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Exchange rate pass-through in deflation: The case of Taiwan

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  • Lin, Po-Chun
  • Wu, Chung-Shu

Abstract

This paper incorporates deflation in an analysis of the relationship between the exchange rate pass-through and inflation. Using a nonlinear model based on monthly data of Taiwan's import prices from 1981 to 2008, we find that the degree of exchange rate pass-through is increasing in deflation. The increase becomes smaller when the price of oil is excluded. Evidence for pass-through increasing in deflation has not previously been found in the existing literature and presents a new understanding of the pricing behavior of firms. Poor profits in deflation cause firms to pass through most of the cost of exchange rate changes to their products to avoid exiting the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin, Po-Chun & Wu, Chung-Shu, 2012. "Exchange rate pass-through in deflation: The case of Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 101-111.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:22:y:2012:i:1:p:101-111
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2011.10.010
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    2. Goodwin, Barry K. & Holt, Matthew T. & Prestemon, Jeffrey P., 2019. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through in timber products: The case of oriented strand board in Canada and the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Po-Chin Wu & Shiao-Yen Liu & Ming-Fang Yang, 2017. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Role of National Debt," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(1), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Chou, K.W., 2019. "Re-examining the time-varying nature and determinants of exchange rate pass-through into import prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 331-351.
    5. Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2016. "A new look at exchange rate pass-through in the G-7 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 985-1000.
    6. Aulia Rayna ASMADINA & Ariodillah HIDAYAT & Imam ASNGARI & Sri ANDAIYANI, 2021. "The Covid-19 Pandemic and Inflation in Indonesia," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, vol. 53(2(62)), pages 27-39, December.
    7. Alba, Joseph D. & Liu, Jingting & Chia, Wai-Mun & Park, Donghyun, 2020. "Foreign output shock in small open economies: A welfare evaluation of monetary policy regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 101-116.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate pass-through; Threshold autoregressive; Deflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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