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Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management

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  • Ashrafee T. Hossain
  • Mostafa Monzur Hasan
  • Abdullah‐Al Masum

Abstract

We examine how exposure to firm‐level political risk (PRISK) affects corporate earnings management (EM). We present robust evidence that heightened PRISK leads to an increase in real earnings management (REM); however, we do not find consistent evidence supporting an increase in accrual earnings management (AEM). Our results remain robust when employing difference‐in‐differences (DiD), two‐stage least squares (2SLS), propensity score matching (PSM), and additional methods designed to address endogeneity concerns. Additionally, we document that firm‐level political polarization exposure (PPE) intensifies the PRISK‐REM relationship. More interestingly, the financial market is relatively forgiving to firms that engage in REM activities in the face of both high PRISK and high PPE. Our findings provide novel insights into how PRISK shapes the financial reporting quality, and the critical role PPE plays in this relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashrafee T. Hossain & Mostafa Monzur Hasan & Abdullah‐Al Masum, 2026. "Political Risk, Political Polarization, and Earnings Management," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 175-200, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:61:y:2026:i:1:p:175-200
    DOI: 10.1111/fire.70013
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