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Modeling optimal strategies in CDS markets: The role of creditor-issuer dynamics

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  • Banerjee, Suman
  • Kong, Mingyuan

Abstract

We develop a model to analyze the optimal strategies of creditors and CDS issuers. By establishing conditions that ensure the reservation price of creditors exceeds that of the issuers, we demonstrate the existence of a CDS market. The difference between these reservation prices, influenced by factors such as risk aversion and fundamental uncertainty, plays a crucial role in shaping CDS market dynamics. We find that the issuer’s reservation price increases with the size of their equity position in the reference-entity, and decreases with the diversity of the issuer’s credit-risk portfolio. These findings have implications for the optimal design of CDS markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Banerjee, Suman & Kong, Mingyuan, 2025. "Modeling optimal strategies in CDS markets: The role of creditor-issuer dynamics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:103:y:2025:i:c:s1057521925002571
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104170
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    Keywords

    Credit Default Swaps; CDS; Credit risk; Reference entity; Default premium; Insurance; CDS market dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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