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Financial development and the occurrence of banking crises

Author

Listed:
  • Clément Mathonnat

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Alexandru Minea

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020] - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We perform an in-depth analysis of the effect of different dimensions of financial development on the occurrence of banking crises. Horse-race estimations carried out on a large dataset of 113 banking crises in 112 countries reveal that the growth of M3/GDP and the level of banks’ Credits/Deposits increase the occurrence of banking crises, while the growth and sometimes the volatility of the ratio of banks’ assets to the sum of banks’ and the Central Bank's assets decrease it. In addition, we do not find a significant effect of banks’ Credits/GDP. Finally, we unveil heterogeneities related to nonlinearities in the effect of financial development, the time span for the pre-crisis dynamics of financial development, and the level of economic development. Our results suggest that only some dimensions of financial development are significantly associated with the occurrence of banking crises.
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Suggested Citation

  • Clément Mathonnat & Alexandru Minea, 2018. "Financial development and the occurrence of banking crises," Post-Print hal-02072363, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02072363
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.09.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Babar Hussain & Muhammad Naveed Tahir & Bahawal Khan, 2022. "Impact of Financial Development, Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth on Financial Instability: Evidence from Panel Data," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(2), pages 142-151.
    2. Nicoletta Batini, 2019. "Macroeconomic Gains from Reforming the Agri-Food Sector: The Case of France," IMF Working Papers 2019/041, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Pisicoli, Beniamino, 2023. "Financial development, diversity, and economic stability: Micro and systemic evidence," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 187-200.
    4. Hartarska, Valentina & Nadolnyak, Denis & Chen, Rui, 2025. "Banking crises and the performance of microfinance institutions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Ponomarenko, Alexey & Tatarintsev, Stas, 2023. "Incorporating financial development indicators into early warning systems," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    6. Everaert, Gerdie & Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2025. "Financial development in the aftermath of banking crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    7. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "The Least Developed Countries' Services Waiver and the Stability of Least Developed Countries' Services Exports," EconStor Preprints 260587, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    8. Levieuge, Grégory & Lucotte, Yannick & Pradines-Jobet, Florian, 2021. "The cost of banking crises: Does the policy framework matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    9. Donia Aloui & Brahim Gaies & Rafla Hchaichi, 2023. "Exploring environmental degradation spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa: the energy–financial instability nexus," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1699-1724, June.
    10. Uch, Raksmey & Miyamoto, Hiroaki & Kakinaka, Makoto, 2021. "Effects of a banking crisis on credit growth in developing countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    11. Clément Mathonnat & Alexandru Minea & Marcel Voia, 2022. "Does more finance lead to longer crises?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 111-135, January.
    12. Shvets, Serhii, 2021. "How excessive endogenous money supply can contribute to global financial crises," MPRA Paper 110191, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Jul 2021.
    13. Rasmane Ouedraogo & Montfort Mlachila & Windemanegda Sandrine Sourouema & Ali Compaoré, 2022. "The impact of conflict and political instability on banking crises in developing countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1937-1977, June.
    14. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Kris Ivanovski & Kwabena Mintah & Quanda Zhang, 2023. "The impact of financial development on house prices," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(10), pages 3154-3181, October.
    15. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "Effect of the Duty-Free Quota-Free Market access Schemes in favour of Least developed countries' Products on the Volatility of the Utilization Rate of these Schemes," EconStor Preprints 260567, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    16. Mathonnat, Clément & Williams, Benjamin, 2020. "Does more finance mean more inequality in times of crisis?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(4).
    17. Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2019. "Taming financial development to reduce crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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