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Is there a trade-off between free capital mobility, financial stability and fiscal policy flexibility in the EMU?

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  • Canale, Rosaria Rita
  • de Grauwe, Paul
  • Foresti, Pasquale
  • Napolitano, Oreste

Abstract

The recent dynamics characterizing the Eurozone economy suggest the existence of a new policy trilemma faced by its member countries. According to this policy trilemma, there is a trade-off between free capital mobility, financial stability and fiscal policy flexibility. In this paper, we analyze the foundations of such a trade-off and, based on the data for 11 Eurozone countries, present an empirical investigation on the existence of the trilemma. The results highlight the existence of the trade-off, with some differences between member countries. The existence of this trilemma in the Eurozone provides arguments for implementing centralized financial supervision together with fiscal and monetary reforms that should strengthen the currency union.

Suggested Citation

  • Canale, Rosaria Rita & de Grauwe, Paul & Foresti, Pasquale & Napolitano, Oreste, 2018. "Is there a trade-off between free capital mobility, financial stability and fiscal policy flexibility in the EMU?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86629, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:86629
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan David Durán-Vanegas, 2019. "Making hard choices: trilemmas and dilemmas of macroeconomic policy in Latin America," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(2), pages 022-038, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EMU; policy trilemma; Eurozone; free capital mobility; fiscal policy; financial stability; financial crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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