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(7), pages 594-598, July.
    62. Chad W. Thackeray & Alex Hall & Jesse Norris & Di Chen, 2022. "Constraining the increased frequency of global precipitation extremes under warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(5), pages 441-448, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Wanli & Luo, Dan & Cheng, Teng-Yuan, 2025. "Strategy choices in strategic risk-taking: Does climate risk matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    2. Mo, Yan & Jiang, Huifeng & Chong, Cong, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate charitable donations –evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    3. Huang, Zhen & Dou, Tianyu, 2026. "The spillover effect of customer extreme climate risk: Evidence from supplier trade credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Li, Ang & Ma, Yuze & Li, Bin, 2025. "How do climate risks affect corporate energy intensity? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    5. Liang, Chen & Zhu, Minghao & Lee, Peter K.C. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Yeung, Andy C.L., 2024. "Combating extreme weather through operations management: Evidence from a natural experiment in China," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    6. Jiao, Anqi & Sun, Ran & Ren, Honglin, 2025. "Navigating climate policy: Corporate lobbying strategies in response to intensified climate risk exposure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    7. Srivastav, Shashank Prakash & Kannadhasan, M., 2025. "Environment and Energy: Does climate risk shape the energy consumption behavior of firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    8. Wu, Xi & Wang, Yudong & Tong, Xinle, 2021. "Cash holdings and oil price uncertainty exposures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    9. Kai Li & Yifang Xiao & Shaozhou Qi & Xunpeng Shi & Kun Qin, 2026. "“Climateflation” in China: Could Rising Temperatures Overheat the Economy?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 34(1), pages 108-137, January.
    10. Abbasi, Kaleemullah & Alam, Ashraful & Goodell, John W. & Du, Anna Min & Brohi, Noor Ahmed, 2025. "Vulnerability of energy firms to climate risk: Does fintech development help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    11. Zhao, Rui & Zhang, Dayong & Guo, Mengmeng, 2024. "Do natural disasters affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Lyu, Zhuoyang & Li, Zhengsheng & Yu, Li & Jiang, Yue, 2025. "Bad news travels fast: Extreme rainfall, migration networks, and migration," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Lingli Qing & Abd Alwahed Dagestani & Eun‐Young Nam & Chengqi Wang, 2024. "Does firm‐level exposure to climate change influence inward foreign direct investment? Revealing the moderating role of ESG performance," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(6), pages 6167-6183, November.
    14. Deng, Xiaomeng & Zhang, Pengwei & Wu, You, 2026. "Threat or opportunity: Biodiversity risk and corporate investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    15. Dallocchio, Maurizio & D’Ercole, Francesco & Frascati, Domenico & Mariani, Massimo, 2025. "Climate transition and the speed of leverage adjustment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Xu, Wenshuai & Peng, Jianfei & Wu, Yun-Lang & Yin, Yahua, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate leverage manipulation: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Li, Wanli & Chen, Junrui & Yuan, Kaibin, 2025. "Changes in corporate employment under climate risk," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    18. Fenghua Wen & Jinmei Ju, 2026. "Climate Risk Exposure and Corporate Internationalisation: Evidence From China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 66(1), pages 695-721, March.
    19. Deng, Qu & Huang, Garland & Li, Donghui & Yang, Shijie, 2024. "The impact of climate risk on corporate innovation: An international comparison," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    20. Brown, Kareen & Kim, Sohyung & Lee, Cheol & Pacharn, Parunchana, 2025. "Climate risk and asymmetric cost behavior," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:88:y:2025:i:c:p:926-946. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/economic-analysis-and-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.