Institutional Volatility and the Equity Premium Puzzle: A Dynamic Asset Pricing Framework for OECD Economies
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 1985.
"The equity premium: A puzzle,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 145-161, March.
- R. Mehra & E. Prescott, 2010. "The equity premium: a puzzle," Levine's Working Paper Archive 1401, David K. Levine.
- Breeden, Douglas T., 1979. "An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 265-296, September.
- Bryan Kelly & Ľuboš Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2016.
"The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(5), pages 2417-2480, October.
- Bryan Kelly & Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market," NBER Working Papers 19812, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš & Kelly, Bryan, 2014. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 9822, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "Institution-Based Asset Pricing: A Generalization of Consumption- and Production-Based Models," CEMA Working Papers 765, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James A. Robinson, 2001.
"The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1369-1401, December.
- Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson & James A. Robinson, 2000. "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 7771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hansen, Lars Peter & Jagannathan, Ravi, 1991.
"Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(2), pages 225-262, April.
- Lars Peter Hansen & Ravi Jagannathan, 1990. "Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies," NBER Technical Working Papers 0089, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lars Peter Hansen & Ravi Jagannathan, 1990. "Implications of security market data for models of dynamic economies," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 29, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Qixin Zhan & Heng-fu Zou, 2024.
"Liberty Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 25(1), pages 63-116, May.
- Qixin Zhan & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "Liberty Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth," CEMA Working Papers 619, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Hansen, Lars Peter & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1983. "Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Returns," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(2), pages 249-265, April.
- Larry G. Epstein & Stanley E. Zin, 2013.
"Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: A theoretical framework,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 12, pages 207-239,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Epstein, Larry G & Zin, Stanley E, 1989. "Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(4), pages 937-969, July.
- Larry G. Epstein & Stanley E. Zin, 1987. "Substitution, Risk Aversion and the Temporal Behaviour of Consumption and Asset Returns I: A Theoretical Framework," Working Paper 699, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Wei Liang & Heng-fu Zou, 2024.
"Endogenous Constitutional Democracy Capital and Economic Development,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 25(2), pages 501-549, November.
- Wei Liang & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "Endogenous Constitutional Democracy Capital and Economic Development," CEMA Working Papers 627, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1978. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1429-1445, November.
- Robert J. Barro, 2006.
"Rare Disasters and Asset Markets in the Twentieth Century,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(3), pages 823-866.
- Barro, Robert, 2006. "Rare Disasters and Asset Markets in the Twentieth Century," Scholarly Articles 3208215, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Robert J. Barro, 2024. "Rare Disasters and Asset Markets in the Twentieth Century," CEMA Working Papers 620, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Lubos Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2012.
"Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(4), pages 1219-1264, August.
- Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2010. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," NBER Working Papers 16128, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš, 2010. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7897, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pietro Veronesi & Lubos Pastor, 2011. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," 2011 Meeting Papers 86, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016.
"Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 21633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas & Davis, Steven J., 2015. "Measuring economic policy uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64986, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEP Discussion Papers dp1379, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Davis, Steven & Bloom, Nicholas & Baker, Scott, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 10900, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2015. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," Economics Working Papers 15111, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
- Qixin Zhan & Junzhu Zhao & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "The Rule-of-Law Capital, Growth, and Development," CEMA Working Papers 624, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- John Y. Campbell & John Cochrane, 1999.
"Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(2), pages 205-251, April.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1994. "By force of habit: a consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior," Working Papers 94-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1995. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," NBER Working Papers 4995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John Y. Campbell & John H. Cochrane, 1994. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," CRSP working papers 412, Center for Research in Security Prices, Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago.
- Campbell, John & Cochrane, John H., 1999. "By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior," Scholarly Articles 3119444, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:4:p:1481-1509 is not listed on IDEAS
- Qixin Zhan & Heng-Fu Zou, 2025.
"The Right to Bear Arms, Private Property, and Economic Growth,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 26(1), pages 281-309, May.
- Qixin Zhan & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "The right to bear arms, private property, and economic growth," CEMA Working Papers 626, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Pástor, Ľuboš & Veronesi, Pietro, 2013.
"Political uncertainty and risk premia,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 520-545.
- Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2011. "Political Uncertainty and Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 17464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš, 2011. "Political Uncertainty and Risk Premia," CEPR Discussion Papers 8601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cochrane, John H, 1996. "A Cross-Sectional Test of an Investment-Based Asset Pricing Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(3), pages 572-621, June.
- Xavier Gabaix, 2012.
"Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(2), pages 645-700.
- Xavier Gabaix, 2008. "Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance," NBER Working Papers 13724, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Oliver E. Williamson, 2000. "The New Institutional Economics: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 38(3), pages 595-613, September.
- Minxian Sun & Heng-Fu Zou, 2025.
"A Macroeconomic Model with Property-Rights Capital,"
Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 26(1), pages 213-246, May.
- Minxian Sun & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "A Macroeconomic Model with Property-Rights Capital," CEMA Working Papers 625, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Jermann, Urban J., 1998. "Asset pricing in production economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 257-275, April.
- Huseyin Gulen & Mihai Ion, 2016. "Editor's Choice Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(3), pages 523-564.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Wei Liang & Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "Liberal Ideas Capital and Asset Pricing: A Political Economy of Risk, Return, and Freedom," CEMA Working Papers 779, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "Institutional Disaster Risk and Asset Pricing: A Unified Framework Integrating Rare Events and Endogenous Political Shocks," CEMA Working Papers 777, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "Institutions and Asset Returns," CEMA Working Papers 778, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Heng-fu Zou, 2025. "Institution-Based Asset Pricing: A Generalization of Consumption- and Production-Based Models," CEMA Working Papers 765, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Ludvigson, Sydney C., 2013.
"Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 799-906,
Elsevier.
- Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2011. "Advances in Consumption-Based Asset Pricing: Empirical Tests," NBER Working Papers 16810, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard & Alex P. Taylor, 2017.
"What Is the Consumption-CAPM Missing? An Information-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(2), pages 442-504.
- Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard, 2011. "What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An informative-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models," FMG Discussion Papers dp691, Financial Markets Group.
- Ghosh, Anisha & Julliard, Christian & Taylor, Alex, 2011. "What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An information-theoretic framework for the analysis of asset pricing models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119061, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ghosh, Anisha & Julliard, Christian & Taylor, Alex. P, 2017. "What is the Consumption-CAPM missing? An information-theoretic framework for the analysis of asset pricing models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65131, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Campbell, John Y., 2003.
"Consumption-based asset pricing,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 13, pages 803-887,
Elsevier.
- John Y. Campbell, 2002. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1974, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
- Croce, M.M. & Nguyen, Thien T. & Raymond, S. & Schmid, L., 2019. "Government debt and the returns to innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(3), pages 205-225.
- Sang Byung Seo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2019. "Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(8), pages 3449-3469, August.
- Sydney Ludvigson, 2008. "The Research Agenda: Sydney Ludvigson on Empirical Evaluation of Economic Theories of Risk Premia," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(2), April.
- John H. Cochrane, 2017.
"Macro-Finance,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 945-985.
- John H. Cochrane, 2016. "Macro-Finance," NBER Working Papers 22485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Angelo Melino & Alan X. Yang, 2003.
"State Dependent Preferences Can Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(4), pages 806-830, October.
- Angelo Melino & Alan X. Yang, 2003. "State Dependent Preferences Can Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle," Working Papers melino-03-01, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- YiLi Chien & Hanno Lustig, 2010.
"The Market Price of Aggregate Risk and the Wealth Distribution,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(4), pages 1596-1650, April.
- Hanno Lustig, 2001. "The Market Price of Aggregate Risk and the Wealth Distribution," Finance 0111004, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2001.
- Hanno Lustig, 2004. "The Market Price of Aggregate Risk and the Wealth Distribution," UCLA Economics Online Papers 299, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Hanno Lustig & Yi-Li Chien, 2005. "The Market Price of Aggregate Risk and the Wealth Distribution," NBER Working Papers 11132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christian Julliard & Anisha Ghosh, 2012.
"Can Rare Events Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle?,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(10), pages 3037-3076.
- Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard, 2008. "Can Rare Events Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle?," 2008 Meeting Papers 1090, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Julliard, Christian & Ghosh, Anisha, 2012. "Can Rare Events Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8899, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julliard, Christian & Ghosh, Anisha, 2008. "Can rare events explain the equity premium puzzle?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4808, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Anisha Ghosh & Christian Julliard, 2008. "Can Rare Events Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle?," FMG Discussion Papers dp610, Financial Markets Group.
- Fehrle, Daniel & Heiberger, Christopher, 2024.
"The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Daniel Fehrle & Christopher Heiberger, 2020. "The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies," Working Papers 193, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
- Christopher Heiberger & Daniel Fehrle, 2020. "The return on everything and the business cycle in production economies," Discussion Paper Series 338, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
- Juan Carlos Parra‐Alvarez & Olaf Posch & Andreas Schrimpf, 2022.
"Peso problems in the estimation of the C‐CAPM,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 259-313, January.
- Schrimpf, Paul & Parra-Alvarez, Juan Carlos & Posch, Olaf, 2021. "Peso Problems in the Estimation of the C-CAPM," CEPR Discussion Papers 16299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Peter Woehrmann & Willi Semmler & Martin Lettau, "undated". "Nonparametric Estimation of the Time-varying Sharpe Ratio in Dynamic Asset Pricing Models," IEW - Working Papers 225, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
- Liu, Ludan, 2008. "It takes a model to beat a model: Volatility bounds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 80-110, January.
- Posch, Olaf, 2011.
"Risk premia in general equilibrium,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 1557-1576, September.
- Olaf Posch, 2009. "Risk premia in general equilibrium," CREATES Research Papers 2009-58, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Olaf Posch, 2010. "Risk Premia in General Equilibrium," CESifo Working Paper Series 3131, CESifo.
- Olaf Posch, 2011. "Risk premia in general equilibrium," Post-Print hal-00851860, HAL.
- Aase, Knut K., 2014.
"Recursive utility and jump-diffusions,"
Discussion Papers
2014/9, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Aase, Knut K., 2025. "Recursive utility and jump-diffusions," Discussion Papers 2025/6, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Aase, Knut K., 2015. "Recursive utility and jump-diffusions," Discussion Papers 2015/6, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Davis, Morris A. & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, 2015.
"Housing, Finance, and the Macroeconomy,"
Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 753-811,
Elsevier.
- Morris A. Davis & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2014. "Housing, Finance and the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 20287, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sing, Tien Foo & Zou, Yiheng, 2022. "Mortgage payments and equity premium puzzle," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 376-388.
- Li, Minqiang, 2010. "Asset Pricing - A Brief Review," MPRA Paper 22379, University Library of Munich, Germany.
More about this item
Keywords
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ;NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FDG-2025-08-11 (Financial Development and Growth)
- NEP-UPT-2025-08-11 (Utility Models and Prospect Theory)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:775. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Qiang Gao (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emcufcn.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.