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Joint Optimization of Customer Segmentation and Marketing Policy to Maximize Long-Term Profitability

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Author Info
J.-J. JONKER
N. PIERSMA
D. VAN DEN POEL ()

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Abstract

With the advent of one-to-one marketing media, e.g. targeted direct mail or internet marketing, the opportunities to develop targeted marketing (customer relationship management) campaigns are enhanced in such a way that it is now both organizationally and economically feasible to profitably support a substantially larger number of marketing segments. However, the problem of what segments to distinguish, and what actions to take towards the different segments increases substantially in such an environment. A systematic analytic procedure optimizing both steps would be very welcome. In this study, we present a joint optimization approach addressing two issues: (1) the segmentation of customers into homogeneous groups of customers, (2) determining the optimal policy (i.e., what action to take from a set of available actions) towards each segment. We implement this joint optimization framework in a direct-mail setting for a charitable organization. Many previous studies in this area highlighted the importance of the following variables: R(ecency), F(requency), and M(onetary value). We use these variables to segment customers. In a second step, we determine which marketing policy is optimal using markov decision processes, following similar previous applications. The attractiveness of this stochastic dynamic programming procedure is based on the long-run maximization of expected average profit. Our contribution lies in the combination of both steps into one optimization framework to obtain an optimal allocation of marketing expenditures. Moreover, we control segment stability and policy performance by a bootstrap procedure. Our framework is illustrated by a real-life application. The results show that the proposed model outperforms a CHAID segmentation.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its series Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium with number 03/214.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:03/214

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Related research
Keywords: direct marketing; econometric models; sample selection; target selection; endogeneity.;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Donkers, A.C.D. & Jonker, J-J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 2001. "Deriving Target Selection Rules from Endogenously Selected Samples," Research Paper ERS-2001-68-MKT Revision_, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. N. Piersma & J.J.J. Jonker, 2000. "Determining the direct mailing frequency with dynamic stochastic programming," Econometric Institute Report 207, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
  3. B. Baesens & G. Verstraeten & D. Van Den Poel & M. Egmont-Petersen & P. Van Kenhove & J. Vanthienen, 2002. "Bayesian Network Classifiers for Identifying the Slope of the Customer - Lifecycle of Long-Life Customers," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 02/154, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Hruschka, Harald, 2002. "Market share analysis using semi-parametric attraction models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 212-225, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. J.J. Jonker & N. Piersma & R. Potharst, 2002. "Direct mailing decisions for a Dutch fundraiser," Econometric Institute Report 281, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. A. Prinzie & D. Van Den Poel, 2005. "Constrained optimization of data-mining problems to improve model performance: A direct-marketing application," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 05/298, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jonker, J-J. & Piersma, N. & Potharst, R., 2002. "Direct Mailing Decisions for a Dutch Fundraiser," Research Paper ERS-2002-111-LIS Revision, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus Uni. [Downloadable!]
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