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Exchange rate pass-through into German import prices - a disaggregated perspective

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  • Joscha Beckmann
  • Ansgar Belke
  • Florian Verheyen

Abstract

This study analyses the exchange rate pass-through into German import prices based on disaggregated data taken on a monthly basis between 1995 and 2012. Our main contribution is twofold: firstly, we employ various time-series techniques to analyse data for different product categories, and also cointegration techniques to carefully distinguish between short-run and long-run pass-through coefficients. Secondly, in a panel data approach we estimate time-varying pass-through coefficients and explain their development with regard to various macroeconomic factors. Our results show that long-run pass-through is only partly observable and incomplete, whereas short-run pass-through shows a more unique character, although heterogeneity across product groups does exist. We are also able to identify several macroeconomic factors that determine changes in the degree of pass-through, which is especially relevant for policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Joscha Beckmann & Ansgar Belke & Florian Verheyen, 2014. "Exchange rate pass-through into German import prices - a disaggregated perspective," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(34), pages 4164-4177, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4164-4177
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946184
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    Cited by:

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    2. Safet Kurtović & Blerim Halili & Nehat Maxhuni, 2019. "Exchange rate pass-through into import prices: evidence from Central and Southeast European countries," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 51-80, June.
    3. Kurtović Safet & Šehić-Kršlak Sabina & Halili Blerim & Maxhuni Nehat, 2018. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices of Croatia," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 64(4), pages 60-73, December.
    4. Hernán Rincón-Castro & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2018. "Nonlinear state and shock dependence of exchange rate pass through on prices," BIS Working Papers 690, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Saldaña-Zepeda, Dayna P. & Velasco-Cruz, Ciro & Torres-Preciado, Víctor H., 2020. "Mexican peso-USD exchange rate: A switching linear dynamical model application," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 80-91.
    6. Nguyen Van Phuc & Vo Hong Duc, 2021. "Macroeconomics Determinants of Exchange Rate Pass-Through: New Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Region," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 5-20, January.
    7. Safet Kurtović & Nehat Maxhuni & Blerim Halili & Sead Talović, 2021. "Asymmetric exchange rate pass‐through into import prices of Slovenia's manufacturing sector," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4609-4633, July.
    8. Jovic, Srdjan & Smigic Miladinovic, Jasmina & Micic, Radmila & Markovic, Sanja & Rakic, Goran, 2019. "Analysing of exchange rate and gross domestic product (GDP) by adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 333-338.

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    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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