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Which are the long-run determinants of US outward FDI? Evidence using large long-memory panels

Author

Listed:
  • Mariam Camarero

    (University Jaume I and INTECO, Department of Economics, Campus de Riu Sec, E-12080 Castellón, Spain.)

  • Sergi Moliner

    (University Jaume I and INTECO, Department of Economics, Campus de Riu Sec, E-12080 Castellón, Spain.)

  • Cecilio Tamarit

    (University of València and INTECO, Department of Applied Economics II, Av. dels Tarongers, s/n Eastern Department Building E-46022 Valencia, Spain.)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of US outward FDI stock, focusing mainly on the Euro Area (EA) for the period 1985-2019. We consider a sample of 54 developed and emerging host countries representing over 70% of the total US outward FDI stock. We aim to capture different determinants by country groups zooming in on the European Union (EU). We implement a Dynamic Common Correlated Effects Pooled Mean Group (DCCEPMG) estimator for this aim. Our econometric approach is especially suited for analyzing integrated economic areas as it allows us to deal with cross-section dependence (CSD), non-stationarity, structural breaks, and slope homogeneity usually present in large panel data. Our main results suggest that horizontal (HFDI) and vertical (VFDI) strategies coexist for all country groups. However, as we move towards more homogeneous groups, the results show greater importance of VFDI. Additionally, we find that some variables have a common long-run effect on US OFDI, especially for smaller and more homogeneous groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariam Camarero & Sergi Moliner & Cecilio Tamarit, 2022. "Which are the long-run determinants of US outward FDI? Evidence using large long-memory panels," Working Papers 2210, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  • Handle: RePEc:eec:wpaper:2210
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    Keywords

    BMA; DCCEPMG; long-run; structural breaks; economic integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • R39 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other

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