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Consequences of Aid Volatility for Macroeconomic Management and Aid Effectiveness

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  • Hudson, John

Abstract

We conclude that individual aid sector volatility matters as well as total aid volatility. Easily, the most important contributor to total volatility is debt aid. The most volatile aid sectors per se include debt, industry, and humanitarian, and the least include education and health. In several sectors volatility appears to have peaked around 2006. Within individual countries, sector volatility is often corrected for in the following period, there are also sometimes knock-on effects on other sectors. Finally we examine the impact of sector aid, and aid volatility, on school completion rates, death rates, Internet usage, and mobile phone subscriptions.

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  • Hudson, John, 2015. "Consequences of Aid Volatility for Macroeconomic Management and Aid Effectiveness," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 62-74.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:69:y:2015:i:c:p:62-74
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.12.010
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    7. Jean-François Brun & Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2019. "Tax reform, public revenue and public revenue instability in developing countries: Does development aid matter?," Working Papers halshs-02089734, HAL.
    8. Francois Cornelius Wehncke & Patricia Lindelwa Makoni & Godfrey Marozva, 2022. "Nexus Between FDI, ODA and Economic Growth in Developing African Countries: A Systems Approach," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 97-114, December.
    9. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2021. "Aid for trade unpredictability and trade-related government expenditure in recipient-countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 107-125.
    10. Furukawa, Mitsuaki, 2014. "Aid Fragmentation and Effectiveness for Infant and Child Mortality and Primary School Completion," Working Papers 83, JICA Research Institute.
    11. Ernesto Crivelli & Sanjeev Gupta, 2017. "Does Conditionality Mitigate the Potential Negative Effect of Aid on Revenues?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1057-1074, July.
    12. Jean-François Brun & Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2019. "Tax reform, public revenue and public revenue instability in developing countries: Does development aid matter?," CERDI Working papers halshs-02089734, HAL.
    13. Kar, Ashim Kumar, 2016. "Aid and Human Development: Is There A Role for Good Policy Environment?," MPRA Paper 95433, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2018.
    14. Souha El Khanji, 2022. "Donors’ Interest in Water and Sanitation Subsectors," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(2), pages 611-654, April.
    15. Muhammad A Ingratubun & Akhmad Fauzi, 2021. "Opening the Black Box: Disbursement Delays Impacts on Growth in Asian Development Bank Loan Projects in Indonesia," ConScienS Conference Proceedings 029mi, Research Association for Interdisciplinary Studies.
    16. Boateng, Elliot & Agbola, Frank W. & Mahmood, Amir, 2021. "Foreign aid volatility and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does institutional quality matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 111-127.
    17. Mele, Antonio & Paglialunga, Elena & Sforna, Giorgia, 2021. "Climate cooperation from Kyoto to Paris: What can be learnt from the CDM experience?," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Olofinbiyi, Tolulope & Mogues, Tewodaj, 2017. "Who Influences Government Spending in Agriculture? The Roles of Public Actors in Subnational Funding Allocation in Nigeria," Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Papers 259572, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security (FSP).
    19. Maame Esi Woode & Duncan Mortimer & Rohan Sweeney, 2021. "The impact of health sector‐wide approaches on aid effectiveness and infant mortality," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 826-844, July.
    20. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Nihal Bayraktar, 2020. "Aid Volatility, Human Capital, and Growth," Journal of Human Capital, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(3), pages 401-448.

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