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Untangling the finance-growth nexus: The dual role of financial development in the transmission of shocks

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  • Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo
  • Ossandon Busch, Matias
  • Ramos-Francia, Manuel

Abstract

Does financial development shield countries from the pass-through of financial shocks to real outcomes? We evaluate this question by characterizing the probability density of GDP growth conditional on foreign and domestic financial stress indicators in a panel of 24 emerging countries. Our robust results unveil a previously unexplored dual impact of higher degrees of financial development on the transmission of financial stress: while the effect of global factors is attenuated, the impact of domestic factors is exacerbated. This result highlights a previously unexplored channel through which financial development can alter the link between financial (in)stability and GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Ossandon Busch, Matias & Ramos-Francia, Manuel, 2024. "Untangling the finance-growth nexus: The dual role of financial development in the transmission of shocks," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:63:y:2024:i:c:s1566014124000876
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101192
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Financial stability; Financial development; Emerging countries; Growth at risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O43 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Institutions and Growth
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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