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Regional and global spillovers and diversification opportunities in the GCC equity sectors

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  • Balcılar, Mehmet
  • Demirer, Rıza
  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat

Abstract

This paper examines the international diversification benefits of bloc-wide equity sectors in the oil-rich Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by comparing alternative spillover models that encompass local, regional and global factors. Some GCC-wide equity sectors/subsectors are found to display segmentation from global markets during periods of high and extreme market volatility, and thus can serve as safe havens for international portfolio investors during such periods. The in- and out-of-sample portfolio analyses further suggest that supplementing global portfolios with positions in the GCC markets yields significant international diversification benefits, consistently offering much improved risk-adjusted returns across the alternative spillover models.

Suggested Citation

  • Balcılar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2015. "Regional and global spillovers and diversification opportunities in the GCC equity sectors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 160-187.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:24:y:2015:i:c:p:160-187
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2015.06.002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GCC-wide equity sectors; Multivariate regime-switching; Time-varying correlations; Financial integration; International portfolio diversification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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