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Forecasting technological progress

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  • Lafond, François

Abstract

After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking over the last decade developing time series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.

Suggested Citation

  • Lafond, François, 2025. "Forecasting technological progress," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-10, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    • Handle: RePEc:amz:wpaper:2025-10
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    15. Lafond, François & Greenwald, Diana & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2022. "Can Stimulating Demand Drive Costs Down? World War II as a Natural Experiment," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 82(3), pages 727-764, September.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Performance curves; Experience curves; Diffusion curves; Patent networks;
    All these keywords.

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