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The Fata Morgana of Exchange Rate Regimes: Reconciling the LYS and the RR classifications

Author

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  • Carl Grekou

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Cécile Couharde

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the disagreements between the two most popular but also discordant de facto exchange rate regime classifications: the Reinhart and Rogoff and the Levy-Yeyati and Sturzenegger classifications. We estimate probabilities of disagreement between the two classifications for the different exchange rate regime categories, and derive a de facto synthesis classification, using the Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis. We show that more than a third of the observations are not directly comparable, and relatively few disagreements are directly attributable to the classifications' key variables. Most of the disagreements originate from the different thresholds used by the classifications in the definition of the ERR categories and the interactions between several variables. Given these complexities, the synthesis classification provides a useful framework in terms of greater comparability.

Suggested Citation

  • Carl Grekou & Cécile Couharde, 2020. "The Fata Morgana of Exchange Rate Regimes: Reconciling the LYS and the RR classifications," Working Papers hal-04159684, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04159684
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04159684
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate regimes; Probit model; ROC analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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