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The Dynamics and Volatility of Prices in a Vertical Sector

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  • Jean‐Paul Chavas
  • Fanghui Pan

Abstract

This paper studies the evolving distribution of prices in a vertical sector in the presence of market cycles. It investigates the dynamic linkages between farm and retail prices with an application to the Chinese pork sector. The econometric approach relies on a quantile autoregressive (QAR) model that provides a flexible representation of the dynamics of price volatility. It investigates the presence and nature of price cycles and their implications for price transmission. We document that the marketing margin is more sensitive to changes in consumer income than in feed cost. In addition, rising feed cost increases the amplitude of the cycle while higher consumer income increases the period of the cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean‐Paul Chavas & Fanghui Pan, 2020. "The Dynamics and Volatility of Prices in a Vertical Sector," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(1), pages 353-369, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ajagec:v:102:y:2020:i:1:p:353-369
    DOI: 10.1093/ajae/aaz038
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    2. Bożena Kusz & Dariusz Kusz & Iwona Bąk & Maciej Oesterreich & Ludwik Wicki & Grzegorz Zimon, 2022. "Selected Economic Determinants of Labor Profitability in Family Farms in Poland in Relation to Economic Size," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, October.
    3. Jingjing Wang & Xiaoyang Wang & Xiaohua Yu, 2023. "Shocks, cycles and adjustments: The case of China's Hog Market under external shocks," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 703-726, July.
    4. Yang, Yao & Karali, Berna, 2024. "A Multivariate Quantile Approach for Testing Asymmetric Price Transmission in a Joint Production Process," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 0(Preprint), January.
    5. Ma, Meilin & Wang, H. Holly & Hua, Yizhou & Qin, Fei & Yang, Jing, 2021. "African swine fever in China: Impacts, responses, and policy implications," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    6. Luca Cattivelli & Federico Antonioli, 2023. "When cointegration is interrupted: Price transmission analysis in the Italian dairy‐feed industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 744-761, July.
    7. Yang, Yao & Karali, Berna, 2022. "How far is too far for volatility transmission?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).

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