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Currency Crises, Exchange Rate Regimes, and Capital Account Liberalization: A Duration Analysis Approach



This paper empirically analyzes the effect of exchange rate regimes and capital account liberalization policies on the occurrence of currency crises for 21 countries over the period of1970-1998. We examine changes of the likelihood of currency crises under de jure, and de facto exchange rate regimes. We also test whether the impact of the exchange rate regimes on currency stability would be different under free and restricted capital flows. Our findings show that the likelihood of currency crises changes significantly under de facto regimes. However, the results are sensitive to the choice of de facto exchange rate arrangements. Furthermore, in our sample, capital control policies appear to be helpful in preventing low duration currency crises. The results are robust to a wide variety of sample and models checks.

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  • Mohammad Karimi & Marcel-Cristian Voia, 2011. "Currency Crises, Exchange Rate Regimes, and Capital Account Liberalization: A Duration Analysis Approach," Carleton Economic Papers 11-12, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:car:carecp:11-12

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    27. repec:hrv:faseco:34721963 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexis CRUZ-RODRIGUEZ, 2016. "Exchange Arrangements and Currency Crises: What´s the matter with the exchange rate classification?," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 377-392, June.
    2. Bohl, Martin T. & Michaelis, Philip & Siklos, Pierre L., 2016. "Austerity and recovery: Exchange rate regime choice, economic growth, and financial crises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 195-207.
    3. Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis, 2016. "Exchange Arrangements and Speculative Attacks: Is there a link?," MPRA Paper 72359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ovidiu Stoica & Iulian Ihnatov, 2016. "Exchange Rate Regimes And External Financial Stability," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics, University of Belgrade, vol. 61(209), pages 27-44, April - J.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises


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