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Citations of
Richard Paap

For current contact information and a more complete listing of works, please see here

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Working papers

  1. Paap, R. & Segers, R. & Dijk, D.J.C. van, 2007. "Do leading indicators lead peaks more than troughs?," Econometric Institute Report EI 2007-08 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Sylvia Kaufmann, 2008. "Dating and forecasting turning points by Bayesian clustering with dynamic structure: A suggestion with an application to Austrian data," Working Papers 144, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]

  2. Jelle Brouwer & Richard Paap & Jean-Marie Viaene, 2007. "The Trade and FDI Effects of EMU Enlargement," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Henry Aray & Javier Gardeazabal, 2008. "Going Multinational under Exchange Rate Uncertainty," ThE Papers 08/19, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada.. [Downloadable!]
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    2. Ansgar Belke & Julia Spies, 2008. "Enlarging the EMU to the east: what effects on trade?," Empirica, Springer, vol. 35(4), pages 369-389, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    3. Tomáš Havránek, 2009. "Rose Effect and the Euro: The Magic is Gone," Working Papers IES 2009/20, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2009. [Downloadable!]

  3. Ravazzolo, F. & Dijk, D.J.C. van & Paap, R. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2006. "Bayesian Model Averaging in the Presence of Structural Breaks," Econometric Institute Report EI 2006-33 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Massimo Guidolin & Carrie Fangzhou Na, 2007. "The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns," Working Papers 2006-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    2. Schrimpf, Andreas, 2008. "International Stock Return Predictability Under Model Uncertainty," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-048, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]

  4. Fok, D. & Paap, R. & Horváth, C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2005. "A Hierarchical Bayes Error Correction Model to Explain Dynamic Effects of Price Changes," Research Paper ERS-2005-047-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Kiygi Calli M. & Weverbergh M. & Franses P.H., 2008. "Modeling the Effectiveness of Hourly Direct-Response Radio Commercials," Working Papers 2008005, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]
    2. Heerde, H.J. van & Helsen, K. & Dekimpe, M.G., 2005. "Managing Product-Harm Crises," Research Paper ERS-2005-044-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

  5. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2005. "Random-Coefficient periodic autoregression," Econometric Institute Report EI 2005-34 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Kiygi Calli M. & Weverbergh M. & Franses P.H., 2008. "Modeling the Effectiveness of Hourly Direct-Response Radio Commercials," Working Papers 2008005, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]

  6. Fok, D. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2005. "Performance of Seasonal Adjustment Procedures: Simulation and Empirical Results," Econometric Institute Report EI 2005-30 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Willem Boshoff, 2006. "Quantitative competition analysis: Stationarity tests in geographic market definition," Working Papers 17/2006, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

  7. Fok, D. & Horváth, C. & Paap, R. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2004. "A hierarchical Bayes error correction model to explain dynamic effects," Econometric Institute Report EI 2004-27 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Heerde, H.J. van & Dekimpe, M.G. & Putsis Jr, W.P., 2004. "Marketing Models and the Lucas Critique," Research Paper ERS-2004-080-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    2. Koen Pauwels & Imran Currim & Marnik Dekimpe & Dominique Hanssens & Natalie Mizik & Eric Ghysels & Prasad Naik, 2004. "Modeling Marketing Dynamics by Time Series Econometrics," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 167-183, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  8. Richard Paap & Frank Kleibergen, 2004. "Generalized Reduced Rank Tests using the Singular Value Decomposition," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 195, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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    Cited by:

    1. Junji Kageyama, 2009. "Happiness and sex difference in life expectancy," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2009-009, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    2. Sylvia Kaufmann & Peter Kugler, 2006. "Expected Money Growth, Markov Trends and the Instability of Money Demand in the Euro Area," Working Papers 131, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
    3. Belke, Ansgar & Bordon, Ingo & Melnykovska, Inna & Schweickert, Rainer, 2009. "Prospective NATO or EU Membership and Institutional Change in Transition Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 4483, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Jere R. Behrman & John Hoddinott & John A. Maluccio & Reynaldo Martorell, 2009. "Brains versus Brawn: Labor Market Returns to Intellectual and Health Human Capital in a Poor Developing Country," Middlebury College Working Paper Series 0907, Middlebury College, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    5. Hiroyuki Kasahara & Katsumi Shimotsu, 2007. "Nonparametric Identification and Estimation of Multivariate Mixtures," Working Papers 1153, Queen's University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    6. Luca Fanelli, 2009. "Estimation of quasi-rational DSGE monetary models," Quaderni di Dipartimento 3, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna. [Downloadable!]
    7. Shi, Guanming & Chavas, Jean-Paul, 2009. "On Pricing and Vertical Organization of Differentiated Products: The Case of Soybean Seed Industry," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49186, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. [Downloadable!]
    8. Dauphin, Anyck & El Lahga, AbdelRahmen & Fortin, Bernard & Lacroix, Guy, 2008. "Are Children Decision-Makers Within the Household?," IZA Discussion Papers 3728, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
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    9. Da Rin, M. & Di Giacomo, M. & Sembenelli, A., 2008. "Firm Entry Dynamics and Taxation of Corporate Profits: Evidence from Europe," Discussion Paper 2008-65, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    10. Stephen G. Donald & Natércia Fortuna & Vladas Pipiras, 2005. "On rank estimation in symmetric matrices: the case of indefinite matrix estimators," FEP Working Papers 167, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
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    11. Christopher F Baum & Mark E. Schaffer & Steven Stillman, 2007. "Enhanced routines for instrumental variables/GMM estimation and testing," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 667, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 05 Sep 2007. [Downloadable!]
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    12. Subha Mani & John Hoddinott & John Strauss, 2009. "Long-Term Impact of Investments in Early Schooling – Empirical Evidence from Rural Ethiopia," Fordham Economics Discussion Paper Series dp2009-03, Fordham University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    13. Dauphin, Anyck & El Lahga, Abdel-Rahmen & Fortin, Bernard & Lacroix, Guy, 2006. "Choix de consommation des ménages en présence de plusieurs décideurs," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 82(1), pages 87-118, mars-juin. [Downloadable!]
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    14. C. Lucarelli & M. E. Bontempi & C. Mazzoli & A. G. Quaranta, 2009. "Pre-trade transparency on the Italian Stock Exchange: a trade size model on panel data," Working Papers 678, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna. [Downloadable!]
    15. Paredes, Ricardo & Ugarte, Gabriel, 2009. "Should Students Be Allowed to Miss?," MPRA Paper 15583, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    16. Johannes Becker & Nadine Riedel, 2008. "Cross-Border Tax Effects on Affiliate Investment - Evidence from European Multinationals," Working Papers 0816, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation. [Downloadable!]
    17. Fredriksson, Per & Mamun, Khawaja, 2009. "Gubernatorial Reputation and Vertical Tax Externalities: All Smoke, No Fire?," Working Papers 2009002, Sacred Heart University, John F. Welch College of Business. [Downloadable!]
    18. Bratti , Massimiliano & Felice, Giulia, 2009. "Exporting and Product Innovation at the Firm Level," MPRA Paper 18915, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    19. Chew Lian Chua & Chin Nam Low, 2007. "Permanent Structural Change in the US Short-Term and Long-Term Interest Rates," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2007n22, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
    20. Ansgar Belke & Ingo Bordon & Inna Melnykovska & Rainer Schweickert, 2009. "Prospective Membership and Institutional Change in Transition Countries," Kiel Working Papers 1562, Kiel Institute for the World Economy. [Downloadable!]
    21. Melolinna, Marko, 2008. "Using financial markets information to identify oil supply shocks in a restricted VAR," Research Discussion Papers 9/2008, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
    22. Du, Jun & Girma, Sourafel, 2009. "Source of Finance, Growth and Firm Size ? Evidence from China," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
    23. Ansgar Belke & Ingo Bordon & Inna Melnykovska & Rainer Schweickert, 2009. "Prospective NATO or EU Membership and Institutional Change in Transition Countries," Ruhr Economic Papers 0131, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen. [Downloadable!]
    24. Richard Smith, 2005. "Weak instruments and empirical likelihood: a discussion of the papers by DWK Andrews and JH Stock and Y Kitamura," CeMMAP working papers CWP13/05, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Downloadable!]
    25. Adrian Stoian & Price V. Fishback, 2009. "Welfare Spending and Mortality Rates for the Elderly Before the Social Security Era," NBER Working Papers 14970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    26. Mikael Carlsson & Oskar Nordström Skans, 2009. "Evaluating microfoundations for aggregate price rigidities - evidence from matched firm-level data on product prices and unit labor cost," Working Paper Series 1083, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    27. Matthew Baker & Niklas J. Westelius, 2009. "Crime, Expectations and The Deterrence Hypothesis," Hunter College Department of Economics Working Papers 425, Hunter College: Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

  9. R. Paap & P.H. Franses & D. van Dijk, 2003. "Does Africa grow slower than Asia and Latin America," Econometric Institute Report 311, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Davis, Lewis & Owen, Ann L. & Videras, Julio, 2007. "Do all countries follow the same growth process?," MPRA Paper 11589, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
    2. Leonardo Becchetti & Luisa Corrado & Fiammetta Rossetti, 2008. "Easterlin-types and Frustrated Achievers: the Heterogeneous E¤ects of Income Changes on Life Satisfaction," CEIS Research Paper 127, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 09 Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
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    3. Chris Papageorgiou & Winford H. Masanjala, . "Initial Conditions, European Colonialism and Africa's Growth," Departmental Working Papers 2006-01, Department of Economics, Louisiana State University. [Downloadable!]
    4. Nalan Basturk & Richard Paap & Dick van Dijk, 2008. "Structural Differences in Economic Growth," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-085/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]

  10. R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 2002. "Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series," Econometric Institute Report 295, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Cliff L. F. Attfield & Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2006. "Balanced growth and the great ratios: new evidence for the US and UK," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 75, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
    2. Vasco Gabriel & Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação, 2007. "The Consumption-Wealth Ratio Under Asymmetric Adjustment," GEMF Working Papers 2007-06, GEMF - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade de Coimbra. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. HOOGERHEIDE, Lennart F. & KAASHOEK, Johan F. & VAN DIJK, Herman K., 2005. "On the shape of posterior densities and credible sets in instrumental variable regression models with reduced rank: An application of flexible sampling methods using neural networks," CORE Discussion Papers 2005029, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Lennart F. Hoogerheide & Johan F. Kaashoek, 2004. "Functional Approximations to Likelihoods/Posterior Densities: A Neural Network Approach to Efficient Sampling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 74, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]

  11. D. Fok & R. Paap & P.H. Franses, 2002. "Modeling dynamic effects of promotion on interpurchase times," Econometric Institute Report 289, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Ching, Andrew & Erdem, Tulin & Keane, Michael, 2007. "The Price Consideration Model of Brand Choice," MPRA Paper 4686, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]

  12. Jeanine Kippers & Erjen van Nierop & Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "An Empirical Study of Cash Payments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-075/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. J. Kippers & P.H. Franses, 2003. "An empirical analysis of euro cash payments," Econometric Institute Report 330, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

  13. Fok, D. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2001. "Econometric Analysis of the Market Share Attraction Model," Research Paper ERS-2001-25-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Fok, D. & Paap, R. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003. "Modeling Dynamic Effects of the Marketing Mix on Market Shares," Research Paper ERS-2003-044-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    2. Rutger van Oest & Philip Hans Franses, 2003. "Which Brands gain Share from which Brands? Inference from Store-Level Scanner Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-079/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    3. Idil Goksel, 2004. "Does The Euro Have A Chance to Challenge The Dollar," Working Papers 0401, Izmir University of Economics. [Downloadable!]

  14. Donkers, A.C.D. & Jonker, J-J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2001. "Deriving Target Selection Rules from Endogenously Selected Samples," Research Paper ERS-2001-68-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. J.J. Jonker & N. Piersma & D. Van den Poel, 2002. "Joint optimization of customer segmentation and marketing policy to maximize long-term profitability," Econometric Institute Report 271, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  15. P.H.B.F. Franses & M.J. van der Leij & R. Paap, 2001. "Modeling and forecasting outliers and level shifts in absolute returns," Econometric Institute Report 235, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses & Marco Van Der Leij, 2002. "Modelling and forecasting level shifts in absolute returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 601-616. [Downloadable!]

  16. D.J.C. Van Dijk & P.H. Franses & R. Paap, 2000. "A nonlinear long memory model for US unemployment," Econometric Institute Report 204, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Non-Linearities And Fractional Integration In The Us Unemployment Rate," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 05-17, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Aaron D. Smallwood & Paul M. Beaumont, 2002. "An Asymptotic MLE Approach to Modelling Multiple Frequency GARMA Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 285, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    3. Aaron Smallwood, 2004. "Joint Tests for Long Memory and Non-linearity: The Case of Purchasing Power Parity," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 23, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    4. Dominique Guegan & Laurent Ferrara, 2005. "Detection of the Industrial Business Cycle using SETAR models," Post-Print halshs-00201309_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
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    5. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses & Marco Van Der Leij, 2002. "Modelling and forecasting level shifts in absolute returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 601-616. [Downloadable!]

  17. Nierop, J.E.M. van & Paap, R. & Bronnenberg, B. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2000. "Modeling Unobserved Consideration Sets for Household Panel Data," Research Paper ERS-2000-42-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. R. Paap & E. van Nierop & H.J. van Heerde & M. Wedel, 2000. "Consideration sets, intentions and the inclusion of "Don't know" in a two-stage model for voter choice," Econometric Institute Report 209, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  18. Franses, P.H. & Paap, R., 1999. "Forecasting with Period Autoregressive Time Series Models," Papers 9927/a, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Econometric Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. P.H. Franses & D. Van Dijk, 2001. "The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production," Econometric Institute Report 222, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  19. R. Paap & Ph.H.B.F. Franses, 1999. "Does the US and Canada have a common nonlinear cycle in unemployment?," Econometric Institute Report 108, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R. & Sijthoff, Ph.A., 2001. "Modeling Potentially Time-Varying Effects of Promotions on Sales," Research Paper ERS-2001-05-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

  20. R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 1999. "Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series - an application to US consumption and income," Econometric Institute Report 111, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Sylvia Kaufmann & Peter Kugler, 2006. "Expected Money Growth, Markov Trends and the Instability of Money Demand in the Euro Area," Working Papers 131, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
    2. Cliff L. F. Attfield & Jonathan R. W. Temple, 2006. "Balanced growth and the great ratios: new evidence for the US and UK," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 75, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
    3. Neville Francis & Michael T. Owyang, 2004. "Monetary policy in a Markov-switching VECM: implications for the cost of disinflation and the price puzzle," Working Papers 2003-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    4. Penelope A. Smith & Peter M. Summers, 2004. "How Well Do Markov Switching Models Describe Actual Business Cycles? The Case of Synchronization," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2004n09, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
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    5. Luc Bauwens & Charles S. Bos & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999. "Adaptive Polar Sampling with an Application to a Bayes Measure of Value-at-Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-082/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    6. Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Bayesian Inference of General Linear Restrictions on the Cointegration Space," Working Paper Series 189, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
    7. Maximo Camacho, 2002. "Nonlinear stochastic trends and economic fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 274, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    8. H.K. Van Dijk, 2002. "On Bayesian structural inference in a simultaneous equation model," Econometric Institute Report 263, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    9. Lennart F. Hoogerheide & Johan F. Kaashoek, 2004. "Functional Approximations to Likelihoods/Posterior Densities: A Neural Network Approach to Efficient Sampling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 74, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    10. Richard Kleijn & Herman K. van Dijk, 2006. "Bayes model averaging of cyclical decompositions in economic time series," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 191-212. [Downloadable!]

  21. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 1998. "Modelling asymmetric persistence over the business cycle," Econometric Institute Report EI 9852 Revision_Date: 20, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2005. "Non-Linearities And Fractional Integration In The Us Unemployment Rate," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 05-17, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  22. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 1998. "Censored latent effects autoregression, with an application to US unemployment," Econometric Institute Report EI 9841 Revision_Date: 20, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Michael P. Clements & Philip Hans Franses & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models," Departmental Working Papers 200309, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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    2. Medeiros, Marcelo & Veiga, Alvaro, 2000. "A Flexible Coefficient Smooth Transition Time Series Model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 360, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 10 Feb 2000.
    3. R. Paap & P.F. Franses, 2002. "Common large innovations across nonlinear time series," Econometric Institute Report 262, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    4. Markku Lanne, 2006. "Nonlinear dynamics of interest rate and inflation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(8), pages 1157-1168. [Downloadable!]
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    5. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses & Marco Van Der Leij, 2002. "Modelling and forecasting level shifts in absolute returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 601-616. [Downloadable!]
    6. R. Paap & Ph.H.B.F. Franses, 1999. "Does the US and Canada have a common nonlinear cycle in unemployment?," Econometric Institute Report 108, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    7. Gilles Dufrénot & Dominique Guegan & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2005. "Modelling squared returns using a SETAR model with long-memory dynamics," Post-Print halshs-00179285_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
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  23. Kleibergen, F.R. & Paap, R., 1998. "Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration," Econometric Institute Report EI 9821 Revision_Date: 20, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. Sylvia Kaufmann & Peter Kugler, 2006. "Expected Money Growth, Markov Trends and the Instability of Money Demand in the Euro Area," Working Papers 131, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). [Downloadable!]
    2. Antonio Ciccone & Marek Jarocinski, 2008. "Determinants of economic growth - will data tell?," Working Paper Series 852, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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    3. R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 2002. "Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series," Econometric Institute Report 295, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    4. Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Bayesian Inference of General Linear Restrictions on the Cointegration Space," Working Paper Series 189, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
    5. Richard Kleijn, 2000. "Bayesian Testing in Cointegration Models using the Jeffreys' Prior," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1445, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    6. F. Kleibergen & R. Kleijn & R. Paap, 2000. "The Bayesian score statistic," Econometric Institute Report 193, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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    7. Anders Warne, 2006. "Bayesian inference in cointegrated VAR models - with applications to the demand for euro area M3," Working Paper Series 692, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
    8. Sugita, Katsuhiro, 2002. "Testing For Cointegration Rank Using Bayes Factors," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 654, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    9. James D. Hamilton & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2004. "Normalization in econometrics," Working Paper 2004-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    10. Chew Lian Chua & Chin Nam Low, 2007. "Permanent Structural Change in the US Short-Term and Long-Term Interest Rates," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2007n22, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne. [Downloadable!]
    11. Chew Lian Chua & Peter Summers, 2004. "Structural Error Correction Model: A Bayesian Perspective," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 702, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    12. Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter & Rodney W. Strachan, 2005. "Re-examining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty," Discussion Papers in Economics 05/3, Department of Economics, University of Leicester. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    13. R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 1999. "Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series - an application to US consumption and income," Econometric Institute Report 111, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    14. Villani, Mattias, 2003. "Bayes Estimators of the Cointegration Space," Working Paper Series 150, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
    15. Andrea, SILVESTRINI, 2007. "Testing fiscal sustainability in Poland : a Bayesian analysis of cointegration," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2007040, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    16. Mattias Villani, 2009. "Steady-state priors for vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 630-650. [Downloadable!]

  24. Paap, R. & Kleibergen, F., 1998. "Prior, Posterios and Bayes Factors for Bayesian Analysis of Cointegration," Papers 9821/a, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Econometric Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter & Rodney W. Strachan, 2005. "Reexamining the consumption-wealth relationship: the role of model uncertainty," Staff Reports 202, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  25. Frank Kleibergen & Richard Paap, 1997. "Priors, Posterior Odds and Lagrange Multiplier Statistics in Bayesian Analyses of Cointegration," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 97-007/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    Other versions:

    Cited by:

    1. Kirstin Hubrich & Helmut Lütkepohl & Pentti Saikkonen, 2001. "A Review Of Systems Cointegration Tests," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 247-318. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    2. Kleibergen, Frank & Dijk, Herman K. van, 1996. "Bayesian simultaneous equations analysis using reduced rank structures," Econometric Institute Report 47, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  26. Franses, Philip Hans & Hoek, Henk & Paap, Richard, 1995. "Baysian analysis of seasonal unit roots and seasonal mean shifts," Econometric Institute Report 57, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    Published as:

    Cited by:

    1. P.H. Franses & D. Van Dijk, 2001. "The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production," Econometric Institute Report 222, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Uwe Hassler & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2002. "Seasonal Unit Root Tests under Structural Breaks," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 113, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (Department of Economics), Technische Universität Darmstadt (Darmstadt University of Technology). [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Kunst, Robert M., 1997. "Decision Bounds for Data-Admissible Seasonal Models," Economics Series 51, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
    4. Lawrence J. Christiano & Richard M. Todd, 2000. "The Conventional Treatment of Seasonality in Business Cycle Analysis: Does it Create Distortions?," NBER Technical Working Papers 0266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    5. Artur C. B. da Silva Lopes & Antonio Montañés, 2004. "The Behavior of HEGY Tests for Quarterly Time Series with Seasonal Mean Shifts," Econometrics 0411010, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    6. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    7. Raimundo Soto, 2000. "Ajuste Estacional e Integración en Variables Macroeconómicas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 73, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    8. Mickael Salabasis & Sune Karlsson, 2004. "Seasonality, Cycles and Unit Roots," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 268, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]

Articles

  1. Philip Hans Franses & Marco van der Leij & Richard Paap, 2008. "A Simple Test for GARCH Against a Stochastic Volatility Model," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(3), pages 291-306, Summer. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Dongming Zhu & John Galbraith, 2009. "A Generalized Asymmetric Student-t Distribution with Application to Financial Econometrics," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-13, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  2. Brouwer, Jelle & Paap, Richard & Viaene, Jean-Marie, 2008. "The trade and FDI effects of EMU enlargement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 188-208, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  3. Kleibergen, Frank & Paap, Richard, 2006. "Generalized reduced rank tests using the singular value decomposition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 97-126, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  4. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses & Bas Donkers & Jedid-Jah Jonker, 2006. "Deriving target selection rules from endogenously selected samples," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(5), pages 549-562. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
    • Donkers, A.C.D. & Jonker, J-J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2001. "Deriving Target Selection Rules from Endogenously Selected Samples," Research Paper ERS-2001-68-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

    See citations under working paper version above.

  5. Paap, Richard & Franses, Philip Hans & van Dijk, Dick, 2005. "Does Africa grow slower than Asia, Latin America and the Middle East? Evidence from a new data-based classification method," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 553-570, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Davis, Lewis & Owen, Ann L. & Videras, Julio, 2007. "Do all countries follow the same growth process?," MPRA Paper 11589, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
    2. Leonardo Becchetti & Luisa Corrado & Fiammetta Rossetti, 2008. "Easterlin-types and Frustrated Achievers: the Heterogeneous E¤ects of Income Changes on Life Satisfaction," CEIS Research Paper 127, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 09 Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Dick van Dijk & Dennis Fok & Philip Hans Franses, 2005. "A multi-level panel STAR model for US manufacturing sectors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(6), pages 811-827. [Downloadable!]
    4. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jean-François Hoarau, 2009. "Does the real GDP per capita convergence hold in the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa?," Working Papers hal-00422522_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    5. Chris Papageorgiou & Winford H. Masanjala, . "Initial Conditions, European Colonialism and Africa's Growth," Departmental Working Papers 2006-01, Department of Economics, Louisiana State University. [Downloadable!]
    6. Nalan Basturk & Richard Paap & Dick van Dijk, 2008. "Structural Differences in Economic Growth," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-085/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]

  6. Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard & Vroomen, Bjorn, 2004. "Forecasting unemployment using an autoregression with censored latent effects parameters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 255-271. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Michael P. Clements & Philip Hans Franses & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models," Departmental Working Papers 200309, Rutgers University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  7. Paap, Richard & van Dijk, Herman K, 2003. "Bayes Estimates of Markov Trends in Possibly Cointegrated Series: An Application to U.S. Consumption and Income," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(4), pages 547-63, October.
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  8. Jeanine Kippers & Erjen Nierop & Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses, 2003. "An Empirical Study of Cash Payments," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 57(4), pages 484-508. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  9. Richard Paap, 2002. "What are the advantages of MCMC based inference in latent variable models?," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 56(1), pages 2-22. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Martin Burda & Roman Liesenfeld & Jean-Francois Richard, 2008. "Bayesian Analysis of a Probit Panel Data Model with Unobserved Individual Heterogeneity and Autocorrelated Errors," Working Papers tecipa-321, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]

  10. Kleibergen, Frank & Paap, Richard, 2002. "Priors, posteriors and bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 223-249, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  11. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses & Marco Van Der Leij, 2002. "Modelling and forecasting level shifts in absolute returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 601-616. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed Boutahar & Imene Mootamri & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2007. "An exponential FISTAR model applied to the US real effective exchange rate," Working Papers halshs-00353836_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    2. Gilles Dufrénot & Dominique Guegan & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2005. "Modelling squared returns using a SETAR model with long-memory dynamics," Post-Print halshs-00179285_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  12. van Dijk, Dick & Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 2002. "A nonlinear long memory model, with an application to US unemployment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 135-165, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. James D. Hamilton, 2005. "What's Real About the Business Cycle?," NBER Working Papers 11161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
      Other versions:
    2. G. Dufrenot & E. Grimaud & E. Latil & V. Mignon, 2003. "Real exchange rate misalignment in Hungary: a fractionally integrated threshold model," THEMA Working Papers 2003-07, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise. [Downloadable!]
    3. Gilles DUFRENOT & Elisabeth GRIMAUD & Eug=E9nie LATIL & Val=E9rie MIGNON, 2003. "Real exhange rate misalignment in Hungary: a fractionally integrated=20 threshold model," Econometrics 0309001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    4. Dipak Ghosh & Swarna (Bashu) Dutt, . "Nonstationarity and Nonlinearity in the US Unemployment Rate: A Re-examination," Journal for Economic Educators, Middle Tennessee State University, Business and Economic Research Center. [Downloadable!]
    5. Lena Vogel & Jan-Oliver Menz & Ulrich Fritsche, 2009. "Prospect Theory and Inflation Perceptions - An Empirical Assessment," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200903, Hamburg University, Department Wirtschaft und Politik. [Downloadable!]
    6. Gilles Dufrénot & Dominique Guegan & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2005. "Modelling squared returns using a SETAR model with long-memory dynamics," Post-Print halshs-00179285_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  13. Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 2000. "Modelling Day-of-the-Week Seasonality in the S&P 500 Index," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 483-88, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Erik Theissen, 2007. "An analysis of private investors’ stock market return forecasts," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 35-43, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    2. Christos S. Savva & Denise R. Osborn & Len Gill, 2006. "Periodic Dynamic Conditional Correlations between Stock Markets in Europe and the US," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 77, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:

  14. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses, 2000. "A dynamic multinomial probit model for brand choice with different long-run and short-run effects of marketing-mix variables," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(6), pages 717-744. [Downloadable!]

    Cited by:

    1. Fok, D. & Paap, R. & Horváth, C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2005. "A Hierarchical Bayes Error Correction Model to Explain Dynamic Effects of Price Changes," Research Paper ERS-2005-047-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    2. D. Fok & R. Paap & P.H. Franses, 2002. "Modeling dynamic effects of promotion on interpurchase times," Econometric Institute Report 289, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Kiygi Calli M. & Weverbergh M. & Franses P.H., 2008. "Modeling the Effectiveness of Hourly Direct-Response Radio Commercials," Working Papers 2008005, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Applied Economics. [Downloadable!]
    4. Heerde, H.J. van & Helsen, K. & Dekimpe, M.G., 2005. "Managing Product-Harm Crises," Research Paper ERS-2005-044-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    5. Fok, D. & Paap, R. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003. "Modeling Dynamic Effects of the Marketing Mix on Market Shares," Research Paper ERS-2003-044-MKT Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    6. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R. & Sijthoff, Ph.A., 2001. "Modeling Potentially Time-Varying Effects of Promotions on Sales," Research Paper ERS-2001-05-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    7. Fok, D. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2001. "Econometric Analysis of the Market Share Attraction Model," Research Paper ERS-2001-25-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]

  15. Richard Paap & Philip Hans Franses, 1999. "On trends and constants in periodic autoregressions," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 271-286. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Ph.H.B.F. Franses & R. Paap, 1999. "Forecasting with periodic autoregressive time series models," Econometric Institute Report 156, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. P.H. Franses & D. Van Dijk, 2001. "The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production," Econometric Institute Report 222, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Tomas del Barrio Castro & Denise R Osborn, 2005. "Cointegration for Periodically Integrated Processes," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0522, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    4. Lawrence J. Christiano & Richard M. Todd, 2000. "The Conventional Treatment of Seasonality in Business Cycle Analysis: Does it Create Distortions?," NBER Technical Working Papers 0266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    5. Pami Dua & Lokendra Kumawat, 2005. "Modelling and Forecasting Seasonality in Indian Macroeconomic Time Series," Working papers 136, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    6. Eiji Kurozumi, 2002. "Testing For Periodic Stationarity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 243-270. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

  16. Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 1999. "Does Seasonality Influence the Dating of Business Cycle Turning Points?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 79-92, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Remzi Uctum, 2007. "Econométrie des modèles à changements de régimes: un essai de synthèse," Post-Print halshs-00174034_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    2. P.H.B.F. Franses & P. de Bruin & D.J.C. van Dijk, 2000. "Seasonal smooth transition autoregression," Econometric Institute Report 185, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    3. E. Andersson & D. Bock & M. Frisén, 2006. "Some statistical aspects of methods for detection of turning points in business cycles," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 257-278, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    4. Antonio Matas Mir & Denise R Osborn, 2004. "Seasonal adjustment and the detection of business cycle phases," Working Paper Series 357, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    5. Antonio Matas-Mir & Denise R. Osborn & Marco J. Lombardi, 2008. "The effect of seasonal adjustment on the properties of business cycle regimes," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 257-278. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    6. Ahdi Ajmi & Adnen Ben Nasr & Mohamed Boutahar, 2008. "Seasonal Nonlinear Long Memory Model for the US Inflation Rates," Computational Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 243-254, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    7. Ph.H.B.F. Franses & P.T. de Bruin, 1999. "Seasonal adjustment and the business cycle in unemployment," Econometric Institute Report 152, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]

  17. Franses, Philip Hans & Hoek, Henk & Paap, Richard, 1997. "Bayesian analysis of seasonal unit roots and seasonal mean shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 359-380, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:

    See citations under working paper version above.

  18. Paap, Richard & Franses, Philip Hans & Hoek, Henk, 1997. "Mean shifts, unit roots and forecasting seasonal time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 357-368, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

    Cited by:

    1. Franses, Philip Hans & Hoek, Henk & Paap, Richard, 1995. "Baysian analysis of seasonal unit roots and seasonal mean shifts," Econometric Institute Report 57, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. P.H. Franses & D. Van Dijk, 2001. "The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production," Econometric Institute Report 222, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Gustavsson, Patrik & Nordström, Jonas, 1999. "The Impact of Seasonal Unit Roots and Vector ARMA Modeling on Forecasting Monthly Tourism Flows," Working Paper Series 150, Trade Union Institute for Economic Research, revised 01 Jul 2000. [Downloadable!]
    4. Artur C. B. da Silva Lopes & Antonio Montañés, 2004. "The Behavior of HEGY Tests for Quarterly Time Series with Seasonal Mean Shifts," Econometrics 0411010, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    5. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    6. Luciana Crosilla, 2006. "The seasonality of ISAE business and consumer surveys: methodological aspects and empirical evidence," ISAE Working Papers 68, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]

  19. Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 1994. "Model Selection in Periodic Autoregressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 56(4), pages 421-39, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Ph.H.B.F. Franses & R. Paap, 1999. "Forecasting with periodic autoregressive time series models," Econometric Institute Report 156, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    2. Clements, M.P. & Smith, J., 1997. "Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 487, University of Warwick, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
      Other versions:
    3. Lawrence J. Christiano & Richard M. Todd, 2000. "The Conventional Treatment of Seasonality in Business Cycle Analysis: Does it Create Distortions?," NBER Technical Working Papers 0266, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    4. Pami Dua & Lokendra Kumawat, 2005. "Modelling and Forecasting Seasonality in Indian Macroeconomic Time Series," Working papers 136, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    5. Eiji Kurozumi, 2002. "Testing For Periodic Stationarity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 243-270. [Downloadable!] (restricted)

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