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Leaning against the wind: macroprudential policy and the financial cycle

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  • Kockerols, Thore
  • Kok, Christoffer

Abstract

Should monetary policy lean against financial stability risks? This has been a subject of fierce debate over the last decades. We contribute to the debate about “leaning against the wind” (LAW) along three lines. First, we evaluate the cost and benefits of LAW using the Svensson (2017) framework for the euro area and find that the costs outweigh the benefits. Second, we extend the framework to address a critique that Svensson does not consider the lower frequency financial cycle. Third, we use this extended framework to assess the costs and benefits of monetary and macroprudential policy. We find that macroprudential policy has net marginal benefits in addressing risks to financial stability in the euro area, whereas monetary policy has net marginal costs. This would suggest that an active use of macroprudential policies targeting financial stability risks would alleviate the burden on monetary policy to “lean against the wind”. JEL Classification: E58, G01

Suggested Citation

  • Kockerols, Thore & Kok, Christoffer, 2019. "Leaning against the wind: macroprudential policy and the financial cycle," Working Paper Series 2223, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192223
    Note: 508948
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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2223.en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lo Duca, Marco & Koban, Anne & Basten, Marisa & Bengtsson, Elias & Klaus, Benjamin & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lang, Jan Hannes & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2017. "A new database for financial crises in European countries," Occasional Paper Series 194, European Central Bank.
    2. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Hans Genberg & Sushil Wadhwani, 2002. "Asset Prices in a Flexible Inflation Targeting Framework," NBER Working Papers 8970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Andrew Filardo & Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2016. "A quantitative case for leaning against the wind," BIS Working Papers 594, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rancoita, Elena, 2019. "Macroprudential policy in a monetary union with cross-border banking," Working Paper Series 2260, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Irina Kozlovtceva & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov & Stas Tatarintsev, 2019. "Financial Stability Implications of Policy Mix in a Small Open Commodity-Exporting Economy," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps42, Bank of Russia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial cycle; leaning against the wind; macroprudential policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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