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International Trade Finance and the Cost Channel of Monetary Policy in Open Economies

Listed author(s):
  • Nikhil Patel

This paper models the interaction between international trade finance and monetary policy in open economies and shows that trade finance affects the propagation mechanism of all macroeconomic shocks that are identified to be drivers of business cycles in advanced economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques using output, price and bilateral trade data from the US and the Eurozone. The estimation exercise shows that trade finance conditions, which in turn are driven by US interest rates, are critical in explaining economic fluctuations. Quantitatively, trade finance has a larger impact on spillover effects of shocks to foreign countries, implying that incorporation of trade finance is particularly important when modeling small open economies.

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Paper provided by Bank for International Settlements in its series BIS Working Papers with number 539.

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Length: 80 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2016
Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:539
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