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Fiscal Consequences of Corporate Tax Avoidance

Author

Listed:
  • Bilicka, Katarzyna
  • Dubinina, Evgeniya
  • Janský, Petr

Abstract

We study the consequences of multinational tax avoidance on the structure of government tax revenues. To motivate our analysis, we show that countries with high revenue losses due to profit shifting have lower corporate tax revenues and rates and higher indirect tax revenues and rates. To establish causality, we use German municipal data and analyse how changes in municipal trade tax rates levied on corporate profits affect local tax revenue structure. Following a trade tax rate increase, we find that municipalities with high exposure to aggressive multinationals experience a significant decline in trade tax revenue levels and shares.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilicka, Katarzyna & Dubinina, Evgeniya & Janský, Petr, 2023. "Fiscal Consequences of Corporate Tax Avoidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 18139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18139
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Katarzyna Bilicka, 2025. "Labor market consequences of antitax avoidance policies," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 32(2), pages 429-465, April.
    3. Javier Garcia-Bernardo & Petr Janský & Thomas Tørsløv, 2023. "Effective tax rates of multinational corporations: Country-level estimates," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(11), pages 1-19, November.
    4. Karolina Magdalena Konopczak & Aleksander Pawlak, 2025. "Transfer zysku z gospodarki polskiej – skala i skutki fiskalne," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 68-87.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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