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Traspaso Depreciación-Inflación en México: Análisis de Precios al Consumidor y Productor

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge González

    (Instituto Econofinanzas)

  • Eduardo Saucedo

    (EGADE Business School, Tecnológico de Monterrey)

Abstract

En este trabajo se analizan los traspasos de movimientos del tipo de cambio a distintos índices de precios en México, con énfasis en las subdivisiones de precios al productor. Para las estimaciones se implementa un modelo VAR con frecuencia mensual de enero de 2004 a noviembre de 2016. Después se crean funciones de impulso respuesta las cuales ayudan a medir el impacto de shocks cambiarios en precios. Los resultados muestran que la elasticidad de traspaso es baja para los precios al consumidor y productor, pero se incrementan en el periodo más reciente. Los sectores de la minería y las manufacturas son los rubros que más reaccionan a cambios en el tipo de cambio. Se considera importante que el banco central supervise continuamente las industrias que tiene un mayor pass-through y verifique su efecto sobre los precios al consumidor. Este documento a diferencia de la mayoría también analiza los precios al productor. Los resultados concluyen que periodos largos de depreciación del peso mexicano, si logran afectar el nivel de precios de la economía.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge González & Eduardo Saucedo, 2018. "Traspaso Depreciación-Inflación en México: Análisis de Precios al Consumidor y Productor," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 13(4), pages 525-545, Octubre-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:imx:journl:v:13:y:2018:i:4:p:525-545
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Aleem, Abdul & Lahiani, Amine, 2014. "A threshold vector autoregression model of exchange rate pass-through in Mexico," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 24-33.
    3. Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Hahn, Elke & Sánchez, Marcelo, 2007. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging markets," Working Paper Series 739, European Central Bank.
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    5. Matthieu Bussière & Simona Delle Chiaie & Tuomas A Peltonen, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy: The Role of Emerging Market Economies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(1), pages 146-178, April.
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    7. Jesús Cañas & Roberto Coronado & Robert W. Gilmer & Eduardo Saucedo, 2013. "The Impact of the Maquiladora Industry on U.S. Border Cities," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 415-442, September.
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    10. Capistrán, Carlos & Ibarra, Raúl & Ramos, Manuel, 2012. "El traspaso de movimientos del tipo de cambio a los precios. Un análisis para la economía mexicana," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(316), pages 813-838, octubre-d.
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    Cited by:

    1. Capasso Salvatore & Oreste Napolitano & Ana Laura Vivero, 2023. "The Financial Conditions Index as an additional tool for policymakers in developing countries: the Mexican case," CSEF Working Papers 664, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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