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Mean shifts, unit roots and forecasting seasonal time series

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Author Info
Paap, Richard
Franses, Philip Hans
Hoek, Henk

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Abstract

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 13 (1997)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 357-368
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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:357-368

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  1. P.H. Franses & D. Van Dijk, 2001. "The Forecasting Performance of Various Models for Seasonality and Nonlinearity for Quarterly Industrial Production," Econometric Institute Report 222, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Gustavsson, Patrik & Nordström, Jonas, 1999. "The Impact of Seasonal Unit Roots and Vector ARMA Modeling on Forecasting Monthly Tourism Flows," Working Paper Series 150, Trade Union Institute for Economic Research, revised 01 Jul 2000. [Downloadable!]
  3. Artur C. B. da Silva Lopes & Antonio Montañés, 2004. "The Behavior of HEGY Tests for Quarterly Time Series with Seasonal Mean Shifts," Econometrics 0411010, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  4. Luciana Crosilla, 2006. "The seasonality of ISAE business and consumer surveys: methodological aspects and empirical evidence," ISAE Working Papers 68, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
  5. Franses, Philip Hans & Hoek, Henk & Paap, Richard, 1995. "Baysian analysis of seasonal unit roots and seasonal mean shifts," Econometric Institute Report 57, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Newbold, Paul, 2002. "Seasonal unit root tests with seasonal mean shifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 295-302, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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