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Exchange Arrangements and Currency Crises: What´s the matter with the exchange rate classification?

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  • Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate whether certain exchange rate arrangements are more prone to currency crises using a probit model. We define a currency crisis as a period characterised by the presence of intense foreign exchange market pressure. The definition is based on a foreign exchange market pressure index (MPI). If the value of the MPI is above a certain threshold, we define that period as a crisis state; otherwise the period is defined as a tranquil state. The definition of currency crises used in this paper focuses on discrete events.

Suggested Citation

  • Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis, 2016. "Exchange Arrangements and Currency Crises: What´s the matter with the exchange rate classification?," MPRA Paper 71949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:71949
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate regimes; currency crises; speculative attacks.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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