Joshua C.C. Chan
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011.
"Time Varying Dimension Models,"
Working Papers
1116, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2012. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 358-367, January.
- Chan, Joshua C C & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Strachan, Rodney W, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-33, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Garry Koop & Roberto Leon Gonzales & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2010-523, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzales & Rodney W Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," CAMA Working Papers 2011-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Paper series 44_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Mentioned in:
- Do not waste degrees of freedom with macro data
by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2011-06-30 19:21:00
Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2005.
"Replication of the results in 'learning about heterogeneity in returns to schooling',"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 439-443.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2005. "Replication of the results in ‘learning about heterogeneity in returns to schooling’," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 439-443, March.
Mentioned in:
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013.
"A New Model of Trend Inflation,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Mentioned in:
- A New Model of Trend Inflation (J Business & Econ Statistics 2013) in ReplicationWiki ()
Working papers
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023.
"High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data,"
Papers
2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023. "High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
Cited by:
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023.
"Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error,"
Discussion Papers
25/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
Cited by:
- Bastianin, Andrea & Mirto, Elisabetta & Qin, Yan & Rossini, Luca, 2024.
"What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts,"
FEEM Working Papers
339740, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Andrea Bastianin & Elisabetta Mirto & Yan Qin & Luca Rossini, 2024. "What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts," Working Papers 2024.02, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Andrea Bastianin & Elisabetta Mirto & Yan Qin & Luca Rossini, 2024. "What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts," Papers 2402.04828, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022.
"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Papers
2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Jan Pruser & Florian Huber, 2023. "Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions," Papers 2301.13604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
Papers
2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 346-363.
- Chaya Weerasinghe & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2023. "ABC-based Forecasting in State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Mauro Bernardi & Daniele Bianchi & Nicolas Bianco, 2022. "Variational inference for large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Papers 2202.12644, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- David T. Frazier & Gael M. Martin & Ruben Loaiza-Maya, 2022.
"Variational Bayes in State Space Models: Inferential and Predictive Accuracy,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
1/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin, 2021. "Variational Bayes in State Space Models: Inferential and Predictive Accuracy," Papers 2106.12262, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Rub'en Loaiza-Maya & Didier Nibbering, 2022. "Efficient variational approximations for state space models," Papers 2210.11010, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Mauro Bernardi & Daniele Bianchi & Nicolas Bianco, 2022. "Smoothing volatility targeting," Papers 2212.07288, arXiv.org.
- Lin Deng & Michael Stanley Smith & Worapree Maneesoonthorn, 2023. "Large Skew-t Copula Models and Asymmetric Dependence in Intraday Equity Returns," Papers 2308.05564, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Christian P. Robert, 2021. "Approximating Bayes in the 21st Century," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Papers
2201.07303, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 890-905, July.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2019. "Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-77, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
- Rub'en Loaiza-Maya & Didier Nibbering, 2022. "Efficient variational approximations for state space models," Papers 2210.11010, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Stefano Grassi & Barbara Guardabascio, 2024.
"The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model,"
CEIS Research Paper
571, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jan 2024.
- G. Cubadda & S. Grassi & B. Guardabascio, 2022. "The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model," Papers 2201.07069, arXiv.org.
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series 8054, CESifo.
- Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022.
"Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis,"
Papers
2207.03988, arXiv.org.
Cited by:
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2020.
"Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees,"
Working Papers
2308, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2022. "Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees," Papers 2209.11970, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2020.
"Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees,"
Working Papers
2308, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021.
"Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Papers
2111.07225, arXiv.org.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Chenghan Hou & Bao Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2023. "Real‐time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using flexible Bayesian VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 418-451, March.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023.
"Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks,"
Papers
2305.16827, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks," Working Papers 2309, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2021.
"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Working Papers
2021:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Sune Karlsson & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Papers 2105.11182, arXiv.org.
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Minchul Shin, 2021.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting and Variable Ordering in Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Working Papers
21-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Arias, Jonas E. & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. & Shin, Minchul, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting and variable ordering in multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1054-1086.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Ping Wu & Gary Koop, 2022. "Fast, Order-Invariant Bayesian Inference in VARs using the Eigendecomposition of the Error Covariance Matrix," Working Papers 2310, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Wu, Ping & Koop, Gary, 2023. "Estimating the ordering of variables in a VAR using a Plackett–Luce prior," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
- Braun, Robin, 2021. "The importance of supply and demand for oil prices: evidence from non-Gaussianity," Bank of England working papers 957, Bank of England.
- Luis Gruber & Gregor Kastner, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!," Papers 2206.04902, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021.
"Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023.
"Bayesian Local Projections,"
Working Papers Series
581, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373574, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," Working Papers hal-03373574, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2021. "Bayesian Local Projections," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Leonardo N. Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers 2023-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Minsu Chang & Frank Schorfheide, 2024.
"On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity,"
NBER Working Papers
32166, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Minsu Chang & Frank Schorfheide, 2024. "On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2021.
"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Papers
2107.07804, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Giovanni Ricco & Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki S. Hong, 2020.
"The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy,"
Working Papers
814, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki Simon Hong & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2023-02, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Degasperi, Riccardo & Hong, Simon, 2020. "The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 14533, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Riccardo Degasperi & Seokki Simon Hong & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "The global transmission of U.S. monetary policy," Working Papers hal-03373749, HAL.
- Degasperi,Riccardo & Hong, Seokki Simon & Ricco, Giovanni, 2020. "The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1257, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023.
"Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting,"
Working Papers
2311, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023. "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Zhang, Wen, 2022. "China’s government spending and global inflation dynamics: The role of the oil price channel," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Loria, Francesca & Matthes, Christian & Wang, Mu-Chun, 2022.
"Economic theories and macroeconomic reality,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.
- Loria, Francesca & Matthes, Christian & Wang, Mu-Chun, 2021. "Economic theories and macroeconomic reality," Discussion Papers 56/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2021.
"Efficient Estimation of State-Space Mixed-Frequency VARs: A Precision-Based Approach,"
Papers
2112.11315, arXiv.org.
Cited by:
- Pettenuzzo, Davide & Sabbatucci, Riccardo & Timmermann, Allan, 2023. "Dividend suspensions and cash flows during the Covid-19 pandemic: A dynamic econometric model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1522-1541.
- Serena Ng & Susannah Scanlan, 2023. "Constructing High Frequency Economic Indicators by Imputation," Papers 2303.01863, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
Cited by:
- Niko Hauzenberger, 2020. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Papers 2006.10088, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
- Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2023. "A pulse check on recent developments in time series econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 3-6, February.
- Srdelic, Leonarda & Davila-Fernandez, Marwil J., 2022. "Demographic transition and economic growth in 6-EU member states," MPRA Paper 112188, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Jamie L. Cross & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "Uncertainty and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers No 12/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
Cited by:
- Jan Pruser & Florian Huber, 2023. "Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions," Papers 2301.13604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees,"
Working Papers
21-08R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 12 Jul 2022.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," CEPR Discussion Papers 17461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "Tail Forecasting With Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 979-1022, August.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Massimiliano Marcellino & Nico Petz, 2021.
"Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty,"
Papers
2112.01995, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Petz, Nico, 2022. "Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 17646, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Approximate Bayesian inference and forecasting in huge-dimensional multi-country VARs,"
Papers
2103.04944, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022. "APPROXIMATE BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND FORECASTING IN HUGE‐DIMENSIONAL MULTICOUNTRY VARs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1625-1658, November.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin, 2023.
"Real-time inflation forecasting using non-linear dimension reduction techniques,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 901-921.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," Working Papers 22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers 22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs," Working Papers No 04/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Hauber, Philipp, 2022. "Real-time nowcasting with sparse factor models," EconStor Preprints 251551, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Wu, Ping & Koop, Gary, 2023. "Estimating the ordering of variables in a VAR using a Plackett–Luce prior," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
- Luis Gruber & Gregor Kastner, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!," Papers 2206.04902, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Working Papers
No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Florian Eckert & Nina Mühlebach, 2021. "Global and Local Components of Output Gaps," KOF Working papers 21-497, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Rick Bohte & Luca Rossini, 2019.
"Comparing the Forecasting of Cryptocurrencies by Bayesian Time-Varying Volatility Models,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, September.
- Rick Bohte & Luca Rossini, 2019. "Comparing the forecasting of cryptocurrencies by Bayesian time-varying volatility models," Papers 1909.06599, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2111.07225, arXiv.org.
- Nadiia Shapovalenko, 2021. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 251, pages 14-36.
- Martin Iseringhausen & Ivan Petrella & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2022.
"Aggregate skewness and the business cycle,"
Working Papers
53, European Stability Mechanism.
- Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Petrella, Ivan & Iseringhausen, Martin & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 17162, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023.
"Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks,"
Papers
2305.16827, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks," Working Papers 2309, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Karin Klieber, 2023. "Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions," Papers 2309.04821, arXiv.org.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2023. "Density forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models under macroeconomic data uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 164-185, March.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Fulvia Marotta, 2023. "Vulnerability to Climate Change: Evidence from a Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers 961, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Thomas St�rdal Gundersen & Even Soltvedt Hvinden, 2021. "OPEC's crude game: Strategic Competition and Regime-switching in Global Oil Markets," Working Papers No 01/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Andrea Renzetti, 2023. "Modelling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Risk with Time Varying Skewness Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 2306.09287, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
- Luis Gruber & Gregor Kastner, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!," Papers 2206.04902, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Working Papers
No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Nadiia Shapovalenko, 2021. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 251, pages 14-36.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs," Working Papers No 04/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Consolo, Agostino & Foroni, Claudia & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2021. "A mixed frequency BVAR for the euro area labour market," Working Paper Series 2601, European Central Bank.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2018.
"How sensitive are VAR forecasts to prior hyperparameters? An automated sensitivity analysis,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis," Advances in Econometrics, in: Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part A, volume 40, pages 229-248, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Cited by:
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Poon, Aubrey, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting with large Bayesian VARs: Global-local priors and the illusion of sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 899-915.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhongdong Yu & Wei Liu & Liming Chen & Serkan Eti & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2019. "The Effects of Electricity Production on Industrial Development and Sustainable Economic Growth: A VAR Analysis for BRICS Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-13, October.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs," Working Papers No 04/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Multivariate stochastic volatility with co-heteroscedasticity,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," GRIPS Discussion Papers 18-12, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," Working Paper series 18-38, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- CHAN Joshua & DOUCET Arnaud & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & STRACHAN Rodney W., 2020. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," GRIPS Discussion Papers 20-09, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
Cited by:
- Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev & Alexandr Radygin (ed.), 2018. "Russian Economy in 2017. Trends and Outlooks. In Russian," Books, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, edition 1, volume 39, number re39-2017-ru, November.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2111.07225, arXiv.org.
- Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Blessings Majoni, 2023. "Exact Likelihood for Inverse Gamma Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Paper series 23-11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Minchul Shin, 2021.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting and Variable Ordering in Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Working Papers
21-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Arias, Jonas E. & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. & Shin, Minchul, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting and variable ordering in multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1054-1086.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua Chan & Luca Benati & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Identifying Noise Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
41, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Benati, Luca & Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2020. "Identifying noise shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
Cited by:
- Belke, Ansgar & Elstner, Steffen & Rujin, Svetlana, 2020.
"Growth prospects and the trade balance in advanced economies,"
Ruhr Economic Papers
827, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, revised 2020.
- Ansgar Belke & Steffen Elstner & Svetlana Rujin, 2022. "Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1209-1234, October.
- Luca Benati & Thomas A. Lubik, 2021.
"Searching for Hysteresis,"
Working Paper
21-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Luca Benati & Thomas A. Lubik, 2022. "Searching for Hysteresis," Working Paper 22-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2018.
"The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy,"
Working Paper series
18-19, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gambetti, Luca & Korobilis, Dimitris & Tsoukalas, John D. & Zanetti, Francesco, 2017. "The effect of news shocks and monetary policy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86145, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Gambetti, L & Korobilis, D & Tsoukalas, J & Zanetti, F, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20428, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Görtz & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "The effect of news shocks and monetary policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 7578, CESifo.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 1730, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Görtz & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 139-164, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2017_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Francesco Zanetti & Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 838, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1705, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Luca Gambetti & Christoph Gortz & Dimitris Korobilis & John Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 19-03, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper series 18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
Cited by:
- Jim Hart & Bernardino D'Amico & Francesco Pomponi, 2021. "Whole‐life embodied carbon in multistory buildings: Steel, concrete and timber structures," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(2), pages 403-418, April.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2021. "The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest," Working Papers 21-05, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Simon Beyeler, 2019. "Streamlining Time-varying VAR with a Factor Structure in the Parameters," Working Papers 19.03, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest," Papers 2006.12724, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "Time-Varying Parameters as Ridge Regressions," Papers 2009.00401, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Zhao, Jing, 2023. "Time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resources prices: Evidence from the hybrid TVP-VAR model with large system," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
Cited by:
- Jan Pruser & Florian Huber, 2023. "Nonlinearities in Macroeconomic Tail Risk through the Lens of Big Data Quantile Regressions," Papers 2301.13604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Matteo Iacopini & Luca Rossini, 2019. "Bayesian nonparametric graphical models for time-varying parameters VAR," Papers 1906.02140, arXiv.org.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018.
"Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Documents de Travail de l'OFCE
2018-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Sciences Po publications 18, Sciences Po.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458277, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Papers hal-03458277, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Bank of England working papers 756, Bank of England.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers 1808, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1159, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Yuliya Rychalovska & Sergey Slobodyan & Rafael Wouters, 2023. "Professional Survey Forecasts and Expectations in DSGE Models," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp766, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Laumer, Sebastian, 2020. "Government spending and heterogeneous consumption dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Canova, Fabio & Matthes, Christian, 2018.
"A composite likelihood approach for dynamic structural models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Christian Matthes, 2018. "A composite likelihood approach for dynamic structural models," Working Papers No 10/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Fabio Canova & Christian Matthes, 2021. "A Composite Likelihood Approach for Dynamic Structural Models," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(638), pages 2447-2477.
- Fabio Canova & Christian Matthes, 2018. "A Composite Likelihood Approach for Dynamic Structural Models," Working Paper 18-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Gunawan, David & Kohn, Robert & Nott, David, 2021. "Variational Bayes approximation of factor stochastic volatility models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1355-1375.
- Raanju R. Sundararajan & Wagner Barreto‐Souza, 2023. "Student‐t stochastic volatility model with composite likelihood EM‐algorithm," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 125-147, January.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Stefano Grassi & Barbara Guardabascio, 2024.
"The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model,"
CEIS Research Paper
571, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jan 2024.
- G. Cubadda & S. Grassi & B. Guardabascio, 2022. "The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model," Papers 2201.07069, arXiv.org.
- Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2019. "Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects," Staff Working Papers 19-16, Bank of Canada.
- Bo Zhang & Joshua C.C. Chan & Jamie L. Cross, 2018.
"Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020. "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1318-1328.
Cited by:
- Arango-Castillo, Lenin & Orraca, María José & Molina, G. Stefano, 2023. "The global component of headline and core inflation in emerging market economies and its ability to improve forecasting performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Liberty Street Economics
20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What's Up with the Phillips Curve?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020.
"Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross & Na Guo, 2020. "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," Working Papers No 09/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Chenghan Hou & Bao Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2023. "Real‐time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using flexible Bayesian VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 418-451, March.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs," Working Papers No 04/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie L. Cross, 2022. "Time‐varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 316-330, March.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2020.
"Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 7-27, January.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019. "Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts," Working Papers 2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Yuntong Liu & Yu Wei & Yi Liu & Wenjuan Li, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Price by Hierarchical Shrinkage in Dynamic Parameter Models," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-12, December.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric, 2018. "Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-5.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Lin Liu, 2021. "U.S. Economic Uncertainty Shocks and China’s Economic Activities: A Time-Varying Perspective," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Álvaro Jiménez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020.
"Time-Varying Impact of Fiscal Shocks over GDP Growth in Peru: An Empirical Application using Hybrid TVP-VAR-SV Models,"
Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers
2020-489, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Jiménez, Alvaro & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Ataurima Arellano, Miguel, 2023. "Time-varying impact of fiscal shocks over GDP growth in Peru: An empirical application using hybrid TVP-VAR-SV models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 314-332.
- Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"A note of caution on the relation between money growth and inflation,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 479-496, November.
- Berger, Helge & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "A Note of Caution on the Relation between Money Growth and Inflation," Working Papers 2023:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Mr. Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "A Note of Caution on the Relation Between Money Growth and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2023/137, International Monetary Fund.
- Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers 2023:3, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "A hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR analysis of Okun’s law in the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "Time-Varying Parameters as Ridge Regressions," Papers 2009.00401, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Joshua C C Chan & Yong Song, 2017.
"Measuring inflation expectations uncertainty using high-frequency data,"
CAMA Working Papers
2017-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Yong Song, 2018. "Measuring Inflation Expectations Uncertainty Using High‐Frequency Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1139-1166, September.
Cited by:
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Chen, Ji & Yang, Xinglin & Liu, Xiliang, 2022. "Learning, disagreement and inflation forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Ryngaert, Jane M., 2022. "Inflation disasters and consumption," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 67-81.
- Miescu, Mirela S., 2023. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local approach for identification," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Carlomagno, Guillermo & Fornero, Jorge & Sansone, Andrés, 2023. "A proposal for constructing and evaluating core inflation measures," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(3).
- Fuest, Angela & Schmidt, Torsten, 2020. "Inflation expectation uncertainty in a New Keynesian framework," Ruhr Economic Papers 867, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joshua C C Chan & Angelia L Grant, 2017.
"Measuring the output gap using stochastic model specification search,"
CAMA Working Papers
2017-02, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020.
"Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 1-18, January.
- James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2017-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2018. "Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2018-04, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Feb 2019.
- Montagnoli, Alberto & Mouratidis, Konstantinos & Whyte, Kemar, 2021.
"Assessing the cyclical behaviour of bank capital buffers in a finance-augmented macro-economy,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Alberto Montagnoli & Konstantinos Mouratidis & Kemar Whyte, 2018. "Assessing the Cyclical Behaviour of Bank Capital Buyers in a Finance-Augmented Macro-Economy," Working Papers 2018003, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
- Manuel González-Astudillo & John M. Roberts, 2022. "When are trend–cycle decompositions of GDP reliable?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2417-2460, May.
- Nataliia Ostapenko, 2022. "Do output gap estimates improve inflation forecasts in Slovakia?," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2022, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Fu, Bowen, 2020. "Is the slope of the Phillips curve time-varying? Evidence from unobserved components models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 320-340.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016.
"Reconciling output gaps: unobserved components model and Hodrick-Prescott filter,"
CAMA Working Papers
2016-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017. "Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
Cited by:
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Welz, Peter, 2018. "Semi-structural credit gap estimation," Working Paper Series 2194, European Central Bank.
- Gómez Julián, José Mauricio, 2024. "Sectorial Exclusion Criteria in the Marxist Analysis of the Average Rate of Profit: The United States Case (1960-2020)," OSF Preprints seqbf, Center for Open Science.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Kabundi, Alain & Poon, Aubrey & Wu, Ping, 2023. "A time-varying Phillips curve with global factors: Are global factors important?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Luis Eduardo Castillo & David Florián Hoyle, 2019.
"Measuring the output gap, potential output growth and natural interest rate from a semi-structural dynamic model for Peru,"
Working Papers
159, Peruvian Economic Association.
- Castillo, Luis & Florián, David, 2019. "Measuring the output gap, potential output growth and natural interest rate from a semi-structural dynamic model for Peru," Working Papers 2019-012, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023.
"Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error,"
Discussion Papers
25/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Agovino, Massimiliano & Musella, Gaetano & Scaletti, Alessandro, 2022. "Equilibrium and efficiency in the first aid services market: The case of the emergency department of Sorrento," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PB).
- Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020.
"A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
- Fernandes, Mário Correia & Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2023. "Modelling output gaps in the Euro Area with structural breaks: The COVID-19 recession," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1046-1058.
- Xu, Jia & Tan, Xiujie & He, Gang & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Disentangling the drivers of carbon prices in China's ETS pilots — An EEMD approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-9.
- Ahn, Hie Joo, 2023. "Duration structure of unemployment hazards and the trend unemployment rate," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2023.
"The Federal Reserve's output gap: The unreliability of real‐time reliability tests,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1101-1111, November.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "The Federal Reserve's output gap: The unreliability of real-time realiability tests," IMFS Working Paper Series 179, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Buncic, Daniel, 2020.
"Econometric issues with Laubach and Williams’ estimates of the natural rate of interest,"
Working Paper Series
397, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Daniel Buncic, 2020. "Econometric issues with Laubach and Williams' estimates of the natural rate of interest," Papers 2002.11583, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Martin Boďa & Mariana Považanová, 2023. "How credible are Okun coefficients? The gap version of Okun’s law for G7 economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1467-1514, June.
- Cláudia Duarte & José R. Maria & Sharmin Sazedj, 2019.
"Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions,"
Working Papers
w201918, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Duarte, Cláudia & Maria, José R. & Sazedj, Sharmin, 2020. "Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 126-146.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Nicolo Maffei-Faccioli, 2020. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand vs. Supply," 2020 Papers pma2978, Job Market Papers.
- Massimiliano Agovino & Michele Bevilacqua & Massimiliano Cerciello, 2022. "Language as a proxy for cultural change. A contrastive analysis for French and Italian lexicon on male homosexuality," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 149-172, February.
- Yahya, Farzan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "Disentangling the asymmetric effect of financialization on the green output gap," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov & Hunter Wieman, 2023. "Sparse Trend Estimation," Staff Reports 1049, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Kristian Jönsson, 2018. "Extending the state-space representation of the judgement-augmented Hodrick-Prescott filter," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(1), pages 623-628.
- Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2021. "Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply," Working Paper 2021/9, Norges Bank.
- Agbeyegbe, Terence D., 2020. "Bayesian analysis of output gap in Barbados," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
- Gabor Katay & Lisa Kerdelhué & Matthieu Lequien, 2020.
"Semi-Structural VAR and Unobserved Components Models to Estimate Finance-Neutral Output Gap,"
Working Papers
2020-11, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Kátay Gábor & Kerdelhué Lisa & Lequien Matthieu, 2020. "Semi-Structural VAR and Unobserved Components Models to Estimate Finance-Neutral Output Gap," Working papers 791, Banque de France.
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015. "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Working Paper series
40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016.
"A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "A Time‐Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1005-1046, August.
- Benjamin K Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2018. "A time series model of interest rates with the effective lower bound," BIS Working Papers 715, Bank for International Settlements.
- Diegel, Max, 2022. "Time-varying credibility, anchoring and the Fed's inflation target," Discussion Papers 2022/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Cross, Jamie & Nguyen, Bao H., 2017. "The relationship between global oil price shocks and China's output: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 79-91.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Bao H. Nguyen, 2018. "On the China factor in international oil markets: A regime switching approach," Working Papers No 11/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2021.
"DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors,"
Working Papers
21-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2019.
"Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017,"
EMF Research Papers
20, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Doğan, Osman, 2023. "Modified harmonic mean method for spatial autoregressive models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
- Hajargasht, Gholamreza & Rao, D.S. Prasada, 2019.
"Multilateral index number systems for international price comparisons: Properties, existence and uniqueness,"
Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 36-47.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & D.S. Prasada Rao, 2019. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," CEPA Working Papers Series WP032019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & Prasada Rao, 2018. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," Papers 1811.04197, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2020. "High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction∗," Working Papers 20-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Antonio Pacifico, 2021. "Structural Panel Bayesian VAR with Multivariate Time-Varying Volatility to Jointly Deal with Structural Changes, Policy Regime Shifts, and Endogeneity Issues," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-35, May.
- Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque & Madison Terrell, 2022.
"Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Madison Terrell & Qazi Haque & Jamie L. Cross & Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies," Working Papers No 10/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Madison Terrell & Qazi Haque & Jamie L. Cross & Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-04 Classification-C3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
- Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Assessing the Synchronicity and Nature of Australian State Business Cycles," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(307), pages 372-390, December.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
- Pacifico, Antonio, 2020. "Structural Panel Bayesian VAR with Multivariate Time-varying Volatility to jointly deal with Structural Changes, Policy Regime Shifts, and Endogeneity Issues," MPRA Paper 104292, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jamie L. Cross & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "On the contribution of international shocks in Australian business cycle fluctuations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2613-2637, December.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017. "A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
Cited by:
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- Melolinna, Marko & Tóth, Máté, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England working papers 826, Bank of England.
- Diegel, Max, 2022. "Time-varying credibility, anchoring and the Fed's inflation target," Discussion Papers 2022/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Güneş Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017.
"Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2017/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Discussion Papers 2016-09, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," CAMA Working Papers 2017-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Discussion Papers 2016-09A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Günes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(3), pages 550-566, July.
- Güneş Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson filter," BIS Working Papers 584, Bank for International Settlements.
- Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1039-1070, March.
- Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2020. "Why are Bayesian trend-cycle decompositions of US real GDP so different?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1339-1354, March.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023.
"Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error,"
Discussion Papers
25/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
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- Katarzyna Kuziak & Joanna Górka, 2023. "Dependence Analysis for the Energy Sector Based on Energy ETFs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-30, January.
- Huabin Bian & Renhai Hua & Qingfu Liu & Ping Zhang, 2022. "Petroleum market volatility tracker in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2022-2040, November.
- Vasile Brătian & Ana-Maria Acu & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Emil Dinga & Gabriela-Mariana Ionescu, 2021. "Efficient or Fractal Market Hypothesis? A Stock Indexes Modelling Using Geometric Brownian Motion and Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-20, November.
- Ulm, M. & Hambuckers, J., 2022. "Do interest rate differentials drive the volatility of exchange rates? Evidence from an extended stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 125-148.
- Yu-Ling Hsiao, Cody & Ai, Dan & Wei, Xinyang & Sheng, Ni, 2021. "The contagious effect of China’s energy policy on stock markets: The case of the solar photovoltaic industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 74-86.
- Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Tsionas, Mike, 2019. "Ordinal-response GARCH models for transaction data: A forecasting exercise," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1273-1287.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2021.
"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Papers
2107.07804, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Ellington, Michael, 2022. "Fat tails, serial dependence, and implied volatility index connections," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 299(2), pages 768-779.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bo Zhang & Joshua C.C. Chan & Jamie L. Cross, 2018.
"Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020. "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1318-1328.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022.
"Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility,"
Discussion Papers
13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Ching-Wai Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016.
"VAR Models with Non-Gaussian Shocks,"
Discussion Papers
1609, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016. "VAR Models with Non-Gaussian Shocks," CReMFi Discussion Papers 4, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pinter, Gabor, 2016. "VAR models with non-Gaussian shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86238, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Hou, Chenghan, 2017. "Infinite hidden markov switching VARs with application to macroeconomic forecast," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1025-1043.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016.
"Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions,"
Working Papers
2016_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019. "Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Apr 2016.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 17-32, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Hardik A. Marfatia & Qiang Ji & Jiawen Luo, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of agricultural commodity futures: The role of co‐volatility and oil volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 383-404, March.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR,"
Working Paper series
18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR," CAMA Working Papers 2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 346-363.
- Kim, Jaeho & Linn, Scott C., 2022. "Price discovery under model uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors," Working Papers 759, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Angelica Gianfreda & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2023. "Large Time‐Varying Volatility Models for Hourly Electricity Prices," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 545-573, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series
44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2018-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2111.07225, arXiv.org.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019.
"Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Chenghan Hou & Bao Nguyen & Bo Zhang, 2023. "Real‐time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using flexible Bayesian VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 418-451, March.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2019.
"Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017,"
EMF Research Papers
20, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian & Pohle, Marc-Oliver, 2022.
"Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions,"
Discussion Papers
50/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knuppel & Fabian Kruger & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2022. "Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions," Papers 2211.16362, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2018.
"How sensitive are VAR forecasts to prior hyperparameters? An automated sensitivity analysis,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis," Advances in Econometrics, in: Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part A, volume 40, pages 229-248, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Non-Gaussian Shocks," CReMFi Discussion Papers 5, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2022. "Estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021.
"Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances,"
Working Papers
2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Kiss, Tamas & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022.
"Modelling Okun’s Law – Does non-Gaussianity Matter?,"
Working Papers
2022:1, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2183-2213, May.
- Angelica Gianfreda & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices," Working Papers No 05/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Prüser, Jan, 2023. "Data-based priors for vector error correction models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 209-227.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021.
"Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Minchul Shin, 2021.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting and Variable Ordering in Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Working Papers
21-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Arias, Jonas E. & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. & Shin, Minchul, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting and variable ordering in multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1054-1086.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for inflation modelling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 519-539.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
- Ellington, Michael & Fu, Xi & Zhu, Yunyi, 2023. "Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 137-154.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hauzenberger, Klemens, 2018. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," Discussion Papers 40/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Hartwig, Benny, 2022. "Bayesian VARs and prior calibration in times of COVID-19," Discussion Papers 52/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Thomas B Götz & Klemens Hauzenberger, 2021. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 442-461.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Ping Wu & Gary Koop, 2022. "Fast, Order-Invariant Bayesian Inference in VARs using the Eigendecomposition of the Error Covariance Matrix," Working Papers 2310, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
Cited by:
- Martin Feldkircher & Pierre L. Siklos, 2018.
"Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-60, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Feldkircher, Martin & Siklos, Pierre L., 2019. "Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 217-241.
- Kristin Forbes, 2019. "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers 791, Bank for International Settlements.
- Jaromir Baxa & Miroslav Plasil & Borek Vasicek, 2013.
"Inflation and the Steeplechase Between Economic Activity Variables,"
Working Papers
2013/15, Czech National Bank.
- Baxa Jaromír & Plašil Miroslav & Vašíček Bořek, 2017. "Inflation and the steeplechase between economic activity variables: evidence for G7 countries," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-42, January.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
Working Paper Series
2471, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Juan Angel Garcia & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks [Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?],"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 671-700.
- García, Juan Angel & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 2338, European Central Bank.
- Diegel, Max, 2022. "Time-varying credibility, anchoring and the Fed's inflation target," Discussion Papers 2022/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020.
"Global factors and trend inflation,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global Factors and Trend Inflation," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Gunes Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Global factors and trend inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.
- Diegel, Max & Nautz, Dieter, 2020. "The role of long-term inflation expectations for the transmission of monetary policy shocks," Discussion Papers 2020/19, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Francesca Rondina, 2018.
"Estimating unobservable inflation expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Working Papers
1804E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Francesca Rondina, 2018. "Estimating Unobservable Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022.
"Forecasting Inflation with a Zero Lower Bound or Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Point and Density Forecasts,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9687, CESifo.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with a zero lower bound or negative interest rates: Evidence from point and density forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(3), pages 171-232, June.
- Chew Lian Chua & Tim Robinson, 2018. "Why Has Australian Wages Growth Been So Low? A Phillips Curve Perspective," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(S1), pages 11-32, June.
- Florian, Huber & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2019.
"Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics,"
Working Papers in Economics
2019-4, University of Salzburg.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 87(348), pages 1016-1036, October.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp214, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 214, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2015. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," KOF Working papers 15-393, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
MPRA Paper
91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2018.
"Is euro area lowflation here to stay ? Insights from a time-varying parameter model with survey data,"
Working Paper Research
355, National Bank of Belgium.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2021. "Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter model with survey data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-586, August.
- Lukmanova, Elizaveta & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2018.
"New VAR evidence on monetary transmission channels: temporary interest rate versus inflation target shocks,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
274, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Elizaveta Lukmanova & Katrin Rabitsch, 2018. "New VAR evidence on monetary transmission channels: temporary interest rate versus inflation target shocks," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven 630040, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
- Elizaveta Lukmanova & Katrin Rabitsch, 2018. "New VAR evidence on monetary transmission channels: temporary interest rate versus inflation target shocks," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp274, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2017.
"Inflation dynamics during the financial crisis in Europe: Cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations,"
IWH Discussion Papers
10/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2018. "Inflation dynamics during the Financial Crisis in Europe: cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181520, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021.
"Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Österholm, Pär & Poon, Aubrey, 2022.
"Trend Inflation in Sweden,"
Working Papers
2022:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Pär Österholm & Aubrey Poon, 2023. "Trend Inflation in Sweden," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4707-4716, October.
- Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Juan Angel Garcia, 2018.
"Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies,"
IMF Working Papers
2018/147, International Monetary Fund.
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- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
Cited by:
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020.
"Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty,"
EMF Research Papers
35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023. "Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
Working Paper Series
2471, European Central Bank.
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- Amaze Lusompa & Sai Sattiraju, 2023. "Will High Underlying Inflation Persist?," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-4, May.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mónica Correa-López & Matías Pacce & Kathi Schlepper, 2019. "Exploring trend inFLation dynamics in Euro Area countries," Working Papers 1909, Banco de España.
- James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019.
"R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
- Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019.
"Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth,"
EMF Research Papers
24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021.
"Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Michal Franta & Ivan Sutoris, 2020. "Dynamics of Czech Inflation: The Role of the Trend and the Cycle," Working Papers 2020/1, Czech National Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Brenna, Federica & Paredes, Joan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021. "Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?," Working Paper Series 2543, European Central Bank.
- Alex, Dony, 2021. "Anchoring of inflation expectations in large emerging economies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," Working Papers 22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Does time-variation matter in the stochastic volatility components for G7 stock returns," Working Papers 062, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
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- Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018.
"An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
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- Afees A. Salisu & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Testing for time-varying stochastic volatility in Bitcoin returns," Working Papers 060, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Fu, Bowen, 2020. "Is the slope of the Phillips curve time-varying? Evidence from unobserved components models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 320-340.
- Balatti, Mirco, 2020. "Inflation volatility in small and large advanced open economies," Working Paper Series 2448, European Central Bank.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
Cited by:
- Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
- William Barnett & Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2018.
"The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty,"
WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS
201803, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- William Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Barnett, William A. & Jawadi, Fredj & Ftiti, Zied, 2020. "Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 101682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William & Ftiti, Zied & Jawadi, Fredj, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 86478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett William A. & Jawadi Fredj & Ftiti Zied, 2020. "Causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-26, December.
- Diego Ferreira & Andreza Aparecida Palma, 2018. "Inflation And Inflation Uncertainty In Latin America: A Time-Varying Stochastic Volatility In Mean Approach," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 125, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Ahsan, Md. Nazmul & Dufour, Jean-Marie, 2021. "Simple estimators and inference for higher-order stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 181-197.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018.
"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2017. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2017-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2022. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 328-341, January.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2018. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181631, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2020. "Identification of structural vector autoregressions by stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 869, Bank of England.
- Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2017. "Semiparametric Bayesian inference for time-varying parameter regression models with stochastic volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 10-14.
- Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2017. "The semiparametric asymmetric stochastic volatility model with time-varying parameters: The case of US inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 14-18.
- Luis Uzeda, 2016.
"State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2016-632, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Luis Uzeda, 2022. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 25-53, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luis Uzeda, 2018. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Staff Working Papers 18-14, Bank of Canada.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019.
"Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters,"
Papers
1908.06325, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2019. "Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters," Working Papers in Economics 2019-3, University of Salzburg.
- Forbes, Kristin & Kirkham, Lewis & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018.
"A Trendy Approach to UK Inflation Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12652, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Forbes, Kristin & Kirkham, Lewis & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "A trendy approach to UK inflation dynamics," Discussion Papers 49, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
- Kristin Forbes & Lewis Kirkham & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2021. "A Trendy Approach to UK Inflation Dynamics," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(S1), pages 23-75, September.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2017. "The nexus between the oil price and its volatility in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-33, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2014. "Particle Gibbs with Ancestor Sampling Methods for Unobserved Component Time Series Models with Heavy Tails, Serial Dependence and Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 55664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Yong Song, 2018.
"Measuring Inflation Expectations Uncertainty Using High‐Frequency Data,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1139-1166, September.
- Joshua C C Chan & Yong Song, 2017. "Measuring inflation expectations uncertainty using high-frequency data," CAMA Working Papers 2017-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Himounet, Nicolas, 2022.
"Searching the nature of uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial risks VS geopolitical and pandemic risks,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-31.
- Nicolas Himounet, 2021. "Searching for the Nature of Uncertainty: Macroeconomic VS Financial," Working Papers 2021.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Emanuela Ciapanna & Marco Taboga, 2019.
"Bayesian Analysis of Coefficient Instability in Dynamic Regressions,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-32, June.
- Emanuela Ciapanna & Marco Taboga, 2011. "Bayesian analysis of coefficient instability in dynamic regressions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 836, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Jean Pierre Fernández Prada Saucedo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-484, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Dynamic shrinkage in time‐varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 262-270, March.
- Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Dynamic shrinkage in time-varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models," Papers 2005.06851, arXiv.org.
- Terence D. Agbeyegbe, 2023. "The Link Between Output Growth and Output Growth Volatility: Barbados," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 787-804, June.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015.
"Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility,"
Working Papers
760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2020. "Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 262-282.
- Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/21, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Konstantinos Theodoridis & Haroon Mumtaz, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 101219932, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018.
"Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 799-815, December.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1639, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2016. "Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1622, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "International Transmission of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Approach," Working Papers No 12/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016. "On the Observed-Data Deviance Information Criterion for Volatility Modeling," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 772-802.
- Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Kohns, David, 2022.
"Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
538, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," Papers 2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2022. "Improving Inflation Forecasts Using Robust Measures," Working Papers 22-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 30 May 2023.
- Abanto-Valle, Carlos A. & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Garrafa-Aragón, Hernán B., 2021. "Stochastic Volatility in Mean: Empirical evidence from Latin-American stock markets using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and Riemann Manifold HMC methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 272-286.
- Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- María T. González-Pérez, 2021. "Lessons from estimating the average option-implied volatility term structure for the Spanish banking sector," Working Papers 2128, Banco de España.
- Cross, Jamie & Poon, Aubrey, 2016. "Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-51.
- Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Dey, Dipak K., 2017. "Discrete-response state space models with conditional heteroscedasticity: An application to forecasting the federal funds rate target," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 20-23.
- Philipp Otto & Osman Dou{g}an & Suleyman Tac{s}p{i}nar & Wolfgang Schmid & Anil K. Bera, 2023. "Spatial and Spatiotemporal Volatility Models: A Review," Papers 2308.13061, arXiv.org.
- Mengheng Li & Siem Jan Koopman, 2021. "Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation and signal extraction," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 614-627, August.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion," CAMA Working Papers 2014-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Cross, Jamie L. & Hou, Chenghan & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Large stochastic volatility in mean VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Armin Pourkhanali & Jonathan Keith & Xibin Zhang, 2021. "Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models with Time-Varying Parameters: Estimation and Asymptotics," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin, 2023.
"Real-time inflation forecasting using non-linear dimension reduction techniques,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 901-921.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Jiang, Yong & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Liu, Jiang-Long & Sharp, Basil, 2020. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. partisan conflict?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020.
"A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2017. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-32, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Doğan, Osman & Taşpınar, Süleyman & Bera, Anil K., 2021. "A Bayesian robust chi-squared test for testing simple hypotheses," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 933-958.
- Kiss, Tamás & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2021.
"Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances,"
Working Papers
2021:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Tamás Kiss & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modeling the relation between the US real economy and the corporate bond‐yield spread in Bayesian VARs with non‐Gaussian innovations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 347-368, March.
- Li, Chenxing & Maheu, John M & Yang, Qiao, 2022. "An Infinite Hidden Markov Model with Stochastic Volatility," MPRA Paper 115456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C. & Ongena, Steven & Tsionas, Mike G., 2021. "Does alternative finance moderate bank fragility? Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2019. "The volatility effect on precious metals price returns in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
- Christophe Chesneau & Salima El Kolei & Fabien Navarro, 2022. "Parametric estimation of hidden Markov models by least squares type estimation and deconvolution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 1615-1648, October.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Nonejad Nima, 2015. "Particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling for stochastic volatility models with: heavy tails, in mean effects, leverage, serial dependence and structural breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(5), pages 561-584, December.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang & Mark E. Wohar, 2019.
"Oil Price Uncertainty and Movements in the US Government Bond Risk Premia,"
Working Papers
201919, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
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- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
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- Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2018. "The volatility effect on precious metals prices in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-34, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
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"Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
953, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Chen, Liyuan & Zerilli, Paola & Baum, Christopher F., 2019. "Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 111-129.
- Dominik Bertsche, 2019. "The effects of oil supply shocks on the macroeconomy: a Proxy-FAVAR approachThe effects of oil supply shocks on the macroeconomy: a Proxy-FAVAR approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2019-06, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dima, Bogdan & Dima, Ştefana Maria, 2017. "Mutual information and persistence in the stochastic volatility of market returns: An emergent market example," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 36-59.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs," Working Papers No 04/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time–frequency relationship between US inflation and inflation uncertainty: evidence from historical data," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(5), pages 673-702, November.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros, 2020.
"Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(52), pages 5770-5782, November.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros, 2020. "Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US," Post-Print hal-03558119, HAL.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros, 2020. "Inflation, uncertainty and labor market conditions in the US," Working Papers hal-02464147, HAL.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2018. "Déjà vol oil? Predicting S&P 500 equity premium using crude oil price volatility: Evidence from old and recent time-series data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 260-270.
- Fuest, Angela & Schmidt, Torsten, 2020. "Inflation expectation uncertainty in a New Keynesian framework," Ruhr Economic Papers 867, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Awijen, Haithem & Ben Zaied, Younes & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2020. "Endogenous Financial Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Volatility: Evidence from the United States," MPRA Paper 101276, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2020.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2016. "Data-Driven Inference on Sign Restrictions in Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression," CREATES Research Papers 2016-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
- Kim C. Raath & Katherine B. Ensor, 2023. "Wavelet-L2E Stochastic Volatility Models: an Application to the Water-Energy Nexus," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 150-176, May.
- Vivek Sharma & Edgar Silgado-Gómez, 2019. "Sovereign Spread Volatility and Banking Sector," CEIS Research Paper 454, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Mar 2019.
- Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022.
"Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions," Papers 2103.03632, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Carlos A. Abanto-Valle & Gabriel Rodríguez & Hernán B. Garrafa-Aragón, 2020. "Stochastic Volatility in Mean: Empirical Evidence from Stock Latin American Markets," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-481, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Nonejad Nima, 2016. "Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques of Unobserved Component Time Series Models Using Ox," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 55-90, January.
- Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar & Anil K. Bera, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of stochastic tail index from high-frequency financial data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2685-2711, November.
- Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the United States and Euro Area," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 455-476, June.
- Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
- Grant, Angelia L., 2018. "The Great Recession and Okun's law," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 291-300.
- Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Has the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath changed the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in member states of the european monetary union?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(2), pages 246-276, May.
- Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2019. "The nexus between the oil price and its volatility risk in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 572-584.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2020.
"Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 7-27, January.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019. "Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts," Working Papers 2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Yong Jiang & Chao-Qun Ma & Xiao-Guang Yang & Yi-Shuai Ren, 2018. "Time-Varying Volatility Feedback of Energy Prices: Evidence from Crude Oil, Petroleum Products, and Natural Gas Using a TVP-SVM Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, December.
- Fernandes, Cecilia Melo, 2021. "ECB communication as a stabilization and coordination device: evidence from ex-ante inflation uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2582, European Central Bank.
- Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "A Bayesian panel stochastic volatility measure of financial stability," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5363-5384, October.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price volatility and equity return predictability: A comparative out-of-sample study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
- Gregor Kastner & Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Hedibert Freitas Lopes, 2016. "Efficient Bayesian Inference for Multivariate Factor Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1602.08154, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015.
"Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Working Paper series
40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Working Paper series
40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Cited by:
- Matteo Iacopini & Luca Rossini, 2019. "Bayesian nonparametric graphical models for time-varying parameters VAR," Papers 1906.02140, arXiv.org.
- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023.
"Bayesian Local Projections,"
Working Papers Series
581, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373574, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "Bayesian local projections," Working Papers hal-03373574, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2021. "Bayesian Local Projections," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1348, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Leonardo N. Ferreira & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Bayesian Local Projections," Working Papers 2023-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018.
"Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Documents de Travail de l'OFCE
2018-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Sciences Po publications 18, Sciences Po.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458277, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Papers hal-03458277, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Bank of England working papers 756, Bank of England.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers 1808, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1159, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2020. "Relevant parameter changes in structural break models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 46-78.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017.
"The transmission of monetary policy shocks,"
Bank of England working papers
657, Bank of England.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13396, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Economic Research Papers 269310, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-15, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 74-107, July.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86163, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1136, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2015. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Discussion Papers 1711, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Feb 2017.
- Joshua Chan & Luca Benati & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Identifying Noise Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
41, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Benati, Luca & Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2020. "Identifying noise shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2022. "Estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gustavo Fruet Dias & George Kapetanios, 2014.
"Estimation and Forecasting in Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models for Rich Datasets,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dias, Gustavo Fruet & Kapetanios, George, 2018. "Estimation and forecasting in vector autoregressive moving average models for rich datasets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 75-91.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients," CAMA Working Papers 2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2019. "Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects," Staff Working Papers 19-16, Bank of Canada.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014.
"Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models,"
CAMA Working Papers
2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Working Paper series
40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017. "A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Melolinna, Marko & Tóth, Máté, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England working papers 826, Bank of England.
- Diegel, Max, 2022. "Time-varying credibility, anchoring and the Fed's inflation target," Discussion Papers 2022/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Cross, Jamie & Nguyen, Bao H., 2017. "The relationship between global oil price shocks and China's output: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 79-91.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020.
"Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model,"
OECD Statistics Working Papers
2020/01, OECD Publishing.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," PSE Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Fang Liu & Xiaojing Wang & Roeland Hancock & Ming-Hui Chen, 2022. "Bayesian Model Assessment for Jointly Modeling Multidimensional Response Data with Application to Computerized Testing," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(4), pages 1290-1317, December.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016. "On the Observed-Data Deviance Information Criterion for Volatility Modeling," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 772-802.
- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
- Bresson Georges & Chaturvedi Anoop & Rahman Mohammad Arshad & Shalabh, 2021.
"Seemingly unrelated regression with measurement error: estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo and mean field variational Bayes approximation,"
The International Journal of Biostatistics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 75-97, May.
- Georges Bresson & Anoop Chaturvedi & Mohammad Arshad Rahman & Shalabh, 2020. "Seemingly Unrelated Regression with Measurement Error: Estimation via Markov chain Monte Carlo and Mean Field Variational Bayes Approximation," Papers 2006.07074, arXiv.org.
- Arnab Kumar Maity & Sanjib Basu & Santu Ghosh, 2021. "Bayesian criterion‐based variable selection," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(4), pages 835-857, August.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022.
"Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation,"
Working Paper series
22-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Papers 2112.11751, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Papers 2021_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper 111631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion," CAMA Working Papers 2014-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Renato Vassallo, 2022. "Time Evolution of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries: Empirical Application using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-508, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Roberto Calero & Gabriel Rodríguez & Rodrigo Salcedo Cisneros, 2022. "Evolution of the Exchange Rate Pass-Throught into Prices in Peru: An Empirical Application Using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-510, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric, 2018.
"Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-5.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018. "Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2018-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque & Madison Terrell, 2022.
"Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Madison Terrell & Qazi Haque & Jamie L. Cross & Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies," Working Papers No 10/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Madison Terrell & Qazi Haque & Jamie L. Cross & Firmin Doko Tchatoka, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and exchange rate dynamics in small open economies," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2023-04 Classification-C3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
- Ye Yang & Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar, 2023. "Observed-data DIC for spatial panel data models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1281-1314, March.
- Liyuan Chen & Paola Zerilli & Christopher F Baum, 2018.
"Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
953, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Chen, Liyuan & Zerilli, Paola & Baum, Christopher F., 2019. "Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 111-129.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015. "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
- Oludare Ariyo & Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke & Martijn Huisman & Martijn Heymans & Jos Twisk, 2022. "Bayesian model selection for multilevel mediation models," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 76(2), pages 219-235, May.
- Gregor Kastner & Florian Huber, 2020.
"Sparse Bayesian vector autoregressions in huge dimensions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1142-1165, November.
- Gregor Kastner & Florian Huber, 2017. "Sparse Bayesian vector autoregressions in huge dimensions," Papers 1704.03239, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2020. "Deviance information criterion for latent variable models and misspecified models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 450-493.
- Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2018. "Integrated Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," Economics and Statistics Working Papers 6-2018, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel & Vassallo, Renato & Castillo B., Paul, 2023. "Effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Has the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath changed the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in member states of the european monetary union?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(2), pages 246-276, May.
- Shang, Fei, 2022. "The effect of uncertainty on the sensitivity of the yield curve to monetary policy surprises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Adam, Marc C. & Jansson, Walter, 2019. "Credit constraints and the propagation of the Great Depression in Germany," Discussion Papers 2019/12, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Oludare Ariyo & Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke & Adrian Quintero, 2022. "Bayesian Model Selection for Longitudinal Count Data," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 84(2), pages 516-547, November.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2018. "Modeling volatility dynamics using non-Gaussian stochastic volatility model based on band matrix routine," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 193-201.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014.
"The Zero Lower Bound: Implications for Modelling the Interest Rate,"
Working Paper series
42_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Cited by:
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016.
"A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "A Time‐Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1005-1046, August.
- Benjamin K Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2018. "A time series model of interest rates with the effective lower bound," BIS Working Papers 715, Bank for International Settlements.
- Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017.
"Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the zero lower bound,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
6/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n01, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Caggiano & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2015. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0200, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Estimating the real effects of uncertainty shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 257-272.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0222, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "Estimating the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks at the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 6622, CESifo.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs," Working Papers 21-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2019. "The volatility effect on precious metals price returns in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
- Benjamin Garcia & Arsenios Skaperdas, 2017. "Inferring the Shadow Rate from Real Activity," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-106, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Shadow-rate VARs," Discussion Papers 14/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016.
"A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014.
"Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion,"
CAMA Working Papers
2014-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Tao Zeng & Yong Li & Jun Yu, 2014.
"Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models,"
Working Papers
01-2014, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Tao Zeng & Yong Li & Jun Yu, 2014. "Deviance Information Criterion for Comparing VAR Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Peter C. B. Phillips, volume 33, pages 615-637, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Nonejad Nima, 2015. "Particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling for stochastic volatility models with: heavy tails, in mean effects, leverage, serial dependence and structural breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(5), pages 561-584, December.
- Abdelhakim Aknouche, 2017. "Periodic autoregressive stochastic volatility," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 139-177, July.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim, 2013. "Periodic autoregressive stochastic volatility," MPRA Paper 69571, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015. "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
- Lu Yang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Modeling The Dynamics Of International Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Comparison Of Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 1-20, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Cited by:
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2020.
"Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods,"
Papers
2005.03906, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop, "undated". "Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods," Working Papers 2305, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2016. "Alternative Bayesian compression in Vector Autoregressions and related models," Working Papers 216, Bank of Greece.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2014.
"Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients,"
Working Papers
2014_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," MPRA Paper 53772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-022, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016.
"Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions,"
Working Papers
2016_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019. "Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Apr 2016.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2016. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 103, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 17-32, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2016.
"Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
235, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2018. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Working Papers in Economics 2018-5, University of Salzburg.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp235, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Papers 1607.04532, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
- Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR,"
Working Paper series
18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR," CAMA Working Papers 2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2020. "Relevant parameter changes in structural break models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 46-78.
- Michael O’Grady, 2019. "Estimating the Output, Inflation and Unemployment Gaps in Ireland using Bayesian Model Averaging," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 35-76.
- Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2022. "Sparse Bayesian State-Space and Time-Varying Parameter Models," Papers 2207.12147, arXiv.org.
- Annalisa Cadonna & Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2019. "Triple the gamma -- A unifying shrinkage prior for variance and variable selection in sparse state space and TVP models," Papers 1912.03100, arXiv.org.
- Dawid J. van Lill, 2017. "Changes in the Liquidity Effect Over Time: Evidence from Four Monetary Policy Regimes," Working Papers 704, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Martin Feldkircher & Nico Hauzenberger, 2019. "How useful are time-varying parameter models for forecasting economic growth in CESEE?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/19, pages 29-48.
- Reusens Peter & Croux Christophe, 2017. "Detecting time variation in the price puzzle: a less informative prior choice for time varying parameter VAR models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-18, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021. "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2016. "Alternatives to large VAR, VARMA and multivariate stochastic volatility models," Working Papers 217, Bank of Greece.
- Bitto, Angela & Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia, 2019. "Achieving shrinkage in a time-varying parameter model framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 75-97.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2019. "Non-Gaussian VARMA model with stochastic volatility and applications in stock market bubbles," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 129-136.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis & Steven Ongena & Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "The response of household debt to COVID-19 using a neural networks VAR in OECD," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 65-91, July.
- Cross, Jamie, 2019. "On the reduced macroeconomic volatility of the Australian economy: Good policy or good luck?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 174-186.
- Annalisa Cadonna & Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter & Peter Knaus, 2020. "Triple the Gamma—A Unifying Shrinkage Prior for Variance and Variable Selection in Sparse State Space and TVP Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-36, May.
- Filippo Ferroni & Stefano Grassi & Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2017. "Selecting Primal Innovations in DSGE models," Working Paper Series WP-2017-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients," CAMA Working Papers 2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Assaf, A. George & Tsionas, Mike G., 2019. "Forecasting occupancy rate with Bayesian compression methods," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 439-449.
- Filippo Ferroni & Stefano Grassi & Miguel A. Leon-Ledesma, 2015.
"Fundamental shock selection in DSGE models,"
Studies in Economics
1508, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Stefano Grassi & Miguel Leon-Ledesma & Filippo Ferroni, 2016. "Fundamental shock selection in DSGE models," 2016 Meeting Papers 47, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Lopes, Hedibert F. & McCulloch, Robert E. & Tsay, Ruey S., 2022. "Parsimony inducing priors for large scale state–space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 39-61.
- Legrand, Romain, 2018. "Time-Varying Vector Autoregressions: Efficient Estimation, Random Inertia and Random Mean," MPRA Paper 88925, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2019.
"Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large‐scale mixture innovation models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 621-640, August.
- Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2018. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Working Papers in Economics 2018-5, University of Salzburg.
- Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Papers 1607.04532, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
- Williams Ohemeng & Elvis Kwame Agyapong & Kenneth Ofori-Boateng, 2021. "Exchange rate and inflation dynamics: does the month or quarter of the year matter?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(6), pages 1-24, June.
- Liu, Junbin & Liu, Xiaoxing & Shi, Guangping, 2019. "What influences portfolio contagion among open-end mutual funds?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 145-152.
- Phan, Tuan, 2016. "Has Monetary Policy Become More Aggressive, But Less Effective Over Time?," MPRA Paper 107200, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua C C Chan & Cody Y L Hsiao, 2013.
"Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Serial Dependence,"
CAMA Working Papers
2013-74, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- William Barnett & Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2018.
"The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty,"
WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS
201803, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- William Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Barnett, William A. & Jawadi, Fredj & Ftiti, Zied, 2020. "Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 101682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William & Ftiti, Zied & Jawadi, Fredj, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 86478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett William A. & Jawadi Fredj & Ftiti Zied, 2020. "Causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-26, December.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
Working Papers
22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," EMF Research Papers 37, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2018.
"The Time-Varying Asymmetry Of Exchange Rate Returns: A Stochastic Volatility – Stochastic Skewness Model,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
18/944, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2020. "The time-varying asymmetry of exchange rate returns: A stochastic volatility – stochastic skewness model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 275-292.
- M. Joëts & V. Mignon & T. Razafindrabe, 2016.
"Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty ?,"
Working papers
607, Banque de France.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01411696, HAL.
- Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2017. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 313-326.
- Tovonony Razafindrabe & Valérie Mignon & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667080, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2017. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print halshs-01683788, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01386096, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers 2015-02, CEPII research center.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers hal-04141423, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667085, HAL.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie L. Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021.
"Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil,"
Working Paper
2021/3, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie Cross & Herman K. Djik, 2021. "Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil," Working Papers No 03/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie L. Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2023. "Quantifying Time-Varying Forecast Uncertainty and Risk for the Real Price of Oil," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 523-537, April.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021. "Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-053/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2014. "Particle Gibbs with Ancestor Sampling Methods for Unobserved Component Time Series Models with Heavy Tails, Serial Dependence and Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 55664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019.
"Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth,"
EMF Research Papers
24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Jean Pierre Fernández Prada Saucedo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-484, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2017. "Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 591-604.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020.
"Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross & Na Guo, 2020. "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," Working Papers No 09/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel S. Wochner, 2021. "State‐dependent evaluation of predictive ability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 547-574, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2111.07225, arXiv.org.
- Gao, Shen & Hou, Chenghan & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Forecasting natural gas prices using highly flexible time-varying parameter models," Working Papers 2020-01, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019.
"Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Discussion Papers in Economics 19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2019.
"Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017,"
EMF Research Papers
20, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Jinzhi Li, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of the stochastic volatility model with double exponential jumps," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 157-172, July.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024.
"A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2021. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," Working Papers 49, European Stability Mechanism.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Carstensen, K. & Salzmann, L., 2017.
"The G7 business cycle in a globalized world,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA), pages 134-161.
- Kai Carstensen & Leonard Salzmann, 2016. "The G7 Business Cycle in a Globalized World," CESifo Working Paper Series 5980, CESifo.
- Nonejad Nima, 2015. "Particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling for stochastic volatility models with: heavy tails, in mean effects, leverage, serial dependence and structural breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(5), pages 561-584, December.
- Aubrey Poon, 2018. "The transmission mechanism of Malaysian monetary policy: a time-varying vector autoregression approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 417-444, September.
- Liyuan Chen & Paola Zerilli & Christopher F Baum, 2018.
"Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
953, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Chen, Liyuan & Zerilli, Paola & Baum, Christopher F., 2019. "Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 111-129.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2019.
"Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data,"
KOF Working papers
19-463, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data," Working Papers 2020/02, Latvijas Banka.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015. "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hauzenberger, Klemens, 2018. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," Discussion Papers 40/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Eymen Errais & Dhikra Bahri, 2016. "Is Standard Deviation a Good Measure of Volatility? the Case of African Markets with Price Limits," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 17(1), pages 145-165, May.
- Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2021. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for time series models," Working Paper Series 2558, European Central Bank.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & García, Juan Angel & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the anchoring of inflation expectations," Working Paper Series 1995, European Central Bank.
- Roberto Casarin & Domenico Sartore & Marco Tronzano, 2018. "A Bayesian Markov-Switching Correlation Model for Contagion Analysis on Exchange Rate Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 101-114, January.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2013.
"Gibbs Samplers for VARMA and Its Extensions,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2013-604, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
Cited by:
- Mike Tsionas & Marwan Izzeldin & Lorenzo Trapani, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," Papers 1912.12527, arXiv.org.
- Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2022. "Estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2013.
"Invariant Inference and Efficient Computation in the Static Factor Model,"
CAMA Working Papers
2013-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua Chan & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Invariant Inference and Efficient Computation in the Static Factor Model," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 819-828, April.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2022.
"Leverage, Asymmetry, and Heavy Tails in the High-Dimensional Factor Stochastic Volatility Model,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 285-301, January.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2018. "Leverage, asymmetry and heavy tails in the high-dimensional factor stochastic volatility model," Working Paper Series 49, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Miranda Gualdrón, Karen Alejandra, 2020. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- KiHoon Jimmy Hong & Bin Peng & Xiaohui Zhang, 2015. "Capturing the Impact of Unobserved Sector-Wide Shocks on Stock Returns with Panel Data Model," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(295), pages 495-508, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR,"
Working Paper series
18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR," CAMA Working Papers 2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity,"
GRIPS Discussion Papers
18-12, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," Working Paper series 18-38, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- CHAN Joshua & DOUCET Arnaud & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & STRACHAN Rodney W., 2020. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," GRIPS Discussion Papers 20-09, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate stochastic volatility with co-heteroscedasticity," CAMA Working Papers 2018-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022.
"Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation,"
Working Paper series
22-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Papers 2112.11751, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Papers 2021_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper 111631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2016.
"Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach,"
Working Papers
16.08, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Kaufmann, Sylvia & Beyeler, Simon, 2018. "Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181602, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2019. "Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach," Working Papers 16.08R, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
- Nalan Basturk & Agnieszka Borowska & Stefano Grassi & Lennart Hoogerheide & Herman K. van Dijk, 2018.
"Forecast Density Combinations of Dynamic Models and Data Driven Portfolio Strategies,"
Working Paper
2018/10, Norges Bank.
- Nalan Basturk & Agnieszka Borowska & Stefano Grassi & Lennart (L.F.) Hoogerheide & Herman (H.K.) van Dijk, 2018. "Forecast Density Combinations of Dynamic Models and Data Driven Portfolio Strategies," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-076/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Baştürk, N. & Borowska, A. & Grassi, S. & Hoogerheide, L. & van Dijk, H.K., 2019. "Forecast density combinations of dynamic models and data driven portfolio strategies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 170-186.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- KiHoon Jimmy Hong & Bin Peng & Xiaohui Zhang, 2014. "Capturing the Impact of Latent Industry-Wide Shocks with Dynamic Panel Model," Research Paper Series 347, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2014. "Bayesian analysis of dynamic factor models: An ex-post approach towards the rotation problem," Kiel Working Papers 1902, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Bin Peng & Giovanni Forchini, 2014. "Consistent Estimation of Panel Data Models with a Multifactor Error Structure when the Cross Section Dimension is Large," Working Paper Series 20, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Sylvia Fruhwirth-Schnatter & Darjus Hosszejni & Hedibert Freitas Lopes, 2023. "When it counts -- Econometric identification of the basic factor model based on GLT structures," Papers 2301.06354, arXiv.org.
- Sylvia Kaufmann & Markus Pape, 2023. "Bayesian (non-)unique sparse factor modelling," Working Papers 23.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Sylvia Kaufmann & Christian Schumacher, 2013. "Bayesian estimation of sparse dynamic factor models with order-independent identification," Working Papers 13.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Renée A. Fry-McKibbin, 2013.
"A Regime Switching Skew-normal Model for Measuring Financial Crisis and Contagion,"
CAMA Working Papers
2013-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Hsiao & Chrismin Tang, 2014. "Contagion and Global Financial Crises: Lessons from Nine Crisis Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 521-570, July.
- Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & James Morley, 2015.
"Debt and Financial Market Contagion,"
Discussion Papers
2015-02, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & James Morley, 2022. "Debt and financial market contagion," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1599-1648, April.
- Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chen, Hsing Hung, 2018. "The contagious effects on economic development after resuming construction policy for nuclear power plants in Coastal China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 291-302.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop, 2013.
"Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2013-603, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 186-193.
- Gary Koop & Joshua Chan, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1111, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop, 2012. "Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables," CAMA Working Papers 2012-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-22, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Cited by:
- Louzis Dimitrios P., 2016.
"Steady-state priors and Bayesian variable selection in VAR forecasting,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(5), pages 495-527, December.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2015. "Steady-state priors and Bayesian variable selection in VAR forecasting," Working Papers 195, Bank of Greece.
- Maximo Camacho & María Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez Loscos, 2022.
"A New Approach to Dating the Reference Cycle,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 66-81, January.
- Máximo Camacho & María Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez Loscos, 2019. "A new approach to dating the reference cycle," Working Papers 1914, Banco de España.
- Mark Fisher & Mark J. Jensen, 2018.
"Bayesian Inference and Prediction of a Multiple-Change-Point Panel Model with Nonparametric Priors,"
Working Paper series
18-12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Mark Fisher & Mark J. Jensen, 2018. "Bayesian Inference and Prediction of a Multiple-Change-Point Panel Model with Nonparametric Priors," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2018-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Fisher, Mark & Jensen, Mark J., 2019. "Bayesian inference and prediction of a multiple-change-point panel model with nonparametric priors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 187-202.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Chiara Perricone, 2013.
"Clustering Macroeconomic Variables,"
CEIS Research Paper
283, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Jun 2013.
- Perricone, Chiara, 2018. "Clustering macroeconomic variables," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 23-33.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2016. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural changes in steady states," Working Papers 204, Bank of Greece.
- Joshua C C Chan, 2012.
"Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2012-591, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2013. "Moving average stochastic volatility models with application to inflation forecast," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 162-172.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2013. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," CAMA Working Papers 2013-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Working Paper series
40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- William Barnett & Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2018.
"The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty,"
WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS
201803, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- William Barnett & Fredj Jawadi & Zied Ftiti, 2020. "Causal Relationships Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202010, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Barnett, William A. & Jawadi, Fredj & Ftiti, Zied, 2020. "Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 101682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William & Ftiti, Zied & Jawadi, Fredj, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 86478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett William A. & Jawadi Fredj & Ftiti Zied, 2020. "Causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-26, December.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017. "A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018.
"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2017. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2017-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2022. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 328-341, January.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2018. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181631, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2020. "Identification of structural vector autoregressions by stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 869, Bank of England.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023.
"Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk,"
Working Papers
No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Luis Uzeda, 2016.
"State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2016-632, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Luis Uzeda, 2022. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 25-53, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luis Uzeda, 2018. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Staff Working Papers 18-14, Bank of Canada.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Bo Zhang & Joshua C.C. Chan & Jamie L. Cross, 2018.
"Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020. "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1318-1328.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2017.
"Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 275-295, March.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane & Lee, Thomas K, 2015. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CEPR Discussion Papers 10362, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2015. "Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump," CFS Working Paper Series 500, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2016. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CESifo Working Paper Series 5759, CESifo.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2014. "Particle Gibbs with Ancestor Sampling Methods for Unobserved Component Time Series Models with Heavy Tails, Serial Dependence and Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 55664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney Strachan, 2014.
"Modelling Inflation Volatility,"
Working Paper series
43_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(5), pages 805-820, August.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joshua C C Chan & Cody Y L Hsiao, 2013. "Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Serial Dependence," CAMA Working Papers 2013-74, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jean Pierre Fernández Prada Saucedo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-484, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
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- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020.
"Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross & Na Guo, 2020. "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," Working Papers No 09/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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- Zhang, Bo & Nguyen, Bao H., 2020. "Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2020-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
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- Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity,"
GRIPS Discussion Papers
18-12, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," Working Paper series 18-38, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- CHAN Joshua & DOUCET Arnaud & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & STRACHAN Rodney W., 2020. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co-Heteroscedasticity," GRIPS Discussion Papers 20-09, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Joshua Chan & Arnaud Doucet & Roberto León-González & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Multivariate stochastic volatility with co-heteroscedasticity," CAMA Working Papers 2018-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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- Daniel Kaufmann, 2019. "Nominal stability over two centuries," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 155(1), pages 1-23, December.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion," CAMA Working Papers 2014-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Nima Nonejad, 2013. "Long Memory and Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility: An Irreversible Markov Switching Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2013-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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- Michael P Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2017. "Data Revisions and Real-time Probabilistic Forecasting of Macroeconomic Variables," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2017-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
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- Li, Chenxing & Maheu, John M & Yang, Qiao, 2022. "An Infinite Hidden Markov Model with Stochastic Volatility," MPRA Paper 115456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020. "Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Malte Knüppel & Fabian Krüger, 2022.
"Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 23-41, January.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jiang, Yong & Zhou, Zhongbao & Liu, Qing & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Helu, 2020. "How do oil price shocks affect the output volatility of the U.S. energy mining industry? The roles of structural oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Landau, Bettina & Musso, Alberto & Phella, Anthoulla, 2021. "The time-varying evolution of inflation risks," Working Paper Series 2600, European Central Bank.
- Nonejad Nima, 2015. "Particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling for stochastic volatility models with: heavy tails, in mean effects, leverage, serial dependence and structural breaks," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(5), pages 561-584, December.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2019. "Non-Gaussian VARMA model with stochastic volatility and applications in stock market bubbles," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 129-136.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Chang, Hao-Wen & Lin, Chinho, 2023. "Currency portfolio behavior in seven major Asian markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 540-559.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2015. "Flexible model comparison of unobserved components models using particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 35-39.
- Liyuan Chen & Paola Zerilli & Christopher F Baum, 2018.
"Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
953, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Chen, Liyuan & Zerilli, Paola & Baum, Christopher F., 2019. "Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 111-129.
- David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Brendan P.M. McCabe, 2018.
"Approximate Bayesian forecasting,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
2/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & McCabe, Brendan P.M., 2019. "Approximate Bayesian forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 521-539.
- Qureshi, Irfan, 2015. "What are monetary policy shocks?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1086, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients," CAMA Working Papers 2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015. "Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2018. "Déjà vol oil? Predicting S&P 500 equity premium using crude oil price volatility: Evidence from old and recent time-series data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 260-270.
- Gao, Shen & Hou, Chenghan & Nguyen, Bao H., 2021. "Forecasting natural gas prices using highly flexible time-varying parameter models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Beatrice Franzolini & Alexandros Beskos & Maria De Iorio & Warrick Poklewski Koziell & Karolina Grzeszkiewicz, 2022. "Change point detection in dynamic Gaussian graphical models: the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the US stock market," Papers 2208.00952, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2017.
"Forecast Uncertainty, Disagreement, and Linear Pools of Density Forecasts,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168294, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie L. Cross, 2022. "Time‐varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 316-330, March.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
- Nonejad Nima, 2016. "Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques of Unobserved Component Time Series Models Using Ox," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 55-90, January.
- Bo Zhang, 2019. "Real‐time inflation forecast combination for time‐varying coefficient models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 175-191, April.
- Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chen, Hsing Hung, 2018. "The contagious effects on economic development after resuming construction policy for nuclear power plants in Coastal China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 291-302.
- Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the United States and Euro Area," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 455-476, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2013. "Gibbs Samplers for VARMA and Its Extensions," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2013-604, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Baltuttis, Dennik & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm & Wiethe, Christian, 2020. "Managing the risks of energy efficiency insurances in a portfolio context: An actuarial diversification approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Zouhaier Dhifaoui, 2022. "Determinism and Non-linear Behaviour of Log-return and Conditional Volatility: Empirical Analysis for 26 Stock Markets," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 11(1), pages 69-94, June.
- Arnaud Dufays & Zhuo Li & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Yong Song, 2021. "Sparse change‐point VAR models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 703-727, September.
- Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Has the 2008 financial crisis and its aftermath changed the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in member states of the european monetary union?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(2), pages 246-276, May.
- Lu Yang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Modeling The Dynamics Of International Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Comparison Of Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 1-20, September.
- Qureshi, Irfan, 2015. "What are monetary policy shocks?," Economic Research Papers 270008, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Hervé Le Bihan & Danilo Leiva-León & Matías Pacce, 2023.
"Underlying inflation and asymetric risks,"
Working Papers
2319, Banco de España.
- Le Bihan, Hervé & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Pacce, Matías, 2023. "Underlying inflation and asymmetric risks," Working Paper Series 2848, European Central Bank.
- Agbeyegbe, Terence D., 2020. "Bayesian analysis of output gap in Barbados," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2014. "Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques of Unobserved Component Time Series Models Using Ox," MPRA Paper 55662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price volatility and equity return predictability: A comparative out-of-sample study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Yuntong Liu & Yu Wei & Yi Liu & Wenjuan Li, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Price by Hierarchical Shrinkage in Dynamic Parameter Models," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-12, December.
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012.
"A New Model Of Trend Inflation,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Claudiu T. Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Twari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2015.
"Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data,"
Working Papers
201591, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data," Working papers 2016-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Juan Angel Garcia & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks [Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?],"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 671-700.
- García, Juan Angel & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 2338, European Central Bank.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
BCAM Working Papers
1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails with an Application to Inflation Forecasting," EMF Research Papers 13, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails,"
Bank of England working papers
577, Bank of England.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Working Papers 720, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1409, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1052, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Mónica Correa-López & Matías Pacce & Kathi Schlepper, 2019. "Exploring trend inFLation dynamics in Euro Area countries," Working Papers 1909, Banco de España.
- Luis Uzeda, 2016.
"State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2016-632, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Luis Uzeda, 2022. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 25-53, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luis Uzeda, 2018. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Staff Working Papers 18-14, Bank of Canada.
- James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019.
"R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
- Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Cogley, Timothy & Sargent, Thomas J. & Surico, Paolo, 2015. "Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-16.
- Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020.
"Global factors and trend inflation,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global Factors and Trend Inflation," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Gunes Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Global factors and trend inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gimeno, Ricardo & Ibáñez, Alfredo, 2018.
"The eurozone (expected) inflation: An option's eyes view,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 70-92.
- Ricardo Gimeno & Alfredo Ibáñez, 2017. "The eurozone (expected) inflation: an option’s eyes view," Working Papers 1722, Banco de España.
- Bo Zhang & Joshua C.C. Chan & Jamie L. Cross, 2018.
"Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts,"
CAMA Working Papers
2018-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020. "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1318-1328.
- Forbes, Kristin & Kirkham, Lewis & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018.
"A Trendy Approach to UK Inflation Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12652, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Forbes, Kristin & Kirkham, Lewis & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "A trendy approach to UK inflation dynamics," Discussion Papers 49, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
- Kristin Forbes & Lewis Kirkham & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2021. "A Trendy Approach to UK Inflation Dynamics," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(S1), pages 23-75, September.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney Strachan, 2014.
"Modelling Inflation Volatility,"
Working Paper series
43_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(5), pages 805-820, August.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
- Benjamin Wong, 2015.
"Do Inflation Expectations Propagate the Inflationary Impact of Real Oil Price Shocks?: Evidence from the Michigan Survey,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1673-1689, December.
- Benjamin Wong, 2014. "Inflation Expectations and How it Explains the Inflationary Impact of Oil Price Shocks: Evidence from the Michigan Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2014-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Benjamin Wong, 2015. "Do inflation expectations propagate the inflationary impact of real oil price shocks?: Evidence from the Michigan survey," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez‐García, 2023. "Forecasting inflation in open economies: What can a NOEM model do?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 481-513, April.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Behera, Harendra Kumar & Patra, Michael Debabrata, 2022. "Measuring trend inflation in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Christian Aubin & Daniel Goyeau, 2017.
"Stock prices, inflation and inflation uncertainty in the U.S.: testing the long-run relationship considering Dow Jones sector indexes,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(18), pages 1794-1807, April.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Christian Aubin & Daniel Goyeau, 2016. "Stock prices, inflation and inflation uncertainty in the U.S.: testing the long-run relationship considering Dow Jones sector indexes," Post-Print halshs-01394897, HAL.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Christian Aubin & Daniel Goyeau, 2016. "Stock prices, inflation and inflation uncertainty in the U.S.: Testing the long-run relationship considering Dow Jones sector indexes," Working Papers hal-01282481, HAL.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2018.
"Is euro area lowflation here to stay ? Insights from a time-varying parameter model with survey data,"
Working Paper Research
355, National Bank of Belgium.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2021. "Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter model with survey data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-586, August.
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2017.
"Inflation dynamics during the financial crisis in Europe: Cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations,"
IWH Discussion Papers
10/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2018. "Inflation dynamics during the Financial Crisis in Europe: cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181520, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Terence D. Agbeyegbe, 2023. "The Link Between Output Growth and Output Growth Volatility: Barbados," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 787-804, June.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Bayesian model averaging and the conditional volatility process: an application to predicting aggregate equity returns by conditioning on economic variables," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 1387-1411, August.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
- Giacomo Sbrana & Andrea Silvestrini & Fabrizio Venditti, 2015.
"Short term inflation forecasting: the M.E.T.A. approach,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1016, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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"Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP,"
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"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
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- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2012.
"Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method,"
CAMA Working Papers
2012-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 256-285, March.
- Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric, 2012. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," MPRA Paper 40051, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017. "A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Melolinna, Marko & Tóth, Máté, 2019. "Trend and cycle shocks in Bayesian unobserved components models for UK productivity," Bank of England working papers 826, Bank of England.
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- Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023.
"Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility,"
Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 505-544, May.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Paulo Chávez, 2022. "Time Changing Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: Empirical Application Using Regime-Switching VAR Models with Stochastic Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-509, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016.
"Reconciling output gaps: unobserved components model and Hodrick-Prescott filter,"
CAMA Working Papers
2016-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017. "Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
- Cross, Jamie & Nguyen, Bao H., 2017. "The relationship between global oil price shocks and China's output: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 79-91.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017.
"Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
- Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014. "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series 478, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts," MPRA Paper 105406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bowen Fu, 2019. "Bubbles and crises: Replicating the Anundsen et al. (2016) results," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 822-826, August.
- Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023.
"Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
- Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch & Vasilios Plakandaras, 2023. "Forecasting the Conditional Distribution of Realized Volatility of Oil Price Returns: The Role of Skewness over 1859 to 2023," Working Papers 202318, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jean Pierre Fernández Prada Saucedo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-484, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Álvaro Jiménez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020.
"Time-Varying Impact of Fiscal Shocks over GDP Growth in Peru: An Empirical Application using Hybrid TVP-VAR-SV Models,"
Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers
2020-489, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Jiménez, Alvaro & Rodríguez, Gabriel & Ataurima Arellano, Miguel, 2023. "Time-varying impact of fiscal shocks over GDP growth in Peru: An empirical application using hybrid TVP-VAR-SV models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 314-332.
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"Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
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- Roberto Calero & Gabriel Rodríguez & Rodrigo Salcedo Cisneros, 2022. "Evolution of the Exchange Rate Pass-Throught into Prices in Peru: An Empirical Application Using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-510, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hajargasht, Gholamreza & Rao, D.S. Prasada, 2019.
"Multilateral index number systems for international price comparisons: Properties, existence and uniqueness,"
Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 36-47.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & D.S. Prasada Rao, 2019. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," CEPA Working Papers Series WP032019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & Prasada Rao, 2018. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," Papers 1811.04197, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric, 2018.
"Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-5.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018. "Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2018-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
- Jiang, Yong & Zhou, Zhongbao & Liu, Qing & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Helu, 2020. "How do oil price shocks affect the output volatility of the U.S. energy mining industry? The roles of structural oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Angelia L. Grant, 2017. "The Early Millennium Slowdown: Replicating the Peersman (2005) Results," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 224-232, January.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Does time-variation matter in the stochastic volatility components for G7 stock returns," Working Papers 062, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Sahar Abbas & Fahimeh Moosavi, 2012. "Finding shortest path in static networks: using a modified algorithm," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 1(1), pages 29-34, January.
- Dima, Bogdan & Dima, Ştefana Maria, 2017. "Mutual information and persistence in the stochastic volatility of market returns: An emergent market example," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 36-59.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
- Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013. "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series 1536, European Central Bank.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020.
"Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2022. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 523-545, May.
- Baltuttis, Dennik & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm & Wiethe, Christian, 2020. "Managing the risks of energy efficiency insurances in a portfolio context: An actuarial diversification approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Rodríguez, Gabriel & Vassallo, Renato & Castillo B., Paul, 2023. "Effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Lu Yang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Modeling The Dynamics Of International Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Comparison Of Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(03), pages 1-20, September.
- Yong Jiang & Yi-Shuai Ren & Chao-Qun Ma & Jiang-Long Liu & Basil Sharp, 2018. "Does the price of strategic commodities respond to U.S. Partisan Conflict?," Papers 1810.08396, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Mário Correia Fernandes & José Carlos Dias & João Pedro Vidal Nunes, 2024. "Performance comparison of alternative stochastic volatility models and its determinants in energy futures: COVID‐19 and Russia–Ukraine conflict features," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 343-383, March.
- Tomáš Jeřábek & Radka Šperková, 2015. "A Predictive Likelihood Approach to Bayesian Averaging," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(4), pages 1269-1276.
- Dante A. Urbina & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Evolution of the effects of mineral commodity prices on fiscal fluctuations: empirical evidence from TVP-VAR-SV models for Peru," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(1), pages 153-184, February.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Justin L. Tobias, 2012.
"Priors and Posterior Computation in Linear Endogenous Variable Models with Imperfect Instruments,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2012-580, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Justin L. Tobias, 2015. "Priors and Posterior Computation in Linear Endogenous Variable Models with Imperfect Instruments," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 650-674, June.
Cited by:
- Xiaoyi Han & Lung-Fei Lee, 2016. "Bayesian Analysis of Spatial Panel Autoregressive Models With Time-Varying Endogenous Spatial Weight Matrices, Common Factors, and Random Coefficients," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 642-660, October.
- Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Zhao Ren & Xiaohui Zhang, 2015. "Variable Selection for a Categorical Varying-Coefficient Model with Identifications for Determinants of Body Mass Index," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012.
"A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2012-590, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2016. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 551-565, April.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2014. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve," CAMA Working Papers 2014-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Cited by:
- Jaromir Baxa & Miroslav Plasil & Borek Vasicek, 2013.
"Inflation and the Steeplechase Between Economic Activity Variables,"
Working Papers
2013/15, Czech National Bank.
- Baxa Jaromír & Plašil Miroslav & Vašíček Bořek, 2017. "Inflation and the steeplechase between economic activity variables: evidence for G7 countries," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-42, January.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
Working Paper Series
2471, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Kabundi, Alain & Poon, Aubrey & Wu, Ping, 2023. "A time-varying Phillips curve with global factors: Are global factors important?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020.
"Global factors and trend inflation,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global Factors and Trend Inflation," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Gunes Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Global factors and trend inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2019.
"Policy regimes and the shape of the Phillips curve in Australia,"
Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1077-1094.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2016. "Policy Regimes and the Shape of the Phillips Curve in Australia," MPRA Paper 71082, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2016.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018.
"A Note on the Stability of the Swedish Philips Curve,"
Working Papers
2018:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2020. "A note on the stability of the Swedish Phillips curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2573-2612, December.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez‐García, 2023. "Forecasting inflation in open economies: What can a NOEM model do?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 481-513, April.
- Abhishek K. Umrawal & Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "On Parameter Estimation in Unobserved Components Models subject to Linear Inequality Constraints," Papers 2110.12149, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
- Florian, Huber & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2019.
"Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics,"
Working Papers in Economics
2019-4, University of Salzburg.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 87(348), pages 1016-1036, October.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp214, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 214, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2015. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," KOF Working papers 15-393, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2018.
"Is euro area lowflation here to stay ? Insights from a time-varying parameter model with survey data,"
Working Paper Research
355, National Bank of Belgium.
- Arnoud Stevens & Joris Wauters, 2021. "Is euro area lowflation here to stay? Insights from a time‐varying parameter model with survey data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-586, August.
- Consolo, Agostino & Da Silva, António Dias, 2019. "The euro area labour market through the lens of the Beveridge curve," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2017.
"Inflation dynamics during the financial crisis in Europe: Cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations,"
IWH Discussion Papers
10/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2018. "Inflation dynamics during the Financial Crisis in Europe: cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181520, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Michael O’Grady, 2019. "Estimating the Output, Inflation and Unemployment Gaps in Ireland using Bayesian Model Averaging," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 35-76.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Papers 2202.04146, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Mikael Frenette & Karin Klieber, 2023. "From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks," Working Papers 23-04, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2023.
- Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023.
"Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Chu Shiou-Yen & Shane Christopher, 2017. "Using the hybrid Phillips curve with memory to forecast US inflation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(4), pages 1-16, September.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2022.
"Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023. "Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors," Discussion Paper Series 2301, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors," Staff Working Papers 20-45, Bank of Canada.
- Yunjong Eo & Luis Uzeda & Benjamin Wong, 2023. "Understanding trend inflation through the lens of the goods and services sectors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 751-766, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Working Papers 22-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
- Raïsa Basselier & David de Antonio Liedo & Jana Jonckheere & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Can inflation expectations in business or consumer surveys improve inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Research 348, National Bank of Belgium.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Fabio Rumler, 2018.
"NKPC-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Time-Varying Trend,"
Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos
2018-05, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
- McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020. "Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 383-393.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014. "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2014-03, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Michal Andrle & Miroslav Plasil, 2017.
"System Priors for Econometric Time Series,"
Working Papers
2017/01, Czech National Bank.
- Michal Andrle & Miroslav Plašil, 2016. "System Priors for Econometric Time Series," IMF Working Papers 2016/231, International Monetary Fund.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2014.
"A Spectral Representation of the Phillips Curve in Australia,"
MPRA Paper
59794, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mallick, Debdulal, 2015. "A spectral representation of the phillips curve in Australia," Working Papers eco_2015_7, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Jinho Choi & Juan Carlos Escanciano & Junjie Guo, 2022. "Generalized band spectrum estimation with an application to the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 1055-1078, August.
- Malte Knüppel & Fabian Krüger, 2022.
"Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 23-41, January.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018.
"An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
- Lenza, Michele & Jarociński, Marek, 2016. "An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1966, European Central Bank.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Mikael Frenette & Karin Klieber, 2023. "From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks," Papers 2311.16333, arXiv.org.
- Tino Berger & Gerdie Everaert & Hauke Vierke, 2015.
"Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
15/903, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Berger, Tino & Everaert, Gerdie & Vierke, Hauke, 2016. "Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 179-208.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2017.
"Forecast Uncertainty, Disagreement, and Linear Pools of Density Forecasts,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168294, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of the long-run trend of the US economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 461-485, February.
- Bowen Fu, Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2023. "Structural shocks and trend inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2023_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
- Grant, Angelia L., 2018. "The Great Recession and Okun's law," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 291-300.
- Kim, Insu & Yie, Myung-Soo, 2016. "Trend inflation, firms' backward-looking behavior, and inflation gap persistence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 116-125.
- N. Cordemans & J. Wauters, 2018. "Are inflation and economic activity out of sync in the euro area?," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 79-96, June.
- Hervé Le Bihan & Danilo Leiva-León & Matías Pacce, 2023.
"Underlying inflation and asymetric risks,"
Working Papers
2319, Banco de España.
- Le Bihan, Hervé & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Pacce, Matías, 2023. "Underlying inflation and asymmetric risks," Working Paper Series 2848, European Central Bank.
- Andrle, Michal & Plašil, Miroslav, 2018. "Econometrics with system priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 134-137.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2019. "Volatilities, drifts and the relation between treasury yields and the corporate bond yield spread in australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 378-384.
- Fu, Bowen, 2020. "Is the slope of the Phillips curve time-varying? Evidence from unobserved components models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 320-340.
- Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 15 Aug 2022.
- Tim J. Brereton & Dirk P. Kroese & Joshua C. Chan, 2012.
"Monte Carlo Methods for Portfolio Credit Risk,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2012-579, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
Cited by:
- Ma, Yuan-Zhuo & Zhu, Yi-Chen & Li, Hong-Shuang & Nan, Hang & Zhao, Zhen-Zhou & Jin, Xiang-Xiang, 2022. "Adaptive Kriging-based failure probability estimation for multiple responses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
- Tang, Qihe & Tang, Zhaofeng & Yang, Yang, 2019. "Sharp asymptotics for large portfolio losses under extreme risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 710-722.
- Hatem Çoban & İpek Deveci Kocakoç & Şemsettin Erken & Mehmet Akif Aksoy, 2019. "Reducing Variation of Risk Estimation by Using Importance Sampling," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 7(2), pages 173-184, December.
- Joshua Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2012.
"Estimation in Non-Linear Non-Gaussian State Space Models with Precision-Based Methods,"
CAMA Working Papers
2012-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Strachan, Rodney, 2012. "Estimation in Non-Linear Non-Gaussian State Space Models with Precision-Based Methods," MPRA Paper 39360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2016.
"A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 551-565, April.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2014. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve," CAMA Working Papers 2014-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-590, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney Strachan, 2014.
"Modelling Inflation Volatility,"
Working Paper series
43_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2014-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Modelling Inflation Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(5), pages 805-820, August.
- Abhishek K. Umrawal & Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "On Parameter Estimation in Unobserved Components Models subject to Linear Inequality Constraints," Papers 2110.12149, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR,"
Working Paper series
18-37, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR," Working Paper Series 43, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018. "Reducing dimensions in a large TVP-VAR," CAMA Working Papers 2018-49, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2017.
"Inflation dynamics during the financial crisis in Europe: Cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations,"
IWH Discussion Papers
10/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2018. "Inflation dynamics during the Financial Crisis in Europe: cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181520, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012.
"A New Model of Trend Inflation,"
CAMA Working Papers
2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Phillip, Andrew & Chan, Jennifer & Peiris, Shelton, 2020. "On generalized bivariate student-t Gegenbauer long memory stochastic volatility models with leverage: Bayesian forecasting of cryptocurrencies with a focus on Bitcoin," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 69-90.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- István Barra & Lennart Hoogerheide & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014.
"Joint Bayesian Analysis of Parameters and States in Nonlinear, Non-Gaussian State Space Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
14-118/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 31 Mar 2016.
- István Barra & Lennart Hoogerheide & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2017. "Joint Bayesian Analysis of Parameters and States in Nonlinear non‐Gaussian State Space Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 1003-1026, August.
- Andreza A Palma, 2016. "Natural interest rate in Brazil: further evidence frThe main objective of this study is to estimate the natural interest rate for Brazil using a parsimonious AR-trend-bound model proposed by Chan, Koo," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1306-1314.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Garry Koop & Roberto Leon Gonzales & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010.
"Time Varying Dimension Models,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2010-523, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2012. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 358-367, January.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Papers 1116, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C C & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Strachan, Rodney W, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-33, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzales & Rodney W Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," CAMA Working Papers 2011-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Paper series 44_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Cited by:
- Joscha Beckmann & Rainer Schüssler, 2014. "Forecasting Exchange Rates under Model and Parameter Uncertainty," CQE Working Papers 3214, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2013.
"Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010. "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series 51_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Apr 2011.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper 21124, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Niko Hauzenberger, 2020. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Papers 2006.10088, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020.
"Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers No 01/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2013. "Bayesian Analysis of Latent Threshold Dynamic Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 151-164, April.
- Joshua C C Chan & Cody Y L Hsiao, 2013. "Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Serial Dependence," CAMA Working Papers 2013-74, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018.
"Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions,"
Papers
1809.03031, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2023. "Bayesian Dynamic Variable Selection In High Dimensions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1047-1074, August.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Koop, Gary, 2020. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," MPRA Paper 100164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," Working Papers 2020_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dufays, Arnaud & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K., 2020. "Relevant parameter changes in structural break models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 46-78.
- Jan Prüser, 2021. "Forecasting US inflation using Markov dimension switching," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 481-499, April.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
- Korobilis, D, 2017.
"Forecasting with many predictors using message passing algorithms,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
19565, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Paper series 19-17, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," MPRA Paper 96079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Takeshi Kimura & Jouchi Nakajima, 2013.
"Identifying Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks: A Latent Threshold Approach,"
Bank of Japan Working Paper Series
13-E-7, Bank of Japan.
- Kimura Takeshi & Nakajima Jouchi, 2016. "Identifying conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks: a latent threshold approach," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 277-300, January.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018.
"Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models,"
Working Paper series
18-31, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2018. "Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 87972, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Koop, Gary, 2018. "Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 22665, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Cross, Jamie & Poon, Aubrey, 2016. "Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-51.
- Schlösser, Alexander, 2020. "Forecasting industrial production in Germany: The predictive power of leading indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 838, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2013.
"Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models,"
Working Papers
1302, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2014. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Model Comparison, volume 34, pages 45-69, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop, 2013. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-34, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Kashif Yousuf & Serena Ng, 2019.
"Boosting High Dimensional Predictive Regressions with Time Varying Parameters,"
Papers
1910.03109, arXiv.org.
- Yousuf, Kashif & Ng, Serena, 2021. "Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 60-87.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022.
"Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation,"
Working Paper series
22-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Papers 2112.11751, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Papers 2021_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper 111631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Felix Abramovich & Vadim Grinshtein, 2013. "Estimation of a sparse group of sparse vectors," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 100(2), pages 355-370.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Renato Vassallo, 2022. "Time Evolution of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Pacific Alliance Countries: Empirical Application using TVP-VAR-SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-508, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2013.
"Moving average stochastic volatility models with application to inflation forecast,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 162-172.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2013. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," CAMA Working Papers 2013-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C C Chan, 2012. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-591, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Luke Hartigan, 2015. "Changes in the Factor Structure of the U.S. Economy: Permanent Breaks or Business Cycle Regimes?," Discussion Papers 2015-17, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Hang Qian, 2014. "A Flexible State Space Model And Its Applications," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 79-88, March.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012.
"Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
SIRE Discussion Papers
2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Prüser, Jan, 2017. "Forecasting US inflation using Markov dimension switching," Ruhr Economic Papers 710, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2015.
"Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data,"
Staff Working Papers
15-24, Bank of Canada.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2017. "Model averaging in markov-switching models: predicting national recessions with regional data," Working Papers 1727, Banco de España.
- Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2017. "Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 45-49.
- Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014. "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," MPRA Paper 59361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Bayesian Inference in High-Dimensional Time-varying Parameter Models using Integrated Rotated Gaussian Approximations," Papers 2002.10274, arXiv.org.
- Prüser, Jan, 2023. "Data-based priors for vector error correction models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 209-227.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric, 2018.
"Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-5.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018. "Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2018-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ripamonti, Alexandre, 2013. "Rational Valuation Formula (RVF) and Time Variability in Asset Rates of Return," MPRA Paper 79460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020. "Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time-varying coefficients," CAMA Working Papers 2015-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "A Flexible State Space Model and its Applications," MPRA Paper 38455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tino Berger & Gerdie Everaert & Hauke Vierke, 2015.
"Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
15/903, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Berger, Tino & Everaert, Gerdie & Vierke, Hauke, 2016. "Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 179-208.
- Kalli, Maria & Griffin, Jim E., 2014. "Time-varying sparsity in dynamic regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(2), pages 779-793.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2013. "Gibbs Samplers for VARMA and Its Extensions," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2013-604, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2019.
"High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms,"
Working Papers
2019_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Paper series 19-17, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2021. "High-Dimensional Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Message Passing Algorithms," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 493-504, March.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Papers 2004.11485, arXiv.org.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," MPRA Paper 96079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel & Vassallo, Renato & Castillo B., Paul, 2023. "Effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Beckmann, Joscha & Schüssler, Rainer, 2016. "Forecasting exchange rates under parameter and model uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 267-288.
- Fu, Bowen, 2020. "Is the slope of the Phillips curve time-varying? Evidence from unobserved components models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 320-340.
- Jordi Maas, 2014. "Forecasting inflation using time-varying Bayesian model averaging," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 68(3), pages 149-182, August.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
Articles
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023.
"Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020. "Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics," CAMA Working Papers 2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023.
"Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 890-905, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2019. "Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-77, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Papers 2201.07303, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023.
"Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022.
"Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020. "Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2018-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure," CAMA Working Papers 2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Benati, Luca & Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2020.
"Identifying noise shocks,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua Chan & Luca Benati & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2018. "Identifying Noise Shocks," Working Paper Series 41, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Strachan, Rodney W., 2020.
"Reducing the state space dimension in a large TVP-VAR,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 105-118.
Cited by:
- Song, Ying & Bouri, Elie & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2021. "Rare earth and financial markets: Dynamics of return and volatility connectedness around the COVID-19 outbreak," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Niko Hauzenberger, 2020. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Papers 2006.10088, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Hauzenberger, Niko, 2021. "Flexible Mixture Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 87-108.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023.
"Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error,"
Discussion Papers
25/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Li, Shaoyu & Zhu, Chunhui & Shang, Yuhuang, 2023. "Hedging demand and near-zero swap spreads: Evidence from the Chinese interest rate swap market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 170-185.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2020.
"Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees,"
Working Papers
2308, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2022. "Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees," Papers 2209.11970, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Fischer, Manfred M. & Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for modeling government bond yields," Working Papers in Regional Science 2021/01, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Lin Liu, 2022. "Economic Uncertainty and Exchange Market Pressure: Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
- Hai-Chuan Xu & Fredj Jawadi & Jie Zhou & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2023. "Quantifying interconnectedness and centrality ranking among financial institutions with TVP-VAR framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 93-110, July.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2021. "Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 989-1012, November.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin, 2023.
"Real-time inflation forecasting using non-linear dimension reduction techniques,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 901-921.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Florian Huber & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Inference in Bayesian Additive Vector Autoregressive Tree Models," Papers 2006.16333, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021. "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Kenwin Maung, 2021. "Estimating high-dimensional Markov-switching VARs," Papers 2107.12552, arXiv.org.
- KANAZAWA, Nobuyuki & 金澤, 伸幸, 2018.
"Radial Basis Functions Neural Networks for Nonlinear Time Series Analysis and Time-Varying Effects of Supply Shocks,"
Discussion paper series
HIAS-E-64, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Kanazawa, Nobuyuki, 2020. "Radial basis functions neural networks for nonlinear time series analysis and time-varying effects of supply shocks," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields," Papers 2102.13393, arXiv.org.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Stefano Grassi & Barbara Guardabascio, 2024.
"The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model,"
CEIS Research Paper
571, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jan 2024.
- G. Cubadda & S. Grassi & B. Guardabascio, 2022. "The Time-Varying Multivariate Autoregressive Index Model," Papers 2201.07069, arXiv.org.
- Svetunkov, Ivan & Chen, Huijing & Boylan, John E., 2023. "A new taxonomy for vector exponential smoothing and its application to seasonal time series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 964-980.
- Hauber, Philipp & Schumacher, Christian, 2021. "Precision-based sampling with missing observations: A factor model application," Discussion Papers 11/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Xu Gong & Yujing Jin & Chuanwang Sun, 2022. "Time‐varying pure contagion effect between energy and nonenergy commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1960-1986, October.
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model," Papers 2401.09874, arXiv.org.
- Jozef Barunik & Michael Ellington, 2020. "Dynamic Network Risk," Papers 2006.04639, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
- Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2021.
"On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank’s conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 822-845.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2020. "On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty," Papers 2011.14424, arXiv.org.
- Jeanne Terblanche & Dawie van Lill & Hylton Hollander, 2023. "Fiscal policy and dimensions of inequality in South Africa: A time-varying coefficient approach," Working Papers 05/2023, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Vasilii Erokhin & Tianming Gao, 2020. "Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade and Economic Aspects of Food Security: Evidence from 45 Developing Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-28, August.
- Manfred M. Fischer & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2023. "General Bayesian time‐varying parameter vector autoregressions for modeling government bond yields," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 69-87, January.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020.
"Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1318-1328.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bo Zhang & Joshua C.C. Chan & Jamie L. Cross, 2018. "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2018-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan Joshua C.C. & Fry-McKibbin Renée A. & Hsiao Cody Yu-Ling, 2019.
"A regime switching skew-normal model of contagion,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(1), pages 1-24, February.
Cited by:
- Peterson Owusu Junior & Imhotep Alagidede & George Tweneboah, 2020. "Shape-shift contagion in emerging markets equities: evidence from frequency- and time-domain analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 146-156.
- Yu-Ling Hsiao, Cody & Wei, Xinyang & Sheng, Ni & Shao, Chengwu, 2021. "A joint test of policy contagion with application to the solar sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Vance L. Martin, 2018. "Measuring financial interdependence in asset returns with an application to euro zone equities," CAMA Working Papers 2018-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Roman Matkovskyy & Akanksha Jalan, 2019.
"From financial markets to Bitcoin markets: A fresh look at the contagion effect,"
Post-Print
hal-02131637, HAL.
- Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2019. "From financial markets to Bitcoin markets: A fresh look at the contagion effect," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 93-97.
- Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Yang, Rui & Zheng, Xin & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2023. "Evaluations of policy contagion for new energy vehicle industry in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
- Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2021. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," Working Papers 202159, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & James Morley, 2015.
"Debt and Financial Market Contagion,"
Discussion Papers
2015-02, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & James Morley, 2022. "Debt and financial market contagion," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1599-1648, April.
- Joshua Chan & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2018.
"Invariant Inference and Efficient Computation in the Static Factor Model,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 819-828, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2013. "Invariant Inference and Efficient Computation in the Static Factor Model," CAMA Working Papers 2013-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric, 2018.
"Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-5.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018. "Comparing hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2018-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2018.
"Bayesian model comparison for time‐varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 509-532, June.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Bayesian model comparison for time-varying parameter VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Yong Song, 2018.
"Measuring Inflation Expectations Uncertainty Using High‐Frequency Data,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1139-1166, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C C Chan & Yong Song, 2017. "Measuring inflation expectations uncertainty using high-frequency data," CAMA Working Papers 2017-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2017.
"Efficient estimation of Bayesian VARMAs with time†varying coefficients,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(7), pages 1277-1297, November.
Cited by:
- Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2019.
"The Predictive Power of the Term Spread on Inequality in the United Kingdom: An Empirical Analysis,"
Working Papers
201981, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The predictive power of the term spread on inequality in the United Kingdom: An empirical analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1979-1988, April.
- Joshua Chan & Luca Benati & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Identifying Noise Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
41, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Benati, Luca & Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2020. "Identifying noise shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar & Anil K. Bera, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of stochastic tail index from high-frequency financial data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2685-2711, November.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Edmond Berisha & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2019.
"The Predictive Power of the Term Spread on Inequality in the United Kingdom: An Empirical Analysis,"
Working Papers
201981, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Grant, Angelia L. & Chan, Joshua C.C., 2017.
"Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 114-121.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016. "Reconciling output gaps: unobserved components model and Hodrick-Prescott filter," CAMA Working Papers 2016-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2017.
"The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model With Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 17-28, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model with Time-Varying Parameters: An Application to Inflation Modeling," CAMA Working Papers 2015-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017.
"A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015. "A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output," CAMA Working Papers 2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016.
"Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2014-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 182-189.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015. "Modeling energy price dynamics: GARCH versus stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2015-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016.
"Large Bayesian VARMAs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 15-36, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2016.
"A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 551-565, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2014. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve," CAMA Working Papers 2014-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-590, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2016.
"On the Observed-Data Deviance Information Criterion for Volatility Modeling,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 772-802.
Cited by:
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018.
"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2017. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2017-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2022. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 328-341, January.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2018. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181631, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2020. "Identification of structural vector autoregressions by stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 869, Bank of England.
- Martin Iseringhausen, 2018.
"The Time-Varying Asymmetry Of Exchange Rate Returns: A Stochastic Volatility – Stochastic Skewness Model,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
18/944, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Iseringhausen, Martin, 2020. "The time-varying asymmetry of exchange rate returns: A stochastic volatility – stochastic skewness model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 275-292.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2017. "Parameter instability, stochastic volatility and estimation based on simulated likelihood: Evidence from the crude oil market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 388-408.
- Jean Pierre Fernández Prada Saucedo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2020. "Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2020-484, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Wilson Ye Chen & Richard H. Gerlach, 2017. "Semiparametric GARCH via Bayesian model averaging," Papers 1708.07587, arXiv.org.
- Christopher F Baum & Paola Zerilli & Liyuan Chen, 2018.
"Stochastic volatility, jumps and leverage in energy and stock markets: evidence from high frequency data,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
952, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 29 May 2019.
- Baum, Christopher F. & Zerilli, Paola & Chen, Liyuan, 2021. "Stochastic volatility, jumps and leverage in energy and stock markets: Evidence from high frequency data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Dynamic shrinkage in time‐varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 262-270, March.
- Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Dynamic shrinkage in time-varying parameter stochastic volatility in mean models," Papers 2005.06851, arXiv.org.
- Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "International Transmission of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Approach," Working Papers No 12/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018.
"Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series
44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2018-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018.
"Identifying shocks via time-varying volatility,"
Staff Reports
871, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J Lewis, 2021. "Identifying Shocks via Time-Varying Volatility [First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(6), pages 3086-3124.
- Nima Nonejad, 2019. "Modeling Persistence and Parameter Instability in Historical Crude Oil Price Data Using a Gibbs Sampling Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 1687-1710, April.
- George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Akylas C. Stratigakos & Panos C. Papageorgiou & Konstantinos F. Krommydas, 2019. "Testing the Efficiency of Electricity Markets Using a New Composite Measure Based on Nonlinear TS Tools," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-30, February.
- Yoshihiro Ohtsuka, 2018. "Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 143-178, April.
- Doğan, Osman & Taşpınar, Süleyman & Bera, Anil K., 2021. "A Bayesian robust chi-squared test for testing simple hypotheses," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 933-958.
- Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Reproducing the results in “Does the time-consistency problem explain the behavior of inflation in the United States?” using the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2559-2571, November.
- Aknouche Abdelhakim & Demmouche Nacer & Dimitrakopoulos Stefanos & Touche Nassim, 2020. "Bayesian analysis of periodic asymmetric power GARCH models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-24, September.
- Doğan, Osman, 2023. "Modified harmonic mean method for spatial autoregressive models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
- Oludare Samuel Ariyo & Matthew Adekunle Adeleke, 2022. "Simultaneous Bayesian modelling of skew-normal longitudinal measurements with non-ignorable dropout," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 303-325, March.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Does time-variation matter in the stochastic volatility components for G7 stock returns," Working Papers 062, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Ye Yang & Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar, 2023. "Observed-data DIC for spatial panel data models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1281-1314, March.
- Liyuan Chen & Paola Zerilli & Christopher F Baum, 2018.
"Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications,"
Boston College Working Papers in Economics
953, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Chen, Liyuan & Zerilli, Paola & Baum, Christopher F., 2019. "Leverage effects and stochastic volatility in spot oil returns: A Bayesian approach with VaR and CVaR applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 111-129.
- Si, Deng-Kui & Li, Xiao-Lin & Xu, XuChuan & Fang, Yi, 2021. "The risk spillover effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy sector: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Man Chung Fung & Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2017. "Cohort effects in mortality modelling: a Bayesian state-space approach," Papers 1703.08282, arXiv.org.
- Fedele Greco & Carlo Trivisano, 2018. "Comments on: Some recent work on multivariate Gaussian Markov random fields," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(3), pages 549-553, September.
- Bruns, Martin, 2021. "Proxy Vector Autoregressions in a Data-rich Environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Zhongxian Men & Adam W. Kolkiewicz & Tony S. Wirjanto, 2019. "Threshold Stochastic Conditional Duration Model for Financial Transaction Data," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-21, May.
- Chen, Rongda & Bao, Weiwei & Jin, Chenglu, 2021. "Investor sentiment and predictability for volatility on energy futures Markets: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 112-129.
- Oludare Ariyo & Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke & Martijn Huisman & Martijn Heymans & Jos Twisk, 2022. "Bayesian model selection for multilevel mediation models," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 76(2), pages 219-235, May.
- Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2020. "Deviance information criterion for latent variable models and misspecified models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 450-493.
- Heejoon Han & Eunhee Lee, 2020. "Triple Regime Stochastic Volatility Model with Threshold and Leverage Effects," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 36, pages 481-509.
- Osman Doğan & Süleyman Taşpınar & Anil K. Bera, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of stochastic tail index from high-frequency financial data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2685-2711, November.
- Ye Yang & Osman Dogan & Suleyman Taspinar & Fei Jin, 2023. "A Review of Cross-Sectional Matrix Exponential Spatial Models," Papers 2311.14813, arXiv.org.
- Li, Yong & Yu, Jun & Zeng, Tao, 2018. "Integrated Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," Economics and Statistics Working Papers 6-2018, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2019. "Announcement-Specific Decompositions of Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks and Their Macroeconomic Effects," Staff Reports 891, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of the long-run trend of the US economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 461-485, February.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Riccardo Sabbatucci & Allan Timmermann, 2018. "High-frequency Cash Flow Dynamics," Working Papers 120, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Mário Correia Fernandes & José Carlos Dias & João Pedro Vidal Nunes, 2024. "Performance comparison of alternative stochastic volatility models and its determinants in energy futures: COVID‐19 and Russia–Ukraine conflict features," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 343-383, March.
- Chon, Sora & Kim, Jaeho, 2021. "Does the Financial Leverage Effect Depend on Volatility Regimes?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Oludare Ariyo & Emmanuel Lesaffre & Geert Verbeke & Adrian Quintero, 2022. "Bayesian Model Selection for Longitudinal Count Data," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 84(2), pages 516-547, November.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2018. "Modeling volatility dynamics using non-Gaussian stochastic volatility model based on band matrix routine," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 193-201.
- Dante A. Urbina & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Evolution of the effects of mineral commodity prices on fiscal fluctuations: empirical evidence from TVP-VAR-SV models for Peru," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(1), pages 153-184, February.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018.
"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015.
"Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 256-285, March.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2012. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," CAMA Working Papers 2012-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric, 2012. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," MPRA Paper 40051, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2015.
"Pitfalls of estimating the marginal likelihood using the modified harmonic mean,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 29-33.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015. "Pitfalls of Estimating the Marginal Likelihood Using the Modified Harmonic Mean," CAMA Working Papers 2015-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Justin L. Tobias, 2015.
"Priors and Posterior Computation in Linear Endogenous Variable Models with Imperfect Instruments,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 650-674, June.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Justin L. Tobias, 2012. "Priors and Posterior Computation in Linear Endogenous Variable Models with Imperfect Instruments," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-580, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2014.
"Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 186-193.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop, 2013. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2013-603, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Joshua Chan, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1111, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop, 2012. "Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables," CAMA Working Papers 2012-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Koop, Gary, 2011. "Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-22, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013.
"A New Model of Trend Inflation,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2013.
"Moving average stochastic volatility models with application to inflation forecast,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 162-172.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C C Chan, 2012. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-591, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2013. "Moving Average Stochastic Volatility Models with Application to Inflation Forecast," CAMA Working Papers 2013-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2012.
"Time Varying Dimension Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 358-367, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Papers 1116, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua C C & Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Strachan, Rodney W, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-33, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Garry Koop & Roberto Leon Gonzales & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2010-523, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzales & Rodney W Strachan, 2011. "Time Varying Dimension Models," CAMA Working Papers 2011-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Paper series 44_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Joshua Chan & Dirk Kroese, 2011.
"Rare-event probability estimation with conditional Monte Carlo,"
Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 189(1), pages 43-61, September.
Cited by:
- Mohamed A. Ayadi & Hatem Ben-Ameur & Nabil Channouf & Quang Khoi Tran, 2019. "NORTA for portfolio credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 281(1), pages 99-119, October.
- Loretta Mastroeni & Giuseppe D'Acquisto & Maurizio Naldi, 2014. "Evaluation of Credit Risk Under Correlated Defaults: The Cross-Entropy Simulation Approach," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0193, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Hélène Cossette & Etienne Marceau & Quang Huy Nguyen & Christian Y. Robert, 2019. "Tail Approximations for Sums of Dependent Regularly Varying Random Variables Under Archimedean Copula Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 461-490, June.
- Ping-Chen Chang, 2019. "Reliability estimation for a stochastic production system with finite buffer storage by a simulation approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 277(1), pages 119-133, June.
- Cao, Quoc Dung & Choe, Youngjun, 2019. "Cross-entropy based importance sampling for stochastic simulation models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
- Sak Halis, 2010. "Increasing the number of inner replications of multifactor portfolio credit risk simulation in the t-copula model," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 16(3-4), pages 361-377, January.
- Hansjörg Albrecher & Martin Bladt & Eleni Vatamidou, 2021. "Efficient Simulation of Ruin Probabilities When Claims are Mixtures of Heavy and Light Tails," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 1237-1255, December.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Kroese, Dirk P., 2010.
"Efficient estimation of large portfolio loss probabilities in t-copula models,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 205(2), pages 361-367, September.
Cited by:
- Balaev, Alexey, 2014. "The copula based on multivariate t-distribution with vector of degrees of freedom," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 90-110.
- Rongda Chen & Ze Wang & Lean Yu, 2017. "Importance Sampling for Credit Portfolio Risk with Risk Factors Having t-Copula," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(04), pages 1101-1124, July.
- Mohamed A. Ayadi & Hatem Ben-Ameur & Nabil Channouf & Quang Khoi Tran, 2019. "NORTA for portfolio credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 281(1), pages 99-119, October.
- Michael Stanley Smith, 2021. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Papers 2109.04718, arXiv.org.
- Indranil Ghosh & Dalton Watts & Subrata Chakraborty, 2022. "Modeling Bivariate Dependency in Insurance Data via Copula: A Brief Study," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-20, July.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2012.
"Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method,"
CAMA Working Papers
2012-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Eisenstat, Eric, 2012. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," MPRA Paper 40051, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat, 2015. "Marginal Likelihood Estimation with the Cross-Entropy Method," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 256-285, March.
- Lützenkirchen, Kristina & Rösch, Daniel & Scheule, Harald, 2014. "Asset portfolio securitizations and cyclicality of regulatory capital," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(1), pages 289-302.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Xiong, Xiong, 2021. "Multi-objective portfolio optimization under tempered stable Lévy distribution with Copula dependence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Kakouris, Iakovos & Rustem, Berç, 2014. "Robust portfolio optimization with copulas," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 28-37.
- Adam Metzler & Alexandre Scott, 2020. "Importance Sampling in the Presence of PD-LGD Correlation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-36, March.
- Ferrer, Alex & Casals, José & Sotoca, Sonia, 2016. "Efficient estimation of unconditional capital by Monte Carlo simulation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 75-84.
- Tahani S. Alotaibi & Luciana Dalla Valle & Matthew J. Craven, 2022. "The Worst Case GARCH-Copula CVaR Approach for Portfolio Optimisation: Evidence from Financial Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-14, October.
- Hélène Cossette & Etienne Marceau & Quang Huy Nguyen & Christian Y. Robert, 2019. "Tail Approximations for Sums of Dependent Regularly Varying Random Variables Under Archimedean Copula Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 461-490, June.
- Erik Hintz & Marius Hofert & Christiane Lemieux & Yoshihiro Taniguchi, 2022. "Single-Index Importance Sampling with Stratification," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 3049-3073, December.
- Sunggon Kim & Jisu Yu, 2023. "Stratified importance sampling for a Bernoulli mixture model of portfolio credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 819-849, March.
- Millar, Robert & Li, Hui & Li, Jinglai, 2023. "Multicanonical sequential Monte Carlo sampler for uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
- D’Amico, Guglielmo & Petroni, Filippo, 2018. "Copula based multivariate semi-Markov models with applications in high-frequency finance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(2), pages 765-777.
- Fenech, Jean Pierre & Vosgha, Hamed & Shafik, Salwa, 2015. "Loan default correlation using an Archimedean copula approach: A case for recalibration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 340-354.
- Bai, Zhidong & Li, Hua & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2013. "The best estimation for high-dimensional Markowitz mean-variance optimization," MPRA Paper 43862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Laih, Yih-Wenn, 2014. "Measuring rank correlation coefficients between financial time series: A GARCH-copula based sequence alignment algorithm," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 375-382.
- Tang, Qihe & Tong, Zhiwei & Yang, Yang, 2021. "Large portfolio losses in a turbulent market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 755-769.
- Wolter, Marcus & Rösch, Daniel, 2014. "Cure events in default prediction," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(3), pages 846-857.
- İsmail Başoğlu & Wolfgang Hörmann & Halis Sak, 2018. "Efficient simulations for a Bernoulli mixture model of portfolio credit risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 113-128, January.
- Tim J. Brereton & Dirk P. Kroese & Joshua C. Chan, 2012. "Monte Carlo Methods for Portfolio Credit Risk," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2012-579, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Sahar Abbas & Fahimeh Moosavi, 2012. "Finding shortest path in static networks: using a modified algorithm," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 1(1), pages 29-34, January.
- Cheng-Der Fuh & Chuan-Ju Wang, 2017. "Efficient Exponential Tilting for Portfolio Credit Risk," Papers 1711.03744, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
- van Wijnbergen, Sweder & Dimitrov, Daniel, 2023.
"Quantifying Systemic Risk in the Presence of Unlisted Banks: Application to the European Banking Sector,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17992, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Daniel Dimitrov & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2023. "Quantifying Systemic Risk in the Presence of Unlisted Banks: Application to the European Banking Sector," Working Papers 768, DNB.
- Scott, Alexandre & Metzler, Adam, 2015. "A general importance sampling algorithm for estimating portfolio loss probabilities in linear factor models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 279-293.
- Ali Kadhem, Athraa & Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri & Aris, Ishak & Jasni, Jasronita & Abdalla, Ahmed N., 2017. "Computational techniques for assessing the reliability and sustainability of electrical power systems: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1175-1186.
- Smith, Michael Stanley, 2023. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 81-104.
- Chu, Ba & Knight, John & Satchell, Stephen, 2011. "Large deviations theorems for optimal investment problems with large portfolios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 211(3), pages 533-555, June.
- Tang, Qihe & Tang, Zhaofeng & Yang, Yang, 2019. "Sharp asymptotics for large portfolio losses under extreme risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(2), pages 710-722.
- Leung, Pui-Lam & Ng, Hon-Yip & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2012. "An improved estimation to make Markowitz’s portfolio optimization theory users friendly and estimation accurate with application on the US stock market investment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 85-95.
- Gregor Wei{ss} & Marcus Scheffer, 2012. "Smooth Nonparametric Bernstein Vine Copulas," Papers 1210.2043, arXiv.org.
Chapters
- Justin L. Tobias & Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019.
"An Alternate Parameterization for Bayesian Nonparametric/Semiparametric Regression,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part B, volume 40, pages 47-64,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Cited by:
- Murat K. Munkin, 2022. "Count Roy model with finite mixtures," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1160-1181, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019.
"How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part A, volume 40, pages 229-248,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2018. "How sensitive are VAR forecasts to prior hyperparameters? An automated sensitivity analysis," CAMA Working Papers 2018-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Books
- Chan,Joshua & Koop,Gary & Poirier,Dale J. & Tobias,Justin L., 2019.
"Bayesian Econometric Methods,"
Cambridge Books,
Cambridge University Press, number 9781108423380.
- Chan,Joshua & Koop,Gary & Poirier,Dale J. & Tobias,Justin L., 2019. "Bayesian Econometric Methods," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108437493.
- Koop, Gary M & Poirier, Dale J & Tobias, Justin, 2007. "Bayesian Econometric Methods," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12722, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Olivier Parent & James P. Lesage, 2010.
"A Spatial Dynamic Panel Model with Random Effects Applied to Commuting Times,"
University of Cincinnati, Economics Working Papers Series
2010-01, University of Cincinnati, Department of Economics.
- Parent, Olivier & LeSage, James P., 2010. "A spatial dynamic panel model with random effects applied to commuting times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 633-645, June.
- Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Anoop Chaturvedi & Guy Lacroix, 2023.
"Robust dynamic space-time panel data models using ?-contamination: An application to crop yields and climate change,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2023s-01, CIRANO.
- Baltagi, Badi H. & Bresson, Georges & Chaturvedi, Anoop & Lacroix, Guy, 2022. "Robust Dynamic Space-Time Panel Data Models Using ?-Contamination: An Application to Crop Yields and Climate Change," IZA Discussion Papers 15815, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Anoop Chaturvedi & Guy Lacroix, 2022. "Robust Dynamic Space-Time Panel Data Models Using ε-contamination: An Application to Crop Yields and Climate Change," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 254, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
- Ahtiainen, Heini & Vanhatalo, Jarno, 2012. "The value of reducing eutrophication in European marine areas — A Bayesian meta-analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1-10.
- Xiaodong Du & Fengxia Dong, 2016. "Responses to market information and the impact on price volatility and trading volume: the case of Class III milk futures," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 661-678, March.
- Haider, Adnan & Khan, Safdar Ullah, 2008.
"A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan,"
MPRA Paper
12977, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jan 2009.
- Adnan Haider Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 963-1008.
- Thaden, Hauke & Klein, Nadja & Kneib, Thomas, 2019. "Multivariate effect priors in bivariate semiparametric recursive Gaussian models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 51-66.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2014.
"Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations,"
KOF Working papers
14-364, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2019. "Identification of Financial Factors in Economic Fluctuations," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(617), pages 311-337.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Francesco Ravazzolo & Samad Sarferaz, 2014. "Identification of financial factors in economic fluctuations," Working Paper 2014/09, Norges Bank.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2015.
"A Bayesian model comparison for trend-cycle decompositions of output,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-31, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Angelia L. Grant & Joshua C.C. Chan, 2017. "A Bayesian Model Comparison for Trend‐Cycle Decompositions of Output," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 525-552, March.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Comparing Stochastic Volatility Specifications for Large Bayesian VARs,"
Papers
2208.13255, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2023. "Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1419-1446.
- Maksym, Obrizan, 2010. "A Bayesian Model of Sample Selection with a Discrete Outcome Variable," MPRA Paper 28577, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Abidoye, Babatunde O. & Herriges, Joseph A. & Tobias, Justin L., 2010.
"Controlling for observed and unobserved site characteristics in RUM models of recreation demand,"
ISU General Staff Papers
201005250700001115, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Babatunde O. Abidoye & Joseph A. Herriges & Justin L. Tobias, 2012. "Controlling for Observed and Unobserved Site Characteristics in RUM Models of Recreation Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(5), pages 1070-1093.
- Abidoye, Babatunde & Herriges, Joseph A. & Tobias, Justin, 2010. "Controlling for Observed and Unobserved Site Characteristics in Rum Models of Recreation Demand," Staff General Research Papers Archive 31559, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Colson, Gregory & Rousu, Matthew C. & Huffman, Wallace E., 2008.
"Consumers' Willingness to Pay for New Genetically Modified Food Products: Evidence from Experimental Auctions of Intragenic and Transgenic Foods,"
2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida
6407, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Colson, Gregory & Huffman, Wallace E. & Rousu, Matthew C., 2011. "Improving the Nutrient Content of Food through Genetic Modification: Evidence from Experimental Auctions on Consumer Acceptance," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 1-22, August.
- Colson, Gregory & Huffman, Wallace E., 2009. "Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for New Genetically Modified Food Products: Evidence from Experimental Auctions of Intragenic and Transgenic Foods," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 49986, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2020.
"Bayesian state space models in macroeconometrics,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
- Danaf, Mazen & Guevara, C. Angelo & Ben-Akiva, Moshe, 2023. "A control-function correction for endogeneity in random coefficients models: The case of choice-based recommender systems," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
- Luis Uzeda, 2016.
"State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2016-632, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Luis Uzeda, 2022. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 25-53, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Luis Uzeda, 2018. "State Correlation and Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Using Unobserved Components Models," Staff Working Papers 18-14, Bank of Canada.
- Cross, Jamie & Nguyen, Bao H., 2017. "The relationship between global oil price shocks and China's output: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 79-91.
- Gardebroek, Cornelis & Oude Lansink, Alfons G.J.M., 2008. "Dynamic Microeconometric Approaches To Analysing Agricultural Policy," 107th Seminar, January 30-February 1, 2008, Sevilla, Spain 6592, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Obryan Poyser, 2017. "Exploring the determinants of Bitcoin's price: an application of Bayesian Structural Time Series," Papers 1706.01437, arXiv.org.
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "Essays on statistical inference with imperfectly observed data," ISU General Staff Papers 201201010800003618, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2015.
"An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
12/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Linlin Niu & Xiu Xu & Ying Chen, 2015. "An Adaptive Approach to Forecasting Three Key Macroeconomic Variables for Transitional China," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-023, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2017. "An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 201-213.
- C. Glocker & G. Sestieri & P. Towbin, 2017. "Time-varying fiscal spending multipliers in the UK," Working papers 643, Banque de France.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2021.
"Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
Papers
2107.07804, arXiv.org.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Subspace shrinkage in conjugate Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 556-576, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015.
"Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2018. "Specification tests for time-varying parameter models with stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 807-823, September.
- Ishdorj, Ariun & Jensen, Helen H., 2010. "Demand For Breakfast Cereals: Whole Grains Guidance And Food Choice," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany 116445, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Ochsner, Christian & Rohloff, Hannes, 2020.
"The credit composition of global liquidity,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
409, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "The Credit Composition of Global Liquidity," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202115, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2022.
"Leverage, Asymmetry, and Heavy Tails in the High-Dimensional Factor Stochastic Volatility Model,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 285-301, January.
- Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2018. "Leverage, asymmetry and heavy tails in the high-dimensional factor stochastic volatility model," Working Paper Series 49, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Daeseok Han, 2021. "Heterogeneous Deterioration Process and Risk of Deficiencies of Aging Bridges for Transportation Asset Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-16, June.
- Bernardi Mauro & Della Corte Giuseppe & Proietti Tommaso, 2011. "Extracting the Cyclical Component in Hours Worked," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, May.
- Nurmakhanova, Mira, 2008. "Essays on fall fertilizer application," ISU General Staff Papers 2008010108000016739, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Klaus Moeltner & James J. Murphy & John K. Stranlund & Maria Alejandra Velez, 2012.
"Institutional Heterogeneity in Social Dilemma Games: A Bayesian Examination,"
Working Papers
2012-04, University of Alaska Anchorage, Department of Economics.
- Klaus Moeltner & James J. Murphy & John K. Stranlund & Maria Alejandra Velez, 2013. "Institutional heterogeneity in social dilemma games: a Bayesian examination," Chapters, in: John A. List & Michael K. Price (ed.), Handbook on Experimental Economics and the Environment, chapter 2, pages 67-88, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009.
"Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics,"
Working Paper series
47_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 20125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 3(4), pages 267-358, July.
- Richard S. J. Tol & In Chang Hwang & Frédéric Reynès, 2012.
"The Effect of Learning on Climate Policy under Fat-tailed Uncertainty,"
Working Paper Series
5312, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
- Hwang, In Chang & Reynes, Frederic & Tol, Richard, 2014. "The effect of learning on climate policy under fat-tailed uncertainty," MPRA Paper 53681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Blazejowski, Marcin & Kufel, Paweł & Kwiatkowski, Jacek, 2018.
"Model simplification and variable selection: A Replication of the UK inflation model by Hendry (2001),"
MPRA Paper
88745, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Marcin Błażejowski & Paweł Kufel & Jacek Kwiatkowski, 2020. "Model simplification and variable selection: A replication of the UK inflation model by Hendry (2001)," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 645-652, August.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Grant, Angelia L., 2016.
"Fast computation of the deviance information criterion for latent variable models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 847-859.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Fast Computation of the Deviance Information Criterion for Latent Variable Models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Igari, Ryosuke & Hoshino, Takahiro, 2018.
"A Bayesian data combination approach for repeated durations under unobserved missing indicators: Application to interpurchase-timing in marketing,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 150-166.
- Ryosuke Igari & Takahiro Hoshino, 2017. "Bayesian Data Combination Approach for Repeated Durations under Unobserved Missing Indicators: Application to Interpurchase-Timing in Marketing," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2017-015, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2020.
"Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-108, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Yu, Xuewen, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2206.08438, arXiv.org.
- Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Historical Developments in Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-191/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Caio Waisman & Harikesh S. Nair & Carlos Carrion, 2019. "Online Causal Inference for Advertising in Real-Time Bidding Auctions," Papers 1908.08600, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Koenig, Michael & Hsieh, Chih-Sheng & Liu, Xiaodong & Zimmermann, Christian, 2018.
"Superstar Economists: Coauthorship networks and research output,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13239, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Chih-Sheng Hsieh & Michael D. König & Xiaodong Liu & Christian Zimmermann, 2018. "Superstar Economists: Coauthorship networks and research output," Working Papers 2018-28, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Chih-Sheng Hsieh & Michael D. König & Xiaodong Liu & Christian Zimmermann, 2018. "Superstar Economists: Coauthorship Networks and Research Output," CESifo Working Paper Series 7309, CESifo.
- Hsieh, Chih-Sheng & König, Michael D. & Liu, Xiaodong & Zimmermann, Christian, 2018. "Superstar Economists: Coauthorship Networks and Research Output," IZA Discussion Papers 11916, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Odusola, Ayodele & Abidoye, Babatunde, 2015. "Effects of Temperature and Rainfall Shocks on Economic Growth in Africa," UNDP Africa Research Discussion Papers 267028, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
- Joshua C C Chan & Cody Y L Hsiao, 2013. "Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models with Heavy Tails and Serial Dependence," CAMA Working Papers 2013-74, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ishdorj, Ariun, 2008. "Essays on food assistance program participation and demand for food," ISU General Staff Papers 2008010108000016750, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "On the Rise of Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-085/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 04 Sep 2014.
- Herriges, Joseph A. & Phaneuf, Daniel J. & Tobias, Justin, 2008.
"Estimating Demand Systems when Outcomes Are Correlated Count,"
Staff General Research Papers Archive
12934, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Herriges, Joseph A. & Phaneuf, Daniel J. & Tobias, Justin L., 2008. "Estimating demand systems when outcomes are correlated counts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 282-298, December.
- Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy & Cindy L. Yu, 2012.
"Testing Day's Conjecture that More Nitrogen Decreases Crop Yield Skewness,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(1), pages 225-237.
- Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy & Cindy L. Yu, 2010. "Testing Day's Conjecture that More Nitrogen Decreases Crop Yield Skewness," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 10-wp511, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
- Du, Xiaodong & Hennessy, David A. & Yu, Cindy, 2012. "Testing Day's Conjecture That More Nitrogen Decreases Crop Yield Skewness," Staff General Research Papers Archive 35022, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Asad Jan & Adnan Haider & Syed Kalim Hyder Bukhari, 2013.
"On The (Ir)relevance of Monetary Aggregate Targeting in Pakistan: An Eclectic View,"
SBP Working Paper Series
62, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
- Adnan Haider & Asad Jan & Kalim Hyder, 2013. "On the (Ir)Relevance of Monetary Aggregate Targeting in Pakistan: An Eclectic View," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 18(2), pages 65-119, July-Dec.
- Haider, Adnan & Jan, Asad & Hyder, Kalim, 2012. "On the (IR) Relevance of Monetary Aggregate Targeting in Pakistan: An Eclectic View," MPRA Paper 43422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Park, Yuri & Koo, Yoonmo, 2016. "An empirical analysis of switching cost in the smartphone market in South Korea," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 307-318.
- Christopher N. Boyer & Dayton M. Lambert & Charles C. Martinez & Joshua G. Maples, 2023. "Beef and pork processing plant labor costs," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 691-702, July.
- Coulibaly, Issiaka & Gnimassoun, Blaise, 2013.
"Optimality of a monetary union: New evidence from exchange rate misalignments in West Africa,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 463-482.
- Issiaka Coulibaly & Blaise Gnimassoun, 2012. "Optimality of a monetary union : New evidence from exchange rate misalignments in West Africa," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-37, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Roman Horváth, 2012.
"Does Trust Promote Growth?,"
Working Papers
319, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
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