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Bank Survival Around the World: A Meta-Analytic Review

Author

Listed:
  • Evzen Kocenda

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic& Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Prague & CESifo, Munich & IOS, Regensburg)

  • Ichiro Iwasaki

    (Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, Japan)

Abstract

Bank survival is essential to economic growth and development because banks mediate the financing of the economy. A bank´s overall condition is often assessed by a supervisory rating system called CAMELS, an acronym for the components Capital adequacy, Asset quality, Management quality, Earnings, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to market risk. Estimates of the impact of CAMELS components on bank survival vary widely. We perform a meta-synthesis and meta-regression analysis (MRA) using 2120 estimates collected from 50 studies. In the MRA, we account for uncertainty in moderator selection by employing Bayesian model averaging. The results of the synthesis indicate an economically negligible impact of CAMELS variables on bank survival; in addition, the effect of bank-specific, (macro)economic, and market factors is virtually absent. The MRA and a test for publication selection bias produce findings consistent with the synthesis results. Moreover, best practice estimates show a small economic impact of CAMELS components and no impact of other factors. The study concludes that caution should be exercised when using CAMELS rating to predict bank survival or failure.

Suggested Citation

  • Evzen Kocenda & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2021. "Bank Survival Around the World: A Meta-Analytic Review," Working Papers IES 2021/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2021_09
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    Cited by:

    1. Josef C. Brada & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2022. "The Effect of Target-Country Institutions on Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Activity: A Quantitative Literature Survey," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 7(1), pages 1-70.
    2. Norio Horie & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2023. "Returns to schooling in European emerging markets: a meta-analysis," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 102-128, January.
    3. Michal Hlavacek & Ilgar Ismayilov, 2022. "Meta-analysis: Fiscal Multiplier," Working Papers IES 2022/07, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised May 2022.
    4. Ichiro Iwasaki & Evžen Kočenda, 2025. "Corporate Crime in European Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 12132, CESifo.
    5. Hamza Umer, 2024. "Covid-19 and altruism: a meta-analysis of dictator games," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 35-60, February.
    6. Poli, Federica & Rossi, Simone & Borroni, Mariarosa, 2024. "Fall of dwarfs: micro and macroeconomic determinants of the disappearance of European small banks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    7. Umer, Hamza & Kurosaki, Takashi & Iwasaki, Ichiro, 2022. "Unearned Endowment and Charity Recipient Lead to Higher Donations: A Meta-Analysis of the Dictator Game Lab Experiments," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    8. Josef C. Brada & Ichiro Iwasaki, 2023. "Do target-country legal institutions affect cross-border mergers and acquisitions? A quantitative literature survey," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 225-289, April.
    9. Iwasaki, Ichiro & Ma, Xinxin & Mizobata, Satoshi, 2022. "Ownership structure and firm performance in emerging markets: A comparative meta-analysis of East European EU member states, Russia and China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(2).
    10. Mankaï, Selim & Marchand, Sébastien & Le, Ngoc Ha, 2024. "Valuing insurance against small probability risks: A meta-analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    11. Samuel Fiifi Eshun & Evzen Kocenda, 2025. "What Really Drives Financial Inclusion? Evidence from a Meta-Analysis of 3,817 Estimates," Working Papers IES 2025/14, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2025.
    12. Laure de Batz & Evžen Kočenda, 2024. "Financial crime and punishment: A meta‐analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 1338-1398, September.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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