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“Leaning against the wind”, macroprudential policy and the financial cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Thore Kockerols

    (Norges Bank)

  • Christoffer Kok

    (European Central Bank)

Abstract

Should monetary policy lean against financial stability risks? This has been a subject of fierce debate over the last decades. We contribute to the debate about “leaning against the wind” (LAW) along three lines. First, we evaluate the cost and benefits of LAW using the Svensson (2017) framework for the euro area and find that the costs outweigh the benefits. Second, we extend the framework to address a critique that Svensson does not consider the lower frequency financial cycle. Third, we use this extended framework to assess the costs and benefits of monetary and macroprudential policy. We find that macroprudential policy has net marginal benefits in addressing risks to financial stability in the euro area, whereas monetary policy has net marginal costs. This would suggest that an active use of macroprudential policies targeting financial stability risks would alleviate the burden on monetary policy to “lean against the wind”.

Suggested Citation

  • Thore Kockerols & Christoffer Kok, 2019. "“Leaning against the wind”, macroprudential policy and the financial cycle," Working Paper 2019/1, Norges Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:bno:worpap:2019_01
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    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Trent Saunders & Peter Tulip, 2019. "Cost-benefit Analysis of Leaning against the Wind," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2019-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Nettekoven, Zeynep Mualla, 2020. "Macroprudential institutions in Europe - what are the blind spots?," IPE Working Papers 147/2020, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    4. Khwazi Magubane, 2024. "Exploring causal interactions between macroprudential policy and financial cycles in South Africa," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 13(5), pages 513-531, July.
    5. Isaac Gross & Andrew Leigh, 2022. "Assessing Australian Monetary Policy in the Twenty‐First Century," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 98(322), pages 271-295, September.
    6. Christian Pfister & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policies: A stock-taking exercise," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 130(2), pages 137-169.
    7. Anastasios Evgenidis & Anastasios G. Malliaris, 2022. "Monetary policy, financial shocks and economic activity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 429-456, August.
    8. Irina Kozlovtceva & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov & Stas Tatarintsev, 2019. "Financial Stability Implications of Policy Mix in a Small Open Commodity-Exporting Economy," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps42, Bank of Russia.
    9. Martin Hodula, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking: Trapped between a Rock and a Hard Place," Working Papers 2019/5, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    10. Miguel Sarmiento-Paipilla & Nathali Cardozo-Alvarado & Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Javier G�mez-Pineda & Carlos Le�n-Rinc�n & Javier Migu�lez-M�rquez & Jair Ojeda-Joya, 2023. "Ciclo financiero global, flujos de capital y respuestas de política," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 104, pages 1-55, March.
    11. Nadezhda Ivanova & Mikhail Andreev & Andrey Sinyakov & Ivan Shevchuk, 2019. "Review of Bank of Russia Conference on 'Macroprudential Policy Effectiveness: Theory and Practice'," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(3), pages 89-121, September.
    12. Bochmann, Paul & Dieckelmann, Daniel & Fahr, Stephan & Ruzicka, Josef, 2023. "Financial stability considerations in the conduct of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2870, European Central Bank.
    13. De La Peña, Rogelio, 2021. "Should monetary policy lean against the wind in a small-open economy? Revisiting the Tinbergen rule," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(1).
    14. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy & Jia, Pengfei, 2021. "Macroprudential policy coordination in a currency union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    15. Uwe Vollmer, 2022. "Monetary policy or macroprudential policies: What can tame the cycles?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1510-1538, December.
    16. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Policy, Monetary & Stability, Financial & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas , 2023. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    17. Bihari, Péter, 2019. "Szempontok a jegybank mandátumának újragondolásához [Perspectives for a review of the central bank mandate]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1241-1256.
    18. De la Peña Rogelio, 2021. "Should monetary policy lean against the wind in a small-open economy? Revisiting the Tinbergen rule," Working Papers 2021-01, Banco de México.
    19. policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
    20. Kaelo Mpho Ntwaepelo, 2021. "The Effects of Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Shocks in BRICS economies," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2021-20, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    21. Cabral, Inês & Detken, Carsten & Fell, John & Henry, Jérôme & Hiebert, Paul & Kapadia, Sujit & Pires, Fatima & Salleo, Carmelo & Constâncio, Vítor & Nicoletti Altimari, Sergio, 2019. "Macroprudential policy at the ECB: Institutional framework, strategy, analytical tools and policies," Occasional Paper Series 227, European Central Bank.

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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