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Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through

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  • Ozkan, Ibrahim
  • Erden, Lutfi

Abstract

The objectives of this study are two-fold: i) to derive time-varying exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) degree and ii) investigate the macroeconomic determinants of the degree of ERPT. For this purpose, the study adopts a distinct methodology combining Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) and panel threshold regression analyses. The data from a large sample of countries are used and time-varying ERPT measure is obtained with an application of DCC-GARCH to each country in the sample. Then the macroeconomic determinants of ERPT are examined by making use of both cross country and time variations in a panel regression model. The time varying structure of ERPT clearly shows that the ERPT degree has been low over the last three decades and declining dramatically since mid-1990s. Further, ERPT responds positively to average inflation and inflation rate volatility while negatively to exchange rate volatility, the degree of openness and output gap.

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  • Ozkan, Ibrahim & Erden, Lutfi, 2015. "Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 56-66.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:38:y:2015:i:c:p:56-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.01.007
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate pass-through; DCC-GARCH model; Panel threshold regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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