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Foreign aid volatility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?

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  • Boateng, Elliot
  • Agbola, Frank W.
  • Mahmood, Amir

Abstract

This paper investigates whether foreign aid volatility affects economic growth in countries with an effective institution. Specifically, we examine the role of institutional quality in aid volatility-growth nexus using data from 45 Sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1980–2017. We account for different aid types, namely, aid commitment and aid disbursement. Our results show that, unlike foreign aid disbursement, foreign aid commitment is growth-enhancing, but aid volatility adversely impacts on economic growth. We find that although institutional quality and its sub-dimensions enhances economic growth, it fails to curtail the adverse effect of aid volatility on economic growth. With regard to aid flows, aid benefits a country only if the donor commits to provide the aid to the recipient country. Exploiting aid flows’ policy implication, the paper further uncovers that promoting an effective institution could enhance aid effectiveness in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Boateng, Elliot & Agbola, Frank W. & Mahmood, Amir, 2021. "Foreign aid volatility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 111-127.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:96:y:2021:i:c:p:111-127
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.032
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    132. Oya Celasun & Jan Walliser, 2008. "Predictability of aid: Do fickle donors undermine aid effectiveness? [‘The colonial origins of comparative development: An empirical investigation’]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 23(55), pages 546-594.
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    3. Panika Jain & Samaresh Bardhan, 2023. "Energy aid volatility across developing countries: a disaggregated sectoral analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 457-483, July.
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    5. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Posu, Sunday M.A., 2022. "Growth and growth disparities in Africa: Are differences in renewable energy use, technological advancement, and institutional reforms responsible?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 265-277.
    6. Acheampong, Alex O. & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Dzator, Janet & Kufuor, Nana Kwabena, 2022. "Enhancing human development in developing regions: Do ICT and transport infrastructure matter?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    7. Shen Jiahao & Ridwan Lanre Ibrahim & Kazeem Ajide Bello & David Mautin Oke, 2022. "Trade facilitation, institutions, and sustainable economic growth: Empirical evidence from Sub‐Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(2), pages 201-214, June.
    8. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Acheampong, Alex O., 2023. "Energy justice and economic growth: Does democracy matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 160-186.
    9. Acheampong, Alex O. & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Dogah, Kingsley E., 2023. "The political economy of energy transition: The role of globalization and governance in the adoption of clean cooking fuels and technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PB).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign aid; Aid volatility; Institutions; Economic growth; Sub-Saharan Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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