IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/riibaf/v79y2025ics0275531925003344.html

Climate risk and corporate leverage manipulation: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Xu, Wenshuai
  • Peng, Jianfei
  • Wu, Yun-Lang
  • Yin, Yahua

Abstract

Addressing corporate leverage manipulation is essential for mitigating hidden debt risks and ensuring financial stability. We investigate the impact of climate risk on corporate leverage manipulation. We find that greater climate risk leads to higher leverage manipulation. This positive effect is more pronounced in firms with limited climate risk diversification capacity, high climate sensitivity, and those located in regions with low bank competition and underdeveloped financial systems. Mechanism analyses show that climate risk exacerbates leverage manipulation by intensifying financing constraints and increasing deleveraging pressures. Additionally, our study suggests that the rise in leverage manipulation driven by climate risk may elevate firms' future default risk. Our findings contribute to the literature on the economic consequences of climate risk and provide policy insights to mitigate corporate leverage manipulation and reduce systemic financial risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Wenshuai & Peng, Jianfei & Wu, Yun-Lang & Yin, Yahua, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate leverage manipulation: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:79:y:2025:i:c:s0275531925003344
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103078
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531925003344
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103078?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark T. Leary & Michael R. Roberts, 2014. "Do Peer Firms Affect Corporate Financial Policy?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 139-178, February.
    2. Hutton, Amy P. & Marcus, Alan J. & Tehranian, Hassan, 2009. "Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 67-86, October.
    3. Zhao, Zhilong & Rong, Shu & Fang, Wu, 2024. "Does corporate digital transformation reduce the level of corporate leverage manipulation?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    4. Liu, Zhonglu & He, Shuguang & Men, Wenjiao & Sun, Haibo, 2024. "Impact of climate risk on financial stability: Cross-country evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Li, Sihui & Liu, Yining & Zhao, Jinchun & Xu, Baochang, 2024. "Market integration and the risk of corporate leverage manipulation: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Yanyi Ye & Jingjing Zhu & Bin Li & Xiaoguang Yang, 2024. "Extreme climate risks and corporate bond yield spreads: evidence from China," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(5), pages 697-717, September.
    7. Haibo Sun & Shuguang He & Nan Cheng & Zhonglu Liu, 2024. "Climate transition risk and enterprise default probability," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(8), pages 8929-8945, December.
    8. Guo, Shu & Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2023. "Green credit policy and total factor productivity: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    9. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Derouiche, Imen & Hassan, Majdi & Liu, Pei-Zhi, 2024. "Do creditors price climate transition risks? A natural experiment based on China's carbon emission trading scheme," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 138-155.
    10. Fiorillo, Paolo & Meles, Antonio & Salerno, Dario & Verdoliva, Vincenzo, 2024. "Analyst coverage and default risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    11. Kejing Chen & Wenqi Guo & Yanling Kang & Jing Wang, 2022. "Does the Deleveraging Policy Increase the Risk of Corporate Debt Default: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 601-613, February.
    12. Li, Xiaoxi & Zhong, Qinger & Liu, Shasha, 2025. "Random inspections and corporate information disclosure," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1777-1804 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Weerasekara, Sajeevani & Wilson, Clevo & Lee, Boon & Hoang, Viet-Ngu & Managi, Shunsuke & Rajapaksa, Darshana, 2021. "The impacts of climate induced disasters on the economy: Winners and losers in Sri Lanka," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    15. Guo, Huitao & Ye, Binghui & Chen, Yuxuan & Lin, Weizhen & Guan, Xinle & Mao, Ruoyu, 2024. "Investor attention and corporate leverage manipulation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    16. Chabot, Miia & Bertrand, Jean-Louis, 2023. "Climate risks and financial stability: Evidence from the European financial system," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Wuqi Song & Wenshuai Xu & Wenzhou Qu & Xu Gong, 2024. "Climate risk exposure and debt concentration: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(4), pages 3361-3386, December.
    18. Liao, Yinchao & Wang, Jun & Liao, Wenru & Shu, Xiaoyang & Li, Zhiyong, 2024. "Buffer or substitute? Corporate financialization and leverage manipulation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    19. Sun, Yuan & Sun, Xiaowei & Wang, Zehao, 2024. "Climate risk exposure and geographical allocation of business activities: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    20. Henry He Huang & Joseph Kerstein & Chong Wang, 2018. "The impact of climate risk on firm performance and financing choices: An international comparison," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 49(5), pages 633-656, July.
    21. Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Maksimovic, Vojislav, 2002. "Funding growth in bank-based and market-based financial systems: evidence from firm-level data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 337-363, September.
    22. Nora Pankratz & Rob Bauer & Jeroen Derwall, 2023. "Climate Change, Firm Performance, and Investor Surprises," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7352-7398, December.
    23. Trinh, Vu Quang & Trinh, Hai Hong & Li, Teng & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Climate change exposure, financial development, and the cost of debt: Evidence from EU countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1676-1706, August.
    25. Gao, Haoyu & Ouyang, Yiling & Wang, Yaxin, 2024. "Corporate bond defaults and spillover effects on bank risk: Evidence from city commercial banks in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    26. Edith Ginglinger & Quentin Moreau, 2023. "Climate Risk and Capital Structure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7492-7516, December.
    27. Liu, Kai & Duan, Ditao & Wang, Ruoyan, 2024. "Executive educational background and corporate strategic information disclosure," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
    28. Ren, Xiaohang & Zhang, Xiao & Yan, Cheng & Gozgor, Giray, 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and firm-level total factor productivity: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    29. Huang, Qiping & Li, Yongjia & Lin, Meimei & McBrayer, Garrett A., 2022. "Natural disasters, risk salience, and corporate ESG disclosure," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    30. Siamak Javadi & Abdullah‐Al Masum & Mohsen Aram & Ramesh P. Rao, 2023. "Climate change and corporate cash holdings: Global evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 253-295, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Zhen & Dou, Tianyu, 2026. "The spillover effect of customer extreme climate risk: Evidence from supplier trade credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Jiao, Anqi & Sun, Ran & Ren, Honglin, 2025. "Navigating climate policy: Corporate lobbying strategies in response to intensified climate risk exposure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    3. Jiaxin Wang & Jingyi Zhuang & Chao Yan & Kam C. Chan, 2025. "Standing Up or Standing By: Abnormally Hot Temperatures and Corporate Environmental Engagement," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 196(1), pages 93-127, January.
    4. Zheng, Chen & Sun, Zhiyue, 2025. "Organisation capital: A key asset for mitigating firm-level climate change exposure," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3).
    5. Zhang, Wenzhe & Kong, Dongmin, 2025. "Climate risks and corporate leverage," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    6. Li, Wanli & Luo, Dan & Cheng, Teng-Yuan, 2025. "Strategy choices in strategic risk-taking: Does climate risk matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    7. Nguyen, Dat Thanh & Tran, Vuong Thao & Le, Anh & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2025. "Firm-level climate change exposure and trade credit," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 4(5).
    8. Huang, Shupei & Wang, Xinya & Xue, Yi & Zhang, Xinzhi, 2025. "CEOS’ climate risk perception bias and corporate debt structure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    9. Dallocchio, Maurizio & D’Ercole, Francesco & Frascati, Domenico & Mariani, Massimo, 2025. "Climate transition and the speed of leverage adjustment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    10. Ma, Zhenbang & Xie, Yanxiang & Wang, Kai & Pu, Guifang, 2025. "Corporate climate risk perception and debt concentration," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    11. Jiang, Chuyu & Li, Yating & Zhang, Xuan & Zhao, Yang, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate debt decision," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Benhong Peng & Fei Gao, 2026. "Fortune or Misfortune? Climate Risk and Corporate ESG Performance," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(2), pages 5097-5144, April.
    13. Choi, Sanghak & Jung, Hail & Kim, Daejin, 2025. "Climate change risk and the marginal value of cash holdings," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Hoang, Khanh & Pham, Linh & Ha, Oanh Kieu & Nghiem, Hoa Xuan, 2025. "Firm-level climate change exposure and firm efficiency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    15. Su, Yueying & Li, Jialong & Li, Zhicheng & Wu, Cathy, 2025. "CEO inside debt holdings and climate risk concerns in corporate acquisition," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    16. Goodell, John W. & Palma, Alessia & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2025. "Firm-level climate change risk and corporate debt maturity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    17. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Boubaker, Sabri & Gamage, Pandula & Obeng, Victoria, 2025. "Environmental innovation and climate risk awareness: The moderating role of SDG13," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Mo, Yan & Jiang, Huifeng & Chong, Cong, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate charitable donations –evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    19. Basha, Shabeen Afsar & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Ben-Nasr, Hamdi & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2025. "Does political risk exacerbate climate risk? Firm-level evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    20. Srivastav, Shashank Prakash & Kannadhasan, M., 2025. "Environment and Energy: Does climate risk shape the energy consumption behavior of firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:79:y:2025:i:c:s0275531925003344. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ribaf .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.