Forecasting Economic Time Series

Citations

Cited by:

1. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
   • Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-118/III, Tinbergen Institute.
2. Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
   • Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
3. Camille Logeay & Sven Schreiber, 2006. "Testing the effectiveness of the French work-sharing reform: a forecasting approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(17), pages 2053-2068.
   • Camille Logeay & Sven Schreiber, 2005. "Testing the effectiveness of the French work-sharing reform: a forecasting approach," IMK Working Paper 03-2005, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
4. Borbély, Dóra & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2003. "Macroeconomic interval forecasting: the case of assessing the risk of deflation in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 1153, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
5. Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
   • David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016. "Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations," Economics Series Working Papers 784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
6. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E., 2008. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 122-133.
   • Ralf Becker & Adam Clements, 2007. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," NCER Working Paper Series 17, National Centre for Econometric Research.
7. Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Forecasting US real private residential fixed investment using a large number of predictors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1557-1580, December.
   • Goodness C. Aye & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2013. "Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors," Working Papers 201348, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
   • Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar, 2014. "Forecasting US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using a Large Number of Predictors," Working papers 2014-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
8. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
9. Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Trapero, Juan R. & Barrow, Devon K., 2020. "Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
10. Chudik, Alexander & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad, 2024. "Variable selection in high dimensional linear regressions with parameter instability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 246(1).
    • Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mahrad Sharifvaghefi, 2020. "Variable Selection in High Dimensional Linear Regressions with Parameter Instability," Globalization Institute Working Papers 394, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 05 Aug 2024.
    • Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mahrad Sharifvaghefi, 2023. "Variable Selection in High Dimensional Linear Regressions with Parameter Instability," Papers 2312.15494, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    • Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Mahrad Sharifvaghefi, 2023. "Variable Selection in High Dimensional Linear Regressions with Parameter Instability," CESifo Working Paper Series 10223, CESifo.
11. Shea, Paul, 2015. "Red herrings and revelations: does learning about a new variable worsen forecasts?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 395-406.
12. Capistrán, Carlos, 2008. "Bias in Federal Reserve inflation forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve irrational or just cautious?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1415-1427, November.
    • Carmona, Carlos Capistran, 2005. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt6v28v0b6, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    • Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," Working Papers 2006-14, Banco de México.
    • Carlos Capistrán-Carmona, 2005. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 127, Society for Computational Economics.
13. Bertrand Candelon & Francesco Roccazzella, 2025. "Evaluating Inflation Forecasts in the Euro Area and the Role of the ECB," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 978-1008, April.
14. Frédérique Fève & Jean-Pierre Florens & Leticia Veruete-McKay & Frank Rodriguez & Soterios Steri & Frank Rodriguez, 2012. "Uncertainty and Projections of the Demand for Mail," Chapters, in: Michael A. Crew & Paul R. Kleindorfer (ed.), Multi-Modal Competition and the Future of Mail, chapter 6, Edward Elgar Publishing.
15. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2007. "Learning, Structural Instability, and Present Value Calculations," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2-4), pages 253-288.
    • Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan, 2006. "Learning, structural instability and present value calculations," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Pesaran, M.H. & Pettenuzzo, D. & Timmermann, A., 2006. "Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0602, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    • M. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Learning, structural instability and present value calculations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 529, Society for Computational Economics.
    • Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations," IEPR Working Papers 06.42, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR).
    • M. Hashem Pesaran & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations," CESifo Working Paper Series 1650, CESifo.
16. Mehmet Pinar & Thanasis Stengos & M. Ege Yazgan, 2018. "Quantile forecast combination using stochastic dominance," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1717-1755, December.
17. Oriol González-Casasús & Frank Schorfheide, 2025. "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," NBER Working Papers 33474, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus & Frank Schorfheide, 2025. "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," PIER Working Paper Archive 25-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    • Gonzalez-Casasus, Oriol & Schorfheide, Frank, 2025. "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," CEPR Discussion Papers 19915, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    • Oriol Gonz'alez-Casas'us & Frank Schorfheide, 2025. "Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs," Papers 2502.03693, arXiv.org.
18. Andreas Andersson & Par Osterholm, 2005. "Forecasting real exchange rate trends using age structure data - the case of Sweden," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 267-272.
19. Ke Yang & Langnan Chen & Fengping Tian, 2015. "Realized Volatility Forecast of Stock Index Under Structural Breaks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 57-82, January.
20. Thraen, Cameron S., 2011. "Highly variable prices or excessive volatility? Is a supply management program warranted? An Extension Dairy Economist’s Perspective," 2011 Conference, April 18-19, 2011, St. Louis, Missouri 285334, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
21. repec:mbr:jmonec:v:7:y:2012:i:1:p:87-118 is not listed on IDEAS
22. Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2014. "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil," CEPR Discussion Papers 10162, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    • Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil," Staff Working Papers 16-18, Bank of Canada.
    • Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil," CESifo Working Paper Series 5782, CESifo.
    • Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2014. "A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil," CFS Working Paper Series 466, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
23. Allen, P. Geoffrey & Morzuch, Bernard J., 2006. "Twenty-five years of progress, problems, and conflicting evidence in econometric forecasting. What about the next 25 years?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 475-492.
24. José Luis Fernández Serrano & Mª Dolores Robles Fernández, 2001. "Structural Breaks and interest rates forecast: a sequential approach," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0110, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
25. Romulo A. Chumacero, 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production with Automated Procedures," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 177, Econometric Society.
26. Ulrich K. Müller & James H. Stock, 2011. "Forecasts in a Slightly Misspecified Finite Order VAR Model," Working Papers 2011-4, Princeton University. Economics Department..
27. Viviana Fernández, 2006. "Forecasting crude oil and natural gas spot prices by classification methods," Documentos de Trabajo 229, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile.
28. Jörg Breitung & Malte Knüppel, 2021. "How far can we forecast? Statistical tests of the predictive content," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 369-392, June.
    • Breitung, Jörg & Knüppel, Malte, 2018. "How far can we forecast? Statistical tests of the predictive content," Discussion Papers 07/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
29. Lindh, Thomas & Malmberg, Bo, 2007. "Demographically based global income forecasts up to the year 2050," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 553-567.
    • Malmberg, Bo & Lindh, Thomas, 2004. "Demographically based global income forecasts up to the year 2050," Arbetsrapport 2004:7, Institute for Futures Studies.
30. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Kranendonk, H.C. & Lanser, D., 2007. "On the optimality of expert-adjusted forecasts," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2007-38, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    • Henk Kranendonk & Debby Lanser & P.H. Franses, 2007. "On the optimality of expert-adjusted forecasts," CPB Discussion Paper 92.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
31. David G. McMillan, 2009. "Non-linear interest rate dynamics and forecasting: evidence for US and Australian interest rates," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 139-155.
32. Clements, Michael P., 2002. "Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 469-482, December.
33. Flouris, Triant & Walker, Thomas, 2005. "Financial Comparisons Across Different Business Models in the Canadian Airline Industry," 46th Annual Transportation Research Forum, Washington, D.C., March 6-8, 2005 208157, Transportation Research Forum.
34. Eva Haslauer & Markus Biberacher & Thomas Blaschke, 2016. "A spatially explicit backcasting approach for sustainable land-use planning," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(5), pages 866-890, May.
35. Y. Dendramis & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2020. "A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(3), pages 801-827, June.
    • Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Dendramis, Yiannis, 2020. "A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 14469, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
36. Athanasia Gavala & Nikolay Gospodinov & Deming Jiang, 2006. "Forecasting volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 381-400.
37. Geweke, John & Jiang, Yu, 2011. "Inference and prediction in a multiple-structural-break model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(2), pages 172-185, August.
38. Kolassa, Stephan, 2011. "Combining exponential smoothing forecasts using Akaike weights," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 238-251, April.
39. Ard Reijer, 2013. "Forecasting Dutch GDP and inflation using alternative factor model specifications based on large and small datasets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 435-453, April.
40. Angelos Kanas, 2003. "Non-linear forecasts of stock returns," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(4), pages 299-315.
41. Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2011. "Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models," Working Papers 678, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    • Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2011. "Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models," Working Papers 678, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
42. Neil R. Ericsson, 2000. "Predictable uncertainty in economic forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 695, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
43. Rocha, Jordano Vieira & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2015. "Forecast comparison with nonlinear methods for Brazilian industrial production," Textos para discussão 397, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
44. Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026. "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers 503, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    • Chiara Casoli & Riccardo Lucchetti, 2026. "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," Working Papers 2026.03, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • Casoli, Chiara & Lucchetti, Riccardo, 2026. "A rotated Dynamic Factor Model for the yield curve: squeezing out information when it matters," FEEM Working Papers 388985, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
45. Katarzyna Budnik & Michal Greszta & Michal Hulej & Marcin Kolasa & Karol Murawski & Michal Rot & Bartosz Rybaczyk & Magdalena Tarnicka, 2009. "The new macroeconometric model of the Polish economy," NBP Working Papers 62, Narodowy Bank Polski.
46. Dennis Ridley & Pierre Ngnepieba, 2014. "Antithetic time series analysis and the CompanyX data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 177(1), pages 83-94, January.
47. Suzanne Emmer & Marie Kratz & Dirk Tasche, 2013. "What Is the Best Risk Measure in Practice? A Comparison of Standard Measures," Working Papers hal-00921283, HAL.
48. Ard H.J. den Reijer, 2005. "Forecasting Dutch GDP using Large Scale Factor Models," DNB Working Papers 028, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
49. Rómulo Chumacero E., 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales With Automated Procedures," Journal Econom a Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 7(3), pages 47-56, December.
    • Rómulo Chumacero, 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales with Automated Procedures," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 260, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Romulo A. Chumacero, 2004. "Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales with Automated Procedures," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 112, Society for Computational Economics.
50. Qin, Ting & Enders, Walter, 2008. "In-sample and out-of-sample properties of linear and nonlinear Taylor rules," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 428-443, March.
51. Mr. David A Reichsfeld & Mr. Shaun K. Roache, 2011. "Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?," IMF Working Papers 2011/254, International Monetary Fund.
52. Orth, Walter, 2013. "Multi-period credit default prediction with time-varying covariates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 214-222.
53. Seitz, Franz & Baumann, Ursel & Albuquerque, Bruno, 2015. "The information content of money and credit for US activity," Working Paper Series 1803, European Central Bank.
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54. Hendry, David F. & Pretis, Felix, 2023. "Analysing differences between scenarios," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 754-771.
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55. Jennifer L. Castle & Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry, 2016. "An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 3-23, September.
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56. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Papers 1805.03807, arXiv.org.
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64. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2004. "How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 411-425.
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      • Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
      • Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
      • Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
      • Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
      • Owens, Trudy & Hoddinott, John & Kinsey, Bill, 2003. "The Impact of Agricultural Extension on Farm Production in Resettlement Areas of Zimbabwe," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(2), pages 337-57, January.
      • Facchini, Giovanni & Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, 2011. "What drives U.S. immigration policy? Evidence from congressional roll call votes," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 734-743.
      • Davide Castellani & Giorgia Giovannetti, 2010. "Productivity and the international firm: dissecting heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 25-42.
      • Artjoms Ivlevs & Jaime De Melo, 2010. "FDI, the Brain Drain and Trade: Channels and Evidence," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 97-98, pages 103-121.
      • Julien Gourdon & Nicolas Maystre & Jaime de Melo, 2008. "Openness, inequality and poverty: Endowments matter," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 343-378.
      • Robert N. McCauley, 2012. "Risk-on/risk-off, capital flows, leverage and safe assets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 8(3), pages 281-298, August.
      • Robert N. McCauley, 2012. "Risk-on/risk-off, capital flows, leverage and safe assets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 8(3), pages 281-298, August.
      • Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
      • Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007. "Technological diversification," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
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      • Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 103-117 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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      • Christian Daude & Marcel Fratzscher, 2007. "The pecking order of cross-border investment," CGFS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Research on global financial stability: the use of BIS international financial statistics, volume 29, pages 53-89 Bank for International Settlements.
      • Reint Gropp & Jukka M. Vesala & Giuseppe Vulpes, 2002. "Equity and bond market signals as leading indicators of bank fragility," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
      • Kalin Nikolov, 2012. "Bubbles, banks and financial stability," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 15, pages 2-6.
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      • Marcel Fratzscher, 2012. "Capital Controls and Foreign Exchange Policy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(2), pages 66-98, August.
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      • António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2013. "Fiscal Composition and Long-term Growth," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
      • Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Elisa Tosetti, 2011. "Weak and strong cross‐section dependence and estimation of large panels," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14, pages C45-C90, 02.
      • Marcel Fratzscher, 2011. "Capital Flows, Push versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: Global Financial Crisis National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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      • Peter Hördahl & David Vestin, 2005. "Interpreting Implied Risk-Neutral Densities: The Role of Risk Premia," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 9(1), pages 97-137.
      • Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2003. "Exchange rates and fundamentals," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
      • Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal monetary and fiscal policy: a linear-quadratic approach," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • J. Galí & D. López-Salido & J. Vallés, 2003. "Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2003. "The decline of activist stabilization policy: natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2003. "The great inflation of the 1970s," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
      • Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
      • Stephen Bond & Dietmar Harhoff & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Investment, R&D and Financial Constraints in Britain and Germany," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 79-80, pages 433-460.
      • Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
      • Francesco Caselli & Silvana Tenreyro, 2004. "Is Poland the next Spain?," Communities and Banking, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
      • Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
      • Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
      • Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007. "Technological diversification," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
      • Christopher A. Pissarides, 2009. "The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle: Is Wage Stickiness the Answer?," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(5), pages 1339-1369, 09.
      • Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
      • Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
      • Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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      • Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
      • Richard Freeman & John Van Reenen, 2009. "What if Congress Doubled R&D Spending on the Physical Sciences?," NBER Chapters, in: Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 9, pages 1-38 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
      • Richard Perkins & Eric Neumayer, 2010. "Geographic variations in the early diffusion of corporate voluntary standards: comparing ISO 14001 and the Global Compact," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 42(2), pages 347-365, February.
      • Richard B. Freeman, 2007. "When Workers Share in Profits: Effort and Responses to Shirking," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(6), pages 9-36, November-.
      • Robert C. Allen & Jean‐Pascal Bassino & Debin Ma & Christine Moll‐Murata & Jan Luiten Van Zanden, 2011. "Wages, prices, and living standards in China, 1738–1925: in comparison with Europe, Japan, and India," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 64(s1), pages 8-38, February.
      • Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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      • Paul Beaudry & David A. Green & Benjamin M. Sand, 2013. "The Great Reversal in the Demand for Skill and Cognitive Tasks," NBER Chapters, in: Labor Markets in the Aftermath of the Great Recession, pages 199-247 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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      • Nuno Ferreira da Cruz & Pedro Simões & Rui Cunha Marques, 2013. "The hurdles of local governments with PPP contracts in the waste sector," Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 31(2), pages 292-307, April.
      • Eric Neumayer & Peter Nunnenkamp & Martin Roy, 2016. "Are stricter investment rules contagious? Host country competition for foreign direct investment through international agreements," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 177-213, February.
      • Joseph Seidel & Yang Xu, 2016. "MHTEXP: Stata module to perform multiple hypothesis testing correction procedure," Statistical Software Components S458153, Boston College Department of Economics.
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      • Georgy Idrisov & Mikhail Khromov & Evgeny Goryunov & Alexander Knobel & Yuri Ponomarev & Alexander Deryugin & Julia Florinskaya & Nikita Mkrtchan, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-26, November.
      • Alexander Knobel & Yuri Bobylev & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Vasily Uzun & Elena Avraamova & D. Loginov, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 14, pages 1-26, October.
      • Firanchuk Alexander & Shagaida Natalia & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 26, pages 1-27, May.
      • Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & S, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
      • Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
      • Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-26, February.
      • Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
      • Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-22, February.
      • Sergey Drobyshevsky & Mikhail Khromov & Maria Kazakova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-26, December.
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      • Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Natalia & Kiyutsevskaya Ann, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
      • Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Uzun Vasily & Flor, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
      • Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Nat, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
      • Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
      • Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
      • Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
      • Firanchuk Alexander & Shagaida Natalia & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 26, pages 1-27, May.
      • Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, March.
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      • Loginov D. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Goryunov Evgeny & Kiyutsevskaya Anna & Larionova M. & Sakharov A. & Shelepov A. & Avraamova A., 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 29, pages 1-26, June.
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        • David Hendry, 2000. "Forecast Failure, Expectations Formation, and the Lucas Critique," Economics Papers 2002-W8, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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      • Viviana Fernandez, 2008. "Traditional versus novel forecasting techniques: how much do we gain?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 637-648.
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        • Eitrheim,O. & Jansen,E.S. & Nymoen,R., 2000. "Progress from forecast failure : the Norwegian consumption function," Memorandum 32/2000, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
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        • Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry, 2018. "Selecting a Model for Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 861, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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        • Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003. "Tests of conditional predictive ability," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 572, Boston College Department of Economics.
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      • David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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      • Pedro Francisco Páez, 2005. "Are the Washington Consensus Policies Sustainable? Game Theoretical Assessment for the Case of Ecuador," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2005_07, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
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      • Michael P. Clements, 2015. "Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(2-3), pages 349-382, March.
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      • Schumacher Christian & Dreger Christian, 2004. "Estimating Large-Scale Factor Models for Economic Activity in Germany: Do They Outperform Simpler Models? / Die Schätzung von großen Faktormodellen für die deutsche Volkswirtschaft: Übertreffen sie einfachere Modelle?," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 224(6), pages 731-750, December.
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        • Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Rachel Sebudde, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CSAE Working Paper Series 2015-17, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
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      • Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Kalotychou, Elena, 2006. "Early warning systems for sovereign debt crises: The role of heterogeneity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 1420-1441, November.
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      • Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Forecasting Principles from Experience with Forecasting Competitions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, February.
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        • Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Simon Price, 2014. "Adaptive forecasting in the presence of recent and ongoing structural change," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 490, Bank of England.
        • Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Simon Price, 2012. "Adaptive Forecasting in the Presence of Recent and Ongoing Structural Change," Working Papers 691, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
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