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Tuomas Antero Peltonen

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Matthieu Bussière & Delle Chiaie, S. & Peltonen, T. A., 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy," Working papers 424, Banque de France.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Should we really worry about currency wars?
      by Steve Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz in Money, Banking and Financial Markets on 2014-12-08 19:42:00

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Policy responses

Working papers

  1. Abad, Jorge & D'Errico, Marco & Killeen, Neill & Luz, Vera & Peltonen, Tuomas & Portes, Richard & Urbano, Teresa, 2017. "Mapping the interconnectedness between EU banks and shadow banking entities," CEPR Discussion Papers 11919, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Celso Brunetti & Christoph Frei, 2026. "Bank Regulation and the Rise of Nonbank Intermediation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2026-030, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Olivér Kovács, 2019. "Grounding Complexity Economics in Framing Modern Governance," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 69(4), pages 571-594, December.
    3. Adam Kucera & Milan Szabo, 2021. "Interconnectedness and contagion in the Czech financial system," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes,, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    4. Roncoroni, Alan & Battiston, Stefano & D'Errico, Marco & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Kok, Christoffer, 2019. "Interconnected banks and systemically important exposures," Working Paper Series 2331, European Central Bank.
    5. Daniel Carvalho, 2022. "Intra-financial assets and the intermediation role of the financial sector," Trinity Economics Papers tep0622, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    6. Claudia M. Buch & Linda S. Goldberg, 2021. "Complexity and Riskiness of Banking Organizations: Evidence from the International Banking Research Network," Staff Reports 966, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    7. Herzberg, Valerie & McQuade, Peter, 2018. "International bank flows and bank business models since the crisis," Financial Stability Notes 5/FS/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    8. Claudia Gabriela Baicu, 2019. "Regular Banking System versus Shadow Banking System. A Comparative Assessment of Evidence from Romania," Journal of Economic Development, Environment and People, Alliance of Central-Eastern European Universities, vol. 8(4), pages 24-41, December.
    9. Sarah Goldman & Virginia Zhelyazkova, 2023. "Drivers of Shadow Banking System: A Panel Empirical Approach for Developed Countries," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 95-122.
    10. Louis Daumas, 2021. "Should we fear transition risks - A review of the applied literature," Working Papers 2021.05, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    11. Maurizio Trapanese, 2021. "The economics of non-bank financial intermediation: why do we need to fill the regulation gap?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 625, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    12. Kovács, Olivér, 2017. "Az ipar 4.0 komplexitása - I [The complexity of industry 4.0 - Part 1]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 823-851.
    13. Olivier de Bandt & Sandrine Lecarpentier & Cyril Pouvelle, 2020. "Determinants of Banks’ Liquidity: a French Perspective on Interactions between Market and Regulatory Requirements [Les déterminants de la liquidité bancaire : une perspective française sur les interactions entre les exigences du marché et les exig," Débats Economiques et financiers 35, Banque de France.
    14. Li, Jieying & Myers, Samantha, 2025. "Shadow banks or just not banks? Growth of the Swedish non-bank sector," Working Paper Series 448, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    15. Cappiello, Lorenzo & Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Maddaloni, Angela & Mayordomo, Sergio & Unger, Robert & Arts, Laura & Meme, Nicolas & Asimakopoulos, Ioannis & Migiakis, Petros & Behrens, Caterina & Moura, 2021. "Non-bank financial intermediation in the euro area: implications for monetary policy transmission and key vulnerabilities," Occasional Paper Series 270, European Central Bank.
    16. Yulia S. Evlakhova & Nataliya A. Amosova, 2022. "Nonbank Financial Intermediation in Times of Crisis: Identifying Leadership in the G20 Countries," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 21(3), pages 426-453.
    17. Inaki Aldasoro & Wenqian Huang & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Cross-border links between banks and non-bank financial institutions," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    18. Barucca, Paolo & Mahmood, Tahir & Silvestri, Laura, 2021. "Common asset holdings and systemic vulnerability across multiple types of financial institution," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    19. Martin Hodula, 2018. "Off the Radar: Exploring the Rise of Shadow Banking in the EU," Working Papers 2018/16, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    20. Foglia, Matteo & Angelini, Eliana, 2020. "From me to you: Measuring connectedness between Eurozone financial institutions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Ms. Yuko Hashimoto & Signe Krogstrup, 2019. "Capital Flows: The Role of Bank and Nonbank Balance Sheets," IMF Working Papers 2019/085, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Bethlendi András & Mérő Katalin & Orlovits Zsanett, 2024. "Shadow Banking in Central and Eastern Europe: Specificities and Drivers," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Paradigm, vol. 19(2), pages 13-29.
    23. Philipp Kirchner & Benjamin Schwanebeck, 2020. "Shadow banking and the design of macroprudential policy in a monetary union," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202024, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    24. Meglioli, Francesco & Gauci, Stephanie, 2021. "A Multi-level Network Approach to Spillovers Analysis: An Application to the Maltese Domestic Investment Funds Sector," ESRB Working Paper Series 124, European Systemic Risk Board.
    25. Barattieri, Alessandro & Moretti, Laura & Quadrini, Vincenzo, 2021. "Banks funding, leverage, and investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 148-171.
    26. Hałaj, Grzegorz, 2018. "System-wide implications of funding risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1151-1181.
    27. Hodula, Martin & Melecky, Ales & Machacek, Martin, 2020. "Off the radar: Factors behind the growth of shadow banking in Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    28. Martin Hodula, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking: Trapped between a Rock and a Hard Place," Working Papers 2019/5, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    29. Peter Eccles & Paul Grout & Anna Zalewska & Paolo Siciliani, 2023. "Open banking, shadow banking and regulation," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1039, Bank of England.
    30. Étienne Kintzler & Mathias Lé & Kevin Parra Ramirez, 2019. "Capturing banking flows: The predominant role of OFCs in the international financial architecture," Débats Economiques et financiers 34, Banque de France.

  2. Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.

    Cited by:

    1. Skare, Marinko & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Porada-Rochon, Małgorzata, 2025. "Isolating financial cycles using the fractional cyclical model in selected economies: 1970–2019," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 67-77.
    2. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
    3. Connor Bryant & Bernd Süssmuth, 2019. "Is the Relationship of Wealth Inequality with the Real, Financial and Housing Cycle Country-Specific?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 47(3), pages 323-341, September.
    4. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Oguzhan Cepni & Yavuz Selim Hacihasanoglu & Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz, 2020. "Credit decomposition and economic activity in Turkey: A wavelet-based approach," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(3), pages 109-131.
    6. Kauko, Karlo & Tölö, Eero, 2019. "Banking crisis prediction with differenced relative credit," BoF Economics Review 4/2019, Bank of Finland.
    7. Luboš Hanus & Lukáš Vácha, 2020. "Growth cycle synchronization of the Visegrad Four and the European Union," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1779-1795, April.
    8. Gammadigbe, Vigninou, 2022. "Financial Cycles Synchronization in WAEMU Countries: Implications for Macroprudential Policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    9. Adam Cagliarini & Fiona Price, 2017. "Exploring the Link between the Macroeconomic and Financial Cycles," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    10. Kurowski, Łukasz & Rogowicz, Karol, 2018. "Are business and credit cycles synchronised internally or externally?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 124-141.
    11. Su, Xianfang & Chen, Meixia, 2024. "Financial connectedness in BRICS: Quantile effects and BRICS SUMMIT impacts," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. Khwazi Magubane & Phocenah Nyatanga & Ntokozo Nzimande, 2024. "Financial cycle synchronization in the advanced and systemic middle-income economies: evidence from a dynamic factor model," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 13(7), pages 301-314, October.
    13. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
    14. Gallegati, Marco, 2026. "Financial and business cycles in the US: A non-parametric time–frequency investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    15. Tore Dubbert & Adrian Schroeder, 2025. "Conditioning business and financial cycles on multivariate information," CQE Working Papers 11225, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    16. Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective," Discussion Papers 04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
    18. Khwazi Magubane, 2024. "Financial cycles synchronisation in South Africa. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) Approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 2321069-232, December.
    19. Basak, Deepal & Zhao, Yunhui, 2026. "Learning, externality, and optimal financial regulation," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    20. Deepal Basak & Mr. Yunhui Zhao, 2018. "Does Financial Tranquility Call for Stringent Regulation?," IMF Working Papers 2018/123, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.
    23. Łukasz Markowski & Aleksandra Ostrowska, 2024. "Synchronizacja cyklu gospodarczego i finansowego w krajach Unii Europejskiej," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 2, pages 178-208.
    24. Kauko, Karlo & Tölö, Eero, 2019. "On the long-run calibration of the credit-to-GDP gap as a banking crisis predictor," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2019, Bank of Finland.
    25. Gerba, Eddie & Leiva-León, Danilo & Rubio, Margarita, 2024. "Inspecting cross-border macro-financial mechanisms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    26. Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2019. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    27. Cabral, Inês & Detken, Carsten & Fell, John & Henry, Jérôme & Hiebert, Paul & Kapadia, Sujit & Pires, Fatima & Salleo, Carmelo & Constâncio, Vítor & Nicoletti Altimari, Sergio, 2019. "Macroprudential policy at the ECB: Institutional framework, strategy, analytical tools and policies," Occasional Paper Series 227, European Central Bank.

  3. Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "A new database for financial crises in European countries," Occasional Paper Series 194, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Apostolos Chalkis & Emmanouil Christoforou & Theodore Dalamagkas & Ioannis Z. Emiris, 2021. "Modeling of crisis periods in stock markets," Papers 2103.13294, arXiv.org.
    2. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and financial crisis indicators," Discussion Papers 36/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    3. Roberta Fiori & Claudia Pacella, 2019. "Should the CCYB be enhanced with a sectoral dimension? The case of Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 499, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Lang, Jan Hannes & Welz, Peter, 2018. "Semi-structural credit gap estimation," Working Paper Series 2194, European Central Bank.
    5. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions?," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    6. Brzezicka Justyna & Łaszek Jacek & Olszewski Krzysztof, 2019. "An Analysis of the Relationships Between Domestic Real Estate Markets – A Systemic Approach," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Paradigm, vol. 27(1), pages 79-91, March.
    7. Jorge E. Galán, 2020. "The benefits are at the tail: uncovering the impact of macroprudential policy on growth-at-risk," Working Papers 2007, Banco de España.
    8. Frederic Boissay & Stijn Claessens & Alan Villegas, 2020. "Tools for managing banking distress: historical experience and lessons for today," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    9. Capraru, Bogdan & Georgescu, George & Sprincean, Nicu, 2020. "An evaluation of IFIs impact on EU countries budget deficits," Working Papers of Romania Fiscal Council 201101, Romania Fiscal Council.
    10. Lang, Jan Hannes & Forletta, Marco, 2020. "Cyclical systemic risk and downside risks to bank profitability," Working Paper Series 2405, European Central Bank.
    11. Bro de Comères, Quentin, 2025. "Predicting European banks distress events: Do financial information producers matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    12. Merike Kukk & Alari Paulus & Nicolas Reigl, 2022. "Credit market concentration and systemic risk in Europe," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2022-4, Bank of Estonia, revised 24 Mar 2022.
    13. Jérémy Fouliard & Michael Howell & Hélène Rey, 2021. "Answering the Queen: Machine learning and financial crises," BIS Working Papers 926, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Pierluigi Bologna & Maddalena Galardo, 2020. "Financial crises, macroprudential policy and the reliability of credit-to-GDP gaps," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 567, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Sarah Vella, 2025. "Constructing a country-specific indicator for cyclical systemic risk," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-63, June.
    16. Giancarlo Corsetti & Barry Eichengreen & Galina Hale & Eric Tallman, 2019. "The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS: How Tying Odysseus to the Mast Avoided the Sirens but Led Him to Charybdis," Working Paper Series 2019-4, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    17. Ludovic Calès & Apostolos Chalkis & Ioannis Z. Emiris & Vissarion Fisikopoulos, 2018. "Practical Volume Computation of Structured Convex Bodies, and an Application to Modeling Portfolio Dependencies and Financial Crises," Post-Print hal-01897265, HAL.
    18. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2022. "Finance, growth and (macro)prudential policy: European evidence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 537-571, May.
    19. Jorge E. Galán, 2021. "CREWS: a CAMELS-based early warning system of systemic risk in the banking sector," Occasional Papers 2132, Banco de España.
    20. Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    21. Christopher F Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Bing Xu, 2017. "The Impact of Uncertainty on Financial Institutions," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 939, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 20 Sep 2018.
    22. Demir, Müge & Önder, Zeynep, 2025. "Financial connectivity in cross-border lending and crises: Role of financial and legislative integration," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    23. Ionut Jianu, 2020. "The Relationship between the Economic and Financial Crises and Unemployment Rate in the European Union -- How Institutions Affected Their Linkage," Papers 2007.12007, arXiv.org.
    24. Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2020. "Cross-border lending and the international transmission of banking crises," Discussion Papers 2020/13, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    25. Clemente, Gian Paolo & Cornaro, Alessandra, 2022. "A multilayer approach for systemic risk in the insurance sector," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    26. Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2018. "Going With the Flows: New Borrowing, Debt Service and the Transmission of Credit Booms," NBER Working Papers 24549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2021. "Which Credit Gap Is Better at Predicting Financial Crises? A Comparison of Univariate Filters," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-31, October.
    28. Kauko, Karlo & Tölö, Eero, 2019. "Banking crisis prediction with differenced relative credit," BoF Economics Review 4/2019, Bank of Finland.
    29. Chris Reimann, 2024. "Predicting financial crises: an evaluation of machine learning algorithms and model explainability for early warning systems," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 51-83, June.
    30. Yeddou, Nacera & Pourroy, Marc, 2020. "Bank liquidity creation: Does ownership structure matter?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 116-131.
    31. Gereben, Áron & Rop, Anton & Petriček, Matic & Winkler, Adalbert, 2019. "The impact of international financial institutions on small and medium enterprises: The case of EIB lending in Central and Eastern Europe," EIB Working Papers 2019/09, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    32. Virtanen, Timo & Tölö, Eero & Virén, Matti & Taipalus, Katja, 2018. "Can bubble theory foresee banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 66-81.
    33. Christopher F. Baum & Mustafa Caglayan & Bing Xu, 2021. "The impact of uncertainty on financial institutions: A cross‐country study," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3719-3739, July.
    34. Erhart, Szilard, 2019. "Exposition, climax, denouement: Life-cycle evaluation of the recent financial crisis in the EU by linking the ESRB financial crisis database to the European Commission's Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure Scoreboard," ESRB Working Paper Series 102, European Systemic Risk Board.
    35. Bouvatier, Vincent & Delatte, Anne-Laure & Rehault, Pierre-Nicolas, 2022. "Measuring credit procyclicality: A new database," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    36. Marcin Borsuk & Konrad Kostrzewa, 2020. "Miary ryzyka systemowego dla Polski. Jak ryzyko systemowe wpływa na akcję kredytową banków?," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(3), pages 211-238.
    37. Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2018. "Empirical assessment of alternative structural methods for identifying cyclical systemic risk in Europe," Working Papers 1825, Banco de España.
    38. Christopher F Baum & Caterina Forti Grazzini & Dorothea Schäfer, 2020. "Institutional diversity in domestic banking sectors and bank stability: A cross-country study," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1008, Boston College Department of Economics.
    39. Krzysztof Biegun & Jacek Karwowski & Piotr Luty, 2021. "How Effective is Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP) in Predicting Negative Macroeconomic Phenomena?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 822-837.
    40. Gian Paolo Clemente & Rosanna Grassi & Chiara Pederzoli, 2020. "Networks and market-based measures of systemic risk: the European banking system in the aftermath of the financial crisis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 159-181, January.
    41. Zsuzsanna Hosszu & Gergely Lakos, 2022. "Early Warning Performance of Univariate Credit-to-GDP Gaps," MNB Occasional Papers 2022/142, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    42. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "A risk management perspective on macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2556, European Central Bank.
    43. Diego Chicana & Rafael Nivin, 2021. "Evaluating Growth-at-Risk as a tool for monitoring macro-financial risks in the Peruvian economy," IHEID Working Papers 07-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    44. Jakubik, Petr & Moinescu, Bogdan Gabriel, 2025. "Where to draw the line in prudential policy? Insights into banking stability and risk tolerance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    45. Fernandez-Gallardo, Alvaro, 2023. "Preventing financial disasters: Macroprudential policy and financial crises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    46. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "Does machine learning help us predict banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    47. Quentin Bro de Comères, 2022. "Predicting European Banks Distress Events: Do Financial Information Producers Matter?," Working Papers hal-03752678, HAL.
    48. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    49. Abry, Patrice & Bastidon, Cécile & Borgnat, Pierre & Jensen, Pablo & Parent, Antoine & Pascal, Barbara, 2026. "New developments and perspectives on financial crisis indicators: How can signal processing enrich existing financial crises indicators?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    50. Hodula, Martin & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024. "Does macroprudential policy leak? Evidence from shadow bank lending in EU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    51. Hristov, Nikolay & Roth, Markus, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and systemic-risk indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    52. Demir, Müge & Önder, Zeynep, 2019. "Financial connectivity and excessive liquidity: Benefit or risk?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 203-221.
    53. Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Castro, Vítor & Wood, Justine, 2022. "A new comprehensive database of financial crises: Identification, frequency, and duration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    54. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    55. Konrad Adler & Frederic Boissay, 2020. "Dealing with bank distress: Insights from a comprehensive database," BIS Working Papers 909, Bank for International Settlements.
    56. De Nora, Giorgia & Pereira, Ana & Pirovano, Mara & Stammwitz, Florian, 2025. "From losses to buffer - calibrating the positive neutral CCyB rate in the euro area," Working Paper Series 3061, European Central Bank.
    57. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Korinek, Anton, 2023. "Long-term debt propagation and real reversals," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2023, Bank of Finland.
    58. Hodula, Martin & Libich, Jan, 2023. "Has monetary policy fueled the rise in shadow banking?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    59. Willem Vanlaer & Mattia Picarelli & Wim Marneffe, 2021. "Debt and Private Investment: Does the EU Suffer from a Debt Overhang?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 789-820, September.
    60. Lanbiao Liu & Chen Chen & Bo Wang, 2022. "Predicting financial crises with machine learning methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 871-910, August.
    61. Filippopoulou, Chryssanthi & Galariotis, Emilios & Spyrou, Spyros, 2020. "An early warning system for predicting systemic banking crises in the Eurozone: A logit regression approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 344-363.
    62. Jorge E. Galán, 2019. "Measuring credit-to-gdp gaps. The hodrick-prescott filter revisited," Occasional Papers 1906, Banco de España.
    63. Carlos Viñuela & Juan Sapena & Gonzalo Wandosell, 2020. "The Future of Money and the Central Bank Digital Currency Dilemma," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-22, November.
    64. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.
    65. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin, 2022. "Early warning or too late? A (pseudo-)real-time identification of leading indicators of financial stress," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    66. Kockerols, Thore & Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt & Mimir, Yasin, 2026. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    67. Kockerols, Thore & Kok, Christoffer, 2019. "Leaning against the wind: macroprudential policy and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2223, European Central Bank.
    68. Thibaut Duprey & Timothy Grieder & Dylan Hogg, 2017. "Recent Evolution of Canada’s Credit-to-GDP Gap: Measurement and Interpretation," Staff Analytical Notes 17-25, Bank of Canada.
    69. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria & Karminsky, Alexander, 2022. "When central bank research meets Google search: A sentiment index of global financial stress," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    70. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2021. "Does Macroprudential Policy Leak? Evidence from Non-Bank Credit Intermediation in EU Countries," Working Papers 2021/5, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    71. Boh, Samo & Borgioli, Stefano & Coman, Andra & Chiriacescu, Bogdan & Koban, Anne & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Pirovano, Mara & Schepens, Thomas & Veiga, Joao, 2019. "European macroprudential database," Statistics Paper Series 32, European Central Bank.
    72. Jianu, Ionuț, 2018. "The Impact of Economic and Financial Crises on Unemployment Rate in European Union," EconStor Conference Papers 194294, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    73. Martin Hodula & Jan Janku & Lukas Pfeifer, 2021. "Interaction of Cyclical and Structural Systemic Risks: Insights from Around and After the Global Financial Crisis," Research and Policy Notes 2021/03, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    74. Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?," IMF Working Papers 2021/197, International Monetary Fund.
    75. Budnik, Katarzyna, 2020. "The effect of macroprudential policies on credit developments in Europe 1995-2017," Working Paper Series 2462, European Central Bank.
    76. Borghi, Elisa & Masciandaro, Donato & Papini, Alessia, 2024. "European politicians and financial literacy activism: Does financial (in)stability matter?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    77. Bengtsson, Elias, 2020. "Macroprudential policy in the EU: A political economy perspective," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    78. Hodula, Martin & Melecky, Ales & Machacek, Martin, 2020. "Off the radar: Factors behind the growth of shadow banking in Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    79. Shamshadali, Perumbalath & Gafoor, C.P. Abdul & Daimari, Phungkha, 2025. "Mapping the future of banking crisis research: Key contributors and emerging areas," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 6(4).
    80. Lang, Jan Hannes & Izzo, Cosimo & Fahr, Stephan & Ruzicka, Josef, 2019. "Anticipating the bust: a new cyclical systemic risk indicator to assess the likelihood and severity of financial crises," Occasional Paper Series 219, European Central Bank.
    81. Apostolos Chalkis & Emmanouil Christoforou & Ioannis Z. Emiris & Theodore Dalamagas, 2021. "Modeling asset allocations and a new portfolio performance score," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 333-371, December.
    82. Andrieș, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Sovereign Bond Risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    83. Coussin, Maximilien, 2022. "Singular spectrum analysis for real-time financial cycles measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    84. Afanasyeva, Elena & Jerow, Sam & Lee, Seung Jung & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Sowing the seeds of financial imbalances: The role of macroeconomic performance," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    85. Poghosyan, Tigran, 2020. "How effective is macroprudential policy? Evidence from lending restriction measures in EU countries," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    86. Ciara Reynolds & Micheál L. Collins, 2025. "Asset Management Companies and the Global Financial Crisis in Ireland and Spain," Working Papers 202502, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
    87. Gian Paolo Clemente & Alessandra Cornaro, 2020. "Assessing Systemic Risk in the Insurance Sector via Network Theory," Papers 2011.11394, arXiv.org.
    88. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2023. "Leading indicators of financial stress in Croatia: a regime switching approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 205-232.
    89. Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2021. "Model-based indicators for the identification of cyclical systemic risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3179-3211, December.
    90. Metiu, Norbert, 2022. "A composite indicator of financial conditions for Germany," Technical Papers 03/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    91. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Eichengreen, Barry & Hale, Galina & Tallmann, Eric, 2019. "The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS," CEPR Discussion Papers 13522, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    92. Somnath Chatterjee & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Thibaut Duprey & Sinem Hacıoğlu‐Hoke, 2022. "Systemic Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Amplifications in the United Kingdom," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 380-400, April.
    93. Pierluigi Bologna & Maddalena Galardo, 2022. "Calibrating the countercyclical capital buffer for Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 679, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    94. Pelzer, Manuel & Barasinska, Nataliya & Buchholz, Manuel & Friedrich, Sören & Geiger, Sebastian & Hristov, Nikolay & Jamaldeen, Philip & Löffler, Axel & Madjarac, Marcel & Roth, Markus & Silbermann, L, 2021. "Deleveraging-Potenzial im deutschen Bankensystem und Auswirkungen auf die Finanzstabilität [Potential deleveraging in the German banking system and effects on financial stability]," Technical Papers 12/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    95. Lyons, Paul & Nevin, Ciarán & Shaw, Frances, 2019. "Real-estate concentration in the Irish banking system," Financial Stability Notes 4/FS/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
    96. Căpraru, Bogdan & Georgescu, George & Sprincean, Nicu, 2022. "Do independent fiscal institutions cause better fiscal outcomes in the European Union?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(2).
    97. Cabral, Inês & Detken, Carsten & Fell, John & Henry, Jérôme & Hiebert, Paul & Kapadia, Sujit & Pires, Fatima & Salleo, Carmelo & Constâncio, Vítor & Nicoletti Altimari, Sergio, 2019. "Macroprudential policy at the ECB: Institutional framework, strategy, analytical tools and policies," Occasional Paper Series 227, European Central Bank.

  4. D'Errico, Marco & Battiston, Stefano & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin, 2016. "How does risk flow in the credit default swap market?," ESRB Working Paper Series 33, European Systemic Risk Board.

    Cited by:

    1. Marco Bardoscia & Gerardo Ferrara & Nicholas Vause & Michael Yoganayagam, 2019. "Simulating liquidity stress in the derivatives market," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 838, Bank of England.
    2. Mark Paddrik & Stathis Tompaidis, 2019. "Market-Making Costs and Liquidity: Evidence from CDS Markets," Working Papers 19-01, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    3. Robert Czech, 2019. "Credit default swaps and corporate bond trading," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 810, Bank of England.
    4. Bianchi, Benedetta, 2021. "Cross-border credit derivatives linkages," ESRB Working Paper Series 115, European Systemic Risk Board.
    5. Michel Alexandre & Thiago Christiano Silva & Colm Connaughton & Francisco A. Rodrigues, 2021. "The Role of (non-)Topological Features as Drivers of Systemic Risk: a machine learning approach," Working Papers Series 556, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    6. P'al Andr'as Papp & Roger Wattenhofer, 2020. "Default Ambiguity: Finding the Best Solution to the Clearing Problem," Papers 2002.07741, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    7. Scheicher, Martin, 2023. "Intermediation in US and EU bond and swap markets: stylised facts, trends and impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis in March 2020," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 24, European Systemic Risk Board.
    8. Iñaki Aldasoro & Andreas Barth, 2017. "Syndicated loans and CDS positioning," BIS Working Papers 679, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. amri amamou, souhir & hellara, slaheddine, 2021. "The dynamic relationship between the sovereign CDS market and the Eurozone sovereign bond market (classified by maturity): Contagion or Spillovers?," MPRA Paper 109038, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Chiara Perillo & Stefano Battiston, 2020. "Financialization and unconventional monetary policy: a financial-network analysis," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 1385-1428, November.
    11. Jung Koo Kang & Christopher D. Williams & Regina Wittenberg-Moerman, 2021. "CDS trading and nonrelationship lending dynamics," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 258-292, March.
    12. Alexandre, Michel & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Connaughton, Colm & Rodrigues, Francisco A., 2021. "The drivers of systemic risk in financial networks: a data-driven machine learning analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    13. Ali Namaki & Jamshid Ardalankia & Reza Raei & Leila Hedayatifar & Ali Hosseiny & Emmanuel Haven & G. Reza Jafari, 2020. "Analysis of the Global Banking Network by Random Matrix Theory," Papers 2007.14447, arXiv.org.
    14. Miao Tang & Hong Fan, 2025. "Dynamic Multilayer Network for Systemic Risk and Bank Regulation Based on CDS," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 691-715, February.
    15. Iman van Lelyveld, 2017. "The use of derivatives trade repository data: possibilities and challenges," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Fontana, Silvia Dalla & Holz auf der Heide, Marco & Pelizzon, Loriana & Scheicher, Martin, 2019. "The anatomy of the euro area interest rate swap market," SAFE Working Paper Series 255, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    17. Banerjee, Suman & Kong, Mingyuan, 2025. "Modeling optimal strategies in CDS markets: The role of creditor-issuer dynamics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    18. Hałaj, Grzegorz & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin, 2018. "How did the Greek credit event impact the credit default swap market?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 136-158.
    19. Augustin, Patrick & Sokolovski, Valeri & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tomio, Davide, 2022. "How sovereign is sovereign credit risk? Global prices, local quantities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 92-111.
    20. Wang, Lei & Li, Shouwei & Chen, Tingqiang, 2019. "Investor behavior, information disclosure strategy and counterparty credit risk contagion," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 37-49.
    21. Matthew O. Jackson & Agathe Pernoud, 2020. "Credit Freezes, Equilibrium Multiplicity, and Optimal Bailouts in Financial Networks," Papers 2012.12861, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    22. Gabriele Visentin & Stefano Battiston & Marco D'Errico, 2016. "Rethinking Financial Contagion," Papers 1608.07831, arXiv.org.
    23. Elisa Letizia & Fabrizio Lillo, 2017. "Corporate payments networks and credit risk rating," Papers 1711.07677, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
    24. Miao Tang & Hong Fan, 2026. "Liquidity Risk in Chinese Banking System Based on Multiple Derivatives," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 67(1), pages 387-414, January.
    25. Iñaki Aldasoro & Torsten Ehlers, 2018. "The credit default swap market: what a difference a decade makes," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    26. Pawe³ Fiedor & Sarah Lapschies & Lucia Országhová, 2017. "Networks of counterparties in the centrally cleared EU-wide interest rate derivatives market," Working and Discussion Papers WP 7/2017, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    27. Marco D’Errico & Tarik Roukny, 2021. "Compressing Over-the-Counter Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 1660-1679, November.
    28. Abad, Jorge & D'Errico, Marco & Killeen, Neill & Luz, Vera & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Portes, Richard & Urbano, Teresa, 2017. "Mapping the interconnectedness between EU banks and shadow banking entities," ESRB Working Paper Series 40, European Systemic Risk Board.
    29. Marc Homs-Dones & Robert S. MacKay & Bazil Sansom & Yijie Zhou, 2025. "Circular Directional Flow Decomposition of Networks," Papers 2506.12546, arXiv.org.
    30. Yoshi FUJIWARA & Hiroyasu INOUE & Takayuki YAMAGUCHI & Hideaki AOYAMA & Takuma TANAKA & Kentaro KIKUCHI, 2021. "Money Flow Network Among Firms' Accounts in a Regional Bank of Japan," Discussion papers 21005, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    31. P'al Andr'as Papp & Roger Wattenhofer, 2020. "Network-Aware Strategies in Financial Systems," Papers 2002.07566, arXiv.org.
    32. Steffen Schuldenzucker & Sven Seuken & Stefano Battiston, 2020. "Default Ambiguity: Credit Default Swaps Create New Systemic Risks in Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(5), pages 1981-1998, May.
    33. Marco D'Errico & Tarik Roukny, 2017. "Compressing Over-the-Counter Markets," Papers 1705.07155, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    34. D'Errico, Marco & Roukny, Tarik, 2017. "Compressing over-the-counter markets," ESRB Working Paper Series 44, European Systemic Risk Board.
    35. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Guerra, Solange Maria & da Silva, Michel Alexandre & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2020. "Micro-level transmission of monetary policy shocks: The trading book channel," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 279-298.
    36. Financial Stability Committee, Task Force on cross-border Spillover Effects of macroprudential measures & Kok, Christoffer & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2020. "Cross-border spillover effects of macroprudential policies: a conceptual framework," Occasional Paper Series 242, European Central Bank.
    37. Fiedor, Paweł, 2018. "Clearinghouse-Five: determinants of voluntary clearing in European derivatives markets," ESRB Working Paper Series 72, European Systemic Risk Board.
    38. Marco Bardoscia & Paolo Barucca & Stefano Battiston & Fabio Caccioli & Giulio Cimini & Diego Garlaschelli & Fabio Saracco & Tiziano Squartini & Guido Caldarelli, 2021. "The Physics of Financial Networks," Papers 2103.05623, arXiv.org.
    39. Stolbova, Veronika & Monasterolo, Irene & Battiston, Stefano, 2018. "A Financial Macro-Network Approach to Climate Policy Evaluation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 239-253.
    40. Tabassum & Mohammad Yameen, 2024. "Why do banks use credit default swaps (CDS)? A systematic review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 201-231, February.

  5. Thibaut Duprey & Benjamin Klaus & Tuomas Peltonen, 2016. "Dating Systemic Financial Stress Episodes in the EU Countries," Staff Working Papers 16-11, Bank of Canada.

    Cited by:

    1. Arianna Miglietta & Fabrizio Venditti, 2019. "An indicator of macro-financial stress for Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 497, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Szendrei, Tibor & Varga, Katalin, 2023. "Revisiting vulnerable growth in the Euro Area: Identifying the role of financial conditions in the distribution," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    3. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Kapar, Burcu & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Quantifying the volatility spillover dynamics between financial stress and US financial sectors: Evidence from QVAR connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    4. Matej Tomec & Timotej Jagric, 2017. "Does the Amount and Time of Recapitalization Affect the Profitability of Commercial Banks?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(4), pages 318-341, August.
    5. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions?," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    6. Frederic Boissay & Fabrice Collard & Cristina Manea & Adam Shapiro, 2023. "Monetary tightening, inflation drivers and financial stress," BIS Working Papers 1155, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Alexander M. Karminsky & Ekaterina V. Seryakova, 2019. "Assessment of Cross-Border Transmission of Systemic Financial Risk in EU Countries," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 119-129, October.
    8. Riso, Luigi & Vacca, Gianmarco & Zoia, Maria, 2026. "Climate-induced geopolitical risk and financial interdependence in Europe: A systemic transition perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 23-42.
    9. Costas Karfakis & Ioannis Karfakis, 2025. "Global financial cycle and eurozone’s financial stress: quantitative easing matters," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(1), pages 211-224, March.
    10. Drenkovska, Marija & Lenarčič, Črt, 2025. "Financial markets stress indicator for Slovenia (FIMSIS)," MPRA Paper 125551, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Sheng, Xin & Kim, Won Joong & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The impacts of oil price volatility on financial stress: Is the COVID-19 period different?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 520-532.
    12. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria-Miruna & Radu, Ştefan-Constantin, 2023. "Unveiling the sentiment behind central bank narratives: A novel deep learning index," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    13. Mary Chen & Matthew DeHaven & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Martin J. Sicilian, 2023. "Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-28, March.
    14. Yao, Xiaoyang & Le, Wei & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Financial stress dynamics in China: An interconnectedness perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 217-238.
    15. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2016. "Bail in or Bail out? The Atlante example from a systemic risk perspective," DEM Working Papers Series 124, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    16. Cantú, Carlos & Gondo, Rocio & Martínez, Berenice, 2019. "Reserve requirements as a financial stability instrument," Working Papers 2019-014, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    17. Mikhail Mamonov & Vera Pankova & Renat Akhmetov & Anna Pestova, 2020. "Financial Shocks and Credit Cycles," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(4), pages 45-74, December.
    18. Katalin Varga & Tibor Szendrei, 2024. "Non-stationary Financial Risk Factors and Macroeconomic Vulnerability for the UK," Papers 2404.01451, arXiv.org.
    19. Merike Kukk & Alari Paulus & Nicolas Reigl, 2022. "Credit market concentration and systemic risk in Europe," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2022-4, Bank of Estonia, revised 24 Mar 2022.
    20. Theshne Kisten, 2020. "A Financial Stress Index for South Africa: A Time-Varying Correlation Approach," Working Papers 202011, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
    22. Jérémy Fouliard & Michael Howell & Hélène Rey, 2021. "Answering the Queen: Machine learning and financial crises," BIS Working Papers 926, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Rezvan Pourmansouri & MirFeiz Fallahshams & Reza Ghafari Gol Afshani, 2025. "Designing a Financial Stress Index Based on the GHARCH-DCC Approach and Machine Learning Models," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 2689-2718, March.
    24. Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "A new database for financial crises in European countries," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 13, European Systemic Risk Board.
    25. Schöller, Vanessa, 2026. "Repo market networks: dynamics under financial stress," Working Paper Series 3205, European Central Bank.
    26. Fu, Zheng & Chen, Zhiguo & Sharif, Arshian & Razi, Ummara, 2022. "The role of financial stress, oil, gold and natural gas prices on clean energy stocks: Global evidence from extreme quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    27. Coppola, Anna & Urga, Giovanni & Varaldo, Alessandro, 2025. "Asset class liquidity risk indicators. Timing the risk in the European and US equity and bond markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    28. Hamdi Jbir & Cornel Oros & Alexandra Popescu, 2024. "Macroprudential policy and financial system stability: an aggregate study," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(5), pages 1941-1973, May.
    29. Arghyrou, Michael G & Gadea, Mar a Dolores, 2019. "Private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro-area," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/6, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    30. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin, 2017. "How to predict financial stress? An assessment of Markov switching models," Working Paper Series 2057, European Central Bank.
    31. Cameron MacDonald & Virginie Traclet, 2018. "The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment," Technical Reports 113, Bank of Canada.
    32. Brei, Michael & Gadanecz, Blaise & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2020. "SME lending and banking system stability: Some mechanisms at work," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    33. Jursa, Lukáš & Janků, Jan, 2025. "From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    34. Manish K. Singh & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2024. "Quantifying sovereign risk in the euro area," IREA Working Papers 202403, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    35. Hristov, Nikolay & Hülsewig, Oliver & Kolb, Benedikt, 2024. "Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    36. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2019. "Real-time signals anticipating credit booms in Euro Area countries," Working Papers in Public Economics 189, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    37. Cuadros-Solas, Pedro Jesús & Salvador Muñoz, Carlos, 2022. "Disentangling the sources of sovereign rating adjustments: An examination of changes in rating policies following the GFC," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    38. Baumöhl, Eduard & Bouri, Elie & Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Výrost, Tomáš, 2020. "Increasing systemic risk during the Covid-19 pandemic: A cross-quantilogram analysis of the banking sector," EconStor Preprints 222580, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    39. Lorenčič Eva & Festić Mejra, 2021. "The Impact of Seven Macroprudential Policy Instruments on Financial Stability in Six Euro Area Economies," Review of Economic Perspectives, Paradigm, vol. 21(3), pages 259-290, September.
    40. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: theory and empirical evidence," MPRA Paper 88995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Cipollini, Andrea & Mikaliunaite, Ieva, 2020. "Macro-uncertainty and financial stress spillovers in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 546-558.
    42. Jorge E. Galán & María Rodríguez Moreno, 2020. "At-risk measures and financial stability," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue Autumn.
    43. Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmueller, 2020. "Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 73-105, January.
    44. Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler & Martin Gächter, 2021. "On the structural determinants of growth-at-risk," Arbeitspapiere 70, Liechtenstein-Institut.
    45. Alsamara, Mouyad & Mrabet, Zouhair & Jarallah, Shaif & Barkat, Karim, 2019. "The switching impact of financial stability and economic growth in Qatar: Evidence from an oil-rich country," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 205-216.
    46. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2023. "Macroprudential stance assessment: problems of measurement, literature review and some comments for the case of Croatia," Working Papers 72, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    47. Thibaut Duprey & Yaz Terajima & Jing Yang, 2024. "Interaction of Macroprudential and Monetary Policies: Practice Ahead of Theory," Discussion Papers 2024-18, Bank of Canada.
    48. Omar Chafik, 2020. "The amplifier/divider mechanism of the financial cycle," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 363-380, May.
    49. Canale, Rosaria Rita & de Grauwe, Paul & Foresti, Pasquale & Napolitano, Oreste, 2018. "Is there a trade-off between free capital mobility, financial stability and fiscal policy flexibility in the EMU?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86629, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    50. Mary Chen & Matthew DeHaven & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Martin Sicilian, 2023. "Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data," International Finance Discussion Papers 1374, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    51. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2024. "Growth-at-risk for macroprudential policy stance assessment: a survey," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1075, Bank of England.
    52. Anca Mihaela COPACIU & Alexandra HOROBET, 2022. "Spillovers in the Presence of Financial Stress – An Application to Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 29-43, April.
    53. Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Herbst, Tobias, 2025. "The impact of monetary policy and macroprudential policy on corporate lending rates in the Euro area," Working Paper Series 3057, European Central Bank.
    54. Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    55. Radoslav Raykov, 2024. "Decomposing Large Banks’ Systemic Trading Losses," Staff Working Papers 24-6, Bank of Canada.
    56. Glocker, Christian & Sestieri, Giulia & Towbin, Pascal, 2019. "Time-varying government spending multipliers in the UK," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 180-197.
    57. Plaasch, Jannick & Röthig, Andreas, 2025. "A growth-at-risk model for the German economy," Technical Papers 05/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    58. Zabavnik, Darja & Verbič, Miroslav, 2025. "Revisiting the impact of financial shocks on the fiscal position of euro area countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 622-635.
    59. CHAFIK, Omar, 2018. "Financial cycle and conduct of monetary policy: The amplifier/divider theory," MPRA Paper 89170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    60. Tom Roberts, 2017. "A Counterfactual Valuation of the Stock Index as a Predictor of Crashes," Staff Working Papers 17-38, Bank of Canada.
    61. Herbst, Tobias & Plaasch, Jannick & Stammwitz, Florian, 2024. "A price-at-risk approach for the German commercial real estate market," Technical Papers 08/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    62. Mariev, Oleg & Islam, Md. Monirul, 2025. "The impact of financial stress, governance, and geopolitics on Europe's energy transition mineral trade," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    63. Tuzcuoglu, Kerem, 2024. "Nonlinear transmission of international financial stress," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    64. Liu, Jiahao & Shen, Wenyu, 2024. "Financial instability in Europe: Does geopolitical risk from proximate countries and trading partners matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    65. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria Miruna, 2020. "Time-varying dependence in European equity markets: A contagion and investor sentiment driven analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 133-147.
    66. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2019. "A Financial Stress Index for a Highly Dollarized Developing Country: The Case of Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116083, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    125. Panagiota Makrychoriti & Fotios Pasiouras & Menelaos Tasiou, 2022. "Financial stress and economic growth: The moderating role of trust," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 48-74, February.
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    128. Yılmaz Bayar & Murat Gündüz & Funda H. Sezgin, 2019. "Banking Sector Instability and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 7(2), pages 263-274, December.
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  6. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Gross, Marco & Behn, Markus, 2016. "Assessing the costs and benefits of capital-based macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 1935, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Kelly, Jane & Le Blanc, Julia & Lydon, Reamonn, 2018. "Pockets of risk in European Housing Markets: then and now," Research Technical Papers 12/RT/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    2. Budnik, Katarzyna & Affinito, Massimiliano & Barbic, Gaia & Ben Hadj, Saiffedine & Chretien, Edouard & Dewachter, Hans & Gonzalez, Clara Isabel & Hu, Jenny & Jantunen, Lauri & Jimborean, Ramona & Mann, 2019. "The benefits and costs of adjusting bank capitalisation: evidence from euro area countries," Working Paper Series 2261, European Central Bank.
    3. Irena Pyka & Aleksandra Nocoń, 2021. "Bank Risk Capital and Its Effectiveness in Selected Euro Area Banking Sectors," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, November.
    4. Stefan Kerbl & Christoph Leitner, 2018. "Improved own funds levels: effects on banks’ “problem probability”," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 36, pages 73-81.
    5. Alin Marius Andries & Florentina Melnic, 2019. "Macroprudential Policies And Economic Growth," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 23, pages 95-112, June.
    6. Salma Gallas & Houssam Bouzgarrou & Montassar Zayati, 2024. "Balancing financial stability and economic growth: a comprehensive analysis of macroprudential regulation," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1005-1033, December.
    7. Jean-Francois Carpantier & Javier Olivera & Philippe Van Kerm, 2017. "Macroprudential policy and household wealth inequality," Working Papers 442, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.

  7. Behn, Markus & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem, 2016. "Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector: the role of global and domestic factors," ESRB Working Paper Series 29, European Systemic Risk Board.

    Cited by:

    1. Petr Jakubik & Bogdan Gabriel Moinescu, 2023. "What is the optimal capital ratio implying a stable European banking system?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 324-343, December.
    2. Bochmann, Paul & Hiebert, Paul & Schüler, Yves & Segoviano, Miguel A., 2024. "Latent fragility: Conditioning banks' joint probability of default on the financial cycle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Marinko Škare & Małgorzata Porada-Rochoń, 2021. "Measuring the impact of financial cycles on family firms: how to prepare for crisis?," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 1111-1130, September.
    5. Samo Boh & Stefano Borgioli & Andra (Buca) Coman & Bogdan Chiriacescu & Anne Koban & Joao Veiga & Piotr Kusmierczyk & Mara Pirovano & Thomas Schepens, 2017. "European Macroprudential Database," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Cabral, Inês & Detken, Carsten & Fell, John & Henry, Jérôme & Hiebert, Paul & Kapadia, Sujit & Pires, Fatima & Salleo, Carmelo & Constâncio, Vítor & Nicoletti Altimari, Sergio, 2019. "Macroprudential policy at the ECB: Institutional framework, strategy, analytical tools and policies," Occasional Paper Series 227, European Central Bank.

  8. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter & Rancan, Michela, 2015. "Interconnectedness of the banking sector as a vulnerability to crises," Working Paper Series 1866, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Kashif Abbass & Abdul Aziz Khan Niazi & Abdul Basit & Tehmina Fiaz Qazi & Huaming Song & Halima Begum, 2021. "Uncovering Effects of Hot Potatoes in Banking System: Arresting Die-Hard Issues," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, December.
    2. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter & Piloiu, Andreea, 2015. "Network linkages to predict bank distress," Working Paper Series 1828, European Central Bank.
    3. Fernando Garcia Alvarado, 2022. "Detecting crisis vulnerability using yield spread interconnectedness," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3864-3880, October.
    4. Melle Bijlsma & Malka de Castro Campos & Raymond Chaudron & David-Jan Jansen, 2019. "Building a multilayer macro-network for the Netherlands: A new way of looking at financial accounts and international investment position data," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?, volume 49, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Giulio Cimini & Matteo Serri, 2016. "Entangling Credit and Funding Shocks in Interbank Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-15, August.
    6. J'ozsef Mezei & Peter Sarlin, 2016. "RiskRank: Measuring interconnected risk," Papers 1601.06204, arXiv.org.
    7. Kaelo Ntwaepelo & Grivas Chiyaba, 2022. "Financial Stability Surveillance Tools: Evaluating the Performance of Stress Indices," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2022-06, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    8. Vincenzo Quadrini & Laura Moretti & Alessandro Barattieri, 2017. "Banks Interconnectivity and Leverage," 2017 Meeting Papers 504, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Rosenkranz, Peter & Melchor, Monica, 2022. "Asia’s financial interconnectedness: Evolution, implications, and insights from past crises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 685-707.
    10. Andrieş, Alin Marius & Ongena, Steven & Sprincean, Nicu & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "Risk spillovers and interconnectedness between systemically important institutions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    11. David Blanco‐Alcántara & Jorge Gallud‐Cano & Félix J. López‐Iturriaga & Óscar López‐de‐Foronda, 2022. "Have European banks maintained their payout policy during the crisis? The role of scrip dividends," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4619-4632, October.
    12. Kurowski, Łukasz & Rogowicz, Karol, 2018. "Are business and credit cycles synchronised internally or externally?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 124-141.
    13. Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2026. "Sectoral interconnectedness in the euro area economies: insights from network analysis," Working Paper Series 3223, European Central Bank.
    14. Emilian DOBRESCU, 2025. "Functional reciprocity of the macroeconomic variables," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 40-62, April.
    15. Harrison, Michael & Nakajima, Jouchi & Shabani, Mimoza, 2022. "An evolution of global and regional banking networks: A focus on Japanese banks’ international expansion," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-120, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    16. De Novellis, G. & Musile Tanzi, P. & Ranalli, M.G. & Stanghellini, E., 2024. "Leveraged finance exposure in the banking system: Systemic risk and interconnectedness," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    17. Kangogo, Moses & Volkov, Vladimir, 2021. "Dynamic effects of network exposure on equity markets," Working Papers 2021-03, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    18. Hossein Dastkhan, 2021. "Network‐based early warning system to predict financial crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 594-616, January.
    19. Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "Credit, banking fragility and economic performance," Working Papers hal-03403072, HAL.
    20. Carmen Orden‐Cruz & Jessica Paule‐Vianez & Júlio Lobão, 2023. "The effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the credit risk of US commercial banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3420-3436, July.
    21. Saeed, Shifa Mohamed & Abdeljawad, Islam & Hassan, M. Kabir & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Dependency of Islamic bank rates on conventional rates in a dual banking system: A trade-off between religious and economic fundamentals," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1003-1021.
    22. Liang Liu & Hang Le & Steve Thompson, 2022. "CEO overconfidence and bank systemic risk: Evidence from U.S. bank holding companies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2977-2996, July.
    23. Mikhail Stolbov & Daniil Parfenov, 2023. "Credit risk linkages in the international banking network, 2000–2019," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(3), pages 1-38, September.
    24. R., Mithushana Jonathan & Nanayakkara, Neelangie S., 2025. "Evolution of Early Warning Models for Bank Failures: A Bibliometric Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, vol. 15(3), pages 337-350, April.
    25. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2021. "The triple (T3) dimension of systemic risk: Identifying systemically important banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 7-26, January.
    26. Kosenko, Konstantin & Michelson, Noam, 2022. "It takes more than two to tango: Multiple bank lending, asset commonality and risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    27. Ying-Ying Shen & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Jun-Chao Ma & Gang-Jin Wang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2022. "Sector connectedness in the Chinese stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 825-852, February.
    28. Rakesh Padhan & K. P. Prabheesh, 2019. "Effectiveness of Early Warning Models: A Critical Review and New Agenda for Future Direction," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 457-484, December.
    29. Barattieri, Alessandro & Moretti, Laura & Quadrini, Vincenzo, 2021. "Banks funding, leverage, and investment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 148-171.
    30. Jhih‐Hong Zeng & Sin‐Jin Lin, 2024. "Peer effect, bank concentration, and crises: Evidence from the United States," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 1090-1103, March.
    31. Alin Marius Andries & Elena Galasan, 2020. "Measuring Financial Contagion and Spillover Effects with a State-Dependent Sensitivity Value-at-Risk Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, January.
    32. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Giannellis, Nikolaos, 2022. "On bank return and volatility spillovers: Identifying transmitters and receivers during crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 156-176.
    33. Giulia Poce & Giulio Cimini & Andrea Gabrielli & Andrea Zaccaria & Giuditta Baldacci & Marco Polito & Mariangela Rizzo & Silvia Sabatini, 2016. "What do central counterparties default funds really cover? A network-based stress test answer," Papers 1611.03782, arXiv.org.
    34. Mezei, József & Sarlin, Peter, 2018. "RiskRank: Measuring interconnected risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 41-50.

  9. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter & Piloiu, Andreea, 2015. "Network linkages to predict bank distress," Working Paper Series 1828, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Bräuning, Michael & Malikkidou, Despo & Scricco, Giorgio & Scalone, Stefano, 2019. "A new approach to Early Warning Systems for small European banks," Working Paper Series 2348, European Central Bank.
    2. J'ozsef Mezei & Peter Sarlin, 2016. "RiskRank: Measuring interconnected risk," Papers 1601.06204, arXiv.org.
    3. Samuel Ronnqvist & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Detect & Describe: Deep learning of bank stress in the news," Papers 1507.07870, arXiv.org.
    4. Nicola, Giancarlo & Cerchiello, Paola & Aste, Tomaso, 2020. "Information network modeling for U.S. banking systemic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107563, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Lang, Jan Hannes & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2018. "A framework for early-warning modeling with an application to banks," Working Paper Series 2182, European Central Bank.
    6. Samuel Ronnqvist & Peter Sarlin, 2016. "Bank distress in the news: Describing events through deep learning," Papers 1603.05670, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2016.
    7. Yulita Wulandari & Musdholifah & Suhal Kusairi, 2017. "The Impact of Macroeconomic and Internal Factors on Banking Distress," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, vol. 7(3), pages 429-436.
    8. Marco Valerio Geraci & Jean-Yves Gnabo, 2015. "Measuring interconnectedness between financial institutions with Bayesian time-varying vector autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES 2015-51, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Marco Valerio Geraci & Jean-Yves Gnabo, 2015. "Measuring Interconnectedness between Financial Institutions with Bayesian Time-Varying VARS," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-51, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    10. Fendel Ralf & Stremmel Hanno, 2016. "Characteristics of Banking Crises: A Comparative Study with Geographical Contagion," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 349-388, May.

  10. Hiebert, Paul & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schüler, Yves S., 2015. "Characterising the financial cycle: a multivariate and time-varying approach," Working Paper Series 1846, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Lang, Jan Hannes & Welz, Peter, 2018. "Semi-structural credit gap estimation," Working Paper Series 2194, European Central Bank.
    2. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "An evaluation of early warning models for systemic banking crises: Does machine learning improve predictions?," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Milan Christian de Wet, 2021. "Modelling the Australasian Financial Cycle: A Markov-Regime Switching Approach," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 14(1), pages 69-79, June.
    4. Terhi Jokipii & Reto Nyffeler & Stéphane Riederer, 2021. "Exploring BIS credit-to-GDP gap critiques: the Swiss case," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 157(1), pages 1-19, December.
    5. Skare, Marinko & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Porada-Rochon, Małgorzata, 2025. "Isolating financial cycles using the fractional cyclical model in selected economies: 1970–2019," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 67-77.
    6. Lang, Jan Hannes & Forletta, Marco, 2020. "Cyclical systemic risk and downside risks to bank profitability," Working Paper Series 2405, European Central Bank.
    7. Jordà , Oscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M. & Ward, Felix, 2018. "Global financial cycles and risk premiums," CEPR Discussion Papers 12969, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    8. Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    9. Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Marente Vlekke, 2016. "Measuring Financial Cycles in a Model-Based Analysis: Empirical Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    10. Deng, Chuang & Zhao, Xiuyi & Xu, Man, 2022. "Financial cycle and the effect of monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    11. Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2022. "Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: A Cross‐Country Perspective Using Wavelet Analysis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 569-593, June.
    12. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    13. Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
    14. Ciukaj Radosław & Kil Krzysztof, 2020. "Determinants of the non-performing loan ratio in the European Union banking sectors with a high level of impaired loans," Economics and Business Review, Paradigm, vol. 6(1), pages 22-45, March.
    15. John Beirne, 2019. "Financial Cycles in Asset Markets and Regions," ADBI Working Papers 1052, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    16. Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.
    17. Andrew Lee-Poy, 2018. "Characterizing the Canadian Financial Cycle with Frequency Filtering Approaches," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-34, Bank of Canada.
    18. Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019. "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers 126, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    19. Thibaut Duprey & Benjamin Klaus & Tuomas Peltonen, 2016. "Dating Systemic Financial Stress Episodes in the EU Countries," Staff Working Papers 16-11, Bank of Canada.
    20. Tihana Škrinjarić & Maja Bukovšak, 2022. "New Indicators of Credit Gap in Croatia: Improving the Calibration of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer," Working Papers 69, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    21. Kok, Christoffer & Mirza, Harun & Pancaro, Cosimo, 2019. "Macro stress testing euro area banks’ fees and commissions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 97-119.
    22. Che, Ming & Zhu, Zixiang & Li, Yujia, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty: Different roles in China's financial cycle," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    23. O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2020. "Unobserved components models with stochastic volatility for extracting trends and cycles in credit," Research Technical Papers 09/RT/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
    24. Behn, Markus & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem, 2016. "Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector: the role of global and domestic factors," ESRB Working Paper Series 29, European Systemic Risk Board.
    25. Mugrabi, Farah & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2025. "Housing and Credit Cycles in Ireland," Research Technical Papers 16/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    26. Grintzalis, Ioannis & Lodge, David & Manu, Ana-Simona, 2017. "The implications of global and domestic credit cycles for emerging market economies: measures of finance-adjusted output gaps," Working Paper Series 2034, European Central Bank.
    27. Bochmann, Paul & Hiebert, Paul & Schüler, Yves & Segoviano, Miguel A., 2024. "Latent fragility: Conditioning banks' joint probability of default on the financial cycle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    28. Raputsoane, Leroi, 2018. "Temporal homogeneity between financial stress and the economic cycle," MPRA Paper 91119, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Rünstler, Gerhard, 2016. "How distinct are financial cycles from business cycles?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 26.
    30. Yan, Chuanpeng & Huang, Kevin X.D., 2020. "Financial cycle and business cycle: An empirical analysis based on the data from the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 693-701.
    31. Plaasch, Jannick & Röthig, Andreas, 2025. "A growth-at-risk model for the German economy," Technical Papers 05/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    32. Octavio Fernández-Amador & Martin Gächter & Friedrich Sindermann, 2016. "Finance-augmented business cycles: A robustness check," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 132-144.
    33. Brian Micallef, 2018. "Constructing an index to examine house price misalignment with fundamentals in Malta," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(2), pages 315-334, January.
    34. Bence Mérõ, 2019. "Novel Modelling of the Operation of the Financial Intermediary System – Agent-based Macro Models," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 18(3), pages 83-113.
    35. Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2018. "Empirical assessment of alternative structural methods for identifying cyclical systemic risk in Europe," Working Papers 1825, Banco de España.
    36. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Gross, Marco & Behn, Markus, 2016. "Assessing the costs and benefits of capital-based macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 1935, European Central Bank.
    37. Brian Micallef, 2016. "Property price misalignment with fundamentals in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
    38. Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    39. Voutilainen, Ville, 2017. "Wavelet decomposition of the financial cycle: An early warning system for financial tsunamis," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2017, Bank of Finland.
    40. Rachida Hennani & John Theal, 2019. "Characterizing the Luxembourg financial cycle: Alternatives to statistical filters," BCL working papers 133, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    41. Davor Kunovac & Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: a cross-country perspective," Working Papers 55, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
    42. Beutel, Johannes & List, Sophia & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2019. "Does machine learning help us predict banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    43. Khwazi Magubane & Phocenah Nyatanga & Ntokozo Nzimande, 2024. "Financial cycle synchronization in the advanced and systemic middle-income economies: evidence from a dynamic factor model," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 13(7), pages 301-314, October.
    44. Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2022. "Measuring financial cycles: Empirical evidence for Germany, United Kingdom and United States of America," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 599-630.
    45. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
    46. Piotr Bańbuła & Marcin Pietrzak, 2017. "Early warning models of banking crises applicable to non-crisis countries," NBP Working Papers 257, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    47. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    48. Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
    49. Gallegati, Marco, 2026. "Financial and business cycles in the US: A non-parametric time–frequency investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    50. Claudio Borio, 2017. "Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 87-98, April.
    51. Yasin Mimir, 2023. "Leaning against persistent financial cycles with occasional crises," Working Papers 56, European Stability Mechanism.
    52. Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    53. Christian Menden & Christian R. Proaño, 2017. "Dissecting the financial cycle with dynamic factor models," IMK Working Paper 183-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    54. Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
    55. Elias Wolf & Frieder Mokinski & Yves Schüler, 2026. "On Adjusting the One‐Sided Hodrick–Prescott Filter," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 919-931, April.
    56. Milan Christian Wet & Ilse Botha, 2022. "Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 37-67, March.
    57. Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
    58. Jorge E. Galán, 2019. "Measuring credit-to-gdp gaps. The hodrick-prescott filter revisited," Occasional Papers 1906, Banco de España.
    59. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin, 2022. "Early warning or too late? A (pseudo-)real-time identification of leading indicators of financial stress," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    60. Wang, Bo & Xiao, Yang, 2023. "The term effect of financial cycle variables on GDP growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    61. Kockerols, Thore & Kok, Christoffer, 2019. "Leaning against the wind: macroprudential policy and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2223, European Central Bank.
    62. Piotr Bańbuła & Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Early Warning Models of Banking Crises: VIX and High Profits," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 381-403, December.
    63. Škare, Marinko & Porada-Rochoń, Małgorzata, 2020. "Multi-channel singular-spectrum analysis of financial cycles in ten developed economies for 1970–2018," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 567-575.
    64. Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    65. Schüler, Yves, 2020. "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Discussion Papers 28/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    66. Veysel KARAGOL & Burhan DOÄžAN, 2021. "Interaction between business and financial cycles: evidence from Turkey," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 12, pages 123-150, December.
    67. Mariusz Kapuściński, 2025. "The credit cycle does exist," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 56(3), pages 361-380.
    68. Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2022. "An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance," Working Papers CIE 153, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    69. Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.
    70. N. Kundan Kishor & Nam Nguyen, 2025. "Measuring the credit gap: a forecast combination approach," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 161(1), pages 1-12, December.
    71. Berry A. Harahap & Pakasa Bary & Anggita Cinditya M. Kusuma, 2018. "The Determinants Of Indonesian Business Cycle," Working Papers WP/30/2018, Bank Indonesia.
    72. Virginie Coudert & Julien Idier, 2016. "An Early Warning System for Macro-prudential Policy in France," Working papers 609, Banque de France.
    73. Naďa Blahová, 2019. "Analysis of macroprudential policy approaches in the practice of the Czech Republic [Analýza přístupů makroobezřetnostní politiky v praxi ČR]," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(4), pages 31-55.
    74. Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
    75. Camila Miriam Santander Quino, 2022. "Ciclos económicos y financieros: Una aproximación empírica para Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 1/2022, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    76. Fendoğlu, Salih, 2017. "Credit cycles and capital flows: Effectiveness of the macroprudential policy framework in emerging market economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 110-128.
    77. Siyuan Qiu, 2025. "The Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of the Chinese Financial Cycle," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-22, October.
    78. Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2021. "Model-based indicators for the identification of cyclical systemic risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3179-3211, December.
    79. Bojaj, Martin M. & Aharon, David Y., 2024. "Financial measures and banking crisis: New evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    80. Ashe, Sinéad & Egan, Paul, 2023. "Examining financial and business cycle interaction using cross recurrence plot analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    81. Fredj Jawadi & Hachmi Ben Ameur & Stephanie Bigou & Alexis Flageollet, 2022. "Does the Real Business Cycle Help Forecast the Financial Cycle?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(4), pages 1529-1546, December.

  11. Alessi, Lucia & Antunes, Antonio & Babecky, Jan & Baltussen, Simon & Behn, Markus & Bonfim, Diana & Bush, Oliver & Detken, Carsten & Frost, Jon & Guimaraes, Rodrigo & Havranek, Tomas & Joy, Mark & Kau, 2015. "Comparing different early warning systems: Results from a horse race competition among members of the Macro-prudential Research Network," MPRA Paper 62194, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Gernát, Peter & Košťálová, Zuzana & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2020. "What drives U.S. financial sector volatility? A Bayesian model averaging perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    2. Rickard Nyman & Paul Ormerod, 2017. "Predicting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning Algorithms," Papers 1701.01428, arXiv.org.
    3. Ellis, Scott & Sharma, Satish & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "Systemic risk measures and regulatory challenges," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Figini, Silvia & Maggi, Mario & Uberti, Pierpaolo, 2020. "The market rank indicator to detect financial distress," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 63-73.
    5. Berlinger, Edina, 2017. "Implicit rating: A potential new method to alert crisis on the interbank lending market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 277-283.
    6. Kollar, Miroslav & Schmieder, Christian, 2019. "Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis," EIB Working Papers 2019/11, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    7. Rachel Lukasz & Jack Fisher, 2016. "Assessing vulnerabilities to financial shocks in some key global economies," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 636, Bank of England.
    8. Fabrizio Ferriani & Wanda Cornacchia & Paolo Farroni & Eliana Ferrara & Francesco Guarino & Francesco Pisanti, 2019. "An early warning system for less significant Italian banks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 480, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    9. Rickard Nyman & Paul Ormerod, 2020. "Understanding the Great Recession Using Machine Learning Algorithms," Papers 2001.02115, arXiv.org.
    10. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2020. "UnFEAR: Unsupervised Feature Extraction Clustering with an Application to Crisis Regimes Classification," IMF Working Papers 2020/262, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Mathias Drehmann & Anamaria Illes & Mikael Juselius & Marjorie Santos, 2015. "How much income is used for debt payments? A new database for debt service ratios," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    12. Behn, Markus & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem, 2016. "Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector: the role of global and domestic factors," ESRB Working Paper Series 29, European Systemic Risk Board.
    13. Mathonnat, Clément & Minea, Alexandru, 2018. "Financial development and the occurrence of banking crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 344-354.
    14. Virtanen, Timo & Tölö, Eero & Virén, Matti & Taipalus, Katja, 2018. "Can bubble theory foresee banking crises?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 66-81.
    15. du Plessis, Emile & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2022. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 67, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    16. Alessandro Bitetto & Paola Cerchiello & Charilaos Mertzanis, 2021. "A data-driven approach to measuring financial soundness throughout the world," DEM Working Papers Series 199, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    17. Zsuzsanna Hosszu & Gergely Lakos, 2022. "Early Warning Performance of Univariate Credit-to-GDP Gaps," MNB Occasional Papers 2022/142, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    18. Ons Jedidi & Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte, 2015. "Prédire les crises bancaires : un système d’alerte robuste," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 189-225.
    19. Xianglong Liu, 2023. "Towards Better Banking Crisis Prediction: Could an Automatic Variable Selection Process Improve the Performance?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(325), pages 288-312, June.
    20. Martin Bruns & Tigran Poghosyan, 2018. "Leading indicators of fiscal distress: evidence from extreme bounds analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1454-1478, March.
    21. Błażej Kiermasz & Mikołaj Kszczotek, 2020. "Indeks VIX - zabezpieczenie czy zagrożenie? Konsekwencje finansjalizacji "wskaźnika strachu"," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 3, pages 468-486.
    22. Caggiano, Giovanni & Calice, Pietro & Leonida, Leone & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Comparing logit-based early warning systems: Does the duration of systemic banking crises matter?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 104-116.
    23. Filippopoulou, Chryssanthi & Galariotis, Emilios & Spyrou, Spyros, 2020. "An early warning system for predicting systemic banking crises in the Eurozone: A logit regression approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 344-363.
    24. du Plessis, Emile, 2022. "Multinomial modeling methods: Predicting four decades of international banking crises," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(2).
    25. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Papers 1501.04682, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    26. Piotr Bańbuła & Marcin Pietrzak, 2021. "Early Warning Models of Banking Crises: VIX and High Profits," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 381-403, December.
    27. Niall Conroy & Eddie Casey, 2019. "The Current Account, a Real-Time Signal of Economic Imbalances or 20/20 Hindsight?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 77-102.
    28. Bitetto, Alessandro & Cerchiello, Paola & Mertzanis, Charilaos, 2023. "Measuring financial soundness around the world: A machine learning approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    29. Ermanno Catullo & Antonio Palestrini & Ruggero Grilli & Mauro Gallegati, 2018. "Early warning indicators and macro-prudential policies: a credit network agent based model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(1), pages 81-115, April.
    30. Elias Aptus & Volker Britz & Hans Gersbach, 2020. "Crisis Contracts," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(1), pages 121-164, July.
    31. Domonkos Tomáš & Ostrihoň Filip & Šikulová Ivana & Širaňová Mária, 2017. "Analysing the Relevance of the MIP Scoreboard's Indicators," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 239(1), pages 32-52, February.
    32. Tölö, Eero, 2020. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

  12. Betz, Frank & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schienle, Melanie, 2014. "Systemic risk spillovers in the European banking and sovereign network," CFS Working Paper Series 467, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    Cited by:

    1. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Yousaf, Imran & Karim, Sitara & Yarovaya, Larisa & Ali, Shoaib, 2023. "Tail-event driven NETwork dependence in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Huang, Shoujun & Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "International transmission of shocks and African forex markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Xu, Xiu & Wang, Weining & Shin, Yongcheol, 2020. "Dynamic Spatial Network Quantile Autoregression," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    4. Wu, Shan & Liu, Yilong & Song, Ziyu & Zhou, Yuqin & Guo, Wenjing, 2024. "Network structure, dynamic evolution and block characteristics of sovereign debt risk: The global evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    5. Saeed, Tareq & Bouri, Elie & Alsulami, Hamed, 2021. "Extreme return connectedness and its determinants between clean/green and dirty energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    6. Billah, Mabruk & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Shaik, Muneer, 2025. "Decoding investment strategies across agricultural commodities, Islamic equities, and Sukuk markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Ben Amor, Souhir & Althof, Michael & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2022. "Financial Risk Meter for emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
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  13. Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem & Behn, Markus, 2013. "Setting countercyclical capital buffers based on early warning models: would it work?," Working Paper Series 1604, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Petr Jakubik & Bogdan Gabriel Moinescu, 2023. "What is the optimal capital ratio implying a stable European banking system?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 324-343, December.
    2. Lilit Popoyan & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2015. "Taming macroeconomic instability: Monetary and macro prudential policy interactions in an agent-based model," Working Papers hal-03459508, HAL.
    3. Kalatie, Simo & Laakkonen, Helinä & Tölö, Eero, 2015. "Indicators used in setting the countercyclical capital buffer," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2015, Bank of Finland.
    4. Hiebert, Paul & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schüler, Yves S., 2015. "Characterising the financial cycle: a multivariate and time-varying approach," Working Paper Series 1846, European Central Bank.
    5. Ferrari, Stijn & Pirovano, Mara, 2015. "Early warning indicators for banking crises: a conditional moments approach," MPRA Paper 62406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Baselga-Pascual, Laura & Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio & Cardone-Riportella, Clara, 2015. "Factors influencing bank risk in Europe: Evidence from the financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 138-166.
    7. Dragos Alexandru DIAMESCU, 2015. "Bank Capital Management – The Countercyclical Reserve," Management and Marketing Journal, University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 0(2), pages 414-424, November.
    8. Lainà, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 18-35.
    9. Leroi RAPUTSOANE, 2015. "Alternative Measures of Credit Extension for Countercyclical Buffer Decisions in South Africa," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 210-221, December.
    10. Bro de Comères, Quentin, 2025. "Predicting European banks distress events: Do financial information producers matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    11. Sarah Vella, 2025. "Constructing a country-specific indicator for cyclical systemic risk," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-63, June.
    12. Francesco Lamperti & Antoine Mandel & Mauro Napoletano & Alessandro Sapio & Andrea Roventini & Tomas Balint & Igor Khorenzhenko, 2017. "Taming macroeconomic instability," Post-Print hal-03399574, HAL.
    13. Fabian Schupp & Leonid Silbermann, 2017. "The Role of Structural Funding for Stability in the German Banking Sector," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201717, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    14. Mikkel Hermansen & Oliver Röhn, 2015. "Economic resilience: The usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1250, OECD Publishing.
    15. Maarten R.C. Van Oordt, 2023. "Calibrating the Magnitude of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer Using Market‐Based Stress Tests," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 465-501, March.
    16. Diana Bonfim & Nuno Monteiro, 2013. "The implementation of the countercyclical capital buffer: rules versus discretion," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    17. Eidenberger, Judith & Neudorfer, Benjamin & Sigmund, Michael & Stein, Ingrid, 2014. "What predicts financial (in)stability? A Bayesian approach," Discussion Papers 36/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Gete, Pedro & Tiernan, Natalie, 2014. "Lending Standards and Countercyclical Capital Requirements under Imperfect Information," MPRA Paper 54486, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    20. Xiaofeng Hui & Aoran Zhang, 2020. "Construction and Empirical Research on the Dynamic Provisioning Model of China’s Banking Sector under the Macro-Prudential Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-26, October.
    21. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Slovak Republic: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/014, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Joana Passinhas & Ana Pereira, 2023. "A macroprudential look into the risk-return framework of banks’ profitability," Working Papers w202303, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    23. Kollar, Miroslav & Schmieder, Christian, 2019. "Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis," EIB Working Papers 2019/11, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    24. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2019. "Real-time signals anticipating credit booms in Euro Area countries," Working Papers in Public Economics 189, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    25. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Alessandro Flamini, 2016. "Institutional Mandates for Macroeconomic and Financial Stability," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 231, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    26. André K. Anundsen & Frank Hansen & Karsten Gerdrup & Kasper Kragh-Sørensen, 2014. "Bubbles and crises: The role of house prices and credit," Working Paper 2014/14, Norges Bank.
    27. Samo Boh & Stefano Borgioli & Anne Koban & Romain Calleja & Thomas Schepens, 2017. "Macroprudential database," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Statistical implications of the new financial landscape, volume 43, Bank for International Settlements.
    28. Behn, Markus & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem, 2016. "Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector: the role of global and domestic factors," ESRB Working Paper Series 29, European Systemic Risk Board.
    29. Savas Papadopoulos & Pantelis Stavroulias & Thomas Sager, 2016. "Systemic early warning systems for EU15 based on the 2008 crisis," Working Papers 202, Bank of Greece.
    30. Bruno De Backer & Hans Dewachter & Stijn Ferrari & Mara Pirovano & Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2016. "Credit gaps in Belgium : identification, characteristics and lessons for macroprudential policy," Financial Stability Review, National Bank of Belgium, vol. 14(1), pages 153-170, June.
    31. Federica Ciocchetta & Wanda Cornacchia & Roberto Felici & Michele Loberto, 2016. "Assessing financial stability risks from the real estate market in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 323, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    32. Knut Are Aastveit & Andr K. Anundsen & Eyo I. Herstad, 2017. "Residential investment and recession predictability," Working Papers No 8/2017, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    33. Lang, Jan Hannes & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2018. "A framework for early-warning modeling with an application to banks," Working Paper Series 2182, European Central Bank.
    34. Jameel Ahmed, 2016. "Credit Conditions in Pakistan: Supply Constraints or Demand Deficiencies?," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 54(2), pages 139-161, June.
    35. Lepers, Etienne & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2020. "Decomposing financial (in)stability in emerging economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
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    4. Chen, Wang & Ho, Kung-Cheng & Yang, Lu, 2020. "Network structures and idiosyncratic contagion in the European sovereign credit default swap market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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    6. Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan & H. Peyton Young, 2016. "Contagion in the CDS Market," Working Papers 16-12, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    7. Bianchi, Benedetta, 2021. "Cross-border credit derivatives linkages," ESRB Working Paper Series 115, European Systemic Risk Board.
    8. Briana Chang & Shengxing Zhang, 2015. "Endogenous Market Making and Network Formation," Discussion Papers 1534, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
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    11. Scheicher, Martin, 2023. "Intermediation in US and EU bond and swap markets: stylised facts, trends and impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis in March 2020," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 24, European Systemic Risk Board.
    12. Iñaki Aldasoro & Andreas Barth, 2017. "Syndicated loans and CDS positioning," BIS Working Papers 679, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. Chang, Briana & Zhang, Shengxing, 2015. "Endogenous market making and network formation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65105, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan, 2017. "Contagion in Derivatives Markets," Economics Series Working Papers 839, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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    23. Rama Cont & Andreea Minca, 2016. "Credit default swaps and systemic risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 523-547, December.
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    26. Castrén, Olli & Kavonius, Ilja Kristian & Rancan, Michela, 2022. "Digital currencies in financial networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    27. Yong Tang & Jason Jie Xiong & Zi-Yang Jia & Yi-Cheng Zhang, 2018. "Complexities in Financial Network Topological Dynamics: Modeling of Emerging and Developed Stock Markets," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-31, November.
    28. Gündüz, Yalin, 2018. "Mitigating counterparty risk," Discussion Papers 35/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    29. D'Errico, Marco & Battiston, Stefano & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin, 2016. "How does risk flow in the credit default swap market?," ESRB Working Paper Series 33, European Systemic Risk Board.
    30. Benbouzid, Nadia & Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2017. "An international forensic perspective of the determinants of bank CDS spreads," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 60-70.
    31. Cetina, Jill & Paddrik, Mark & Rajan, Sriram, 2018. "Stressed to the core: Counterparty concentrations and systemic losses in CDS markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 38-52.
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    34. Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Perrakis, Stylianos & Zhong, Rui, 2021. "Financial oligopolies and parallel exclusion in the credit default swap markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    35. Mili, Mehdi, 2019. "The impact of tradeoff between risk and return on mean reversion in sovereign CDS markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-200.
    36. Vuillemey, Guillaume & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2015. "Disentangling the bond–CDS nexus: A stress test model of the CDS market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 32-45.
    37. Andrea Eisfeldt & Bernard Herskovic & Emil Siriwardane & Sriram Rajan, 2019. "OTC Intermediaries," 2019 Meeting Papers 204, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    38. Iman van Lelyveld, 2017. "The use of derivatives trade repository data: possibilities and challenges," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    39. Fontana, Silvia Dalla & Holz auf der Heide, Marco & Pelizzon, Loriana & Scheicher, Martin, 2019. "The anatomy of the euro area interest rate swap market," SAFE Working Paper Series 255, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    40. Kanno, Masayasu, 2020. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk in the US CDS market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    41. Augustin, Patrick & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tang, Dragon Yongjun & Wang, Sarah Qian, 2014. "Credit Default Swaps: A Survey," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 9(1-2), pages 1-196, December.
    42. Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Kang, Sang Hoon & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2020. "Spillovers and diversification potential of bank equity returns from developed and emerging America," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    43. Stolbov, Mikhail, 2014. "The causal linkages between sovereign CDS prices for the BRICS and major European economies," Economics Discussion Papers 2014-9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    44. Paddrick, Mark & Rajan, Sriram & Young, H. Peyton, 2020. "Contagion in derivatives markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100868, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    45. Roukny, Tarik & Georg, Co-Pierre & Battiston, Stefano, 2014. "A network analysis of the evolution of the German interbank market," Discussion Papers 22/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    46. Hałaj, Grzegorz & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin, 2018. "How did the Greek credit event impact the credit default swap market?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 136-158.
    47. Stathis Tompaidis, 2021. "Comments on “Network Structure and Its Impact on Commodity Markets”," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(12), pages 4577-4578, December.
    48. Jessie Jiaxu Wang & Agostino Capponi & Hongzhong Zhang, 2022. "A Theory of Collateral Requirements for Central Counterparties," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 6993-7017, September.
    49. Zema, Sebastiano Michele, 2022. "Uncovering the network structure of non-centrally cleared derivative markets: evidences from regulatory data," Working Paper Series 2721, European Central Bank.
    50. Iftekhar Hasan & Liuling Liu & Gaiyan Zhang, 2016. "The Determinants of Global Bank Credit-Default-Swap Spreads," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 50(3), pages 275-309, December.
    51. Augustin, Patrick & Sokolovski, Valeri & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Tomio, Davide, 2022. "How sovereign is sovereign credit risk? Global prices, local quantities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 92-111.
    52. Sebastiano Michele Zema, 2023. "Uncovering the network structure of non-centrally cleared derivative markets: evidence from large regulatory data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1799-1822, October.
    53. Maryam Farboodi, 2014. "Intermediation and Voluntary Exposure to Counterparty Risk," 2014 Meeting Papers 365, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    54. Kubitza, Christian & Pelizzon, Loriana & Getmansky Sherman, Mila, 2019. "Pitfalls of central clearing in the presence of systematic risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 235, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2019.
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    56. Levent Onural & Mustafa Çelebi Pınar & Can Fırtına, 2021. "Modeling Economic Activities and Random Catastrophic Failures of Financial Networks via Gibbs Random Fields," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 203-232, August.
    57. Abad, Jorge & Aldasoro, Iñaki & Aymanns, Christoph & D'Errico, Marco & Hoffmann, Peter & Langfield, Sam & Neychev, Martin & Roukny, Tarik & Rousová, Linda, 2016. "Shedding light on dark markets: First insights from the new EU-wide OTC derivatives dataset," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 11, European Systemic Risk Board.
    58. Kitty Moloney & Oisin Kenny & Neill Killeen, 2016. "Network analysis using EMIR credit default swap data: micro-level evidence from Irish-domiciled special purpose vehicles (SPVs)," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.
    59. Andrea L. Eisfeldt & Bernard Herskovic & Sriram Rajan & Emil Siriwardane, 2018. "OTC Intermediaries," Working Papers 18-05, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury, revised 24 May 2021.
    60. Farboodi, Maryam, 2017. "Comment on network reactions to banking regulations by Selman Erol and Guillermo Ordonez," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 68-70.
    61. Hung-Chun Huang & Hsin-Yu Shih & Tsung-Han Ke, 2017. "Structure of a patent transaction network," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 111(1), pages 25-45, April.
    62. Jose Arreola Hernandez & Sang Hoon Kang & Ron P. McIver & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "Network Interdependence and Optimization of Bank Portfolios from Developed and Emerging Asia Pacific Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(4), pages 613-647, December.
    63. Zappa, Paola & Vu, Duy Q., 2021. "Markets as networks evolving step by step: Relational Event Models for the interbank market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    64. Clerc, Laurent & Giovannini, Alberto & Langfield, Sam & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Portes, Richard & Scheicher, Martin, 2016. "Indirect contagion: the policy problem," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 9, European Systemic Risk Board.
    65. Yao, Dongmin & Sun, Rong & Gao, Qiunan, 2022. "The network structure of the China bond market: Characteristics and explanations from trading factors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 598(C).
    66. Miao Tang & Hong Fan, 2026. "Liquidity Risk in Chinese Banking System Based on Multiple Derivatives," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 67(1), pages 387-414, January.
    67. Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Clerc, Laurent & El Omari, Yanis & Gabrieli, Silvia & Kern, Steffen & Memmel, Christoph & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Podlich, Natalia & Scheicher, Martin & Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2013. "Assessing contagion risks from the CDS market," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 4, European Systemic Risk Board.
    68. Iñaki Aldasoro & Torsten Ehlers, 2018. "The credit default swap market: what a difference a decade makes," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    69. Shengxing Zhang & Briana Chang, 2015. "Endogenous Market-making and Formation of Trading Links," 2015 Meeting Papers 1227, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    70. Laurent Clerc & Gabrieli, S. & Kern, S. & El Omari, Y., 2014. "Monitoring the European CDS Market through Networks: Implications for Contagion Risks," Working papers 477, Banque de France.
    71. Marco D’Errico & Tarik Roukny, 2021. "Compressing Over-the-Counter Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 1660-1679, November.
    72. Xu, Tao & He, Jianmin & Li, Shouwei, 2016. "A dynamic network model for interbank market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 131-138.
    73. Gandy, Axel & Veraart, Luitgard A. M., 2021. "Compound poisson models for weighted networks with applications in finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104185, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    74. Jose Arreola Hernandez & Sang Hoon Kang & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2022. "Interdependence and portfolio optimisation of bank equity returns from developed and emerging Europe," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 678-696, January.
    75. Acharya, Viral V. & Gündüz, Yalin & Johnson, Timothy C., 2022. "Bank use of sovereign CDS in the Eurozone crisis: Hedging and risk incentives," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    76. Silva, Paulo Pereira da & Vieira, Carlos & Vieira, Isabel, 2015. "The determinants of CDS open interest dynamics," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 95-109.
    77. Wang, Chaojun, 2023. "The limits of multi-dealer platforms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 434-450.
    78. Chang, Briana & Zhang, Shengxing, 2015. "Endogenous market making and network formation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119005, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    79. Paolo Giudici & Alessandro Spelta, 2013. "Graphical network models for international financial flows," DEM Working Papers Series 052, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    80. Guillaume Vuillemey, 2019. "Bank Interest Rate Risk Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(12), pages 5933-5956, December.
    81. Sensoy, Ahmet & Ozturk, Kevser & Hacihasanoglu, Erk & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2017. "Not all emerging markets are the same: A classification approach with correlation based networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-186.
    82. Galariotis, Emilios C. & Makrichoriti, Panagiota & Spyrou, Spyros, 2016. "Sovereign CDS spread determinants and spill-over effects during financial crisis: A panel VAR approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 62-77.

  16. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2013. "Disentangling the bond-CDS nexus: a stress test model of the CDS market," Working Paper Series 1599, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Drago, Danilo & Gallo, Raffaele, 2017. "The impact of sovereign rating changes on the activity of European banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 99-112.
    2. Jeimy Lorena Martínez Arroyo & Nini Johana Mar�n Rodr�guez, 2021. "Relación dinámica entre los Credit Default Swaps y la deuda pública. Análisis en el contexto latinoamericano," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 40(83), pages 583-608.
    3. Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan & H. Peyton Young, 2016. "Contagion in the CDS Market," Working Papers 16-12, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    4. H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik & Sriram Rajan, 2017. "Contagion in Derivatives Markets," Economics Series Working Papers 839, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    5. Ferrara, Gerardo & Kim, Jun Sung & Koo, Bonsoo & Liu, Zijun, 2021. "Counterparty choice in the UK credit default swap market: An empirical matching approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 58-74.
    6. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin & Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2014. "The network structure of the CDS market and its determinants," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 118-133.
    7. Guillaume Vuillemey, 2015. "Derivatives markets : from bank risk management to financial stability [Les marchés de dérivés : gestion des risques bancaires et stabilité financière]," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) tel-03507099, HAL.
    8. Paddrick, Mark & Rajan, Sriram & Young, H. Peyton, 2020. "Contagion in derivatives markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100868, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Samaniego-Medina, Reyes & Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio & Parrado-Martínez, Purificación & di Pietro, Filippo, 2016. "Determinants of bank CDS spreads in Europe," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-15.
    10. Fernández-Rodríguez, Fernando & Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2016. "Using connectedness analysis to assess financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 126-145.
    11. Clerc, Laurent & Giovannini, Alberto & Langfield, Sam & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Portes, Richard & Scheicher, Martin, 2016. "Indirect contagion: the policy problem," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 9, European Systemic Risk Board.
    12. Julián Andrada-Félix & Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018. "Fear connectedness among asset classes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(39), pages 4234-4249, August.

  17. Matthieu Bussière & Delle Chiaie, S. & Peltonen, T. A., 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy," Working papers 424, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthieu Bussière & Guillaume Gaulier & Walter Steingress, 2017. "Global Trade Flows: Revisiting the Exchange Rate Elasticities," Staff Working Papers 17-41, Bank of Canada.
    2. Stephane Dees & Matthias Burgert & Nicolas Parent, 2008. "Import Price Dynamics in Major Advanced Economies and Heterogeneity in Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Staff Working Papers 08-39, Bank of Canada.
    3. Choudhri, Ehsan U. & Hakura, Dalia S., 2015. "The exchange rate pass-through to import and export prices: The role of nominal rigidities and currency choice," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-25.
    4. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Republic of Belarus: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/137, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Thierry Mayer & Walter Steingress, 2019. "Estimating the Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Total Exports," Staff Working Papers 19-17, Bank of Canada.
    6. Mr. Plamen K Iossifov & Xuan Fei, 2019. "Real Effective Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Adjustment: The Case of Turkey," IMF Working Papers 2019/131, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Sophie Haincourt, 2018. "The Nature of the Shock Matters: NiGEM Estimations of the Macroeconomic Effects of Recent Dollar and Euro Fluctuations," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 30-38, May.
    8. ramona Jimborean, 2011. "The Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the New EU Member States," Working papers 341, Banque de France.
    9. Cozmanca, Bogdan-Octavian & Manea, Florentina, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Romanian Price Indices. Avar Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 26-52, September.
    10. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2009. "Marshall-Lerner Condition and Economic Globalization," EIIW Discussion paper disbei168, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    11. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Koray Alper & Luiz Pereira da Silva, 2015. "External Shocks, Financial Volatility and Reserve Requirements in an Open Economy," Working Papers Series 396, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    12. Alexis Antoniades & Nicola Zaniboni, 2016. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through Into Retail Prices," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1425-1447, November.
    13. Kiliç, Rehim, 2016. "Regime-dependent exchange-rate pass-through to import prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 295-308.
    14. Siok Kun, Sek, 2009. "The impacts of economic structures on the performance of simple policy rules in a small open economy," MPRA Paper 25065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Verheyen, Florian, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-through into German Import Prices – A Disaggregated Perspective," Ruhr Economic Papers 427, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    16. Beatriz de Blas & Katheryn N. Russ, 2015. "Understanding Markups in the Open Economy," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(2), pages 157-180, April.
    17. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices under Different Exchange Rate Regimes," MPRA Paper 53209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Alan Asprilla & Nicolas Berman & Olivier Cadot & Melise Jaud, 2018. "Trade Policy and Market Power: Firm-level Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01945660, HAL.
    19. Raphael A. Auer, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," CESifo Working Paper Series 3759, CESifo.
    20. Stanley Fischer, 2015. "The Transmission of Exchange Rate Changes to Output and Inflation : a speech at the \"Monetary Policy Implementation and Transmission in the Post-Crisis Period,\" a research conference sponsored by the Board of Governors of the Federal Rese," Speech 877, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Pierre-Richard Agénor & K. Alper & L. Pereira da Silva, 2015. "Sudden Floods, Macroprudential Regulation and Stability in an Open Economy," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 203, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    22. Li, Hongbin & Ma, Hong & Xu, Yuan, 2015. "How do exchange rate movements affect Chinese exports? — A firm-level investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 148-161.
    23. Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M. & Pan, Suwen & Hudson, Darren, 2011. "Sino-U.S. Price Transmission in Agricultural Commodities: How Important are Exchange Rate Movements?," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103459, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. David Hargreaves & Elizabeth Watson, 2011. "Sudden stops, external debt and the exchange rate," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 74, pages 1-11, December.

  18. Sarlin, Peter & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2011. "Mapping the state of financial stability," BOFIT Discussion Papers 18/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).

    Cited by:

    1. Sarlin, Peter, 2013. "On policymakers' loss function and the evaluation of early warning systems," Working Paper Series 1509, European Central Bank.
    2. Lang, Michael, 2013. "The early warnings of balance-of-payments problems: Kaminsky and Reinhart revisited," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 205, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    3. Kauko, Karlo, 2014. "How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 289-308.
    4. Kauko, Karlo, 2012. "External deficits and non-performing loans in the recent financial crisis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 196-199.
    5. Hyun Hak Kim, 2022. "A dynamic analysis of household debt using a self-organizing map," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2893-2919, June.
    6. Peter Sarlin & Zhiyuan Yao & Tomas Eklund, 2012. "A Framework For State Transitions On The Self‐Organizing Map: Some Temporal Financial Applications," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 189-203, July.

  19. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Pula, Gabor, 2009. "Has emerging Asia decoupled? An analysis of production and trade linkages using the Asian international input-output table," Working Paper Series 993, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Soyoung Kim & Jong-Wha Lee & Cyn-Young Park, 2009. "Emerging Asia: Decoupling or Recoupling," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 31, Asian Development Bank.
    2. Dungey, Mardi & Vehbi, Tugrul & Martin, Charlton, 2014. "VAR modelling in the presence of China’s rise : an application to the Taiwanese economy," Working Papers 2014-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    3. Sudip Basu & Clovis Freire & Pisit Puapan & Vatcharin Sirimaneetham & Yusuke Tateno, 2013. "Euro zone debt crisis: scenario analysis and implications for developing Asia-Pacific," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 1-25.
    4. Christian Dreger & Yanqun Zhang, 2013. "Does the economic integration of China affect growth and inflation in industrial countries?," FIW Working Paper series 116, FIW.
    5. Hubert Escaith & Fabien Gonguet, 2011. "International Trade and Real Transmission Channels of Financial Shocks in Global Production Networks: An Asian–USA Perspective," Chapters, in: Satoshi Inomata (ed.), Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Helble, Matthias & Ngiang, Boon-Loong, 2016. "From global factory to global mall? East Asia’s changing trade composition and orientation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 37-47.
    7. Allegret, Jean-Pierre & Essaadi, Essahbi, 2011. "Business cycles synchronization in East Asian economy: Evidences from time-varying coherence study," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 351-365.
    8. Kucera, David, & Roncolato, Leanne. & Uexküll, Erik von., 2010. "Trade contraction in the global crisis : employment and inequality effects in India and South Africa," ILO Working Papers 994594013402676, International Labour Organization.
    9. Koopman, Robert & Wei, Shang-Jin & Wang, Zhi, 2012. "Tracing Value-Added and Double Counting in Gross Exports," CEPR Discussion Papers 9245, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Wojtyna, Andrzej, . "Gospodarki wschodzące w obliczu kryzysu finansowego: duża odporność czy podatność?," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2010(9).
    11. Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2009. "Can Trade with the People’s Republic of China be an Engine of Growth for Developing Asia?," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 172, Asian Development Bank.
    12. Yamamoto, Shugo, 2014. "Transmission of US financial and trade shocks to Asian economies: Implications for spillover of the 2007–2009 US financial crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 88-103.
    13. Lejour, Arjan & Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo & Veenendaal, Paul, 2012. "Identifying hubs and spokes in global supply chains with redirected trade in value added," Conference papers 332177, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    14. Priscilla Liang & Thomas D. Willett & Nan Zhang, 2010. "The Slow Spread Of The Global Crisis," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 33-58.
    15. Sanjay Kalra, 2010. "Investigating growth spillovers from Europe," IMF Working Papers 2010/119, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Andrzej Wojtyna, 2010. "Gospodarki wschodzące w obliczu kryzysu finansowego: duża odporność czy podatność?," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 9, pages 25-45.
    17. Hwee Kwan Chow, 2010. "Asian Tigers’ Choices : An Overview," Trade Working Papers 21879, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    18. Dirk WILLENBOCKEL & Sherman ROBINSON, 2009. "The Global Financial Crisis, LDC Exports and Welfare: Analysis with a World Trade Model," EcoMod2009 21500091, EcoMod.
    19. Ismail Genc & Abdullah Jubain & Abdullah Al-Mutairi, 2010. "Economic versus financial integration or decoupling between the US and the GCC," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(20), pages 1577-1583.
    20. Pomfret, Richard, 2014. "European crises and the Asian economies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31, pages 71-81.
    21. Andreas Maurer & Christophe Degain, 2012. "Globalization And Trade Flows: What You See Is Not What You Get!," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1-27.
    22. Escaith, Hubert & Gonguet, Fabien, 2009. "International trade and real transmission channels of financial shocks in globalized production networks," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2009-06, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    23. Eleonora Cutrini & Giorgio Galeazzi, 2012. "Can emerging economies decouple from the US business cycle?," Working Papers 41-2012, Macerata University, Department of Studies on Economic Development (DiSSE), revised Jul 2014.
    24. Robert Koopman & William Powers & Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei, 2010. "Give Credit Where Credit Is Due: Tracing Value Added in Global Production Chains," NBER Working Papers 16426, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Peter A. Petri, 2011. "An Input–Output Analysis of Post-crisis Rebalancing in the Asia-Pacific Economy," Chapters, in: Satoshi Inomata (ed.), Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    26. Stelios D. Bekiros, 2013. "Decoupling and the Spillover Effects of the US Financial Crisis: Evidence from the BRIC Markets," Working Paper series 21_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    27. Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2009. "The People’s Republic of China as an Engine of Growth for Developing Asia? Evidence from Vector Autoregression Models," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 175, Asian Development Bank.
    28. Jarko Fidrmuc & Iikka Korhonen, 2009. "The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Business Cycles in Asian Emerging Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series 2710, CESifo.
    29. Christian Dreger & Yanqun Zhang, 2011. "The Chinese Impact on GDP Growth and Inflation in the Industrial Countries," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1151, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    30. di Mauro, Filippo & Forster, Katrin & Lima, Ana, 2010. "The global downturn and its impact on euro area exports and competitiveness," Occasional Paper Series 119, European Central Bank.
    31. Suder, Gabriele & Liesch, Peter W. & Inomata, Satoshi & Mihailova, Irina & Meng, Bo, 2015. "The evolving geography of production hubs and regional value chains across East Asia: Trade in value-added," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 404-416.
    32. Matthias Helble & Boon-Loong Ngiang, 2014. "From Global Factory to Global Mall: East Asia’s Changing Trade Composition," ADBI Working Papers 496, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    33. Lucia Tajoli & Giulia Felice, 2018. "Global Value Chains Participation and Knowledge Spillovers in Developed and Developing Countries: An Empirical Investigation," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 30(3), pages 505-532, July.
    34. Ch. Buelens, 2013. "Decoupled and resilient? The changing role of emerging market economies in an interconnected world," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 23-39, September.
    35. Satoshi Inomata (ed.), 2011. "Asia Beyond the Global Economic Crisis," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14205.
    36. Lillie Lam & James Yetman, 2013. "Asia's Decoupling: Fact, Fairytale or Forecast?," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 321-344, August.
    37. Mr. Abdul d Abiad & Petia Topalova & Ms. Prachi Mishra, 2011. "How Does Trade Evolve in the Aftermath of Financial Crises?," IMF Working Papers 2011/003, International Monetary Fund.
    38. Prachi Mishra & Devesh Roy, 2016. "India-Us Trade and Investment: Have They Been Up To Potential?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 539-567, September.
    39. Richard Pomfret, 2009. "Regionalism in the Asia-Pacific Region: How Wide, How Deep?," Adelaide Economics Working Papers 2009-31, Adelaide University, School of Economics.
    40. Lillie Lam & James Yetman, 2013. "Asia’s decoupling: fact, forecast or fiction?," BIS Working Papers 438, Bank for International Settlements.
    41. Alyson C. Ma & Ari Van Assche, 2012. "Is East Asia's Economic Fate Chained to the West?," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-11, CIRANO.
    42. Chun Yang, 2014. "Market rebalancing of global production networks in the Post-Washington Consensus globalizing era: Transformation of export-oriented development in China," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 130-156, February.

  20. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Skala, Martin & Santos Rivera, Alvaro & Pula, Gabor, 2008. "Imports and profitability in the euro area manufacturing sector: the role of emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 918, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Flückiger & Markus Ludwig, 2015. "Chinese export competition, declining exports and adjustments at the industry and regional level in Europe," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 48(3), pages 1120-1151, August.
    2. Lakatos, Csilla & Walmsley, Terrie, 2011. "Dispute Settlement at the WTO: Impacts of a No Deal in the US-Brazil Cotton Dispute," Conference papers 332059, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Sepideh Haghi & Sayed Mahdi Mostafavi & Mehdi Behname, 2015. "The effects of globalization on firm’s stock in the selected Asian countries," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 1, pages 1-1, June.
    4. Solomon Kinyanjui & Margaret A. Oloko & Hazel G. Gachunga & Beatrice G. Gathondu, 2014. "Competition as a Response Strategy to Globalization by Manufacturing Firms in Kenya," International Journal of Business Administration, International Journal of Business Administration, Sciedu Press, vol. 5(6), pages 48-60, November.
    5. Christoph Böhringer & Victoria Alexeeva-Talebi, 2011. "Unilateral climate policy and competitiveness: The implications of differential emission pricing," Working Papers V-338-11, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2011.
    6. Hoedoafia, Mabel Akosua, 2019. "Trade Liberalization and Firm Profitability: Insights from Ghana's Manufacturing Sector," MPRA Paper 97133, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Oziengbe Scott Aigheyisi, 2021. "Threshold Effects of Import Dependence of Economic Growth in Nigeria," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 15(2), pages 198-219.

  21. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Grant, Charles, 2008. "Housing and equity wealth effects of Italian households," Working Paper Series 857, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "Wealth Effetcs on Consumption: Evidence from the euro area," NIPE Working Papers 12/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    2. Arrondel, Luc & Lamarche, Pierre & Savignac, Frédérique, 2019. "Does inequality matter for the consumption-wealth channel? Empirical evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 139-165.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Hassapis, Christis, 2018. "Multi-horizon wealth effects across the G7 economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 165-176.
    4. Skudelny, Frauke, 2009. "Euro area private consumption: Is there a role for housing wealth effects," Working Paper Series 1057, European Central Bank.
    5. Luc Arrondel & Pierre Lamarche & Frédérique Savignac, 2015. "Wealth Effects on Consumption across the Wealth Distribution: Empirical Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01168660, HAL.
    6. Thompson, Daniel, 2021. "The Rescue of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - Module E: The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 3(1), pages 387-401, April.
    7. Jarko Fidrmuc & Matus Senaj, 2012. "Human Capital, Consumption, and Housing Wealth in Transition," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2012, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    8. Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina, 2019. "Personal income distribution and progressive taxation in a neo-Kaleckian model: Insights from the Italian case," IPE Working Papers 126/2019, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    9. Athanasios Tagkalakis, 2014. "Discretionary fiscal policy and economic activity in Greece," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(4), pages 687-712, November.
    10. R. Calcagno & E. Fornero & M. Rossi, 2009. "The Effect of House Prices on Household Consumption in Italy," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 284-300, October.
    11. Di Maggio, Marco & Kermani, Amir & Majlesi, Kaveh, 2018. "Stock Market Returns and Consumption," IZA Discussion Papers 11357, IZA Network @ LISER.
    12. Yaowu Yang & Chengyu Yang, 2014. "How May Consumption be Affected by Housing and Financial Assets in China and the Euro Countries?," China Economic Policy Review (CEPR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 1-20.
    13. Giampaolo Gabbi & Elisa Ticci & Pietro Vozzella, 2014. "Financialisation and Economic and Financial Crises: The Case of Italy," FESSUD studies fstudy23, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.

  22. Bussière, Matthieu & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2008. "Exchange rate pass-through in the global economy: the role of emerging market economies," Working Paper Series 951, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Abbas, Syed Kanwar & Lan, Hao, 2020. "Commodity price pass-through and inflation regimes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Matthieu Bussière & Guillaume Gaulier & Walter Steingress, 2017. "Global Trade Flows: Revisiting the Exchange Rate Elasticities," Staff Working Papers 17-41, Bank of Canada.
    3. Rajmund Mirdala, 2016. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area," FIW Working Paper series 171, FIW.
    4. Ehsan U. Choudhri & Dalia S. Hakura, 2014. "The Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import and Export Prices: The Role of Nominal Rigidities and Currency Choice," Carleton Economic Papers 14-09, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
    5. Chi Wei Su & Heng-Guo Zhang & Hsu-Ling Chang & Rui Nian, 2016. "Is exchange rate stability beneficial for stabilizing consumer prices in China?," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 857-879, September.
    6. Mr. Daniel Leigh & Weicheng Lian & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Rachel Szymanski & Viktor Tsyrennikov & Hong Yang, 2017. "Exchange Rates and Trade: A Disconnect?," IMF Working Papers 2017/058, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Bouvet, Florence & Ma, Alyson C. & Van Assche, Ari, 2017. "Tariff and exchange rate pass-through for Chinese exports: A firm-level analysis across customs regimes," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 87-96.
    8. Towbin, Pascal & Weber, Sebastian, 2013. "Limits of floating exchange rates: The role of foreign currency debt and import structure," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 179-194.
    9. Yavuz Arslan & Martina Jašová & Elod Takáts, 2016. "The inflation process," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy, volume 89, pages 23-40, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Thierry Mayer & Walter Steingress, 2019. "Estimating the Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Total Exports," Staff Working Papers 19-17, Bank of Canada.
    11. Patrice Ollivaud & Elena Rusticelli & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2015. "The Changing Role of the Exchange Rate for Macroeconomic Adjustment," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1190, OECD Publishing.
    12. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Alper, Koray & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2018. "External shocks, financial volatility and reserve requirements in an open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
    13. Wei Sun & Kuhelika De, 2019. "Real Exchange Rate, Monetary Policy, And The U.S. Economy: Evidence From A Favar Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 552-568, January.
    14. Mr. Plamen K Iossifov & Xuan Fei, 2019. "Real Effective Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Adjustment: The Case of Turkey," IMF Working Papers 2019/131, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Engin AKMAN, 2016. "Impacts Of Euro/Usd Volatility On Steel Prices Of Turkey," EcoForum, "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava, Romania, Faculty of Economics and Public Administration - Economy, Business Administration and Tourism Department., vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, January.
    16. Bogdan Cozmanca & Florentina Manea, 2009. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Romanian Price Indices: A VAR Approach," Advances in Economic and Financial Research - DOFIN Working Paper Series 34, Bucharest University of Economics, Center for Advanced Research in Finance and Banking - CARFIB.
    17. Sophie Haincourt, 2018. "The Nature of the Shock Matters: NiGEM Estimations of the Macroeconomic Effects of Recent Dollar and Euro Fluctuations," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 30-38, May.
    18. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2009. "Innovationen und Transatlantische Bankenkrise: Eine ordnungspolitische Analyse," EIIW Discussion paper disbei171, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    19. Francesca Caselli & Agustin Roitman, 2016. "Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2016/001, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Fatiha El agri & Mounir Jerry & Ahlam Qafas & Youness Manzah, 2024. "Determinants of the Export Function in Morocco: Evidence from ARDL and Dynamic ARDL Models," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 16(1), pages 98-129, January.
    21. ramona Jimborean, 2011. "The Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the New EU Member States," Working papers 341, Banque de France.
    22. Lukas Vogel, 2015. "Stabilisation and Rebalancing with Fiscal or Monetary Devaluation: A Model-Based Comparison," CESifo Working Paper Series 5625, CESifo.
    23. Anderl, Christina & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, 2023. "Nonlinearities in the exchange rate pass-through: The role of inflation expectations," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 86-101.
    24. Diby François Kassi & Dilesha Nawadali Rathnayake & Akadje Jean Roland Edjoukou & Yobouet Thierry Gnangoin & Pierre Axel Louembe & Ning Ding & Gang Sun, 2019. "Asymmetry in Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices: New Perspective from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-33, January.
    25. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2026. "Revisiting exchange rate predictability: Can machine learning with theoretical filtering outperform canonical models?," Working Papers 2026-01, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics.
    26. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Phillips Curve for the Asian Economies: A Nonlinear Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3508-3537, September.
    27. Rose Cunningham & Christian Friedrich & Kristina Hess & Min Jae Kim, 2017. "Understanding the Time Variation in Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import Prices," Discussion Papers 17-12, Bank of Canada.
    28. Safet Kurtović & Blerim Halili & Nehat Maxhuni, 2019. "Exchange rate pass-through into import prices: evidence from Central and Southeast European countries," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 51-80, June.
    29. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2016. "A new look at exchange rate pass-through in the G-7 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 985-1000.
    30. Comunale, Mariarosaria & Simola, Heli, 2018. "The pass-through to consumer prices in CIS economies: The role of exchange rates, commodities and other common factors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 186-217.
    31. Brun-Aguerre, Raphael & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Phylaktis, Kate, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through into import prices revisited: What drives it?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 818-844.
    32. Yuwan Duan & Yanping Zhao & Jakob Haan, 2020. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in China: A Cost-Push Input-Output Price Model," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 513-528, July.
    33. Rajmund Mirdala, 2016. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in the European Transition Economies," Working Papers 361, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
    34. Piotr Dybka & Bartosz Olesiński & Piotr Pękała & Andrzej Torój, 2017. "To SVAR or to SVEC? On the transmission of capital buffer shocks to the real economy," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 48(2), pages 119-148.
    35. Kassi, Diby François & Sun, Gang & Ding, Ning & Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali & Assamoi, Guy Roland, 2019. "Asymmetry in exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices: Evidence from emerging and developing Asian countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-372.
    36. Arshid Hussain Peer & Mirza Allim Baig & Masudul Hasan Adil, 2026. "Monetary policy credibility and exchange rate pass-through in India," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 1-21, April.
    37. Lei Wang & Sana Ullah & Muhammad Tayyab Sohail, 2024. "Exchange rate volatility and green growth in China: does nonlinearity matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-26, December.
    38. William Powers & David Riker, 2015. "The Effect of Exchange Rates on the Costs of Exporters When Inputs Are Denominated in Foreign Currencies," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 3-18, March.
    39. Firanchuk, Alexander, 2018. "Imported Intermediate Goods and Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Export Prices," EconStor Preprints 182400, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    40. Alexis Antoniades & Nicola Zaniboni, 2016. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through Into Retail Prices," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(4), pages 1425-1447, November.
    41. Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Gräb, Johannes, 2022. "E pluribus plures: shock dependency of the USD pass-through to real and financial variables," Working Paper Series 2684, European Central Bank.
    42. Channary Khun & Sokchea Lim & Hem Basnet, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Japanese Import Prices: Evidence at Both Bilateral and Product Levels," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(2), pages 115-132.
    43. M. Faruk Aydin & Selcuk Gul, 2020. "The Role of Real Exchange Rates in Export Price Determination," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2006, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    44. Md Deluair Hossen, 2023. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Data Frequency: Firm-Level Evidence from Bangladesh," Papers 2303.04101, arXiv.org.
    45. Zou, Zongsen & Zhang, Yu & Wang, Meng & Wang, Xiuling, 2022. "Do export quality and destination income matter for exchange rate pass-through? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    46. Matthieu Bussière & Delle Chiaie, S. & Peltonen, T. A., 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy," Working papers 424, Banque de France.
    47. Casas, Camila, 2020. "Industry heterogeneity and exchange rate pass-through," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    48. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu & Panthi, Pradeep, 2024. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging Asia and exposure to external shocks," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1608-1624.
    49. Raphael, Brun-Aguerre & Ana-Maria, Fuertes & Matthew, Greenwood-Nimmo, 2016. "Heads I Win, Tails You Lose: Asymmetry in Exchange Rate Pass-Through Into Import Prices," MPRA Paper 71764, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Barbakadze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2021. "Dominant Currency Paradigm: Financial Dollarization View," NBG Working Papers 01/2021, National Bank of Georgia.
    51. Siok Kun, Sek, 2009. "The impacts of economic structures on the performance of simple policy rules in a small open economy," MPRA Paper 25065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    52. Beckmann, Joscha & Belke, Ansgar & Verheyen, Florian, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-through into German Import Prices – A Disaggregated Perspective," Ruhr Economic Papers 427, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    53. Solórzano, Diego, 2023. "Heterogeneous exchange rate pass-through in Mexico: What drives it?," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(4).
    54. Joscha Beckmann & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "Exchange rate fluctuations and the financial channel in emerging economies," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 83, Bank of Lithuania.
    55. Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Khalil, Makram, 2019. "Global value chain participation and exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper Series 2327, European Central Bank.
    56. Gräb, Johannes & Lafarguette, Romain, 2015. "The role of currency invoicing for the international transmission," The international role of the euro - Special feature, European Central Bank.
    57. Mr. Alvar Kangur, 2018. "Competitiveness and Wage Bargaining Reform in Italy," IMF Working Papers 2018/061, International Monetary Fund.
    58. Jonathan Kearns & Nikhil Patel, 2016. "Does the financial channel of exchange rates offset the trade channel?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    59. Hu, Chenghao, 2024. "Finance dependence and exchange rate pass-through: Empirical evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    60. Sangaré, Ibrahima, 2016. "External shocks and exchange rate regimes in Southeast Asia: A DSGE analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 365-382.
    61. Yusuf Emre Akgündüz & Salih Fendoğlu, 2022. "Export Prices, Imported Inputs, and Domestic Supply Networks," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 383-419, September.
    62. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices under Different Exchange Rate Regimes," MPRA Paper 53209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    63. Yiqing Xie & Chao Song, 2020. "The role of processing trade in exporters' responses to exchange rate: Evidence from China," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 1521-1543, June.
    64. Alan Asprilla & Nicolas Berman & Olivier Cadot & Melise Jaud, 2018. "Trade Policy and Market Power: Firm-level Evidence," Working Papers halshs-01945660, HAL.
    65. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Markov-switching analysis of exchange rate pass-through: Perspective from Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 245-257.
    66. Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2016. "Value-added Trade, Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Trade Elasticity: Revisiting the Trade Competitiveness," 2016 Papers pud11, Job Market Papers.
    67. Raphael A. Auer, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," CESifo Working Paper Series 3759, CESifo.
    68. Ozkan, Ibrahim & Erden, Lutfi, 2015. "Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 56-66.
    69. Lama, Anil & Budha, Birendra Bahadur & Prabhesh, K.P. & Rana, Sona, 2025. "Exchange rate pass-through in Nepal," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    70. Stanley Fischer, 2015. "The Transmission of Exchange Rate Changes to Output and Inflation : a speech at the \"Monetary Policy Implementation and Transmission in the Post-Crisis Period,\" a research conference sponsored by the Board of Governors of the Federal Rese," Speech 877, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    71. Yohannes Ayele & L. Alan Winters, 2020. "How Do Exchange Rate Depreciations Affect Trade and Prices? A Survey and Lessons about UK Experience after June 2016," Working Paper Series 1420, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    72. Duc Hong Vo & Nam Thanh Vu, 2024. "Exchange rate pass-through for European Union countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(8), pages 1-17, August.
    73. Jorge González & Eduardo Saucedo, 2018. "Traspaso Depreciación-Inflación en México: Análisis de Precios al Consumidor y Productor," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 13(4), pages 525-545, Octubre-D.
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    75. Li, Hongbin & Ma, Hong & Xu, Yuan, 2015. "How do exchange rate movements affect Chinese exports? — A firm-level investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 148-161.
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  23. Mehrotra, Aaron & Peltonen, Tuomas & Santos Rivera, Alvaro, 2007. "Modelling inflation in China: a regional perspective," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2007, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).

    Cited by:

    1. Behera, Harendra & Wahi, Garima & Kapur, Muneesh, 2018. "Phillips curve relationship in an emerging economy: Evidence from India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 116-126.
    2. Suleiman O. Mamman, 2026. "Forecasting inflation in a warming world: regional heterogeneity and machine learning evidence from Asia," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 75(1), pages 1-33, March.
    3. Amstad, Marlene & Ye, Huan & Ma, Guonan, 2018. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Adhitya Wardhono & M. Abd. Nasir & Ciplis Gema Qori’ah & Yulia Indrawati, 2021. "Movement of Inflation and New Keynesian Phillips Curve in ASEAN," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, March.
    5. El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2024. "Regional heterogeneity and the provincial Phillips curve in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1036-1044.
    6. Muhammad Tahir & Norulazidah Omar Ali & Imran Naseem & Umar Burki, 2023. "Trade Openness and Inflation Rate in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Data," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-10, September.
    7. Chen, Changsheng & Girardin, Eric & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2017. "Global slack and open economy Phillips curves – A province-level view from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 74-87.
    8. Chiang, Shu-Hen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Liao, Ying, 2021. "Exploring the sources of inflation dynamics: New evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 313-332.
    9. Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," Bruegel Working Papers 853, Bruegel.
    10. Jarko Fidrmuc & Katarína Danišková, 2020. "Meta-Analysis of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Developed and Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 10-31, January.
    11. Shu-hen Chiang, 2016. "Rising residential rents in Chinese mega cities: The role of monetary policy," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(16), pages 3493-3509, December.
    12. Nagayasu, Jun, 2009. "Regional Inflation in China," MPRA Paper 24722, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2009. "Understanding the inflation-output nexus for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 82-90, March.
    14. Zhang, Chengsi & Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2012. "Multivariate model-based gap measures and a new Phillips curve for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 60-70.
    15. Harry Aginta, 2022. "Spatiotemporal analysis of regional inflation in an emerging country: The case of Indonesia," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 667-688, June.

  24. Mehrotra, Aaron N. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Santos Rivera, Alvaro, 2007. "Modelling inflation in China - a regional perspective," Working Paper Series 829, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Behera, Harendra & Wahi, Garima & Kapur, Muneesh, 2018. "Phillips curve relationship in an emerging economy: Evidence from India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 116-126.
    2. Suleiman O. Mamman, 2026. "Forecasting inflation in a warming world: regional heterogeneity and machine learning evidence from Asia," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 75(1), pages 1-33, March.
    3. Amstad, Marlene & Ye, Huan & Ma, Guonan, 2018. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Adhitya Wardhono & M. Abd. Nasir & Ciplis Gema Qori’ah & Yulia Indrawati, 2021. "Movement of Inflation and New Keynesian Phillips Curve in ASEAN," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, March.
    5. El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2024. "Regional heterogeneity and the provincial Phillips curve in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1036-1044.
    6. Muhammad Tahir & Norulazidah Omar Ali & Imran Naseem & Umar Burki, 2023. "Trade Openness and Inflation Rate in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Data," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-10, September.
    7. Chen, Changsheng & Girardin, Eric & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2017. "Global slack and open economy Phillips curves – A province-level view from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 74-87.
    8. Chiang, Shu-Hen & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Liao, Ying, 2021. "Exploring the sources of inflation dynamics: New evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 313-332.
    9. Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," Bruegel Working Papers 853, Bruegel.
    10. Jarko Fidrmuc & Katarína Danišková, 2020. "Meta-Analysis of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Developed and Emerging Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1), pages 10-31, January.
    11. Shu-hen Chiang, 2016. "Rising residential rents in Chinese mega cities: The role of monetary policy," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 53(16), pages 3493-3509, December.
    12. Nagayasu, Jun, 2009. "Regional Inflation in China," MPRA Paper 24722, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2009. "Understanding the inflation-output nexus for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 82-90, March.
    14. Zhang, Chengsi & Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2012. "Multivariate model-based gap measures and a new Phillips curve for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 60-70.
    15. Harry Aginta, 2022. "Spatiotemporal analysis of regional inflation in an emerging country: The case of Indonesia," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 667-688, June.

  25. Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2006. "Are emerging market currency crises predictable? A test," Working Paper Series 571, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis, 2016. "Exchange Arrangements and Currency Crises: What´s the matter with the exchange rate classification?," MPRA Paper 71949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Tomas Slacik, "undated". "On the determinants of currency crises: The role of model uncertainty," Working Papers 2008-03, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    3. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2011. "Mapping the state of financial stability," Working Paper Series 1382, European Central Bank.
    4. Knedlik, Tobias, 2006. "Signaling Currency Crises in South Africa," IWH Discussion Papers 19/2006, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    5. Geraldine Dany-Knedlik & Martina Kämpfe & Tobias Knedlik, 2021. "The appropriateness of the macroeconomic imbalance procedure for Central and Eastern European Countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 123-139, February.
    6. Matthew S. Yiu & Alex Ho & Lu Jin, 2009. "Econometric Approach to Early Warnings of Vulnerability in the Banking System and Currency Markets for Hong Kong and Other EMEAP Economies," Working Papers 0908, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
    7. Sarlin, Peter & Holopainen, Markus, 2016. "Toward robust early-warning models: a horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 1900, European Central Bank.
    8. Knedlik, Tobias & Scheufele, Rolf, 2007. "Three methods of forecasting currency crises: Which made the run in signaling the South African currency crisis of June 2006?," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2007, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    9. Seyma Caliskan Cavdar & Alev Dilek Aydin, 2015. "An Empirical Analysis for the Prediction of a Financial Crisis in Turkey through the Use of Forecast Error Measures," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, August.
    10. Alexis CRUZ-RODRIGUEZ, 2021. "Exchange arrangements and speculative attacks: Is there a link?," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 187-206, September.
    11. Bucevska, Vesna, 2011. "An anaylsis of financial crisis by an early warning system model: The Case of the EU candidate countries," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 4(01), pages 1-14, January.
    12. Sarlin, Peter & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2011. "Mapping the state of financial stability," BOFIT Discussion Papers 18/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    13. Lang, Jan Hannes & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2018. "A framework for early-warning modeling with an application to banks," Working Paper Series 2182, European Central Bank.
    14. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2017. "Toward robust early-warning models: a horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(12), pages 1933-1963, December.
    15. Holopainen, Markus & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2015, Bank of Finland.
    16. Peter Sarlin & Dorina Marghescu, 2011. "Visual predictions of currency crises using self‐organizing maps," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 15-38, January.
    17. Sylvain Barthélémy & Virginie Gautier & Fabien Rondeau, 2024. "Early warning system for currency crises using long short‐term memory and gated recurrent unit neural networks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1235-1262, August.
    18. Peter Sarlin & Dorina Marghescu, 2011. "Neuro‐Genetic Predictions Of Currency Crises," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 145-160, October.
    19. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Papers 1501.04682, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    20. Neziri, Hekuran, 2008. "Can Credit Default Swaps Predict Financial Crises: An Empirical Test on Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 13096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Hekuran NEZIRI, 2009. "Can Credit Default Swaps Predict Financial Crises? Empirical Study On Emerging Markets," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(1(7)_ Spr).
    22. Dorina Marghescu & Peter Sarlin & Shuhua Liu, 2010. "Early‐warning analysis for currency crises in emerging markets: A revisit with fuzzy clustering," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(3‐4), pages 143-165, July.
    23. Robalo Marques, Carlos & Dias, Daniel & Santos Silva, João M. C., 2006. "Measuring the importance of the uniform nonsynchronization hypothesis," Working Paper Series 606, European Central Bank.
    24. Aleksandra A. Maslowska, 2011. "Quest for the Best: How to Measure Central Bank Independence and Show its Relationship with Inflation," Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 132-161, August.
    25. Tobias Knedlik & Rolf Scheufele, 2008. "Forecasting Currency Crises: Which Methods Signaled The South African Crisis Of June 2006?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 367-383, September.
    26. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Tomáš Slacík, 2008. "Determinants of Currency Crises: A Conflict of Generations?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 126-141.
    27. Lutfa Tilat Ferdous & Khnd Md Mostafa Kamal & Amirul Ahsan & Nhung Hong Thuy Hoang & Munshi Samaduzzaman, 2022. "An Early Warning System for Currency Crises in Emerging Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, April.
    28. Turgut Yokuş, 2024. "Early Warning Systems for World Energy Crises," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    29. Vesna Bucevska, 2011. "Growth effect of aid and its volatility: An individual country study in South Asian economies," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 4(1), pages 13-26, January.
    30. Ivana Marjanović & Milan Marković, 2019. "Determinants of currency crises in the Republic of Serbia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 191-212.
    31. Carroll Howard GRIFFIN, 2010. "The Role Of Latin American Banks In The Region’s Currency Crises," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 5, pages 55-71, June.
    32. Dungey, Mardi & Islam, Raisul & Volkov, Vladimir, 2020. "Crisis transmission: Visualizing vulnerability," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

  26. Mehrotra, Aaron N. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2005. "Socio-economic development and fiscal policy: lessons from the cohesion countries for the new member states," Working Paper Series 467, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & Sebastian Hauptmeier, 2009. "Public Debt and Economic Growth: a Granger Causality Panel Data Approach," Working Papers Department of Economics 2009/24, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Stefanescu, Răzvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2015. "Creşterea economică a României între 1980 şi 2013 [The Economic Growth of Romania between 1980 and 2013]," MPRA Paper 61592, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Ram Sharan Kharel, Ph.D., 2012. "Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 24(1), pages 1-15, April.

Articles

  1. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "Dating systemic financial stress episodes in the EU countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 30-56.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Markus Behn & Carsten Detken & Tuomas Peltonen & Willem Schudel, 2017. "Predicting Vulnerabilities in the EU Banking Sector: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(4), pages 147-189, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Betz, Frank & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schienle, Melanie, 2016. "Systemic risk spillovers in the European banking and sovereign network," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 206-224.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Vuillemey, Guillaume & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2015. "Disentangling the bond–CDS nexus: A stress test model of the CDS market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 32-45.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Matthieu Bussière & Simona Delle Chiaie & Tuomas A Peltonen, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy: The Role of Emerging Market Economies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(1), pages 146-178, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Scheicher, Martin & Vuillemey, Guillaume, 2014. "The network structure of the CDS market and its determinants," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 118-133.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Betz, Frank & Oprică, Silviu & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2014. "Predicting distress in European banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 225-241.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Sarlin, Peter & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2013. "Mapping the state of financial stability," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 46-76.

    Cited by:

    1. Oscar Claveria, 2017. "“What really matters is the economic performance: Positioning tourist destinations by means of perceptual maps”," AQR Working Papers 201707, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2017.
    2. Sarlin, Peter, 2013. "On policymakers' loss function and the evaluation of early warning systems," Working Paper Series 1509, European Central Bank.
    3. Sarlin, Peter & Ramsay, Bruce A., 2014. "Ending over-lending: Assessing systemic risk with debt to cash flow," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2014, Bank of Finland.
    4. Lainà, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 18-35.
    5. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015. "“Self-organizing map analysis of agents’ expectations. Different patterns of anticipation of the 2008 financial crisis”," AQR Working Papers 201508, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Mar 2015.
    6. Flood, Mark D. & Lemieux, Victoria L. & Varga, Margaret & William Wong, B.L., 2016. "The application of visual analytics to financial stability monitoring," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 180-197.
    7. Sarlin, Peter & Holopainen, Markus, 2016. "Toward robust early-warning models: a horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 1900, European Central Bank.
    8. Peter Sarlin, 2014. "Macroprudential oversight, risk communication and visualization," Papers 1404.4550, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2014.
    9. Lang, Michael, 2013. "The early warnings of balance-of-payments problems: Kaminsky and Reinhart revisited," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 205, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    10. Betz, Frank & Oprică, Silviu & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2014. "Predicting distress in European banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 225-241.
    11. Demir Caner & Cergibozan Raif, 2018. "Determinants of Patent Protection Regimes: A Self-Organizing Map Approach," Review of Economic Perspectives, Paradigm, vol. 18(3), pages 261-283, September.
    12. Zhibin Niu & Junqi Wu & Dawei Cheng & Jiawan Zhang, 2021. "Regshock: Interactive Visual Analytics of Systemic Risk in Financial Networks," Papers 2104.11863, arXiv.org.
    13. Fabrizio Ferriani & Wanda Cornacchia & Paolo Farroni & Eliana Ferrara & Francesco Guarino & Francesco Pisanti, 2019. "An early warning system for less significant Italian banks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 480, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Savas Papadopoulos & Pantelis Stavroulias & Thomas Sager, 2016. "Systemic early warning systems for EU15 based on the 2008 crisis," Working Papers 202, Bank of Greece.
    15. Barthélémy, Sylvain & Binet, Marie-Estelle & Pentecôte, Jean-Sébastien, 2020. "Worldwide economic recoveries from financial crises through the decades," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    16. Poli, Federica & Rossi, Simone & Borroni, Mariarosa, 2024. "Fall of dwarfs: micro and macroeconomic determinants of the disappearance of European small banks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    17. Ons Jedidi & Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte, 2015. "Prédire les crises bancaires : un système d’alerte robuste," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 189-225.
    18. Zhibin Niu & Runlin Li & Junqi Wu & Dawei Cheng & Jiawan Zhang, 2020. "iConViz: Interactive Visual Exploration of the Default Contagion Risk of Networked-Guarantee Loans," Papers 2006.09542, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    19. Kauko, Karlo, 2014. "How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 289-308.
    20. Chiaramonte, Laura & Casu, Barbara, 2017. "Capital and liquidity ratios and financial distress. Evidence from the European banking industry," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 138-161.
    21. Sarlin, Peter, 2016. "Macroprudential oversight, risk communication and visualization," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 160-179.
    22. Lilit Popoyan, 2020. "Macroprudential Policy: a Blessing or a Curse?," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 11(1-2).
    23. Holopainen, Markus & Sarlin, Peter, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2015, Bank of Finland.
    24. Peter Sarlin, 2016. "Visual Macroprudential Surveillance of Banks," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 257-264, October.
    25. Savas Papadopoulos & Pantelis Stavroulias & Thomas Sager & Etti Baranoff, 2017. "A ternary-state early warning system for the European Union," Working Papers 222, Bank of Greece.
    26. Marina Resta, 2016. "VaRSOM: A Tool to Monitor Markets' Stability Based on Value at Risk and Self‐Organizing Maps," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1-2), pages 47-64, January.
    27. Ons Jedidi & Jean Sébastien Pentecote, 2015. "Robust Signals for Banking Crises," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(3), pages 1617-1629.
    28. Markus Holopainen & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Toward robust early-warning models: A horse race, ensembles and model uncertainty," Papers 1501.04682, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    29. Patrizio Lainà & Juho Nyholm & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(1), pages 18-35, January.
    30. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter & Rancan, Michela, 2015. "Interconnectedness of the banking sector as a vulnerability to crises," Working Paper Series 1866, European Central Bank.
    31. Kauko, Karlo, 2012. "External deficits and non-performing loans in the recent financial crisis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 196-199.
    32. Bitetto, Alessandro & Cerchiello, Paola & Mertzanis, Charilaos, 2023. "Measuring financial soundness around the world: A machine learning approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    33. Savas Papadopoulos & Pantelis Stavroulias & Thomas Sager, 2019. "Systemic early warning systems for EU14 based on the 2008 crisis: proposed estimation and model assessment for classification forecasting," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 226-244, September.
    34. Kinsella, Stephen, 2019. "Visualising economic crises using accounting models," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-16.
    35. Adem Baltaci & Raif Cergibozan & Ali Ari, 2022. "Cultural values and the global financial crisis: a missing link?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 507-529, September.
    36. Borgy, Vladimir & Clerc, Laurent & Renne, Jean-Paul, 2014. "Measuring aggregate risk: Can we robustly identify asset-price boom–bust cycles?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 132-150.
    37. Sarlin, Peter & Ramsay, Bruce A., 2015. "Ending over-lending: assessing systemic risk with debt to cash flow," Working Paper Series 1769, European Central Bank.
    38. Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.
    39. Hyun Hak Kim, 2022. "A dynamic analysis of household debt using a self-organizing map," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2893-2919, June.
    40. Ahmad S. Al Humssi & Vladimir Z. Chapliuk & Larisa N. Sorokina & Liliya G. Akhmetshina, 2024. "Modelling the Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Country’s Financial Stability: Evidence from the Russian Federation," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 62-81.
    41. Lainà, Patrizio & Nyholm, Juho & Sarlin, Peter, 2014. "Leading indicators of systemic banking crises: Finland in a panel of EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2014, Bank of Finland.
    42. Peter Sarlin & Zhiyuan Yao & Tomas Eklund, 2012. "A Framework For State Transitions On The Self‐Organizing Map: Some Temporal Financial Applications," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 189-203, July.
    43. Li, Rui & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2025. "Downside belief disagreements and financial instability: Evidence from risk factor disclosures in U.S. financial institutions’ 10-K filings," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    44. Dungey, Mardi & Islam, Raisul & Volkov, Vladimir, 2020. "Crisis transmission: Visualizing vulnerability," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

  9. Tuomas Peltonen & Ricardo Sousa & Isabel Vansteenkiste, 2012. "Investment in emerging market economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 97-119, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Pradyumna Dash, 2016. "The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment: Evidence from India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 41(4), pages 288-307, December.
    2. Carlos A. Ibarra, 2014. "Trade, investment, and capital flows:Mexico's macroeconomic adjustment to the Great Recession," Working Paper Series Sobre México 2014002, Sobre México. Temas en economía.
    3. Luca Agnello & Davide Furceri & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Fiscal Policy Discretion, Private Spending, and Crisis Episodes," NIPE Working Papers 31/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    4. Nahiyan Faisal Azad & Apostolos Serletis, 2025. "Stock Market Uncertainty and Business Optimism in Major Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 873-900, July.
    5. Luca Agnello & Davide Furceri & Ricardo Sousa, 2013. "Discretionary Government Consumption, Private Domestic Demand, and Crisis Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 79-100, February.
    6. José María Serena & Ricardo Sousa, 2017. "Does exchange rate depreciation have contractionary effects on firm-level investment?," BIS Working Papers 624, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Nemlioglu, Ilayda & Mallick, Sushanta K., 2020. "Do innovation-intensive firms mitigate their valuation uncertainty during bad times?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 913-940.
    8. Nemlioglu, Ilayda & Mallick, Sushanta, 2021. "Effective innovation via better management of firms: The role of leverage in times of crisis," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(7).
    9. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Ytallo Brito, 2021. "The link between public debt and investment: an empirical assessment from emerging markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(50), pages 5864-5876, October.
    10. Tuomas A. Peltonen & Ricardo M. Sousa & Isabel S. Vansteenkiste, 2009. "Fundamentals, Financial Factors and The Dynamics of Investment in Emerging Markets," NIPE Working Papers 19/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.

  10. Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vansteenkiste, Isabel S., 2012. "Wealth effects in emerging market economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 155-166.

    Cited by:

    1. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
    2. Mali Chivakul & Bernhard Kassner, 2019. "Can Consumption Growth in China Keep Up as Investment Slows?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 381-412, September.
    3. Esra Alp Coskun & Nicholas Apergis & Yener Coskun, 2022. "Threshold effects of housing affordability and financial development on the house price‐consumption nexus," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1785-1806, April.
    4. Sousa, Ricardo M., 2009. "Wealth effects on consumption: evidence from the euro area," Working Paper Series 1050, European Central Bank.
    5. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, November.
    6. Vittorio Peretti & Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Do House Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201216, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Ahec Šonje, Amina & Čeh Časni, Anita & Vizek, Maruška, 2014. "The effect of housing and stock market wealth on consumption in emerging and developed countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 433-450.
    8. Carlos De Resende & Claudia Godbout & René Lalonde & Eric Morin & Nikita Perevalov, 2012. "On the Adjustment of the Global Economy," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2012(Spring), pages 1-15.
    9. Holland, Quynh Chau Pham & Liu, Benjamin & Roca, Eduardo & Salisu, Afees A., 2020. "Mortgage asymmetric pricing, cash rate and international funding cost: Australian evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 46-68.
    10. Samuel Bindu & Lloyd Chigusiwa & D. Mazambani & L. Muchabaiwa & V. Mudavanhu, 2011. "The Effect of stock market wealth on private consumption in Zimbabwe," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 4(2), pages 125-142, August.
    11. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Consumption, Wealth, Stock and Housing Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets," NIPE Working Papers 32/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    12. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2015. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 176-196, August.
    13. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    14. Gabe Jacob de Bondt & Arne Gieseck & Zivile Zekaite, 2020. "Thick modelling income and wealth effects: a forecast application to euro area private consumption," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 257-286, January.
    15. Lee, Jiho, 2013. "Consumption, financial wealth and labor income in Korea," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25, pages 59-67.
    16. Ciarlone, Alessio, 2011. "Housing wealth effect in emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 399-417.
    17. Ricardo Bebczuk & Leonardo Gasparini & Noelia Garbero & Julian Amendolaggine, 2015. "Understanding the Determinants of Household Saving: Micro Evidence for Latin America," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0189, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    18. Xiaorong Zhou & Meng-Shiuh Chang & Karen Gibler, 2016. "The asymmetric wealth effects of housing market and stock market on consumption in China," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 196-216, April.
    19. Feng-Li Lin & Mei-Chih Wang & Hsien-Hung Kung, 2020. "Housing and Stock Market Nexus in the US," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 114-130.
    20. Barrell, Ray & Costantini, Mauro & Meco, Iris, 2015. "Housing wealth, financial wealth, and consumption: New evidence for Italy and the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 316-323.
    21. Bhupal Singh, 2022. "Housing and stock market wealth effects in developing economies," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 29-49, February.
    22. Minghao Chen & Yueling Xu & Bolin Zhu & Jiafeng Chen, 2025. "The Impact of Life Insurance Allocation on Household Consumption Expenditure: Evidence from China," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(3), pages 21582440251, September.
    23. Yener Coskun & Burak Sencer Atasoy & Giacomo Morri & Esra Alp, 2018. "Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-32, June.
    24. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    25. Mihaela Nicolau, 2020. "Interest rate and the financial and housing wealth effects in ten CEEC," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 1132-1145.
    26. Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Mr. Ashvin Ahuja, 2012. "Trade and Financial Spilloveron Hong Kong SAR from a Downturn in Europe and Mainland China," IMF Working Papers 2012/081, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2011. "Macroprudential Regulation and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Working Papers Series 254, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    28. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.
    29. Tuomas Peltonen & Ricardo Sousa & Isabel Vansteenkiste, 2012. "Investment in emerging market economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 97-119, August.
    30. Ramiz Rahmanov, 2013. "Stock Market Wealth Effects in Emerging Economies of Eastern Europe: Evidence from Russia and Ukraine," Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, Tallinn School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, vol. 5(1).
    31. Swamy, Vighneswara, 2017. "Wealth Effects and Macroeconomic Dynamics – Evidence from Indian Economy," MPRA Paper 76836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Vighneswara Swamy, 2019. "Wealth Effects and Macroeconomic Dynamics," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1755-1773.
    33. Rudan Wang & Bruce Morley & Javier Ordóñez, 2015. "The Taylor Rule, Wealth Effects and the Exchange Rate," Working Papers 2015/08, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    34. Mr. Ken Miyajima, 2016. "An Empirical Investigation of Oil-Macro-Financial Linkages in Saudi Arabia," IMF Working Papers 2016/022, International Monetary Fund.
    35. Tsai, I-Chun, 2015. "Dynamic information transfer in the United States housing and stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 215-230.
    36. Burdet Florina, 2025. "Wealth Effects in the CEE Emerging Economies: A Long-Run Panel Approach," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Paradigm, vol. 70(1), pages 112-125.
    37. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
    38. Yener Coskun & Nicholas Apergis & Esra Alp Coskun, 2022. "Nonlinear responses of consumption to wealth, income, and interest rate shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1293-1335, September.
    39. Alessio Ciarlone, 2012. "Wealth effects in emerging economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 843, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    40. Beladi, Hamid & Chao, Chi-Chur & Hollas, Daniel, 2013. "How growing asset inequality affects developing economies," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 43-51.
    41. Li, Cheng & Zhang, Ying, 2021. "How does housing wealth affect household consumption? Evidence from macro-data with special implications for China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    42. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Alain Kaninda & Wendy Nyakabawo & Aarifah Razak, 2013. "House Price, Stock Price and Consumption in South Africa: A Structural VAR Approach," Working Papers 201309, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    43. Silviu Nate & Valentin Grecu & Andriy Stavytskyy & Ganna Kharlamova, 2022. "Fostering Entrepreneurial Ecosystems through the Stimulation and Mentorship of New Entrepreneurs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-18, June.
    44. Li, Yaoyao & Qi, Yuan & Liu, Licheng & Hou, Yuchen & Fu, Shuya & Yao, Jingtao & Zhu, Daolin, 2022. "Effect of increasing the rental housing supply on house prices: Evidence from China’s large and medium-sized cities," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    45. Ersi Athanassiou & Ekaterini Tsouma, 2017. "Financial and Housing Wealth Effects on Private Consumption: The Case of Greece," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 15(1), pages 63-86.
    46. Mark J. HOLMES & Xin SHEN, 2015. "On Wealth Volatility, Asymmetries And The Average Propensity To Consume In The United States," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 15(1), pages 69-78.
    47. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013. "Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 59, pages 161-196, October.
    48. Hassan Gholipour Fereidouni & Reza Tajaddini, 2017. "Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth and Consumption Expenditure: The Role of Consumer Confidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 216-236, February.

  11. Mehrotra, Aaron & Peltonen, Tuomas & Santos Rivera, Alvaro, 2010. "Modelling inflation in China--A regional perspective," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 237-255, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
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