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Leonardo Melosi

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2013-07-19 05:25:50
  2. Robert Barsky & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "The Natural Rate of Interest and Its Usefulness for Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 37-43, May.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Yellen: The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2015-12-07 16:00:34
  3. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Bad Jobs and Low Inflation," 2019 Meeting Papers 970, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Bad Jobs and Low Inflation
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2019-10-19 20:21:04

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2020. "Pandemic Recessions and Contact Tracing," CEPR Discussion Papers 15482, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Health > Tracing
  2. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," NBER Working Papers 27112, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    3. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Tax revenue
  3. Bianchi, Francesco & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," CEPR Discussion Papers 14720, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    3. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Tax revenue
  4. Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "Signalling Effects of Monetary Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 84(2), pages 853-884.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory
  5. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "The limits of forward guidance," Working Paper Series WP-2019-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory
  6. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," Working Paper Series WP 2020-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Money and monetary policy
    3. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Tax revenue

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Escaping the Great Recession," Working Paper Series WP-2016-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Escaping the Great Recession (AER 2017) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Estimating Models with Dispersed Information," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 1-31, January.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Estimating Models with Dispersed Information (AEJ:MA 2014) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," CESifo Working Paper Series 11312, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Julián Andrada-Félix & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2025. "Britaly? Identifying euro area historical analogues to the UK’s 2022 bond market shock," IREA Working Papers 202525, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics.
    2. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Albert Pierres Tejada, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations," BIS Working Papers 1238, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Gallegos, José-Elías & García-Miralles, Esteban & Kataryniuk, Ivan & Parraga Rodriguez, Susana, 2025. "Fiscal announcements and households’ beliefs: evidence from the euro area," Working Paper Series 3139, European Central Bank.

  2. De Polis, Andrea & Melosi, Leonardo & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "The Taming of the Skew : Asymmetric Inflation Risk and Monetary Policy," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1530, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Jean-Paul Renne & Sarah Mouabbi & Adrien Tschopp, 2026. "Inflation and Growth Risk: Balancing the Scales with Surveys," Working papers 1036, Banque de France.
    2. Gáti, Laura & Handlan, Amy, 2025. "Reputation for confidence," Working Paper Series 3141, European Central Bank.
    3. Kamps, Christophe & Bussière, Matthieu & Niessner, Birgit & Tristani, Oreste & Christoffel, Kai & Kapadia, Sujit & Ferrero, Giuseppe & Gilbert, Niels & Vlassopoulos, Thomas & Motto, Roberto & Gerke, R, 2025. "Report on monetary policy tools, strategy and communication," Occasional Paper Series 372, European Central Bank.

  3. Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2023. "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17829, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Darougheh, Saman & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo & Villa, Alessandro T., 2024. "On-the-Job Search and Inflation under the Microscope," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1536, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    2. Anna Florio & Daniele Siena & Riccardo Zago, 2024. "Global Value Chains and the Phillips Curve: a Challenge for Monetary Policy," Working papers 970, Banque de France.
    3. Barnichon, Régis & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2024. "Phillips meets Beveridge," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    4. Ahn, Hie Joo & Rudd, Jeremy B., 2025. "(Re-)Connecting inflation and the labor market: A tale of two curves," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    5. Hie Joo Ahn & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2024. "(Re-)Connecting Inflation and the Labor Market: A Tale of Two Curves," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-050r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 28 May 2025.
    6. Basso, Henrique S. & Rachedi, Omar, 2025. "Robot adoption and inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    7. Nuarpear Lekfuangfu & Nuttapol Lertmethaphat, 2025. "Building Thailand’s Beveridge Curve: New Insights of Thailand’s Labour Markets with Internet Job Platforms," PIER Discussion Papers 232, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.

  4. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2023. "Who is Afraid of Eurobonds?," CEPR Discussion Papers 18279, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Michele Andreolli & Hélène Rey, 2024. "Fiscal Consequences of Missing an Inflation Target," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 701-772, June.
    2. Bi, Huixin & Traum, Nora, 2023. "Unconventional monetary policy and local fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Afonso, Antonio & Alves, José & Ionta, Serena, 2025. "Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes: A panel analysis of the Euro Area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).

  5. Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "Identification Using Higher-Order Moments Restrictions," Working Paper Series WP 2023-28, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Rosa Ferrentino & Luca Vota, 2025. "A statistical-mathematical analysis of the macroeconomic effects of long-memory total factor productivity," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 5795-5835, December.
    2. Jarociński, Marek, 2024. "Estimating the Fed’s unconventional policy shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

  6. Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas & Melosi, Leonardo, 2023. "Unusual Shocks in our Usual Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 17830, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Garcia-Revelo, José & Levieuge, Grégory & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2025. "Revisiting 15 years of unusual transatlantic monetary policies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    2. Anton I. Votinov & Julia A. Polshchikova & Karen A. Nersisyan, 2025. "Macroeconomic Modeling in Post-pandemic Times," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 62-73, February.
    3. Corrado, L. & Grassi, S. & Paolillo, A. & Ravazzolo, F., 2026. "Oil, Gas, Pandemics, and War: The Drivers of Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2629, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2024. "Enhancing forecast accuracy through frequencydomain combination: Applications to financial and economic indicators," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2024, Bank of Finland.
    5. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024. "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    6. Nurlan Turdaliev & Yahong Zhang, 2025. "The rise in household debt and housing prices during COVID-19: the role of pandemic support policies," Working Papers 2503, University of Windsor, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2025.
    7. Shi, Jiping, 2025. "News Uncertainty and Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 81, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    8. Stefan Hohberger, 2025. "Germany’s macroeconomic drivers during the pandemic and inflation surge," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-49, February.

  7. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "The Chicago Fed DSGE Model: Version 2," Working Paper Series WP 2023-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthias Burgert & Giulio Cornelli & Burcu Erik & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees & Matthias Rottner, 2025. "The BIS multisector model: a multi-country environment for macroeconomic analysis," BIS Working Papers 1297, Bank for International Settlements.

  8. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "A Fiscal Theory of Persistent Inflation," NBER Working Papers 30727, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Ruopu Hu & Junior Maith & Shin-Ichi Nishiyama, 2026. "Regime Shifts in U.S. Trend Inflation: Pre-Volcker to Post-Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 2604, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    2. Chadha, J. S., 2026. "A Consideration of Fiscal Targetry," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Carlos Esteban Posada, 2023. "Inflation targeting strategy and its credibility," Papers 2301.11207, arXiv.org.
    4. Jiang, Shifu, 2024. "The effect of monetary policies on inflation: A fiscal perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    5. Spencer Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises," BIS Working Papers 1349, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus & Emanuel Moench, 2025. "Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance," Working Papers 25-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    7. Jonathon Hazell, 2024. "Comment on "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, volume 39, pages 277-290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. SUNAKAWA, Takeki, 2025. "Fiscal Inflation in Japan : The Role of Unfunded Fiscal Shocks," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-151, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    9. Xu, Nancy R. & You, Yang, 2025. "Main Street’s Pain, Wall Street’s Gain," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    10. Guido Ascari & Jakob Grazzini & Dominico Massaro, 2024. "Great Layoff, Great Retirement and Post-pandemic Inflation," Working Papers 812, DNB.
    11. Petr Makovský & Irena Descubes & František Høebík, 2024. "Post-Pandemic Inflation Dynamics: a Comparative Study of the Fiscal Theory in the Czech Republic and France," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 18(2), pages 101-126.
    12. Luca Fornaro, 2025. "Fiscal stimulus with supply constraints," Economics Working Papers 1922, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    13. Rodolfo G. Campos & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Galo Nuño Barrau & Peter Paz, 2024. "Navigating by falling stars: monetary policy with fiscally driven natural rates," BIS Working Papers 1172, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Gergő Motyovszki & Philipp Pfeiffer & Jan in ’t Veld, 2024. "The Implications of Public Investment for Debt Sustainability," European Economy - Discussion Papers 204, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    15. Niwa, Hidekazu, 2026. "Fragmented fiscal policymaking and monetary policy: Policy game in a New Keynesian economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    16. Max Breitenlechner & Martin Geiger & Mathias Klein, 2024. "The Fiscal Channel of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2024-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    17. Dupraz, Stéphane & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2025. "Fiscal requirements for price stability when households are not Ricardian," Working Paper Series 3038, European Central Bank.
    18. Kerstin Bernoth & Helmut Herwartz & Lasse Trienens, 2024. "Interest Rates, Convenience Yields, and Inflation Expectations: Drivers of US Dollar Exchange Rates," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2100, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    19. Matthias Hansel, 2024. "How much inflation can fiscal policy create? Separating household heterogeneity and liquidity," Papers 2403.00471, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2026.
    20. Robert Barro & Francesco Bianchi & Carlos Giraldo & Iader Giraldo-Salazar, 2025. "Inflation as a Fiscal Phenomenon: Evidence from Latin America," Documentos de trabajo 021801, FLAR.
    21. Kwicklis, Noah, 2025. "Active vs. passive policy and the trade-off between output and inflation in HANK," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    22. Barthélemy, Jean & Mengus, Eric & Plantin, Guillaume, 2024. "The central bank, the treasury, or the market: Which one determines the price level?," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    23. Joshua Brault & Qazi Haque & Louis Phaneuf, 2025. "Time-Varying Inflation Target and Unbiased Taylor Rule Estimation," Working Papers 25-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Jan 2025.
    24. Lunardelli, Andre, 2025. "Fairness, ambiguity, wage markups and disinflation costs," MPRA Paper 126505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Barauskaitė Griškevičienė, Kristina & Brand, Claus & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2026. "Pandemic-era inflation dynamics in the euro area: the role of policy and non-policy demand and energy and non-energy supply factors," Working Paper Series 3201, European Central Bank.
    26. Jonathon Hazell & Stephan Hobler, 2024. "Do Deficits Cause Inflation? A High Frequency Narrative Approach," Discussion Papers 2439, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    27. Ettmeier, Stephanie & Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2024. "Active or passive? Revisiting the role of fiscal policy during high inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    28. Hänsel, Matthias, 2024. "Idiosyncratic Risk, Government Debt and Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302403, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    29. Liu, Guangling & Mustapher, Marrium, 2025. "Spillover effects of the recent US monetary policy shocks on the South African economy: The role of monetary and fiscal policy coordination," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    30. Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell & Machado, Celsa & Ribeiro, Ana Paula, 2025. "(Re)Evaluating recent macroeconomic policy in the US," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    31. Gibbs, Christopher G. & Xin, Herbert W., 2024. "The sacrifice ratio and active fiscal policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    32. Mr. Jiaqian Chen & Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Carlos Goncalves & Zoltan Jakab & Jesper Lindé, 2023. "Can Fiscal Consolidation help Central Banks Fight Inflation?," IMF Working Papers 2023/260, International Monetary Fund.
    33. Takuji Fueki & Masashi Hino & Mitsuru Katagiri & Munechika Katayama & Taisuke Nakata, 2026. "The Perceived Government Budget Constraint," CARF F-Series CARF-F-625, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    34. Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces," BIS Working Papers 1328, Bank for International Settlements.
    35. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2025. "The economics of helicopter money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    36. McClung, Nigel, 2025. "Why should fiscal imbalances concern policymakers at independent inflation-targeting central banks?," BoF Economics Review 4/2025, Bank of Finland.
    37. Diego Comin & Robert C. Johnson & Callum Jones, 2025. "Supply Chain Constraints and Inflation," IMES Discussion Paper Series 25-E-15, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    38. Jorge M. Uribe & Oscar Valencia, 2024. "Taking the Pulse of Fiscal Distress: Inflation, Depreciation, and Crises," IREA Working Papers 202416, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Dec 2024.
    39. Giuli, Francesco & Ionta, Serena & Patella, Valeria, 2025. "Monetary/fiscal policy dominance and conflicts: Evidence from crises," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    40. Afonso, Antonio & Alves, José & Ionta, Serena, 2025. "Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes: A panel analysis of the Euro Area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    41. Trienens, Lasse & Herwartz, Helmut, 2025. "Neo-Fisherism and fiscal solvency: Reinterpreting the determination of inflation, yields, and the debt ratio," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    42. Manabu Nose, 2025. "Determinants of Domestic Sovereign Bond Yields: Fiscal Policy and the Sovereign–Bank Nexus in Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series DP2025-022, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    43. Guangling Liu & Marrium Mustapher, 2025. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix," ERSA Working Paper Series 899, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    44. Medina, Juan Pablo & Toni, Emiliano & Valdés, Rodrigo, 2025. "The art and science of monetary and fiscal policies in an emerging economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    45. Diamond, William & Landvoigt, Tim & Sánchez, Germán Sánchez, 2025. "Printing away the mortgages: Fiscal inflation and the post-covid boom," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    46. David Andolfatto & Fernando M. Martin, 2025. "Monetary Policy and the COVID-19 Inflation Shock," Working Papers 2025-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 23 May 2026.
    47. Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo & Claudia Udroiu, 2024. "Fiscal stimuli: Monetary versus Fiscal Financing," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS105, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    48. Marijn A Bolhuis & Jakree Koosakul & Neil Shenai, 2025. "Fiscal R-Star: Fiscal-Monetary Tensions and Implications for Policy," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2025-05, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2025.
    49. Eunkyu Seong & Seojeong Lee, 2025. "Are the Bank of Korea's Inflation Forecasts Biased Toward the Target?," Papers 2512.16068, arXiv.org.
    50. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    51. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Casiraghi, Marco & Gelos, Gaston & Harrison, Olamide & Kamber, Gunes, 2024. "Is high debt Constraining monetary policy? evidence from inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).

  9. Kase, Hanno & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2022. "Estimating Nonlinear Heterogeneous Agents Models with Neural Networks," CEPR Discussion Papers 17391, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Sofia Velasco, 2025. "Let the Tree Decide: FABART A Non-Parametric Factor Model," Papers 2506.11551, arXiv.org.
    2. Yucheng Yang & Chiyuan Wang & Andreas Schaab & Benjamin Moll, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," Papers 2512.18892, arXiv.org.
    3. Saman Darougheh & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi & Alessandro Villa, 2025. "On-the-Job Search and Inflation Under the Microscope," Working Paper Series WP 2025-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Sarah Bell & Matthieu Chavaz & Boris Hofmann & Daniel Rees & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "Evolving approaches to monetary policy communication in the face of uncertainty: fan charts, scenarios and guidance," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    5. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Galo Nuno & Jesse Perla, 2024. "Taming the Curse of Dimensionality:Quantitative Economics with Deep Learning," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces," BIS Working Papers 1328, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Douglas Araujo & Rafael Schmidt & Olivier Sirello & Bruno Tissot & Ricardo Villarreal, 2025. "Governance and implementation of artificial intelligence in central banks," IFC Reports 18, Bank for International Settlements.

  10. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Amjad Ali Hassan & Eesha Khan, 2025. "What Drives Inflation in OIC Economies? A Fixed-Effects Panel Approach," Journal of Economic Sciences, Federal Urdu University Islamabad, Department of Economics, vol. 4(2), pages 81-97, December.
    2. Kevin L. Kliesen & David C. Wheelock, 2023. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Inflation: Lessons from Major US Wars," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 105(4), pages 234-260, October.
    3. Hasui, Kohei & Sugo, Tomohiro & Teranishi, Yuki, 2026. "Liquidity trap and optimal monetary policy: Evaluations for U.S. monetary policy from 2020 to 2023," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    4. Serena Ionta & António Afonso & José Alves, 2025. "Monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability: the case of the Euro Area," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1-20, June.
    5. Gao, Han & Kulish, Mariano & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2025. "Two illustrations of the quantity theory of money reloaded," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    6. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "Monetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes: a panel analysis of the Euro Area," Working Papers REM 2023/0284, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2022. "Uncertain Policy Regimes and Government Spending Effects," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 22-A004, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    8. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The effects of monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability regimes in the Euro Area," Working Papers REM 2023/0281, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    9. Francesco Corsello & Matteo Gomellini & Dario Pellegrino, 2023. "Inflation and energy price shocks: lessons from the 1970s," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 790, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Trienens, Lasse & Herwartz, Helmut, 2025. "Neo-Fisherism and fiscal solvency: Reinterpreting the determination of inflation, yields, and the debt ratio," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    11. Guangling Liu & Marrium Mustapher, 2025. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix," ERSA Working Paper Series 899, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    12. Diamond, William & Landvoigt, Tim & Sánchez, Germán Sánchez, 2025. "Printing away the mortgages: Fiscal inflation and the post-covid boom," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    13. Gert Peersman, 2025. "Understanding Post-Pandemic Inflation Fluctuations: The Commodity Cost Channel," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 25/1123, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    14. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

  11. Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2020. "Pandemic Recessions and Contact Tracing," CEPR Discussion Papers 15482, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Brotherhood, Luiz & Kircher, Philipp & Santos, Cezar & Tertilt, Michèle, 2023. "Optimal Age-based Policies for Pandemics: An Economic Analysis of Covid-19 and Beyond," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13295, Inter-American Development Bank.
    2. Brotherhood, Luiz & Kircher, Philipp & Santos, Cezar & Tertilt, Michele, 2024. "Optimal Age-based Policies for Pandemics: An Economic Analysis of Covid-19 and Beyond," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2024012, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Melosi, Leonardo, 2022. "Comments on Epidemics in the New Keynesian model by Eichenbaum, Rebelo, and Trabandt”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

  12. Bianchi, Francesco & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," CEPR Discussion Papers 14720, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Goodhart, Charles & Masciandaro, Donato & Ugolini, Stefano, 2021. "Pandemic Recession, Helicopter Money and Central Banking: Venice, 1630," CEPR Discussion Papers 15715, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Richard Harrison, 2021. "Flexible inflation targeting with active fiscal policy," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 928, Bank of England.
    3. Mario Alloza & Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Iván Kataryniuk & Javier J. Pérez & Juan Luis Vega, 2021. "La reforma del marco de gobernanza de la política fiscal de la Unión Europea en un nuevo entorno macroeconómico," Occasional Papers 2121, Banco de España.
    4. Wei Dong & Geoffrey Dunbar & Christian Friedrich & Dmitry Matveev & Romanos Priftis & Lin Shao, 2021. "Complementarities Between Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy—Literature Review," Discussion Papers 2021-4, Bank of Canada.
    5. Pontus Braunerhjelm, 2022. "Rethinking stabilization policies; Including supply-side measures and entrepreneurial processes," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 963-983, February.
    6. Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Christoffel, Kai & Faria, Thomas, 2021. "Assessing the fiscal-monetary policy mix in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2623, European Central Bank.
    7. Ali, Amjad & Hasan, Zohaib Ul & Abbasi, Qasim & Sulehri, Fiaz Ahmad, 2023. "Business or Politics: Exploring the Determinants of Policy Mix in South Asia," MPRA Paper 120120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Mario Alloza & Javier Andrés & Pablo Burriel & Iván Kataryniuk & Javier J. Pérez & Juan Luis Vega, 2021. "The reform of the european Union’s fiscal governance Framework in a new Macroeconomic environment," Occasional Papers 2121, Banco de España.
    9. Jonathan Benchimol & Sophia Kazinnik & Yossi Saadon, 2025. "Federal Reserve Communication and the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 2025.10, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    10. Chandra Utama & Insukindro & Ardyanto Fitrady, 2022. "Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions in Indonesia During Periods of Economic Turmoil in the US: 2001Q1-2014Q4," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 97-116, June.
    11. Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
    12. Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David M. & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13411, IZA Network @ LISER.
    13. Volodymyr Martyniuk & Tomasz Wolowiec & Elena Mieszajkina, 2021. "Planning and Forecasting Customs Revenues to the State Budget: A Case Study of Ukraine," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 648-665.
    14. Anna Bartocci & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2022. "Covid-19 Shock and Fiscal-Monetary Policy Mix in a Monetary Union," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Luigi Paganetto (ed.), Economic Challenges for Europe After the Pandemic, pages 233-266, Springer.
    15. Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Reinhart,Carmen M. & Rogoff,Kenneth S., 2021. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9771, The World Bank.
    16. Marco Bassetto & Gherardo Gennaro Caracciolo, 2021. "Monetary/Fiscal Interactions with Forty Budget Constraints," Working Papers 788, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    17. Teles, Pedro & Tristani, Oreste, 2024. "The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    18. Busato, Francesco & Albanese, Marina & Varlese, Monica, 2022. "Inflation-based fiscal consolidation: a DSGE approach," MPRA Paper 113838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Saroj Bhattarai & Jae Won Lee & Choongryul Yang, 2021. "Redistribution and the Monetary–Fiscal Policy Mix," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-013, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Francesco Busato & Marina Albanese & Monica Varlese, 2022. "The impact of monetary policy shock on public debt: a DSGE approach," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 76(3), pages 17-28, July-Sept.
    21. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    22. Shutao Cao & Yahong Zhang, 2026. "Fiscal and monetary policy during the pandemic in Canada: a quantitative analysis," Working Papers 2602, University of Windsor, Department of Economics, revised May 2026.
    23. Ettmeier, Stephanie & Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2024. "Active or passive? Revisiting the role of fiscal policy during high inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    24. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2023. "Can Passive Monetary Policy Decrease the Debt Burden?," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    25. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    26. Germaschewski, Yin & Wang, Shu-Ling, 2022. "Fiscal stabilization in high-debt economies without monetary independence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    27. Nurlan Turdaliev & Yahong Zhang, 2025. "The rise in household debt and housing prices during COVID-19: the role of pandemic support policies," Working Papers 2503, University of Windsor, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2025.
    28. Stephanie Ettmeier & Alexander Kriwoluzky, 2020. "Active, or Passive? Revisiting the Role of Fiscal Policy in the Great Inflation," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1872, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    29. Leeper, Eric M. & Zhou, Xuan, 2021. "Inflation’s role in optimal monetary-fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-18.
    30. Billi , Roberto M. & Walsh, Carl E., 2022. "Seemingly Irresponsible but Welfare Improving Fiscal Policy at the Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 410, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    31. Andres Blanco & Pablo Ottonello & Tereza Ranošová, 2024. "The Dynamics of Large Inflation Surges," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2024-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    32. Charles Goodhart & Donato Masciandaro & Stefano Ugolini, 2022. "Pandemic Recession And Helicopter Money: Venice, 1629-1631," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22179, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    33. Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt & Patrick J. Shultz & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," NBER Working Papers 29129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Deng, Jiapin, 2025. "Deleveraging backed by fiscal support: The monetary–fiscal policy mix during the deleveraging campaign in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    35. G. Bakam Fotso & E. I. Edoun & A. Pradhan & N. Sukdeo, 2022. "A framework for economic performance recovery in South Africa during the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 27(1), pages 401-422, January.
    36. Charles de Beauffort, 2024. "Looking Beyond the Trap: Fiscal Legacy and Central Bank Independence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(2), pages 385-416, April.
    37. Guangling Liu & Marrium Mustapher, 2025. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix," ERSA Working Paper Series 899, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    38. Matthew Abiodun Dada, 2020. "COVID-19 Outbreak and Behavioral Maladjustments: A Shift from a Highly Globalized World to a Strange World of Unique Isolationism," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 12(4), pages 43-58.
    39. Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo & Claudia Udroiu, 2024. "Fiscal stimuli: Monetary versus Fiscal Financing," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS105, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    40. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Chang, Long, 2021. "Monetary–fiscal policy regime and macroeconomic dynamics in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 121-135.
    41. Lemoine, Matthieu & Lindé, Jesper, 2023. "Fiscal stimulus in liquidity traps: Conventional or unconventional policies?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    42. Ettmeier, Stephanie & Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2020. "Active, or passive? Revisiting the role of fiscal policy in the Great Inflation," Working Papers 17, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.

  13. Melosi, Leonardo & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas, 2019. "The Limits of Forward Guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13612, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2021. "Did the Fed Remain at the ZLB Long Enough? Lessons from the 2008-2019 Period," Working Papers 21-09, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    2. Kopiec, Paweł, 2024. "Monetary-Fiscal Forward Guidance," MPRA Paper 120563, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Bielecki, Marcin & Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Kolasa, Marcin, 2019. "Comment on “The limits of forward guidance” by Jeffrey R. Campbell, Filippo Ferroni, Jonas D. M. Fisher and Leonardo Melosi," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 135-139.
    4. Kokonas, Nikolaos & Rousakis, Michalis & Smyrniotis, Efthymios, 2025. "Controlling inflation with central bank news," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    5. Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-094, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Thomas B. King & Anna Orlik & Rebecca Zarutskie, 2020. "Issues Regarding the Use of the Policy Rate Tool," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. D’Amico, Stefania & King, Thomas B., 2023. "What does anticipated monetary policy do?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 123-139.
    8. Bassetto, Marco, 2019. "Forward guidance: Communication, commitment, or both?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 69-86.
    9. Bonciani, Dario & Oh, Joonseok, 2026. "Unemployment risk, liquidity traps, and monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    10. Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2024. "Unusual shocks in our usual models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    11. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2023. "Do monetary condition news at the zero lower bound influence households’ expectations and readiness to spend?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    12. Damioli, Giacomo & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel, 2021. "Diplomatic relations and cross-border investments in the European Union," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-02, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    13. Julián Caballero & Blaise Gadanecz, 2023. "Did interest rate guidance in emerging markets work?," BIS Working Papers 1080, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Perazzi, Elena, 2026. "Forward Guidance in the Nonlinear New Keynesian Model," MPRA Paper 128045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
    16. Giovannini, Massimo & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco, 2021. "Efficient and robust inference of models with occasionally binding constraints," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-03, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    17. Tatjana Dahlhaus & Luca Gambetti, 2025. "Noisy monetary policy announcements," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 164-180, March.
    18. Eric R. Sims & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2019. "Evaluating Central Banks' Tool Kit: Past, Present, and Future," NBER Working Papers 26040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Minnie Zhu & Yuhan Liu & Simon Gong, 2025. "How Does Monetary Policy Influence the U.S. Treasury Bond Yields, and What are the Implications for Portfolio Managers?," Papers 2505.07226, arXiv.org.
    20. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    21. Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2021. "State-dependent fiscal multipliers with preferences over safe assets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1023-1040.
    22. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Marcin Kolasa, 2020. "Distributional consequences of conventional and unconventional monetary policy," NBP Working Papers 327, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    23. Kelly Shue & Richard Townsend & Chen Wang, 2024. "Categorical Thinking About Interest Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 11558, CESifo.
    24. Mirela Miescu, 2022. "Forward guidance shocks," Working Papers 352591340, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    25. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    26. Ho, Sui-Jade & Karagedikli, Özer, 2025. "Effects of monetary policy communication in emerging market economies: Evidence from Malaysia," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    27. Dordal i Carreras, Marc & Lee, Seung Joo, 2026. "Higher-order forward guidance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    28. Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2023. "Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 433, National Bank of Belgium.
    29. Giorgio Massari & Luca Portoghese & Patrizio Tirelli, 2024. "Whither Liquidity Shocks? Implications for R∗ and Monetary Policy," DEM Working Papers Series 217, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    30. Airaudo, Marco, 2020. "Temptation and forward-guidance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    31. Dupraz, Stéphane & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2024. "Make-up strategies with finite planning horizons but infinitely forward-looking asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    32. Yohei Yamamoto & Naoko Hara, 2022. "Identifying factor‐augmented vector autoregression models via changes in shock variances," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 722-745, June.
    33. Ji, Yangyang, 2022. "Can Discounting Alone Resolve the Forward Guidance Puzzle?," MPRA Paper 115353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Mikołaj Raczyński, 2022. "Monetary policy and economic inequality: a literature review," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 53(2), pages 231-278.
    35. Thomas L. Hogan, 2025. "The failure of forward guidance: Lessons from the pandemic recovery," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1265-1286, April.
    36. Juan Arismendi-Zambrano & Emmanuel Kypraios & Alessia Paccagnini, 2026. "Informativeness of the federal reserve chair communication’s sentiment on the monetary policy uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 357(1), pages 633-677, February.
    37. Ida, Daisuke & Iiboshi, Hirokuni, 2021. "The interaction of forward guidance in a two-country new Keynesian model," MPRA Paper 106752, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Breitenlechner, Max & Gründler, Daniel & Scharler, Johann, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policy announcements and information shocks in the U.S," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    39. Zhao, Junzhu, 2023. "Wealth in utility, the Taylor principle and determinacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    40. Daisuke Ida & Hirokuni Iiboshi, 2021. "The international forward guidance transmission under a global liquidity trap," Papers 2103.12503, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    41. Calo, Silvia & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel & Petracco Giudici, Marco & Rancan, Michela, 2021. "Has the Comprehensive Assessment made the European financial system more resilient?," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-08, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    42. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2025. "Forward Guidance with Preferences over Safe Assets," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(4), pages 1090-1194, December.
    43. Stephen J. Cole & Enrique Martínez García, 2019. "The Effect of Central Bank Credibility on Forward Guidance in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," Globalization Institute Working Papers 375, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 20 Mar 2021.

  14. Melosi, Leonardo & Bianchi, Francesco & Rottner, Matthias, 2019. "Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target," CEPR Discussion Papers 14161, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Guido Ascari & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Coherence without Rationality at the ZLB," Working Papers 784, DNB.
    2. Zehri, Chokri, 2022. "Asymmetric impact of capital controls on international trade," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    3. Ashwin, Julian & Beaudry, Paul & Ellison, Martin, 2025. "Neural network learning for nonlinear economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño Barrau & Omar Rachedi, 2024. "Inequality and the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 1160, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Jason Choi & Andrew Foerster, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 42, pages 333-346, October.
    6. Spencer Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises," BIS Working Papers 1349, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Guido Bulligan & Francesco Corsello & Stefano Neri & Alex Tagliabracci, 2021. "De-anchored long-term inflation expectations in a low growth, low rate environment," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 624, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Spencer D. Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2023. "Learning Monetary Policy Strategies at the Effective Lower Bound with Sudden Surprises," Working Paper Series WP 2023-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    9. Naoto Soma, 2021. "Parameter Uncertainty and Effective Lower Bound Risk," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    10. Roussellet, Guillaume, 2025. "The term structure of macroeconomic risks at the effective lower bound," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    11. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    12. Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    13. Hervé Le Bihan & Magali Marx & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Inflation tolerance ranges in the new keynesian model," Working Papers 2142, Banco de España.
    14. Cristiano Cantore & Pascal Meichtry, 2024. "Unwinding Quantitative Easing: State Dependency and Household Heterogeneity," Working papers 955, Banque de France.
    15. Maih, Junior & Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2021. "Asymmetric monetary policy rules for the euro area and the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2021. "Hitting the elusive inflation target," Discussion Papers 40/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    18. Hess T. Chung & Brian M. Doyle & James Hebden & Michael Siemer, 2020. "Considerations Regarding Inflation Ranges," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-075, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Adrian Penalver & Daniele Siena, 2021. "The Deflationary Bias of the ZLB and the FED s Strategic Response," Working papers 843, Banque de France.
    20. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel & Röttger, Joost & Scheer, Alexander, 2021. "A comparison of monetary policy rules in an estimated TANK model," Technical Papers 05/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    21. Marco Bassetto & Gherardo Gennaro Caracciolo, 2021. "Monetary/Fiscal Interactions with Forty Budget Constraints," Working Papers 788, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    22. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    23. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    24. Kase, Hanno & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2024. "Estimating Nonlinear Heterogeneous Agent Models with Neural Networks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1499, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    25. Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
    26. Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Financial crises and shadow banks: A quantitative analysis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 74-92.
    27. Ozili, Peterson K, 2024. "Inflation-targeting monetary policy framework in Nigeria: The Success Factors," MPRA Paper 120775, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Große Steffen, Christoph, 2021. "Anchoring of long-term inflation expectations: Do inflation target formulations matter?," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242466, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    29. Yunjong Eo & Nigel Mcclung, 2025. "Determinacy and E‐Stability with Interest Rate Rules at the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 951-979, June.
    30. Corsello, Francesco & Neri, Stefano & Tagliabracci, Alex, 2021. "Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    31. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," Working Paper Series WP-2020-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    32. Hills, Timothy S. & Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Effective lower bound risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    33. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    34. Arden, Lucas & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2025. "Inflation-stabilizing monetary and fiscal policy rules at and away from the lower bound," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    35. Chokri Zehri, 2023. "The Volatility Lowering Effects of Capital Controls," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(3), pages 385-408, September.
    36. Ascari, Guido & Mavroeidis, Sophocles & McClung, Nigel, 2023. "Coherence without rationality at the zero lower bound," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    37. Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces," BIS Working Papers 1328, Bank for International Settlements.
    38. Matthias Burgert & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees & Matthias Rottner & Hongyan Zhao, 2025. "A multi-sector assessment of the macroeconomic effects of tariffs," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    39. Robert Amano & Marc-André Gosselin & Kurt See, 2021. "Exploring the potential benefits of inflation overshooting," Staff Analytical Notes 2021-16, Bank of Canada.
    40. Boehl, Gregor, 2025. "HANK on speed: Robust nonlinear solutions using automatic differentiation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    41. Richard H. Clarida, 2022. "The Federal Reserve's New Framework: Context and Consequences," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-001, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    42. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Anna Rogantini Picco, 2022. "Who is Afraid of Eurobonds?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    43. Pang, Ke & Shiamptanis, Christos, 2024. "Is the Bank of Canada concerned about inflation or the state of the economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    44. Hanno Kase & Matthias Rottner & Fabio Stohler, 2025. "Generative economic modeling," BIS Working Papers 1312, Bank for International Settlements.
    45. Petrella, Ivan & De Polis, Andrea & Melosi, Leonardo, 2025. "The taming of the skew: asymmetric inflation risk and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 3028, European Central Bank.
    46. Fernando M. Duarte & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Leonardo Melosi & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Strengthening the FOMC’s Framework in View of the Effective Lower Bound and Some Considerations Related to Time-Inconsistent Strategies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    47. Roberto M. Billi & Ulf Söderström & Carl E. Walsh, 2023. "The Role of Money in Monetary Policy at the Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 681-716, June.
    48. Adam Golinski & Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2025. "The Shadow Rate Model: Let’s Make it Real!," Working papers 1014, Banque de France.
    49. Jaanika Meriküll & Matthias Rottner, 2025. "Monetary policy and earnings inequality: inflation dependencies," BIS Working Papers 1271, Bank for International Settlements.

  15. Melosi, Leonardo & Faccini, Renato, 2019. "Bad Jobs and Low Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 13628, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Felipe Alves, 2022. "Job Ladder and Business Cycles," Staff Working Papers 22-14, Bank of Canada.
    2. Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Chris Martin & Magdalyn Okolo, 2022. "Modelling the Differing Impacts of Covid‐19 in the UK Labour Market," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 994-1017, October.
    4. Siena, Daniele & Zago, Riccardo, 2022. "Employment protection legislation matters for the Phillips Curve," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    5. Richard Ashley & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "The Intermittent Phillips Curve: Finding a Stable (But Persistence-Dependent) Phillips Curve Model Specification," Working Papers 19-09R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 14 Feb 2023.
    6. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Anna Rogantini Picco, 2022. "Who is Afraid of Eurobonds?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    7. Nicholas Apergis, 2024. "Eurozone inflation: fresh projections from global factors," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 39-47.
    8. Cynthia L. Doniger, 2021. "What Can We Learn from Asynchronous Wage Changes?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-055r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Mar 2022.
    9. Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series 153, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    10. R. Jason Faberman & Andreas I. Mueller & Ayşegül Şahin & Giorgio Topa, 2020. "The Shadow Margins of Labor Market Slack," NBER Working Papers 26852, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  16. Melosi, Leonardo & Faccini, Renato, 2018. "Pigouvian Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13370, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Fengqi Liu & Keqing Liu & Jianpo Xue, 2025. "Habit Formation and News-driven Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 56, April.
    2. Ryan Chahrour & Sanjay Chugh & Tristan Potter, 2020. "Anticipated Productivity and the Labor Market," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 992, Boston College Department of Economics.

  17. Antonello d’Alessandro & Giulio Fella & Leonardo Melosi, 2018. "Fiscal Stimulus with Learning-By-Doing," Discussion Papers 1818, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Cited by:

    1. Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2022. "Are government spending shocks inflationary at the zero lower bound? New evidence from daily data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2020. "The time-varying effect of fiscal policy on inflation: Evidence from historical US data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    3. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2023. "Sectoral fiscal multipliers and technology in open economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    4. Gabriel, Ricardo Duque, 2024. "The Credit Channel of Public Procurement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    5. Larsen, Rasmus Bisgaard & Ravn, Søren Hove & Santoro, Emiliano, 2025. "House prices, endogenous productivity, and the effects of government spending shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    6. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2022. "How do income and the debt position of households propagate fiscal stimulus into consumption?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Timuno, Sayed O.M & Eita, Joel Hinaunye, 2020. "Towards an effective fiscal stimulus: evidence from Botswana," MPRA Paper 101377, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Asif Tariq & Aadil Amin & Masroor Ahmad, 2024. "Deciphering the non-linear nexus between government size and inflation in MENA countries: an application of dynamic-panel threshold model," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2019. "Tax and spending shocks in the open economy: are the deficits twins?," Working Paper Series 377, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    10. Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena, 2020. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation," Working papers 752, Banque de France.
    11. Görtz, Christoph & Gunn, Christopher & Lubik, Thomas A., 2022. "Is there news in inventories?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 87-104.
    12. Mao, Ruoyun & Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2024. "Can passive monetary policy decrease the debt burden?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    13. Jørgensen, Peter L. & Ravn, Søren H., 2022. "The inflation response to government spending shocks: A fiscal price puzzle?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    14. Mathias Klein & Ludger Linnemann, 2019. "Tax and Spending Shocks in the Open Economy: Are the Deficits Twins?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1821, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    15. Duque Gabriel, Ricardo & Klein, Mathias & Pesso, Ana Sofia, 2020. "The Effects of Government Spending in the Eurozone," Working Paper Series 400, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    16. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Can growth stabilize debt? A fiscal theory perspective," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 2/2024, Bank of Finland, revised 2024.
    17. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela, 2022. "Endogenous technology, scarring and fiscal policy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2022, Bank of Finland.
    18. Ilut, Cosmin & Saijo, Hikaru, 2021. "Learning, confidence, and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 354-376.
    19. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2019. "Tax and spending shocks in the open economy: Are the deficits twins?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    20. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2020. "Fiscal policy shocks and stock prices in the United States," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    21. Bredemeier, Christian & Juessen, Falko & Schabert, Andreas, 2022. "Why are fiscal multipliers moderate even under monetary accommodation?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    22. Miranda-Pinto, Jorge & Murphy, Daniel & Walsh, Kieran James & Young, Eric R., 2023. "Saving constraints, inequality, and the credit market response to fiscal stimulus," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    23. Ferrara, Laurent & Metelli, Luca & Natoli, Filippo & Siena, Daniele, 2021. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    24. Murphy, Daniel & Walsh, Kieran James, 2022. "Government spending and interest rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    25. Colombo, Emilio & Furceri, Davide & Pizzuto, Pietro & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2024. "Public expenditure multipliers and informality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    26. Aragón, Edilean Kleber da Silva Bejarano & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2023. "Shock-based inference on the Phillips curve with the cost channel," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    27. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

  18. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," CEPR Discussion Papers 12164, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Boris Chafwehé & Rigas Oikonomou & Romanos Priftis & Lukas Vogel, 2021. "(Optimal) Monetary Policy with and without Debt," Staff Working Papers 21-5, Bank of Canada.
    2. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2022. "Expectations, Stagnation, And Fiscal Policy: A Nonlinear Analysis," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1397-1425, August.
    3. Bandi, Federico M. & Bretscher, Lorenzo & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Return predictability with endogenous growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    4. Pontus Braunerhjelm, 2022. "Rethinking stabilization policies; Including supply-side measures and entrepreneurial processes," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 963-983, February.
    5. Héctor J. Villarreal, 2026. "Fiscal Dominance and Asset Price Redistribution," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 30, School of Governement and Public Transformation.
    6. Ali, Amjad & Hasan, Zohaib Ul & Abbasi, Qasim & Sulehri, Fiaz Ahmad, 2023. "Business or Politics: Exploring the Determinants of Policy Mix in South Asia," MPRA Paper 120120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe About Monetary Finance and What We Can(’t) Do About It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," Staff Working Papers 23-36, Bank of Canada.
    8. Petr Makovský & Irena Descubes & František Høebík, 2024. "Post-Pandemic Inflation Dynamics: a Comparative Study of the Fiscal Theory in the Czech Republic and France," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 18(2), pages 101-126.
    9. David Andolfatto, 2021. "Is It Time for Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 103(3), pages 315-332, July.
    10. Stefano Fasani & Valeria Patella & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Lorenza Rossi, 2025. "Belief Distortions and Disagreement about Inflation," Working Papers 423478673, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    11. Fritz Breuss, 2017. "The United States-Euro Area Growth Gap Puzzle," WIFO Working Papers 541, WIFO.
    12. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni & Tarbé, Matthieu, 2023. "Monetary–fiscal crosswinds in the European Monetary Union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    13. Baumann, Ursel & Lodge, David & Miescu, Mirela S., 2019. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2248, European Central Bank.
    14. Atanas Pekanov, 2019. "Policy Brief: Past and Present of EMU Reform. Reforming the Euro Area – The Road Not (Yet) Taken," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61850.
    15. Marco Bassetto & Gherardo Gennaro Caracciolo, 2021. "Monetary/Fiscal Interactions with Forty Budget Constraints," Working Papers 788, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    16. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    17. Bonam, Dennis & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Gomes, Sandra & Aldama, Pierre & Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Buss, Ginters & da Costa, José Cardoso & Christoffel, Kai & Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Jacquinot, Pasc, 2024. "Challenges for monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the post-pandemic era," Occasional Paper Series 337, European Central Bank.
    18. Andryushin, S., 2024. "Interest rate policy of the Bank of Russia in conditions of fiscally-dominant regime: Risks and prospects," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 62(1), pages 211-219.
    19. Łyziak, Tomasz & Mackiewicz-Łyziak, Joanna, 2020. "Does fiscal stance affect inflation expectations? Evidence for European economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 296-310.
    20. Busato, Francesco & Albanese, Marina & Varlese, Monica, 2022. "Inflation-based fiscal consolidation: a DSGE approach," MPRA Paper 113838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Francesco Busato & Marina Albanese & Monica Varlese, 2022. "The impact of monetary policy shock on public debt: a DSGE approach," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 76(3), pages 17-28, July-Sept.
    22. Zhang, Yunhan & Liu, Zhixin & Jin, Hao, 2026. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in public debt consolidation: the role of fiscal rules and inflation targeting," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    23. Chang, Yoosoon & Kwak, Boreum & Qiu, Shi, 2021. "U.S. monetary and fiscal policy regime changes and their interactions," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    24. Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Müller, Gernot J. & Wolf, Martin, 2019. "Exit expectations and debt crises in currency unions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    25. Vagliasindi,Maria & Gorgulu,Nisan, 2021. "What Have We Learned about the Effectiveness of Infrastructure Investment as a FiscalStimulus ? A Literature Review," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9796, The World Bank.
    26. Zavadska, Diana, 2018. "Innovative Environment In Ukraine: Formation And Evaluation Of Development In The Conditions Of The Balanced Economic Growth," EUREKA: Social and Humanities, Scientific Route OÜ, issue 2, pages 19-29.
    27. Tatiana Kirsanova & Campbell Leith & Ding Liu, 2024. "Central Bank Independence, Government Debt and the Re-Normalization of Interest Rates," Working Papers 2024_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    28. Atanas Pekanov, 2020. "Die Europäische Währungsunion im Wandel," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(3), pages 165-175, March.
    29. Han, Zhao, 2021. "Low-frequency fiscal uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 639-657.
    30. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    31. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    32. Liu, Guangling & Mustapher, Marrium, 2025. "Spillover effects of the recent US monetary policy shocks on the South African economy: The role of monetary and fiscal policy coordination," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    33. John Cochrane, 2022. "A fiscal theory of monetary policy with partially repaid long-term debt," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 1-21, July.
    34. Barnett, William A. & Bella, Giovanni & Ghosh, Taniya & Mattana, Paolo & Venturi, Beatrice, 2022. "Shilnikov chaos, low interest rates, and New Keynesian macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    35. Leeper, Eric M. & Zhou, Xuan, 2021. "Inflation’s role in optimal monetary-fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-18.
    36. Max Ole Liemen & Olaf Posch, 2022. "FTPL and the Maturity Structure of Government Debt in the New Keynesian Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 9840, CESifo.
    37. Sachdeva, Paras & Ahmad, Wasim, 2024. "Fiscal and monetary policy regimes: New evidence from India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    38. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    39. Arden, Lucas & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2025. "Inflation-stabilizing monetary and fiscal policy rules at and away from the lower bound," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    40. Saurabh Sharma & Ipsita Padhi & Sarat Dhal, 2022. "Monetary-fiscal coordination: when, why and how?," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 661-686, September.
    41. Marina Albanese & Francesco Busato & Monica Varlese, 2026. "Inflation-Based Fiscal Consolidation: Does Speed Matter?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 12(1), pages 441-475, March.
    42. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2025. "The economics of helicopter money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    43. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2024. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat," Working Paper Series 2889, European Central Bank.
    44. Michau, Jean-Baptiste, 2025. "Fiscal policy under secular stagnation: An optimal pump-priming strategy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    45. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Anna Rogantini Picco, 2022. "Who is Afraid of Eurobonds?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    46. Saroj Bhattarai & Jae Won Lee & Choongryul Yang, 2023. "Redistribution and the monetary‐fiscal policy mix," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(3), pages 817-853, July.
    47. Bianchi, Francesco & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," CEPR Discussion Papers 14720, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    48. Zoundi, Zakaria, 2024. "Wells or Welfare? Macroeconomic implications of the Canadian oil subsidy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    49. Carmignani, Fabrizio, 2025. "The partisanship of a central banker," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    50. Donato Masciandaro, 2020. "Ecb Helicopter Money: Economic And Political Economy Arithmetics," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20138, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    51. Guangling Liu & Marrium Mustapher, 2025. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on inflation: The role of backed and unbacked public debt in a monetary and fiscal policy regime mix," ERSA Working Paper Series 899, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    52. Schmidt, Torsten & Blagov, Boris & Coschignano, Eliana & Dirks, Maximilian & Grozea-Helmenstein, Daniela & Isaak, Niklas & Kirsch, Florian & Krause, Clara & Kotz, Stefan & Schacht-Picozzi, Philip & We, 2025. "Frühjahr 2025: Deutsche Wirtschaft weiter im Leerlauf," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 76, pages 1-40.
    53. Marco Bassetto & Luca Benzoni & Jason Hall, 2024. "On the Mechanics of Fiscal Inflations," Working Paper Series WP 2024-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    54. Stefano Fasani & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Valeria Patella & Lorenza Rossi, 2025. "Belief Distortions and Uncertainty About Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 12209, CESifo.
    55. Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo & Claudia Udroiu, 2024. "Fiscal stimuli: Monetary versus Fiscal Financing," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS105, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    56. Beqiraj, Elton & Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Fiscal stance and the sovereign risk pass-through," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    57. Francesco Bianchi & Ethan Ilzetzki, 2022. "Jackson Hole 2022 - Reassessing Constraints on Policy: Fiscal Constraints," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, August.
    58. Donato Masciandaro, 2018. "Central Banking and Macroeconomic Ideas: Economics, Politics and History," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1858, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

  19. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis," Working Paper Series WP-2016-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Tadle, Raul Cruz, 2022. "FOMC minutes sentiments and their impact on financial markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    2. Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Mehl, Arnaud, 2018. "Does a big bazooka matter? Central bank balance-sheet policies and exchange rates," Working Paper Series 2197, European Central Bank.
    3. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    4. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jacob P. Weber, 2018. "Discretion Rather than Rules: Equilibrium Uniqueness and Forward Guidance with Inconsistent Optimal Plans," Working Paper Series WP-2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    5. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2016. "Unsurprising shocks: information, premia, and the monetary transmission," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 626, Bank of England.
    6. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech the 2019 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, sponsored by the Initiative on Global Markets at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, New ," Speech 1038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Xavier Gabaix, 2016. "A Behavioral New Keynesian Model," NBER Working Papers 22954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Rompolis, Leonidas S., 2025. "Quantitative easing, uncertainty, and risk aversion," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    9. Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," NBER Working Papers 26002, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Guillermo Santos, 2022. "Optimal fiscal and monetary policy with preference over safe assets," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    11. Haderer, Michaela, 2022. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area with Expectations about the Timing and Nature of Liftoff from the Lower Bound," Working Papers 2022-05, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    12. Garcia-Revelo, José & Levieuge, Grégory & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2025. "Revisiting 15 years of unusual transatlantic monetary policies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    13. Frederik Neugebauer & Ralf Fendel & Nils Niederhagen, 2017. "A Note on the Reactions of Real Yields to Different Types of Forward Guidance in the US," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2703-2710.
    14. Mary C. Daly, 2022. "Dynamic Central Bank Communication," Speech 101164, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    15. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking Of Inflation: The Influence Of Fed Speeches On Expectations," Working Papers No 07/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    16. Robert Goodhead & Benedikt Kolb, 2025. "Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 92(365), pages 173-198, January.
    17. Leonardo N. Ferreira, 2020. "Forward Guidance Matters: Disentangling Monetary Policy Shocks," Working Papers 912, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    18. Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
    19. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Thomas B. King & Anna Orlik & Rebecca Zarutskie, 2020. "Issues Regarding the Use of the Policy Rate Tool," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-070, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Dario Caldara & Etienne Gagnon & Enrique Martínez García & Christopher J. Neely, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-065, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Lilia Maliar & John B. Taylor, 2019. "Forward Guidance: Is It Useful Away from the Lower Bound?," NBER Working Papers 26053, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Thwaites, Gregory & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2016. "Monetary policy transmission in an open economy:new data and evidence from the United Kingdom," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86235, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    23. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    24. Holtemöller, Oliver & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Kwak, Boreum, 2024. "Is there an information channel of monetary policy?," IWH Discussion Papers 17/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
    25. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Pigouvian Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 977, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. Emmanuel Farhi & François Gourio, 2018. "Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 25282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Christoffel, Kai & Mazelis, Falk & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Müller, Tobias, 2020. "Disciplining expectations and the forward guidance puzzle," Working Paper Series 2424, European Central Bank.
    28. Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The effect of ECB forward guidance on policy expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-30, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    29. Melosi, Leonardo & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas, 2019. "The Limits of Forward Guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13612, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    30. Jochen Güntner, 2022. "Central bank information and private‐sector expectations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1372-1385, November.
    31. Nils M. Gornemann & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Felipe Saffie, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Endogenous Productivity," International Finance Discussion Papers 1301, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Leombroni, Matteo & Vedolin, Andrea & Venter, Gyuri & Whelan, Paul, 2021. "Central bank communication and the yield curve," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 860-880.
    33. Refet Gürkaynak & Hati̇ce Gökçe Karasoy‐Can & Sang Seok Lee, 2022. "Stock Market's Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission: The Cash Flow Effect," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 2375-2421, August.
    34. Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach," Staff Working Papers 20-40, Bank of Canada.
    35. Bassetto, Marco, 2019. "Forward guidance: Communication, commitment, or both?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 69-86.
    36. Jarociński, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2018. "Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks," Working Paper Series 2133, European Central Bank.
    37. Florin O. Bilbiie, 2019. "Optimal Forward Guidance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 310-345, October.
    38. Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2024. "Unusual shocks in our usual models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    39. Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Hoesch, Lukas, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14456, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    40. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Victor Maia, 2023. "The reaction of disagreements in inflation expectations to fiscal sentiment obtained from information in official communiqués," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(4), pages 828-859, October.
    41. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli & Gaia Rubera, 2021. "Monetary policy and financial markets: evidence from Twitter traffic," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21160, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    42. Kerssenfischer, Mark, 2022. "Information effects of euro area monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    43. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Discussion Papers 2436, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    44. Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022. "Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    45. Agustín Arias & Benjamín García & Ignacio Rojas, 2023. "Forward Guidance: Estimating a Behavioral DSGE Model with System Priors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 994, Central Bank of Chile.
    46. Jiang, Meihua & Huang, Yuzhe, 2023. "Is forward guidance an effective policy: A time-varying analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    47. Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2019. "Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments," Staff Working Papers 19-21, Bank of Canada.
    48. Jakob de Haan, 2025. "No Way Back? ECB’s Forward Guidance and Policy Normalisation," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 13.
    49. Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2022. "A reconsideration of money growth rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    50. Möller, Rouven & Reichmann, Doron, 2021. "ECB language and stock returns – A textual analysis of ECB press conferences," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 590-604.
    51. Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1136, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    52. Perazzi, Elena, 2026. "Forward Guidance in the Nonlinear New Keynesian Model," MPRA Paper 128045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    53. Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2023. "The effects of shocks to interest rate expectations in the euro area: Estimates at the country level," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 643-656, April.
    54. Alex Haberis & Riccardo Masolo & Kate Reinold, 2016. "Deflation probability and the scope for monetary loosening in the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 627, Bank of England.
    55. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2018. "The Role of News about TFP in U.S. Recessions and Booms," Working Paper Series WP-2018-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    56. Goy, Gavin & Hommes, Cars & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2022. "Forward guidance and the role of central bank credibility under heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1240-1274.
    57. Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series WP-2016-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    58. Diego M. Hager & Thomas Nitschka, 2023. "Responses of Swiss interest rates and stock prices to ECB policy surprises," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-14, December.
    59. Andrea Giovanni Gazzani & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2019. "Proxy-SVAR as a Bridge for Identification with Higher Frequency Data," 2019 Meeting Papers 855, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    60. Ryuzo Miyao & Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, 2020. "Regime shifts in the effects of Japan’s unconventional monetary policies," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 88(6), pages 749-772, December.
    61. Adra, Samer & Barbopoulos, Leonidas G. & Saunders, Anthony, 2025. "The fed information shocks and the market for corporate control: Predictive and causal effects," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    62. Wu, Jing Cynthia & Zhang, Ji, 2019. "A shadow rate New Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    63. Bredemeier, Christian & Kaufmann, Christoph & Schabert, Andreas, 2018. "Interest rate spreads and forward guidance," Working Paper Series 2186, European Central Bank.
    64. Wataru Hagio & Daisuke Ikeda & Koji Takahashi & Keisuke Yoshida, 2026. "Mind the Gap When Exiting Low-for-Long," IMES Discussion Paper Series 26-E-02, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    65. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech at the \"Fed Listens: Distributional Consequences of the Cycle and Monetary Policy\" Conference hosted by the Opportunity and Inclus," Speech 1054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    66. Anna Cieslak & Andreas Schrimpf, 2018. "Non-monetary news in central bank communication," BIS Working Papers 761, Bank for International Settlements.
    67. BOUAKEZ, Hafedh & KANO, Takashi, 2024. "Deciphering the Neo-Fisherian Effect," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-140, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    68. Campbell, Jeffrey R., 2019. "Comment on “Can more public information raise uncertainty? The international evidence on forward guidance” by Michael Ehrmann, Gaetano Gaballo, Peter Hoffmann and Georg Strasser," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 113-117.
    69. Lucas F. Husted & John H. Rogers & Bo Sun, 2017. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty," International Finance Discussion Papers 1215, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    70. Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021. "Structural scenario analysis with SVARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
    71. Aeimit Lakdawala, 2019. "Decomposing the effects of monetary policy using an external instruments SVAR," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 934-950, September.
    72. Tim D. Maurer & Thomas Nitschka, 2020. "Stock market evidence on the international transmission channels of US monetary policy surprises," Working Papers 2020-10, Swiss National Bank.
    73. Leonardo Melosi & Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2021. "Introduction to the Special Issue in Memory of Alejandro Justiniano," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 1-3, July.
    74. Martin Bodenstein & Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Nils M. Gornemann & Ignacio Presno & Andrea Prestipino & Albert Queraltó & Andrea Raffo, 2023. "Global Flight to Safety, Business Cycles, and the Dollar," Working Papers 799, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    75. Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Paper Series WP-2018-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    76. Manthos D Delis & Sizhe Hong & Nikos Paltalidis & Dennis Philip, 2022. "Forward Guidance and Corporate Lending [Measuring euro area monetary policy]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(4), pages 899-935.
    77. Bilbiie, Florin, 2017. "The Puzzle, the Power, and the Dark Side: Forward Guidance Redux," CEPR Discussion Papers 12231, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    78. Olaf Posch, 2018. "Resurrecting the New-Keynesian Model: (Un)conventional Policy and the Taylor Rule," CESifo Working Paper Series 6925, CESifo.
    79. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Schaffer, Matthew, 2019. "Federal reserve private information and the stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 34-49.
    80. Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia," Discussion Papers 30/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    81. Nsafoah, Dennis & Dery, Cosmas, 2024. "Effect of conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks on housing prices in Canada," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    82. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech at “A Hot Economy: Sustainability and Trade-Offs,” a Fed Listens event sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, ," Speech 1085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    83. Granziera, Eleanora & Larsen, Wegard H. & Meggiorini, Greta & Melosi, Leonardo, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation : The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1555, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    84. Andrew B. Martinez, 2025. "How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?," Working Papers 2025-001, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    85. Kerssenfischer, Mark, 2019. "Information effects of euro area monetary policy: New evidence from high-frequency futures data," Discussion Papers 07/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    86. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Thwaites, Gregory & Vicondoa, Alejandro, 2020. "Monetary policy transmission in the United Kingdom: A high frequency identification approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    87. Oliver Holtemöller & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Boreum Kwak, 2020. "Exchange Rates and the Information Channel of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1906, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    88. Boris Chafwehe & Rigas Oikonomou & Romanos Priftis & Lukas Vogel, 2018. "Endogenous forward guidance," Working Paper Research 354, National Bank of Belgium.
    89. Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices, a speech at \"The Bank of Finland Conference on Monetary Policy and Future of EMU [Economic and Monetary Union],\" Helsinki, Finland, July 1, ," Speech 1075, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    90. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2019. "Forward guidance with preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 364, National Bank of Belgium.
    91. Laséen, Stefan, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Central Bank Information Shocks, and Economic Activity in a Small Open Economy," Working Paper Series 396, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    92. Airaudo, Marco, 2020. "Temptation and forward-guidance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    93. Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, 2020. "Real Term Structure and New Keynesian Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 95-139, June.
    94. Michael T. Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-035, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    95. Michael Smolyansky & Gustavo A. Suarez, 2021. "Non-monetary news in Fed announcements: Evidence from the corporate bond market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-010r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 31 Jan 2025.
    96. Pascal Paul, 2020. "The Time-Varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 690-704, October.
    97. Tayler, William J. & Zilberman, Roy, 2021. "Optimal Loan Loss Provisions and Welfare," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    98. Doh, Taeyoung & Smith, A. Lee, 2022. "A new approach to integrating expectations into VAR models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 24-43.
    99. Christopher J. Gust & Edward P. Herbst & J. David López-Salido, 2018. "Forward Guidance with Bayesian Learning and Estimation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    100. Ricardo Nunes & Ali Ozdagli & Jenny Tang, 2022. "Interest Rate Surprises: A Tale of Two Shocks," Working Papers 2213, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    101. Ying, Shan & Sheen, Jeffrey & Gu, Xin & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2025. "Does monetary policy uncertainty moderate the transmission of policy shocks to government bond yields?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    102. Christopher Gust & Edward Herbst & David López-Salido & Matthew E. Smith, 2017. "The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(7), pages 1971-2006, July.
    103. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Nicolay, Rodolfo & Pereira, Flavio, 2022. "Does fiscal sentiment matter for sovereign risk?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 18-30.
    104. Francesco Bianchi & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2021. "Some inflation scenarios for the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 453, pages 1-8, April.
    105. Bianchi, Francesco & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," CEPR Discussion Papers 14720, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    106. Thomas L. Hogan, 2025. "The failure of forward guidance: Lessons from the pandemic recovery," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1265-1286, April.
    107. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Jiqiang & Chen, Sanpan, 2023. "Information effects of monetary policy announcements on oil price," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    108. Kwangyong Park, 2018. "Central Bank Credibility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-45, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    109. Fernando M. Duarte & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Leonardo Melosi & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Strengthening the FOMC’s Framework in View of the Effective Lower Bound and Some Considerations Related to Time-Inconsistent Strategies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    110. Kyungmin Kim, 2017. "Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks with External Instrument SVAR," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-113, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    111. Breitenlechner, Max & Gründler, Daniel & Scharler, Johann, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policy announcements and information shocks in the U.S," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    112. Jasmina Arifovic & Alex Grimaud & Isabelle Salle & Gauthier Vermandel, 2025. "Social Learning and Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(2-3), pages 439-475, March.
    113. Zhao, Junzhu, 2023. "Wealth in utility, the Taylor principle and determinacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    114. Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2021. "Policy and Macro Signals from Central Bank Announcements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 255-296, June.
    115. Christopher S. Sutherland, 2023. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 222-241, March.
    116. Carlos Alba & Julio A. Carrillo & Raúl Ibarra, 2024. "Information Effects of US Monetary Policy Announcements on Emerging Economies: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2024-14, Banco de México.
    117. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    118. Ari Kutai, 2023. "Measuring The Effect Of Forward Guidance In Small Open Economies: The Case Of Israel," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 21(1), pages 75-142, March.
    119. Mehl, Arnaud & Dedola, Luca & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes, 2020. "Does a Big Bazooka Matter? Quantitative Easing Policies and Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 14324, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    120. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli & Gaia Rubera, 2020. "Tweeting on Monetary Policy and Market Sentiments: The Central Bank Surprise Index," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20134, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    121. Barthélemy, Jean & Mengus, Eric, 2018. "The signaling effect of raising inflation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 488-516.
    122. James Dean & Scott Schuh, 2026. "From Conventional to Unconventional Monetary Policy: Is the Taylor Rule an Adequate Representation in Macro Models?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(2), pages 1-48, February.
    123. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2018. "Measuring Exchange Rate, Price, and Output Dynamics at the Effective Lower Bound," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(6), pages 1243-1266, December.

  20. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Signaling Effects of Monteray Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 830, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2016. "Inflation expectations, disagreement, and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 31/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. Hubert Paul, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-41, January.

  21. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2014. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," CEPR Discussion Papers 9955, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Ehrmann, 2015. "Targeting Inflation from Below: How Do Inflation Expectations Behave?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 213-249, September.
    2. Pablo Garcia, 2021. "Learning, expectations and monetary policy," BCL working papers 153, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    3. Gaballo, Gaetano & Ehrmann, Michael & Hoffmann, Peter & Strasser, Georg, 2019. "Can more public information raise uncertainty? The international evidence on forward guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13977, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Spencer Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises," BIS Working Papers 1349, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Timothy Cogley & Boyan Jovanovic, 2020. "Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model," NBER Working Papers 28026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Spencer D. Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2023. "Learning Monetary Policy Strategies at the Effective Lower Bound with Sudden Surprises," Working Paper Series WP 2023-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    7. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2012. "Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-030, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    8. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 113-139, October.
    9. McClung, Nigel, 2020. "E-stability vis-à-vis determinacy in regime-switching models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    10. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli & Gaia Rubera, 2021. "Monetary policy and financial markets: evidence from Twitter traffic," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21160, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    11. Ippei FUJIWARA & Yuichiro WAKI, 2016. "Private News and Monetary Policy: Forward guidance or the expected virtue of ignorance," Discussion papers 16027, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    12. Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2022. "Central Bank Communication and Social Media: From Silence to Twitter," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22187, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    13. Bianchi, Francesco, 2013. "Methods for Measuring Expectations and Uncertainty in Markov-Switching Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9705, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    14. Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series WP-2016-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    15. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, Volume 28, pages 1-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Grégory Levieuge & Yannick Lucotte & Florian Pradines-Jobet, 2019. "The Cost of Banking Crises: Does the Policy Framework Matter?," Working papers 712, Banque de France.
    17. Grégory Levieuge, 2018. "La politique monétaire doit-elle être utilisée à des fins de stabilité financière ?," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 63-104.
    18. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Signaling Effects of Monteray Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 830, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. McMahon, Michael & Hansen, Stephen, 2013. "First Impressions Matter: Signalling as a Source of Policy Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 9607, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    20. Xin Wei, 2020. "Dynamic Expectations Formation and U.S. Monetary Policy Regime Change," CAEPR Working Papers 2020-007, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    21. Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoït Mojon & Philippe Andrade, 2016. "Forward guidance and heterogenous beliefs," 2016 Meeting Papers 1182, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    22. Klodiana Istrefi & Sarah Mouabbi, 2017. "Subjective Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy: A Cross-country Analysis," Working papers 619, Banque de France.
    23. Christian Matthes, 2015. "Figuring Out the Fed—Beliefs about Policymakers and Gains from Transparency," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 1-29, February.
    24. Klodiana Istrefi & A. Piloiu, 2014. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations," Working papers 511, Banque de France.
    25. Maciej Ryczkowski, 2017. "Forward Guidance, Pros, Cons and Credibility," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(5), pages 523-541.
    26. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli & Gaia Rubera, 2020. "Tweeting on Monetary Policy and Market Sentiments: The Central Bank Surprise Index," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20134, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.

  22. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013. "Escaping the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 9643, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Pablo Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2022. "Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and Assessment," Working Papers 346, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    2. Bianchi, Francesco & Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Threats to central bank independence: High-frequency identification with twitter," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 37-54.
    3. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    4. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Asset Prices," 2015 Meeting Papers 1224, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation," Working Paper Series WP 2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    6. Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2019. "The Phillips Curve at 60: time for time and frequency," CEF.UP Working Papers 1902, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    7. Chang, Yoosoon & Maih, Junior & Tan, Fei, 2021. "Origins of monetary policy shifts: A New approach to regime switching in DSGE models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Schorfheide, Frank & Aruoba, Boragan & Cuba-Borda, Pablo & Hilga-Flores, Kenji & Villalvazo, Sergio, 2020. "Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 15388, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    9. Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie L. Cross & Francesco Furlanetto & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2024. "Taylor Rules with Endogenous Regimes," Working Papers No 04/2024, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    10. Adrien Auclert & Matthew Rognlie & Ludwig Straub, 2020. "Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in an Estimated HANK Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 8051, CESifo.
    11. Boehl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2025. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the effective lower bound," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    12. Ruopu Hu & Junior Maith & Shin-Ichi Nishiyama, 2026. "Regime Shifts in U.S. Trend Inflation: Pre-Volcker to Post-Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 2604, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    13. Bianchi, Francesco & Kung, Howard & Morales, Gonzalo, 2019. "Growth, slowdowns, and recoveries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 47-63.
    14. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Alexandre Corhay, 2017. "Fiscal Discount Rates and Debt Maturity," 2017 Meeting Papers 840, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Yoosoon Chang & Junior Maih & Fei Tan, 2018. "State Space Models with Endogenous Regime Switching," Working Papers No 9/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    16. Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2024. "Oil price shocks and macroeconomic dynamics in resource-rich emerging economies under regime shifts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    17. Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2017. "Monetary-fiscal interactions and the euro area's malaise," Working Paper Series 2072, European Central Bank.
    18. Gaballo, Gaetano & Ehrmann, Michael & Hoffmann, Peter & Strasser, Georg, 2019. "Can more public information raise uncertainty? The international evidence on forward guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13977, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    19. Boris Chafwehé & Charles de Beauffort & Rigas Oikonomou, 2022. "Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022026, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    20. Loria, Francesca & Matthes, Christian & Wang, Mu-Chun, 2022. "Economic theories and macroeconomic reality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.
    21. Jean Barthelemy & Seonghoon Cho & Magali Marx, 2024. "A Unified Approach to Determinacy Conditions with Regime Switching," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
    22. Chen, Han, 2017. "The effects of the near-zero interest rate policy in a regime-switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 176-192.
    23. Mackowiak, Bartosz & Corsetti, Giancarlo & Dedola, Luca & Schmidt, Sebastian & Jarocinski, Marek, 2017. "Macroeconomic Stabilization, Monetary-Fiscal Interactions, and Europe’s Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 12371, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    24. Corsetti, G. & Dedola, L. & Jarocinsk, M. & Mackowiak, B., 2016. "Macroeconomic Stabilization, Monetary-fiscal Interactions, and Europe’s monetary Union," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1675, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    25. Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata, 2018. "Fiscal Multipliers at the Zero Lower Bound: The Role of Policy Inertia," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 155-172, February.
    26. Bianchi, Francesco & Bianchi, Giada & Song, Dongho, 2023. "The long-term impact of the COVID-19 unemployment shock on life expectancy and mortality rates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    27. Hilscher, Jens & Raviv, Alon & Reis, Ricardo, 2022. "Inflating away the public debt? An empirical assessment," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107543, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    28. Alberto Ortiz-Bolaños & Sebastián Cadavid-Sánchez & Gerardo Kattan-Rodríguez, 2018. "Targeting Long-term Rates in a Model with Financial Frictions and Regime Switching," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Alberto Ortiz-Bolaños (ed.), Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in Latin America and the Caribbean, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 159-219, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    29. Gabriel Rodríguez & Paulo Chávez, 2022. "Time Changing Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: Empirical Application Using Regime-Switching VAR Models with Stochastic Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-509, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    30. Chen, Zhengyang, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," MPRA Paper 96339, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Baumann, Ursel & Lodge, David & Miescu, Mirela S., 2019. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," Working Paper Series 2248, European Central Bank.
    32. Florin O. Bilbiie, 2019. "Optimal Forward Guidance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 310-345, October.
    33. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2016. "Lack of confidence, the zero lower bound, and the virtue of fiscal rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 36-53.
    34. McClung, Nigel, 2020. "E-stability vis-à-vis determinacy in regime-switching models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    35. Ascari, Guido & Beck-Friis, Peder & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2023. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 1-15.
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    38. Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2021. "Regime‐dependent effects of uncertainty shocks: A structural interpretation," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1139-1170, November.
    39. Kerstin Bernoth & Helmut Herwartz & Lasse Trienens, 2024. "Interest Rates, Convenience Yields, and Inflation Expectations: Drivers of US Dollar Exchange Rates," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2100, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    40. Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2020. "State dependence in labour market fluctuations," Working Papers 47, European Stability Mechanism.
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    45. Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & Daniel M. Rees, 2022. "International spillovers of forward guidance shocks," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 131-160, January.
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    58. Ursel Baumann & David Lodge & Mirela S. Miescu, 2024. "Global growth on life support? The contributions of fiscal and monetary policy since the global financial crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 76-90, January.
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    74. Hinterlang, Natascha & Hollmayr, Josef, 2022. "Classification of monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    75. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019. "What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
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    77. Ettmeier, Stephanie & Kriwoluzky, Alexander, 2024. "Active or passive? Revisiting the role of fiscal policy during high inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    78. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," NBER Working Papers 23605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    79. Kaan Masatci & Asuman Oktayer, 2022. "The Power of Linear Methods in Determining the Dominant Fiscal Regime: A Research on Turkiye," Journal of Economy Culture and Society, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 65(65), pages 375-394, June.
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    81. Francesco Jacopo Pintus & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Elmer Sterken & Jan Jacobs, 2024. "Fiscal Impacts of Climate Anomalies," CESifo Working Paper Series 11548, CESifo.
    82. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2023. "Can Passive Monetary Policy Decrease the Debt Burden?," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    83. Jarociński, Marek & Bobeica, Elena, 2017. "Missing disinflation and missing inflation: the puzzles that aren't," Working Paper Series 2000, European Central Bank.
    84. Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2021. "State-dependent fiscal multipliers with preferences over safe assets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1023-1040.
    85. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    86. Mariano Kulish & James Morley & Tim Robinson, 2016. "Estimating DSGE models with Zero Interest Rate Policy," Discussion Papers 2014-32B, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    87. John Cochrane, 2022. "A fiscal theory of monetary policy with partially repaid long-term debt," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 1-21, July.
    88. Pappa, Evi & Molteni, Francesco, 2017. "The Combination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks: A TVP-FAVAR Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 12541, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    89. Katagiri, Mitsuru & Konishi, Hideki & Ueda, Kozo, 2020. "Aging and deflation from a fiscal perspective," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-15.
    90. Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Implementing the Zero Lower Bound in an Estimated Regime-Switching DSGE Model," Working Papers No 3/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    91. Andrew Binning & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Junior Maih, 2019. "Is Monetary Policy Always Effective? Incomplete Interest Rate Pass-through in a DSGE Model," Working Papers No 09/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    92. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-032, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    93. Kirsanova, Tatiana & Leith, Campbell & Machado, Celsa & Ribeiro, Ana Paula, 2025. "(Re)Evaluating recent macroeconomic policy in the US," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    94. Leeper, Eric M. & Zhou, Xuan, 2021. "Inflation’s role in optimal monetary-fiscal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-18.
    95. Xin Wei, 2020. "Dynamic Expectations Formation and U.S. Monetary Policy Regime Change," CAEPR Working Papers 2020-007, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    96. Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Paltalidis, Nikos, 2025. "Credit and financial cycle synchronization impact on sovereign credit risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    97. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2022. "Uncertain Policy Regimes and Government Spending Effects," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 22-A004, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    98. Nicolas Caramp & Dejanir Silva, 2023. "Fiscal Policy and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 716-746, December.
    99. Guido Ascari & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2020. "Monetary-fiscal interactions under price level targeting," Papers 2010.14979, arXiv.org.
    100. Sebasti√°n Cadavid S√°nchez, 2018. "Monetary policy and structural changes in Colombia, 1990-2016: A Markov Switching approach," Documentos CEDE 16970, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    101. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus & Emanuel Münch & Tobias Schmidt, 2025. "Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance," Working papers 986, Banque de France.
    102. Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Ratto, Marco, 2019. "Identification versus misspecification in New Keynesian monetary policy models," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 225-246.
    103. Carl E. Walsh, 2022. "Inflation Surges and Monetary Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 22-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    104. Hanno Kase & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "The perils of narrowing fiscal spaces," BIS Working Papers 1328, Bank for International Settlements.
    105. Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2017. "Modelling Occasionally Binding Constraints Using Regime-Switching," Working Paper 2017/23, Norges Bank.
    106. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The effects of monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability regimes in the Euro Area," Working Papers REM 2023/0281, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    107. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2024. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat," Working Paper Series 2889, European Central Bank.
    108. Chafwehé, Boris & de Beauffort, Charles & Oikonomou, Rigas, 2026. "Managing the inflation-output trade-off with public debt portfolios," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    109. McClung, Nigel, 2025. "Why should fiscal imbalances concern policymakers at independent inflation-targeting central banks?," BoF Economics Review 4/2025, Bank of Finland.
    110. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2014-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    111. Guido Ascari & Dennis Bonam & Lorenzo Mori & Andra Smadu, 2024. "Fiscal Policy and Inflation in the Euro Area," Working Papers 820, DNB.
    112. Boris Chafwehé & Rigas Oikonomou & Romanos Priftis & Lukas Vogel, 2022. "Optimal Monetary Policy with and without Debt," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    113. Christopher Gust & Edward Herbst & David López-Salido & Matthew E. Smith, 2017. "The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(7), pages 1971-2006, July.
    114. Jerow, Sam & Wolff, Jonathan, 2022. "Fiscal policy and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    115. Giuli, Francesco & Ionta, Serena & Patella, Valeria, 2025. "Monetary/fiscal policy dominance and conflicts: Evidence from crises," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    116. Francesco Bianchi & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2021. "Some inflation scenarios for the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 453, pages 1-8, April.
    117. Bianchi, Francesco & Faccini, Renato & Melosi, Leonardo, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," CEPR Discussion Papers 14720, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    118. Bouabdallah, Othman & Jacquinot, Pascal & Patella, Valeria, 2023. "Monetary/fiscal policy regimes in post-war Europe," Working Paper Series 2871, European Central Bank.
    119. Trienens, Lasse & Herwartz, Helmut, 2025. "Neo-Fisherism and fiscal solvency: Reinterpreting the determination of inflation, yields, and the debt ratio," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    120. Böhl, Gregor & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2021. "The hockey stick Phillips curve and the zero lower bound," IMFS Working Paper Series 153, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    121. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Global commodity prices and macroeconomic fluctuations in a low interest rate environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    122. Eric M. Leeper & Nora Traum & Todd B. Walker, 2017. "Clearing Up the Fiscal Multiplier Morass," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(8), pages 2409-2454, August.
    123. Eo, Yunjong & McClung, Nigel, 2021. "Determinacy and E-stability with interest rate rules at the zero lower bound," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2021, Bank of Finland.
    124. Carvalho, Carlos & Eusepi, Stefano & , & Preston, Bruce, 2019. "Anchored Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 13900, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    127. Forster, Robert & Sun, Xiaojin, 2022. "Taming the housing crisis: An LTV macroprudential policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    128. Hinterlang, Natascha & Hollmayr, Josef, 2021. "Classification of monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques," IMFS Working Paper Series 160, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
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    134. Wolfgang Lechthaler & Mewael F. Tesfaselassie, 2023. "Endogenous Growth, Skill Obsolescence, and Output Hysteresis in a New Keynesian Model with Unemployment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(8), pages 2187-2213, December.
    135. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
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  23. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," Working Papers 13-14, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Spencer Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2026. "Learning monetary policy strategies at the effective lower bound with sudden surprises," BIS Working Papers 1349, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Spencer D. Krane & Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2023. "Learning Monetary Policy Strategies at the Effective Lower Bound with Sudden Surprises," Working Paper Series WP 2023-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    3. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Hinterlang, Natascha & Jäger, Marius & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2025. "Transfers or subsidies? Comparing mitigation strategies for energy price shocks in a production network model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 967-1017, April.
    6. Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 20390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2021. "Regime‐dependent effects of uncertainty shocks: A structural interpretation," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1139-1170, November.
    8. Richard Harrison, 2014. "Estimating the Effects of Forward Guidance in Rational Expectations Models," Discussion Papers 1429, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Bianchi, Francesco, 2016. "Methods for measuring expectations and uncertainty in Markov-switching models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 79-99.
    10. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2023. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," BCAM Working Papers 2206, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, Volume 28, pages 1-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Peisong Han & Liang Li & Mengjie Xu & Yujia Tian & Zekun Wang, 2026. "The impact of people’s perception of livelihood risks on household consumption in China," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    13. Harrison, Ricahrd, 2014. "Estimating the effects of forward guidance in rational expectations models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86327, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Andrew Foerster & Christian Matthes, 2022. "Learning About Regime Change," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1829-1859, November.
    15. Jaroslav Borovička & Lars Peter Hansen, 2016. "Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy," NBER Working Papers 22364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  24. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," Working Papers 13-12, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020. "Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Times of Large Debt: Unity is Strength," NBER Working Papers 27112, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Guido Ascari & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2020. "Controlling Inflation With Timid Monetary–Fiscal Regime Changes," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 1001-1024, May.
    3. Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," IMFS Working Paper Series 60, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    4. Marco Bassetto & Thomas J. Sargent, 2020. "Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 27004, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013. "Escaping the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 9643, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    6. Harrison, Richard, 2015. "Estimating the effects of forward guidance in rational expectations models," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 196-213.
    7. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2017. "Controlling inflation with switching monetary and fiscal policies: expectations, fiscal guidance and timid regime changes," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2017, Bank of Finland.
    8. Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster, 2014. "Uncertainty and fiscal cliffs," Research Working Paper RWP 14-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    9. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    10. Kliem, Martin & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Sarferaz, Samad, 2016. "Monetary–fiscal policy interaction and fiscal inflation: A tale of three countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 158-184.
    11. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Modeling The Evolution Of Expectations And Uncertainty In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(2), pages 717-756, May.
    12. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 113-139, October.
    13. McClung, Nigel, 2020. "E-stability vis-à-vis determinacy in regime-switching models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    14. Ascari, Guido & Beck-Friis, Peder & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2023. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 1-15.
    15. Pamfili Antipa, 2013. "Fiscal Sustainability and the Value of Money: Lessons from the British Paper Pound, 1797-1821," Working papers 466, Banque de France.
    16. Dennis Wesselbaum, 2022. "Cheap Talk in a New Keynesian Model," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(3), pages 661-691, September.
    17. Marco Bassetto & Gherardo Gennaro Caracciolo, 2021. "Monetary/Fiscal Interactions with Forty Budget Constraints," Working Papers 788, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    18. Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2013. "The Consequences of Uncertain Debt Targets," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2013-18, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
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    22. Bianchi, Francesco, 2016. "Methods for measuring expectations and uncertainty in Markov-switching models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 79-99.
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    27. David S. Miller, 2021. "A Monetary-Fiscal Theory of Sudden Inflations and Currency Crises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-057, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Moises S. Andrade & Tiago Berriel, 2016. "Is There an Output Free Lunch for Fiscal Inationary Policies?," Textos para discussão 650, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    29. Han, Zhao, 2021. "Low-frequency fiscal uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 639-657.
    30. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Signaling Effects of Monteray Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 830, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    31. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," NBER Working Papers 23605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Seonghoon Cho, 2016. "Sufficient Conditions for Determinacy in a Class of Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 21, pages 182-200, July.
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    37. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2018. "High trend inflation and passive monetary detours," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2018, Bank of Finland.
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  25. Leonardo Melosi & Francesco Bianchi, 2012. "Inflationary Sentiments and Monetary Policy Communcation," 2012 Meeting Papers 893, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Klodiana Istrefi & Anamaria Piloiu, 2013. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Trust and Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 4294, CESifo.
    2. Leonardo Melosi, 2012. "Signaling effects of monetary policy," Working Paper Series WP-2012-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    3. Best, Gabriela, 2017. "Policy Preferences And Policy Makers' Beliefs: The Great Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(8), pages 1957-1995, December.

  26. Leonardo Melosi, 2012. "Signaling effects of monetary policy," Working Paper Series WP-2012-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

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    1. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    2. Riccardo Degasperi & Fabrizio Venditti, 2024. "US monetary policy spillovers to the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 891, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Ali Ozdagli, 2015. "The final countdown: the effect of monetary policy during \"Wait-for-It\" and reversal periods," Working Papers 15-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    4. Pablo Aguilar Perez, 2024. "Global Spillovers of US Monetary Policy: New Insights from the Remittance Channel," EconomiX Working Papers 2024-27, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    5. Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2021. "The signaling effects of central bank tone," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Cour-Thimann, Philippine & Jung, Alexander, 2020. "Interest rate setting and communication at the ECB," Working Paper Series 2443, European Central Bank.
    7. Hartwig, Benny & Lieberknecht, Philipp, 2020. "Monetary policy, firm exit and productivity," Discussion Papers 61/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Chahrour, Ryan & Jurado, Kyle, 2025. "Revisiting the forecasts of others," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    9. Gómez-Cram, Roberto & Grotteria, Marco, 2022. "Real-time price discovery via verbal communication: Method and application to Fedspeak," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 993-1025.
    10. Ou, Shengliang & Zhang, Donghai & Zhang, Renbin, 2021. "Information frictions, monetary policy, and the paradox of price flexibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 70-82.
    11. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Agreed and Disagreed Uncertainty," Working Papers 2025_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    12. Bauchet, Jonathan & Chakravarty, Sugato & Hunter, Brian, 2018. "Separating the wheat from the chaff: Signaling in microfinance loans," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 40-50.
    13. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03458122, HAL.
    14. Fusari, Francesco, 2025. "Identifying monetary policy shocks through external constraints," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    15. Pagliari, Maria Sole, 2024. "Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    16. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2016. "Signals from the government: Policy disagreement and the transmission of fiscal shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 107-118.
    17. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking Of Inflation: The Influence Of Fed Speeches On Expectations," Working Papers No 07/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    18. Falck, Elisabeth & Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2017. "Disagreement and monetary policy," Discussion Papers 29/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    19. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2012. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-031, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    20. Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023. "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
    21. Qiang Chen & Zechen Yin, 2025. "Informational differences, adaptive learning, and inflation forecast bias," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(3), pages 236-259, September.
    22. Kokonas, Nikolaos & Rousakis, Michalis & Smyrniotis, Efthymios, 2025. "Controlling inflation with central bank news," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    23. Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
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    38. Jonathan J Adams, 2019. "Macroeconomic Models with Incomplete Information and Endogenous Signals," Working Papers 001004, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    39. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo & Karthik A. Sastry, 2020. "Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers 27308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    44. Jarociński, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2018. "Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks," Working Paper Series 2133, European Central Bank.
    45. Florin O. Bilbiie, 2019. "Optimal Forward Guidance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 310-345, October.
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    47. Jenny Tang, 2014. "Uncertainty and the Signaling Channel of Monetary Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 1316, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    49. Gorodnichenko, Y & Coibion, O, 2016. "How inertial is monetary policy? implications for the fed’s exit strategy," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt2qc6f09b, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    50. Marco Graziano & Marius Koechlin & Andreas Tischbirek, 2026. "The Spillovers of LSAPs on Banks in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 12409, CESifo.
    51. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Discussion Papers 2436, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    52. Boeck, Maximilian & Mori, Lorenzo, 2025. "Has globalization changed the international transmission of U.S. monetary policy?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    53. Calvin He, 2021. "Monetary Policy, Equity Markets and the Information Effect," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    54. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2023. "Do monetary condition news at the zero lower bound influence households’ expectations and readiness to spend?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
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    117. Hüning, Hendrik, 2020. "Swiss National Bank communication and investors’ uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    118. Jan Filacek & Jakub Mateju, 2014. "Adverse Effects of Monetary Policy Signalling," Working Papers 2014/13, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    119. Jia, Chengcheng, 2023. "The informational effect of monetary policy and the case for policy commitment," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    120. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "The asymmetric effects of monetary policy on stock price bubbles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    121. Jung, Alexander & Uhlig, Harald, 2019. "Monetary policy shocks and the health of banks," Working Paper Series 2303, European Central Bank.
    122. Matsumoto, Ryo & Morita, Hiroshi & Ono, Taiki, 2022. "Central Bank Information Effects in Japan : The Role of Uncertainty Channel," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-126, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    123. Jarociński, Marek, 2021. "Estimating the Fed’s Unconventional Policy Shocks," Working Paper Series 20210, European Central Bank.
    124. Altavilla, Carlo & Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Laeven, Luc & Kind, Thilo, 2025. "Monetary transmission with frequent policy events," Working Paper Series 3157, European Central Bank.
    125. Laséen, Stefan, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Central Bank Information Shocks, and Economic Activity in a Small Open Economy," Working Paper Series 396, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    126. Eran Yashiv & Renato Faccini, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics and Marginal Costs: the Crucial Role of Hiring and Investment Frictions," 2014 Meeting Papers 178, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    127. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    128. Claeys, Grégory & Papioti, Chara & Tryphonides, Andreas, 2023. "Liquidity risk, market power and the informational effects of policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    129. Eminidou, Snezana & Zachariadis, Marios, 2022. "Firms’ expectations and monetary policy shocks in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    130. Shi, Jiping, 2025. "News Uncertainty and Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 81, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    131. Andrade, Philippe & Ferroni, Filippo, 2021. "Delphic and odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 816-832.
    132. Gaetano Gaballo, 2016. "Rational Inattention to News: The Perils of Forward Guidance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 42-97, January.
    133. Pascal Paul, 2020. "The Time-Varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 690-704, October.
    134. Degasperi, Riccardo & Hamadi, Tara & Natoli, Filippo & Nispi Landi, Valerio & Pallara, Kevin, 2026. "Forward guidance in climate policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    135. Han, Zhao, 2024. "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    136. Ricardo Nunes & Ali Ozdagli & Jenny Tang, 2022. "Interest Rate Surprises: A Tale of Two Shocks," Working Papers 2213, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    137. Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2019. "Monetary policy announcements and expectations: Evidence from german firms," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 45-63.
    138. Bro de Comères, Quentin & Oros, Cornel & Pourroy, Marc & Raguideau-Hannotin, Léonore & Vaubourg, Anne-Gaël, 2025. "Non-standard monetary policy and ECB communication: Confusion or predictability?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    139. Lilian Muchimba & Mimoza Shabani & Alexis Stenfors & Jan Toporowski, 2024. "Decomposing the Rate of Inflation: Price-Setting and Monetary Policy," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2024-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    140. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2018. "High-Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(3), pages 1283-1330.
    141. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," Working Paper Series WP-2013-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    142. Andreou, Elena & Eminidou, Snezana & Zachariadis, Marios, 2016. "Inflation expectations and monetary policy in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 11306, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    143. Kurt G. Lunsford, 2020. "Policy Language and Information Effects in the Early Days of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(9), pages 2899-2934, September.
    144. Povilas Lastauskas & Julius Stakenas, 2016. "Openness and Structural Labour Market Reforms: Counterfactuals for Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
    145. Braun, Robin & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Saha, Tuli, 2025. "Measuring monetary policy in the UK: The UK monetary policy event-study database," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    146. Chen, Qiang & Yin, Zechen & Zhang, Shuai, 2025. "Adaptive learning expectation, intermediate exchange rate regime, and monetary autonomy: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    147. Ryan Chahrour & Kristoffer Nimark & Stefan Pitschner, 2019. "Sectoral Media Focus and Aggregate Fluctuations," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 987, Boston College Department of Economics.
    148. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "Imperfect Information, Heterogeneous Demand Shocks, and Inflation Dynamics," Discussion Papers 2108, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    149. David Worms, 2025. "Predictability of Monetary Policy Surprises and Euro Area Macroeconomic DynamicsÂ," Working Papers 850, DNB.
    150. Matthes, Christian & Rondina, Francesca, 2017. "Two-sided learning and short-run dynamics in a New Keynesian model of the economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 53-56.
    151. Han, Zhao & Tan, Fei & Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Analytic policy function iteration," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    152. Mody, Ashoka & Nedeljkovic, Milan, 2024. "Central bank policies and financial markets: Lessons from the euro crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    153. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 283-357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    154. Ippei Fujiwara & Yuichiro Waki, 2022. "The Delphic forward guidance puzzle in New Keynesian models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 46, pages 280-301, October.
    155. Vincenzo Cuciniello & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Notarpietro & Sergio Santoro, 2025. "Uncertainty, data dependence and interest rate volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1513, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    156. Carlos Alba & Julio A. Carrillo & Raúl Ibarra, 2024. "Information Effects of US Monetary Policy Announcements on Emerging Economies: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2024-14, Banco de México.
    157. Yashiv, Eran & Faccini, Renato, 2016. "The Hiring Frictions and Price Frictions Nexus in Business Cycle Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11639, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    158. Karau, Sören, 2021. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Discussion Papers 41/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    159. Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert, 2019. "Thoughts on a review of the ECB's monetary policy strategy," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03403251, HAL.
    160. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Anderson, Gareth, 2020. "Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14426, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    161. Barbieri, Elisa & Huang, Manli & Pi, Shenglei & Pollio, Chiara & Rubini, Lauretta, 2021. "Investigating the linkages between industrial policies and M&A dynamics: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    162. Paul Hubert & Frédérique Savignac, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Labor Income Inequality: the Role of Extensive and Intensive Margins," Working papers 913, Banque de France.
    163. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 126-162, October.
    164. J. Daniel Aromí & Martín Llada, 2024. "Are professional forecasters inattentive to public discussions? The case of inflation in Argentina," Working Papers 300, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    165. Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

  27. Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Leonardo Melosi, 2011. "Methods for Computing Marginal Data Densities from the Gibbs Output," Departmental Working Papers 201131, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Gabriel Züllig, 2018. "Forecasting the production side of GDP," Working Papers 2018-16, Swiss National Bank.
    2. Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "A Time‐Series Model of Interest Rates with the Effective Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(5), pages 1005-1046, August.
    4. Minsu Chang & Xiaohong Chen & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2289, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    5. Carriero, Andrea & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016. "Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 332-348.
    6. Waggoner, Daniel F. & Wu, Hongwei & Zha, Tao, 2016. "Striated Metropolis–Hastings sampler for high-dimensional models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 406-420.
    7. Gholamreza Hajargasht & Prasada Rao, 2018. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," Papers 1811.04197, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    8. Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2020. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1485-1520, November.
    9. Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajsek & Cristina Fuentes Albero & Dario Caldara, 2013. "On the Identification of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," 2013 Meeting Papers 965, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Daniel F. Waggoner & Hongwei Wu & Tao Zha, 2014. "The Dynamic Striated Metropolis-Hastings Sampler for High-Dimensional Models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.

  28. Leonardo Melosi, 2011. "Public's Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy," 2011 Meeting Papers 1151, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kristoffer P. Nimark, 2015. "Man-Bites-Dog Business Cycle," Working Papers 700, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Stephen Millard & Eran Yashiv & Renato Faccini, 2012. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: the Role of Hiring and Investment Costs," 2012 Meeting Papers 556, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Leonardo Melosi & Francesco Bianchi, 2012. "Inflationary Sentiments and Monetary Policy Communcation," 2012 Meeting Papers 893, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  29. Leonardo Melosi, 2009. "A Likelihood Analysis of Models with Information Frictions," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-009, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

    Cited by:

    1. Luigi Iovino & Jennifer La'O & George-Marios Angeletos, 2015. "The Social Value of Information in a Business-Cycle Model," 2015 Meeting Papers 1299, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Luo, Yulei & Young, Eric, 2013. "Rational Inattention in Macroeconomics: A Survey," MPRA Paper 54267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Luo, Yulei & Young, Eric, 2013. "Long-run Consumption Risk and Asset Allocation under Recursive Utility and Rational Inattention," MPRA Paper 52904, University Library of Munich, Germany.

Articles

  1. Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2024. "Unusual shocks in our usual models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Leonardo Melosi & Matthias Rottner, 2023. "Pandemic Recessions and Contact Tracing," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(6), pages 2485-2517.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "How Tight is U.S. Monetary Policy," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 0, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Vincenzo Cuciniello, 2024. "Market perceptions, monetary policy, and credibility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1449, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Ayaydın Hacıömeroğlu, Hande & Danışoğlu, Seza & Güner, Z. Nuray & Şahin, Baki Cem, 2026. "Here's the Greenium eclipsed by market-wide illiquidity in the municipal bond market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

  4. Francesco Bianchi & Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "A Fiscal Theory of Persistent Inflation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(4), pages 2127-2179.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Pigouvian Cycles," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 281-318, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo & Rottner, Matthias, 2021. "Hitting the elusive inflation target," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 107-122.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Francesco Bianchi & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2021. "Some inflation scenarios for the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 453, pages 1-8, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Inflation as a Fiscal Limit," Working Paper Series WP 2022-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    2. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

  8. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the 2018 Bipartisan Budget Act," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 2, pages 2-12.

    Cited by:

    1. Garcia-Revelo, José & Levieuge, Grégory & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2025. "Revisiting 15 years of unusual transatlantic monetary policies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).

  9. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2019. "The dire effects of the lack of monetary and fiscal coordination," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 1-22.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2019. "The limits of forward guidance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 118-134.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Antonello D'Alessandro & Giulio Fella & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Fiscal Stimulus With Learning‐By‐Doing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1413-1432, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2018. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(1), pages 187-202, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes since the Financial Crisis," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(1), pages 283-357.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "Escaping the Great Recession," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(4), pages 1030-1058, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "Signalling Effects of Monetary Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 84(2), pages 853-884.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Modeling The Evolution Of Expectations And Uncertainty In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(2), pages 717-756, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 28(1), pages 1-46.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Robert Barsky & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "The Natural Rate of Interest and Its Usefulness for Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 37-43, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Athanasios Geromichalos & Lucas Herrenbrueck, 2022. "The Liquidity-Augmented Model of Macroeconomic Aggregates: A New Monetarist DSGE Approach," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 134-167, July.
    2. Lucian Croitoru, 2016. "Are We Systematically Wrong when Estimating Potential Output and the Natural Rate of Interest?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 128-151, June.
    3. Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Zu Produktionspotenzial und Produktionslücke in den Vereinigten Staaten," Kiel Insight 2016.2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Enrico S. Levrero, 2019. "Estimates of the Natural Rate of Interest and the Stance of Monetary Policies: A Critical Assessment," Working Papers Series 88, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    5. Gulan, Adam, 2018. "Paradise lost? A brief history of DSGE macroeconomics," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2018, Bank of Finland.
    6. Bianchi, Francesco & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013. "Escaping the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 9643, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Global trends in interest rates," Staff Reports 866, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. Frederic S. Mishkin, 2017. "Making Discretion in Monetary Policy More Rule-Like," NBER Working Papers 24135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Hirokuni Iiboshi & Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2018. "Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan," Working Papers e120, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    10. NAKAJIMA, Jouchi & SUDO, Nao & HOGEN, Yoshihiko & TAKIZUKA, Yasutaka, 2023. "On the estimation of the natural yield curve," Discussion Paper Series 753, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    11. Funashima, Yoshito, 2020. "Monetary policy, financial uncertainty, and secular stagnation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    12. Brand, Claus & Mazelis, Falk, 2019. "Taylor-rule consistent estimates of the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 2257, European Central Bank.
    13. Krustev, Georgi, 2019. "The natural rate of interest and the financial cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 193-210.
    14. Piotr Cizkowicz & Andrzej Rzonca & Andrzej Toroj, 2015. "In search for appropriate lower bound.Zero lower bound vs. positive lower bound under discretion and commitment," NBP Working Papers 215, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    15. Patrizio Pagano & Massimo Sbracia, 2014. "The secular stagnation hypothesis: a review of the debate and some insights," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 231, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    16. Maciej Stefański, 2023. "Natural Rate of Interest in a Small Open Economy with Application to CEE Countries," KAE Working Papers 2023-093, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
    17. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Pigouvian Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 977, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd & Zou, Feina, 2023. "The role of macroeconomic uncertainty in the determination of the natural rate of interest," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    19. Duca, John V., 2017. "The Great Depression versus the Great Recession in the U.S.: How fiscal, monetary, and financial polices compare," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 50-64.
    20. Neri, Stefano & Gerali, Andrea, 2019. "Natural rates across the Atlantic," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. Alessandro Cantelmo, 2022. "Rare Disasters, the Natural Interest Rate and Monetary Policy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 473-496, June.
    22. KRAIZBERG, Elli, 2025. "The Shadow Default-Free Real Rate Of Return," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 29(3), pages 49-81, September.
    23. Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," IMFS Working Paper Series 121, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    24. John B. Taylor & Volker Wieland, 2016. "Finding the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate in a Fog of Policy Deviations," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 51(3), pages 147-154, July.
    25. Chung, Hess & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Paustian, Matthias & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2021. "Latent variables analysis in structural models: A New decomposition of the kalman smoother," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    26. Eduardo Amaral, 2025. "The capital puzzle," BIS Working Papers 1288, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2023. "Interest rate gaps in an uncertain global context: why “too” low (high) for “so” long?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 539-565, February.
    28. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    29. NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2024. "Central bank balance sheets and long-term interest rates : Revisiting Japan's unconventional monetary policy experience," Discussion Paper Series 758, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    30. Charles Evans & Jonas Fisher & Francois Gourio & Spencer Krane, 2015. "Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(1 (Spring), pages 141-219.
    31. Feng Zhu, 2016. "Understanding the changing equilibrium real interest rates in Asia-Pacific," BIS Working Papers 567, Bank for International Settlements.
    32. Croitoru Lucian, 2015. "The Tendency Towards Secondarity in Managing Global Imbalances," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 62(3), pages 291-311, November.
    33. Anderson, Richard G. & Bordo, Michael & Duca, John V., 2017. "Money and velocity during financial crises: From the great depression to the great recession," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 32-49.
    34. Kei Imakubo & Haruki Kojima & Jouchi Nakajima, 2015. "The natural yield curve: its concept and measurement," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 15-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    35. Dmitry Kreptsev & Alexey Porshakov & Sergey Seleznev & Andrey Sinyakov, 2016. "The equilibrium interest rate: a measurement for Russia," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps13, Bank of Russia.
    36. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2018. "The Role of News about TFP in U.S. Recessions and Booms," Working Paper Series WP-2018-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    37. Zarazúa Juárez, Carlos Alberto, 2023. "Understanding the natural rate of interest for a small open economy," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(3).
    38. Mengheng Li & Irma Hindrayanto, 2018. "Looking for the stars: Estimating the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 51, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    39. Vasco Curdia & Andrea Ferrero & Ging Cee Ng & Andrea Tambalotti, 2014. "Has U.S. Monetary Policy Tracked the Efficient Interest Rate?," Working Paper Series 2014-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    40. Bindseil, Ulrich & Domnick, Clemens & Zeuner, Jörg, 2015. "Critique of accommodating central bank policies and the 'expropriation of the saver' - A review," Occasional Paper Series 161, European Central Bank.
    41. Beyer, Robert & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Instability, imprecision and inconsistent use of equilibrium real interest rate estimates," IMFS Working Paper Series 110, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    42. Guido Tabellini, 2014. "Inflation Targets Reconsidered: Comments on Paul Krugman," Working Papers 525, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    43. Alessandro Cantelmo & Nikos Fatouros & Giovanni Melina & Chris Papageorgiou, 2024. "Monetary Policy Under Natural Disaster Shocks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1441-1497, August.
    44. Juselius, Mikael, 2025. "Navigating the sea of natural real interest rate estimates," BoF Economics Review 3/2025, Bank of Finland.
    45. Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "On the international co-movement of natural interest rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    46. Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Mr. Jarkko Turunen, 2015. "Lower for Longer: Neutral Rates in the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/135, International Monetary Fund.
    47. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2021. "Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality," Working Paper Series 2612, European Central Bank.
    48. Holston, Kathryn & Laubach, Thomas & Williams, John C., 2017. "Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 59-75.
    49. Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    50. Japhta O. Maboko & Partson Paradza & Benita G. Zulch & Joseph A. Yacim, 2024. "Exploring the Effects of Interest Rates on the Residential Property Market: A Case Study of Weltevredenpark Suburb in Johannesburg," AfRES afres2024-017, African Real Estate Society (AfRES).
    51. Pym Manopimoke, 2016. "The Output Euler Equation and Real Interest Rate Regimes," PIER Discussion Papers 33, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    52. Andrea Berardi & Michael Markovich & Alberto Plazzi & Andrea Tamoni, 2021. "Mind the (Convergence) Gap: Bond Predictability Strikes Back!," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(12), pages 7888-7911, December.
    53. Janet L. Yellen, 2015. "The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy: a speech at the Economic Club of Washington, Washington, D.C., December 2, 2015," Speech 884, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    72. Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Shousha, Samer, 2023. "Determinants of global neutral interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
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    74. Zhang, Ren & Martínez-García, Enrique & Wynne, Mark A. & Grossman, Valerie, 2021. "Ties that bind: Estimating the natural rate of interest for small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    75. Shodipe Oladimeji T. & Shobande Olatunji Abdul, 2021. "Monetary Policy Dynamics in the United States," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 14-30, January.
    76. Luca Gori & Francesco Purificato & Mauro Sodini, 2025. "Debt Stabilisation and Dynamic Interaction Between Monetary Authority and National Fiscal Authorities," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 913-935, February.
    77. Fu, Buben & Wang, Bin, 2024. "Demographic change and natural interest rate of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
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    79. Bianca Barbaro & Patrizio Tirelli, 2023. "Forbearance vs foreclosure in a general equilibrium model," Working Papers 516, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
    80. Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Nao Sudo, 2022. "Transmission of Flood Damage to the Real Economy and Financial Intermediation: Simulation Analysis using a DSGE Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-5, Bank of Japan.
    81. Giancarlo Bertocco & Andrea Kalajzić, 2018. "The Zero Lower Bound and the Asymmetric Efficacy of Monetary Policy: A View from the History of Economic Ideas," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 4(3), pages 549-566, November.
    82. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "International comovement of r∗: A case study of the G7 countries," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    83. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    84. Marc Giannoni & Domenico Giannone & Andrea Tambalotti & Marco Del Negro, 2017. "Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest," 2017 Meeting Papers 803, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    85. Jonas D. M. Fisher, 2014. "On the Structural Interpretation of the Smets-Wouters “Risk Premium” Shock," Working Paper Series WP-2014-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    86. Sheng Zhu & Ella Kavanagh & Jun Gao, 2024. "The natural real rate of interest and monetary policy: New evidence for the US," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3023-3039, July.
    87. Japhta O. Maboko & Partson Paradza & Benita G. Zulch & Joseph A. Yacim, 2024. "Exploring the Effects of Interest Rates on the Residential Property Market: A Case Study of Weltevredenpark Suburb in Johannesburg," AfRES 2024-017, African Real Estate Society (AfRES).
    88. Sacha Gelfer, 2019. "Data-Rich DSGE Model Forecasts of the Great Recession and its Recovery," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 18-41, April.
    89. Wang, Bin & Kwan, Yum K., 2021. "Measuring the natural rates of interest of OECD and BRICS economies: A time varying perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    90. Andrey Sinyakov & Alexey Porshakov, 2019. "Estimates of the Natural Rate of Interest for Russia: Is 'Navigating by the Stars' Useful?," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(4), pages 3-47, December.
    91. Bianca Barbaro & Patrizio Tirelli, 2025. "Forbearance versus Foreclosure in a General Equilibrium Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 863-903, June.
    92. Enrique Martínez García, 2020. "Get the Lowdown: The International Side of the Fall in the U.S. Natural Rate of Interest," Globalization Institute Working Papers 403, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 20 Feb 2021.
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    99. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 283-357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  19. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Estimating Models with Dispersed Information," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 1-31, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Barrdear, John, 2015. "Towards a new Keynesian theory of the price level," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86315, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1551, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    3. Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Paper Series WP 2025-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Artūras Juodis & Simas Kučinskas, 2023. "Quantifying noise in survey expectations," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 609-650, May.
    5. Candian, Giacomo, 2019. "Information frictions and real exchange rate dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 189-205.
    6. Dellas, Harris & Collard, Fabrice & Angeletos, George-Marios, 2015. "Quantifying Confidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 10463, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Anastasiia Antonova & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Céline Poilly, 2025. "Macroeconomic Shocks in the Fog: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2538, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    8. Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
    9. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    10. Kenza Benhima & Céline Poilly, 2017. "Do Misperceptions about Demand Matter? Theory and Evidence," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 17.08, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    11. Melosi, Leonardo & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas, 2019. "The Limits of Forward Guidance," CEPR Discussion Papers 13612, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. Bodo Herzog, 2019. "Dynamic Expectation Theory: Insights for Market Participants," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-14, May.
    13. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 1730, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    14. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2012. "Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-030, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    15. Hellwig, Christian & Venkateswaran, Venky, 2025. "Dispersed information, nominal rigidities and monetary business cycles: A Hayekian perspective," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(S).
    16. Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2022. "The Social Value of Information: A Test of a Beauty and Nonbeauty Contest," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(7), pages 2125-2148, October.
    17. Leonardo Melosi & Hiroshi Morita & Anna Rogantini Picco & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "The Signaling Effects of Fiscal Announcements," Discussion Papers 2436, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    18. Candian, Giacomo, 2021. "Central bank transparency, exchange rates, and demand imbalances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 90-107.
    19. Ethan Struby, 2018. "Macroeconomic Disagreement in Treasury Yields," Working Papers 2018-04, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
    20. Riccardo M. Masolo & Alessia Paccagnini, 2019. "Identifying Noise Shocks: A VAR with Data Revisions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(8), pages 2145-2172, December.
    21. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Sanjay R. Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2021. "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," Working Papers 339, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    22. Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series WP-2016-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    23. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, Volume 28, pages 1-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Benigno, Pierpaolo & Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2019. "Overconfidence, subjective perception and pricing behavior," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 107-132.
    25. Benhima, Kenza & Poilly, Céline, 2021. "Does demand noise matter? Identification and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 278-295.
    26. Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Signaling Effects of Monteray Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 830, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers 0611, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    28. Park, Kwangyong, 2023. "Do more frequent price adjustments guarantee less effective monetary stimulus when uncertainty rises?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    29. George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    30. Manoj Atolia & Ryan Chahrour, 2020. "Intersectoral Linkages, Diverse Information, and Aggregate Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 270-292, April.
    31. John Barrdear, 2014. "Peering into the mist: social learning over an opaque observation network," Discussion Papers 1409, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    32. Edward P. Herbst & Fabian Winkler, 2021. "The Factor Structure of Disagreement," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    33. Dovern, Jonas, 2015. "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 16-35.
    34. Mr. Roberto Piazza, 2018. "Is There a Phillips Curve? A Full Information Partial Equilibrium Approach," IMF Working Papers 2018/044, International Monetary Fund.
    35. Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Wiederholt, Mirko, 2015. "Inattention to rare events," Working Paper Series 1841, European Central Bank.

  20. Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Melosi, Leonardo, 2013. "Methods for computing marginal data densities from the Gibbs output," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 175(2), pages 132-141.
    See citations under working paper version above.

Chapters

  1. Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Alejandro Justiniano & Leonardo Melosi, 2016. "Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31, pages 283-357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, Volume 28, pages 1-46, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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