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Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through

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  • Ozkan, Ibrahim
  • Erden, Lutfi

Abstract

The objectives of this study are two-fold: i) to derive time-varying exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) degree and ii) investigate the macroeconomic determinants of the degree of ERPT. For this purpose, the study adopts a distinct methodology combining Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) and panel threshold regression analyses. The data from a large sample of countries are used and time-varying ERPT measure is obtained with an application of DCC-GARCH to each country in the sample. Then the macroeconomic determinants of ERPT are examined by making use of both cross country and time variations in a panel regression model. The time varying structure of ERPT clearly shows that the ERPT degree has been low over the last three decades and declining dramatically since mid-1990s. Further, ERPT responds positively to average inflation and inflation rate volatility while negatively to exchange rate volatility, the degree of openness and output gap.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozkan, Ibrahim & Erden, Lutfi, 2015. "Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 56-66.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:38:y:2015:i:c:p:56-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.01.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Hernán Rincón-Castro & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Nonlinear state and shock dependence of exchange rate pass through on prices," BIS Working Papers 690, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. repec:eee:riibaf:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:1428-1444 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Hernán Rincón-Castro & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2016. "Nonlinear Pass-Through of Exchange Rate Shocks on Inflation: A Bayesian Smooth Transition VAR Approach," Borradores de Economia 930, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. repec:ris:betajl:0015 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2016. "A new look at exchange rate pass-through in the G-7 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 985-1000.
    6. Alain Kabundi & Asi Mbelu, 2016. "Working Paper– WP/16/10- Has the Exchange Rate Pass-Through changed in South Africa?," Papers 7556, South African Reserve Bank.
    7. repec:eee:reveco:v:51:y:2017:i:c:p:245-257 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate pass-through; DCC-GARCH model; Panel threshold regression;

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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