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Assessment of Cross-Border Transmission of Systemic Financial Risk in EU Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander M. Karminsky

    (Moscow State Institute of International Relations, Moscow 119454, Russian Federation)

  • Ekaterina V. Seryakova

    (Moscow State Institute of International Relations, Moscow 119454, Russian Federation)

Abstract

Amid global financial instability timely identification and propagation of systemic risks within both national and international banking systems becomes essential. It implies that it is highly important to assess not only inner factors of systemic banking risk and channels of its propagation, but also external sources which are due to cross-boarder spread of systemic banking risks. This article focuses on researching cross-boarder mechanism of systemic risks spread using method of decomposition of the variance of errors of VAR-models basing on monthly aggregated country-level indices of financial stress for EU-countries (CLIFS: Country-Level Index of Financial Stress). This investigation seems to be acute for coordinating macroprudential policies of national regulators of EU- countries and mastering macroprudential policy of Bank of Russia due to high globalization of financial markets of EU-countries and growth of financial innovations. The matrix of connectedness of 27 countries belonging to EU allows to obtain index of systemic connectedness (84 %), which reflects high dependence of each country on external shocks transferred from other countries-members of EU. Indices of net connectedness allow to divide countries into two groups: net-acceptors and net-donors of systemic risks. Empirical analysis has confirmed the hypothesis that countries subject more to inner shocks — Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria and Croatia-have really survived starting from 2008 banking crises, explained with internal imbalances of banking systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander M. Karminsky & Ekaterina V. Seryakova, 2019. "Assessment of Cross-Border Transmission of Systemic Financial Risk in EU Countries," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 5, pages 119-129, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:fru:finjrn:190509:p:119-129
    DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2019-5-119-129
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    systemic risks; banking system; transmission of banking risks; financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E69 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Other
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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