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Fiscal Consequences of Corporate Tax Avoidance

Author

Listed:
  • Katarzyna Bilicka

    (Utah State University, NBER, CEPR & Oxford Centre for Business Taxation; Jon M Huntsman School of Business, UT.)

  • Evgeniya Dubinina

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czechia)

  • Petr Jansky

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czechia)

Abstract

We study the consequences of multinational tax avoidance on the structure of government tax revenues. To motivate our analysis, we show that countries with high revenue losses due to profit shifting have lower corporate tax revenues and rates and higher indirect tax revenues and rates. To establish causality, we use German municipal data and analyse how changes in municipal trade tax rates levied on corporate profits affect local tax revenue structure. Following a trade tax rate increase, we find that municipalities with high exposure to aggressive multinationals experience a significant decline in trade tax revenue levels and shares.

Suggested Citation

  • Katarzyna Bilicka & Evgeniya Dubinina & Petr Jansky, 2023. "Fiscal Consequences of Corporate Tax Avoidance," Working Papers IES 2023/13, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised May 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2023_13
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    File URL: https://ies.fsv.cuni.cz/en/veda-vyzkum/working-papers/6760
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    Cited by:

    1. Katarzyna Bilicka, 2025. "Labor market consequences of antitax avoidance policies," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 32(2), pages 429-465, April.
    2. Javier Garcia-Bernardo & Petr Janský & Thomas Tørsløv, 2023. "Effective tax rates of multinational corporations: Country-level estimates," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(11), pages 1-19, November.
    3. Karolina Magdalena Konopczak & Aleksander Pawlak, 2025. "Transfer zysku z gospodarki polskiej – skala i skutki fiskalne," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 68-87.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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