IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-30727-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries

Author

Listed:
  • Jun Rentschler

    (The World Bank
    Payne Institute for Public Policy)

  • Melda Salhab

    (The World Bank
    University College London)

  • Bramka Arga Jafino

    (Deltares
    Delft University of Technology)

Abstract

Flooding is among the most prevalent natural hazards, with particularly disastrous impacts in low-income countries. This study presents global estimates of the number of people exposed to high flood risks in interaction with poverty. It finds that 1.81 billion people (23% of world population) are directly exposed to 1-in-100-year floods. Of these, 1.24 billion are located in South and East Asia, where China (395 million) and India (390 million) account for over one-third of global exposure. Low- and middle-income countries are home to 89% of the world’s flood-exposed people. Of the 170 million facing high flood risk and extreme poverty (living on under $1.90 per day), 44% are in Sub-Saharan Africa. Over 780 million of those living on under $5.50 per day face high flood risk. Using state-of-the-art poverty and flood data, our findings highlight the scale and priority regions for flood mitigation measures to support resilient development.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Rentschler & Melda Salhab & Bramka Arga Jafino, 2022. "Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-30727-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-30727-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-30727-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-30727-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. E. E. Koks & J. Rozenberg & C. Zorn & M. Tariverdi & M. Vousdoukas & S. A. Fraser & J. W. Hall & S. Hallegatte, 2019. "A global multi-hazard risk analysis of road and railway infrastructure assets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "Author Correction: New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-2, December.
    3. Yus Budiyono & Jeroen Aerts & JanJaap Brinkman & Muh Marfai & Philip Ward, 2015. "Flood risk assessment for delta mega-cities: a case study of Jakarta," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 389-413, January.
    4. Erman,Alvina Elisabeth & Tariverdi,Mersedeh & Obolensky,Marguerite Anne Beatrice & Chen,Xiaomeng & Vincent,Rose Camille & Malgioglio,Silvia & Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Hallegatte,Stephane & Yoshi, 2019. "Wading Out the Storm: The Role of Poverty in Exposure, Vulnerability and Resilience to Floods in Dar Es Salaam," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8976, The World Bank.
    5. B. Tellman & J. A. Sullivan & C. Kuhn & A. J. Kettner & C. S. Doyle & G. R. Brakenridge & T. A. Erickson & D. A. Slayback, 2021. "Satellite imaging reveals increased proportion of population exposed to floods," Nature, Nature, vol. 596(7870), pages 80-86, August.
    6. Nigel Arnell & Simon Gosling, 2016. "The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(3), pages 387-401, February.
    7. Michalis I. Vousdoukas & Lorenzo Mentaschi & Evangelos Voukouvalas & Martin Verlaan & Svetlana Jevrejeva & Luke P. Jackson & Luc Feyen, 2018. "Global probabilistic projections of extreme sea levels show intensification of coastal flood hazard," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Sanne Muis & Martin Verlaan & Hessel C. Winsemius & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Philip J. Ward, 2016. "A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, September.
    9. Sanne Muis & Martin Verlaan & Hessel C. Winsemius & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Philip J. Ward, 2016. "Correction: Corrigendum: A global reanalysis of storm surges and extreme sea levels," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-1, December.
    10. Barbara Neumann & Athanasios T Vafeidis & Juliane Zimmermann & Robert J Nicholls, 2015. "Future Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Flooding - A Global Assessment," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-34, March.
    11. Julie Rozenberg & Marianne Fay, 2019. "Beyond the Gap," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 31291.
    12. Scott A. Kulp & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2019. "New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Hessel C. Winsemius & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Ludovicus P. H. van Beek & Marc F. P. Bierkens & Arno Bouwman & Brenden Jongman & Jaap C. J. Kwadijk & Willem Ligtvoet & Paul L. Lucas & Detlef P. van Vuu, 2016. "Global drivers of future river flood risk," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(4), pages 381-385, April.
    14. Andrew Smith & Paul D. Bates & Oliver Wing & Christopher Sampson & Niall Quinn & Jeff Neal, 2019. "New estimates of flood exposure in developing countries using high-resolution population data," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-7, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Husain Najafi & Pallav Kumar Shrestha & Oldrich Rakovec & Heiko Apel & Sergiy Vorogushyn & Rohini Kumar & Stephan Thober & Bruno Merz & Luis Samaniego, 2024. "High-resolution impact-based early warning system for riverine flooding," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Bingyao Li & Jingming Hou & Xinghua Wang & Yongyong Ma & Donglai Li & Tian Wang & Guangzhao Chen, 2023. "High-Resolution Flood Numerical Model and Dijkstra Algorithm Based Risk Avoidance Routes Planning," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 3243-3258, June.
    3. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Rupam Chowdhury, 2024. "Role of Financial Inclusion in Human Development: Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Pakistan," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 3329-3354, March.
    4. Sean Fox & Felix Agyemang & Laurence Hawker & Jeffrey Neal, 2024. "Integrating social vulnerability into high-resolution global flood risk mapping," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Laura Devitt & Jeffrey Neal & Gemma Coxon & James Savage & Thorsten Wagener, 2023. "Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Bojana Horvat & Nino Krvavica, 2023. "Disaggregation of the Copernicus Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) and Population Density Data to Fit Mesoscale Flood Risk Assessment Requirements in Partially Urbanized Catchments in Croatia," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-22, November.
    7. A’kif Al-Fugara & Ali Nouh Mabdeh & Saad Alayyash & Awni Khasawneh, 2023. "Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Modeling for Flash Flood and Embankment Dam Break Scenario: Hazard Mapping of Extreme Storm Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, January.
    8. José Pedro Matos & Filipa Ferreira & Diogo Mendes & José Saldanha Matos, 2023. "Evaluating Compound Flooding Risks in Coastal Cities under Climate Change—The Maputo Case Study, in Mozambique," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-21, October.
    9. F. K. S. Chan & Zilin Wang & Jiannan Chen & Xiaohui Lu & Taiseer Nafea & Burrell Montz & Olalekan Adekola & Alessandro Pezzoli & James Griffiths & Yi Peng & Pengfei Li & Juanle Wang, 2023. "Selected global flood preparation and response lessons: implications for more resilient Chinese Cities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 1767-1796, September.
    10. Nazam Maqbool, 2023. "Impact of Climate Change on Water in Pakistan (Policy)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 605-616.
    11. Cheng He & Yixiang Zhu & Lu Zhou & Jovine Bachwenkizi & Alexandra Schneider & Renjie Chen & Haidong Kan, 2024. "Flood exposure and pregnancy loss in 33 developing countries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    12. Kong, Yang & He, Weijun & Shen, Juqin & Yuan, Liang & Gao, Xin & Ramsey, Thomas Stephen & Peng, Qingling & Degefu, Dagmawi Mulugeta & Sun, Fuhua, 2023. "Adaptability analysis of water pollution and advanced industrial structure in Jiangsu Province, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 481(C).
    13. Nicola Garbarino & Sascha Möhrle & Florian Neumeier & Marie-Theres von Schickfus, 2024. "Disaster Aid and Support for Mandatory Insurance: Evidence from a Survey Experiment," ifo Working Paper Series 406, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    14. Ghaith Falah Ziarh & Jin Hyuck Kim & Seung Taek Chae & Hae-Yeol Kang & Changyu Hong & Jae Yeol Song & Eun-Sung Chung, 2024. "Identifying the Contributing Sources of Uncertainties in Urban Flood Vulnerability in South Korea Considering Multiple GCMs, SSPs, Weight Determination Methods, and MCDM Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-16, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Avner,Paolo & Marconcini,Mattia & Su,Rui & Strano,Emanuele & Bernard,Louise Alice Karine & Riom,Capucine Anne Veronique & Hallegatte,Stephane, 2022. "Rapid Urban Growth in Flood Zones : Global Evidence since 1985," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10014, The World Bank.
    2. D. J. Rasmussen & Scott Kulp & Robert E. Kopp & Michael Oppenheimer & Benjamin H. Strauss, 2022. "Popular extreme sea level metrics can better communicate impacts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 1-17, February.
    3. Tina Dura & Andra J. Garner & Robert Weiss & Robert E. Kopp & Simon E. Engelhart & Robert C. Witter & Richard W. Briggs & Charles S. Mueller & Alan R. Nelson & Benjamin P. Horton, 2021. "Changing impacts of Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone tsunamis in California under future sea-level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Philip Antwi-Agyei & Frank Baffour-Ata & Sarah Koomson & Nana Kwame Kyeretwie & Nana Barimah Nti & Afia Oforiwaa Owusu & Fukaiha Abdul Razak, 2023. "Drivers and coping mechanisms for floods: experiences of residents in urban Kumasi, Ghana," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2477-2500, March.
    5. Mathew E. Hauer & Dean Hardy & Scott A. Kulp & Valerie Mueller & David J. Wrathall & Peter U. Clark, 2021. "Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Sally Brown & Katie Jenkins & Philip Goodwin & Daniel Lincke & Athanasios T. Vafeidis & Richard S. J. Tol & Rhosanna Jenkins & Rachel Warren & Robert J. Nicholls & Svetlana Jevrejeva & Agustin Sanchez, 2021. "Global costs of protecting against sea-level rise at 1.5 to 4.0 °C," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 1-21, July.
    7. Ryan Paulik & Scott A. Stephens & Robert G. Bell & Sanjay Wadhwa & Ben Popovich, 2020. "National-Scale Built-Environment Exposure to 100-Year Extreme Sea Levels and Sea-Level Rise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
    8. Julien Boulange & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Masahiro Tanoue & Toshinori Yamada, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of flood damage methodologies under a portfolio of adaptation scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 1855-1879, September.
    9. Swen Jullien & Jérôme Aucan & Elodie Kestenare & Matthieu Lengaigne & Christophe Menkes, 2024. "Unveiling the global influence of tropical cyclones on extreme waves approaching coastal areas," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Bera, Subhas & Das, Arup & Mazumder, Taraknath, 2021. "Spatial dimensions of dichotomous adaptive responses to natural hazards in coastal districts of West Bengal, India," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    11. Laura Bakkensen & Quynh Nguyen & Toan Phan & Paul Schuler, 2023. "Charting the Course: How Does Information about Sea Level Rise Affect the Willingness to Migrate?," Working Paper 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    12. Tom Spencer & Alexandre K. Magnan & Simon Donner & Matthias Garschagen & James Ford & Virginie K. E. Duvat & Colette C. C. Wabnitz, 2024. "Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(1), pages 1-19, January.
    13. Clinton J. Andrews, 2020. "Toward a research agenda on climate‐related migration," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(2), pages 331-341, April.
    14. Jayur Madhusudan Mehta & Elizabeth L. Chamberlain, 2023. "Cultural-ecosystem resilience is vital yet under-considered in coastal restoration," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Sayeda Sabrina Ali & Md. Raju Ahmad & Jalal Uddin Mohammad Shoaib & Mohammad Aliuzzaman Sheik & Mohammad Imam Hoshain & Rebecca L. Hall & Katrina A. Macintosh & Paul N. Williams, 2021. "Pandemic or Environmental Socio-Economic Stressors Which Have Greater Impact on Food Security in the Barishal Division of Bangladesh: Initial Perspectives from Agricultural Officers and Farmers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, May.
    16. Lena Reimann & Bryan Jones & Nora Bieker & Claudia Wolff & Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts & Athanasios T. Vafeidis, 2023. "Exploring spatial feedbacks between adaptation policies and internal migration patterns due to sea-level rise," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Michalis I. Vousdoukas & Joanne Clarke & Roshanka Ranasinghe & Lena Reimann & Nadia Khalaf & Trang Minh Duong & Birgitt Ouweneel & Salma Sabour & Carley E. Iles & Christopher H. Trisos & Luc Feyen & L, 2022. "African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(3), pages 256-262, March.
    18. Michalis I. Vousdoukas & Panagiotis Athanasiou & Alessio Giardino & Lorenzo Mentaschi & Alessandro Stocchino & Robert E. Kopp & Pelayo Menéndez & Michael W. Beck & Roshanka Ranasinghe & Luc Feyen, 2023. "Small Island Developing States under threat by rising seas even in a 1.5 °C warming world," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 6(12), pages 1552-1564, December.
    19. Weiqing Han & Lei Zhang & Gerald A. Meehl & Shoichiro Kido & Tomoki Tozuka & Yuanlong Li & Michael J. McPhaden & Aixue Hu & Anny Cazenave & Nan Rosenbloom & Gary Strand & B. Jason West & Wen Xing, 2022. "Sea level extremes and compounding marine heatwaves in coastal Indonesia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Ke Wang & Yongsheng Yang & Genserik Reniers & Quanyi Huang, 2021. "A study into the spatiotemporal distribution of typhoon storm surge disasters in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 1237-1256, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-30727-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.