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Exchange Rate Pass-through: The Role of Regime Changes

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  • Douglas Steel
  • Alan King

Abstract

We consider the effect on the degree of exchange rate pass-through of the exchange rate regime in operation. We test the hypothesis that pass-through will be lower under a float as firms may be reluctant to pass appreciations or depreciations on to their customers when there is a strong chance that they will be subsequently reversed. Taylor's hypothesis that pass-through will be lower in a low-inflation environment is also considered. Both hypotheses are assessed in relation to the price of manufactured imports into New Zealand and we find that, whereas the shift to a float dramatically lowered the degree of pass-through, the later shift to a low-inflation regime has no significant additional effect on the pass-through relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Steel & Alan King, 2004. "Exchange Rate Pass-through: The Role of Regime Changes," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 301-322.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:18:y:2004:i:3:p:301-322
    DOI: 10.1080/0269217042000227114
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dr Don Brash., 2000. "The fall of the New Zealand dollar: why has it happened, and what does it mean?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 63, December.
    2. Michael Olive, 2002. "Price and Markup Behaviour in Manufacturing," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2463.
    3. Tim Hampton, 2001. "How much do import price shocks matter for consumer prices?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2001/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
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    Cited by:

    1. María-Dolores, Ramón, 2010. "Exchange rate pass-through in New Member States and candidate countries of the EU," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 23-35, January.
    2. Athukorala, Premachandra & Menon, Jayant, 1994. "Pricing to Market Behaviour and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Japanese Exports," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(423), pages 271-281, March.
    3. Khun, Channary & Lim, Sokchea & Basnet, Hem, 2021. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Japanese Import Prices: Evidence at Both Bilateral and Product Levels," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 24(2), pages 115-132, November.
    4. Athukorala, Premachandra & Menon, Jayant, 1995. "Exchange Rates and Strategic Pricing: The Case of Swedish Machinery Exports," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 57(4), pages 533-546, November.
    5. Sushanta Mallick & Helena Marques, 2008. "Passthrough of Exchange Rate and Tariffs into Import Prices of India: Currency Depreciation versus Import Liberalization," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(4), pages 765-782, September.
    6. Elías Albagli & Alberto Naudon & Rodrigo Vergara, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in LATAM: A Comparison with Global Trends and Implications for Monetary Policy," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 58, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Po-Chin Wu & Shiao-Yen Liu & Ming-Fang Yang, 2017. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Role of National Debt," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 1-17, January.
    8. Hakan Kara & Hande Küçük‐Tuğer & Ümit Özlale & Burç Tuğer & Eray M. Yücel, 2007. "Exchange Rate Regimes And Pass‐Through: Evidence From The Turkish Economy," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 25(2), pages 206-225, April.
    9. Ozkan, Ibrahim & Erden, Lutfi, 2015. "Time-varying nature and macroeconomic determinants of exchange rate pass-through," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 56-66.
    10. Hernán Rincón & Édgar Caicedo & Norberto Rodríguez, 2007. "Exchange rate pass-through effects: A disaggregate analysis of Colombian imports of manufactured goods," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 25(54), pages 90-121, June.
    11. Nogueira Jr., Reginaldo P. & León-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2009. "Fear of Floating in Brazil: Did Inflation Targeting matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 255-266, December.
    12. Andrés González & Hernán Rincón & Norberto Rodríguez, 2008. "La transmisión de los choques a la tasa de cambio sobre la inflación de los bienes importados en presencia de asimetrías," Borradores de Economia 532, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. Slavi T. Slavov, 2008. "Does Monetary Integration Reduce Exchange Rate Pass‐Through?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(12), pages 1599-1624, December.
    14. Hakan Kara & Hande Kucuk Tuger & Umit Ozlale & Burc Tuger & Devrim Yavuz & Eray M. Yucel, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey : Has it Changed and to What Extent?," Working Papers 0504, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    15. Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Mehmet Karaçuka & Barış Gök, 2016. "A Time-Varying Parameter VAR Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(5), pages 563-579, December.
    16. Andrés González & Hernán Rincóm & Norberto Rodríguez, 2008. "La transmisión de los choques a la tasa de cambio sobre la inflación," Borradores de Economia 5089, Banco de la Republica.
    17. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2016. "A new look at exchange rate pass-through in the G-7 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 985-1000.
    18. Lin, Po-Chun & Wu, Chung-Shu, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through in deflation: The case of Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 101-111.
    19. Mr. Ivohasina F Razafimahefa, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Sub-Saharan African Economies and its Determinants," IMF Working Papers 2012/141, International Monetary Fund.

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