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Seasonal Nonstationarity and Near-Nonstationarity Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Eric Ghysels ()
Denise R. Osborn
Paulo M. M. Rodrigues
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This paper presents a detailed discussion of the characteristics of seasonal integrated and near integrated processes, as well as the asymptotic properties of seasonal unit root tests. More specifically, the characteristics of a seasonal random walk and a more general seasonal integrated ARMA process are analysed. Also the implications of modelling nonstationary stochastic season-ality as deterministic are highlighted. A further observation made includes the asymptotic distributions and power functions of several seasonal unit root tests. Dans cet article, nous étudions les propriétés des processsus avec racines unitaires saisonnières et avec racines quasi-unitaires. Nous traitons le cas des marchés aléatoires ainsi que les processus plus généraux et analysons les distributions des estimateurs et les fonctions de puissances de plusieurs tests.
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Paper provided by CIRANO in its series CIRANO Working Papers with number
99s-05.
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Date of creation: 01 Feb 1999Date of revision:
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Keywords: Deterministic/stochastic seasonality ; seasonal unit roots ; Saisonnalité déterministique et stochastique ; racines unitaires saisonnières ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
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Ghysels, E. & Lee, H.S. & Siklos, P.L., 1992.
"On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences: an Empirical Investigation with U.S. Data ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9237, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
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Other versions:
Ghysels, E. & Lee, H.S. & Siklos, P.L., 1992.
"On the (Mis)Specification of Seasonality and Its Consequences: An Empirical Investigation With U.S. Data ,"
Cahiers de recherche
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Econometrica ,
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Nabeya, Seiji & Perron, Pierre, 1994.
"Local asymptotic distribution related to the AR(1) model with dependent errors ,"
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"Inappropriate use of seasonal dummies in regression ,"
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Other versions: Denise Osborn & Paulo Rodrigues, 2002.
"Asymptotic Distributions Of Seasonal Unit Root Tests: A Unifying Approach ,"
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"Deterministic seasonal models and spurious regressions ,"
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Franses, Philip Hans & Hylleberg, Svend & Lee, Hahn S., 1995.
"Spurious deterministic seasonality ,"
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Ghysels, E., 1990.
"On the Economic and Econometrics of Seasonality ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9028, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
Other versions: Joseph Beaulieu, J. & Miron, Jeffrey A., 1993.
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Other versions: Perron, P., 1987.
"The Calculation of the Limiting Distribution of the Least Squares Estimator in Near-Integrated Model ,"
Cahiers de recherche
8748, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
Evans, G B A & Savin, N E, 1981.
"Testing for Unit Roots: 1 ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 753-79, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Artur C. B. da Silva Lopes & Antonio Montañés, 2004.
"The Behavior of HEGY Tests for Quarterly Time Series with Seasonal Mean Shifts ,"
Econometrics
0411010, EconWPA.
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P.M.M. Rodrigues & P.H. Franses, 2003.
"A sequential approach to testing seasonal unit roots in high frequency data ,"
Econometric Institute Report
318, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
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Other versions:
Rodrigues, P.M.M. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003.
"A sequential approach to testing seasonal unit roots in high frequency data ,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 2003-14 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] Paulo Rodrigues & Philip Franses, 2005.
"A sequential approach to testing seasonal unit roots in high frequency data ,"
Journal of Applied Statistics ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) John Galbraith, 1999.
"Content Horizons for Forecasts of Economic Time Series ,"
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99s-17, CIRANO.
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Other versions: Jérôme Foulon & Paul Lanoie & Benoit Laplante, 1999.
"Incentives for Pollution Control: Regulation or (and?) Information ,"
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99s-11, CIRANO.
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Ngo Van Long & Antoine Soubeyran, 1999.
"Cost Manipulation Games in Oligopoly, with Costs of Manipulating ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
99s-13, CIRANO.
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Long, Ngo Van & Soubeyran, Antoine, 2001.
"Cost Manipulation Games in Oligopoly, with Costs of Manipulating ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 42(2), pages 505-33, May.
Patrice Roussel & Michel Tremblay, 1999.
"Modelling the Role of Organizational Justice: Effects on Satisfaction and Unionization Propensity of Canadian Managers ,"
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