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Implicit rating: A potential new method to alert crisis on the interbank lending market

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  • Berlinger, Edina

Abstract

A new measure called “implicit rating” is introduced which might be a component of an early warning system. The proposed methodology relies on the aggregation of experts’ knowledge hidden in the transactional data of the interbank market of unsecured loans. Banks are simultaneously assessing the creditworthiness of each other which is reflected in the partner limits and in the interest rates. In the Hungarian interbank market the overall trading volume and the average interest rate did not show any negative trends before the crisis of 2008, however the average implicit partner limit started to decrease several months earlier, hence it might serve as a stress indicator.

Suggested Citation

  • Berlinger, Edina, 2016. "Implicit rating: A potential new method to alert crisis on the interbank lending market," Corvinus Economics Working Papers (CEWP) 2016/04, Corvinus University of Budapest.
    • Handle: RePEc:cvh:coecwp:2016/04
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    2. Dömötör, Barbara & Ölvedi, Tímea, 2021. "A személyközi hitelezés létjogosultsága a pénzügyi közvetítésben [The relevance of peer-to-peer lending in financial intermediation]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 773-793.
    3. Berlinger, Edina & Dömötör, Barbara & Daróczi, Gergely & Vadász, Tamás, 2017. "Pénzügyi hálózatok mag-periféria szerkezete. A magyar bankközi fedezetlen hitelek piaca, 2003-2012 [The core periphery structure of financial networks: investigating Hungary s interbank deposit mar," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1160-1185.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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