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Publications

by members of

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
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Working papers

2026

  1. den Besten, Tamar & Barnichon, Regis & Känzig, Diego & Singh, Aayush, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Insights from 180 Years of U.S. Trade Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21381, Apr.
  2. Bauer, Michael & Känzig, Diego & Rudebusch, Glenn, 2026, "Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 21355, Apr.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Alexander Czarnota & Mathias Klein, 2026, "Prices and Monetary Policy: The Role of Financial Constraints," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-13, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-13.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2026, "The AI Moment? Possibilities, Productivity, and Policy," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 102798, Feb.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2026, "Regionalism at the Federal Reserve: Many Voices, One Purpose," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 103063, Apr.
  6. Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio & Toan Phan & Felipe Schwartzman, 2026, "Financial Conditions and Capital Investment Choices," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-05, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-05.
  7. Peter Lihn Jørgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2026, "From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-08, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-08.
  8. Kevin J. Lansing & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2026, "Measuring Inflation Shock Momentum," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-10, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-10.
  9. Gleb Kozliakov & Emile A. Marin & Sanjay R. Singh, 2026, "Can Models with Idiosyncratic Risk Solve the Equity Premium Puzzle? Redux," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 377, Mar.
  10. Daniel J. Wilson & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "New data show intensifying unauthorized immigration decline, with large local variations," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102542, Jan.
  11. Anton Cheremukhin & Daniel J. Wilson & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "Break-even employment declines as unauthorized immigration outflows continue," Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 102971, Mar.
  12. Daniel J. Wilson & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "The Impacts of Unauthorized Immigration on U.S. Labor and Housing Markets: New Evidence from Administrative Microdata," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2607, Mar, DOI: 10.24149/wp2607.

2025

  1. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2025, "Policy evaluation with Sufficient Macro Statistics -a primer," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1474, Jan.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2025, "Innovations Meet Narratives -Improving the Power-Credibility Trade-off in Macro," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1475, Jan.
  3. Régis Barnichon & Aayush Singh, 2025, "What Is a Tariff Shock? Insights from 150 years of Tariff Policy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-26, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-26.
  4. Miguel Acosta & Andrea Ajello & Michael D. Bauer & Francesca Loria & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2025, "Financial Market Effects of FOMC Communication: Evidence from a New Event-Study Database," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12343.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Travis J. Berge & Giuseppe Fiori & Francesca Loria & Molin Zhong, 2025, "Accounting for Uncertainty and Risks in Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-19, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-19.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Steady Through Change: In Policy, Business, and Life," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 101820, Sep.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Modern Central Banking: Monetary Policy Implementation and Communication," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 102110, Nov.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Investing in a Durable Economic Future," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 103110, Aug.
  9. Leila Bengali & Mary C. Daly & Evgeniya A. Duzhak & Cindy Zhao, 2025, "Pulled Out or Pushed Out? Declining Male Labor Force Participation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-07, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-07.
  10. Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2025, "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-23, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-23.
  11. Huixin Bi & Andrew Foerster & Nora Traum, 2025, "Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-10, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-10.
  12. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2025, "Asset Prices and Credit with Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-15, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-15.
  13. Maria Gadea & Òscar Jordà, 2025, "Local Projections Bootstrap Inference," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-21, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-21.
  14. Rohit Garimella & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh, 2025, "A New Labor Market Stress Indicator," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-31, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-31.
  15. Hale, Galina & Leer, John & Nechio, Fernanda, 2025, "Fiscal policy design and inflation: The COVID-19 pandemic experience," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz, number qt9cc4c34z, Feb.
  16. Luca Dedola & Chiara Osbat & Timo Reinelt, 2025, "Market Power and the Heterogeneous Pass-through of Corporate Taxes to Consumer Prices," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-25, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-25.
  17. Ursel Baumann & Annalisa Ferrando & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Timo Reinelt, 2025, "Firms’ Inflation Expectations in a Monetary Union," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-29, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-29.
  18. Ursel Baumann & Annalisa Ferrando & Dmitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Timo Reinelt, 2025, "Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored During a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area Firms," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-02, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-02.
  19. Emile A. Marin & Sanjay R. Singh, 2025, "Incomplete Markets and Exchange Rates," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-11, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-11.
  20. Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Pierlauro Lopez & Sanjay R. Singh, 2025, "A Behavioral Foundation for the Investment Wedge," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-22, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-22.
  21. Daniel J. Wilson, 2025, "Estimating National Weather Effects from the Ground Up," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-18, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-18.
  22. Ryan Chahrour & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2025, "News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-31, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-31.

2024

  1. Michael Bauer & Daniel Huber & Eric Offner & Marlene Renkel & Ole Wilms & Michael D. Bauer, 2024, "Corporate Green Pledges," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11507.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Eric A. Offner & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2024, "Green Stocks and Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 11552.
  3. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Price Stability Built to Last," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97765, Feb.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Home Truths: Changing the Conversation on Housing," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97976, Mar.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Version Two," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 98400, May.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Getting It Right: Meeting Uncertainty with Conditionality," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99115, Jun.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Landing Softly Is Just the Beginning," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99173, Oct.
  8. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2024, "Local Projections," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-24, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-24.
  9. Atsushi Inoue & Òscar Jordà & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2024, "Inference for Local Projections," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-29, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-29.
  10. Daniel L. Greenwald & John Krainer & Pascal Paul, 2024, "Monetary Transmission through Bank Securities Portfolios," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-18, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-18.
  11. Kevin J. Lansing, 2024, "Replicating Business Cycles and Asset Returns with Sentiment and Low Risk Aversion," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2021-02, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2021-02.
  12. Peter Jorgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2024, "A Simple Measure of Anchoring for Short-Run Expected Inflation in FIRE Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-34, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-34.
  13. Kevin J. Lansing, 2024, "Demand versus Supply: Which is More Important for Inflation?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-08, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-08.
  14. Brantly Callaway & Tong Li & Joel Rodrigue & Yuya Sasaki & Yong Tan, 2024, "Regulation, Emissions and Productivity: Evidence from China’s Eleventh Five-Year Plan," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-7, Mar, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-7.
  15. Hale, Galina & Meisenbacher, Brigid & Nechio, Fernanda, 2024, "Industrial Composition of Syndicated Loans and Banks’ Climate Commitments," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz, number qt16x0k16m, Jul.
  16. Vasco Curdia & Fernanda Nechio, 2024, "Would the Euro Area Benefit from Greater Labor Mobility?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-06, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-06.
  17. Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Reinelt, Timo, 2024, "SAFE to Update Inflation Expectations? New Survey Evidence on Euro Area Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 19161, Jun.
  18. Yumeng Gu & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024, "Distribution of Market Power, Endogenous Growth, and Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-09, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-09.
  19. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2024, "Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migration: End of an Era?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-21.

2023

  1. Geert Mesters & Régis Barnichon, 2023, "Evaluating Policy Institutions -150 Years of US Monetary Policy-," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1410, Oct.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Daniel Huber & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Ole Wilms, 2023, "Where Is the Carbon Premium? Global Performance of Green and Brown Stocks," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10246.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Eric A. Offner & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2023, "The Effect of U.S. Climate Policy on Financial Markets: An Event Study of the Inflation Reduction Act," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10739.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 95746, Mar.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "Calibrating Policy in an Uncertain Time," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 96000, Apr.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "The Choice to See," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 96192, May.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "Monetary Policy: Progress Is Not Victory," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97128, Oct.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "What the Moment Demands," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97336, Nov.
  9. Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2023, "Inflation and Wage Growth Since the Pandemic," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2022-17, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2022-17.
  10. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2023, "State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-05, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-05.
  11. Maximilian Grimm & Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2023, "Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-06, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-06.
  12. Arindrajit Dube & Daniele Girardi & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2023, "A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences Event Studies," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-12, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-12.
  13. Pietro Alessandrini & Òscar Jordà & Fabrizio Venditti, 2023, "Decomposing the Monetary Policy Multiplier," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-14, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-14.
  14. Atsushi Inoue & Òscar Jordà & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2023, "Significance Bands for Local Projections," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-15, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-15.
  15. Òscar Jordà, 2023, "Local Projections for Applied Economics," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-16, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-16.
  16. Arindrajit Dube & Daniele Girardi & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2023, "A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31184, Apr.
  17. Hale, Galina & Krainer, John & McCarthy, Erin, 2023, "Aggregation level in stress testing models," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz, number qt863813n4, Oct.
  18. Carvalho, Carlos & Ferrero, Andrea & Mazin, Felipe & Nechio, Fernanda, 2023, "Demographics and Real Interest Rates Across Countries and Over Time," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 18616, Nov.
  19. Emile A. Marin & Sanjay R. Singh, 2023, "Low Risk Sharing with Many Assets," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 361, Dec.
  20. Katheryn N. Russ & Jay C. Shambaugh & Sanjay R. Singh, 2023, "Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-22, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-22.
  21. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2023, "Fiscal Foresight and Perverse Distortions to Firm Behavior: Anticipatory Dips and Compensating Rebounds," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10373.
  22. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2023, "Climate Change and the Geography of the U.S. Economy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2023-17, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2023-17.

2022

  1. Martin C. Hänsel & Michael D. Bauer & Moritz A. Drupp & Gernot Wagner & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2022, "Climate Policy Curves: Linking Policy Choices to Climate Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10113.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022, "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10182.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022, "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9642.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Dynamic Central Bank Communication," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 101164, Jun.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "This Time Is Different…Because We Are," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93772, Feb.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Steering Toward Sustainable Growth," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94092, Apr.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "What Will Your Letter Say?," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94161, May.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Policy Nimbleness Through Forward Guidance," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94421, Jun.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "The Singularity of the Dual Mandate," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94862, Sep.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "In Conversation: Mary C. Daly with UC Berkeley’s Fisher Center for Real Estate & Urban Economics," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94964, Oct.
  11. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Resolute and Mindful: The Path to Price Stability," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 95200, Nov.
  12. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Community Banking: Aligning Ideals with Practice," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99605, Feb.
  13. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Choose and Choose Again," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99987, May.
  14. Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2022, "Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2019-16, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2019-16.
  15. Òscar Jordà & Björn Richter & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2022, "Bank Capital before and after Financial Crises," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03936631, Dec.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022, "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2018-14, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2018-14.
  17. Hale, Galina & Leer, John & Nechio, Fernanda, 2022, "Inflationary Effects of Fiscal Support to Households and Firms," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz, number qt8qt1t3t4, Dec.
  18. Joachim Jungherr & Matthias Meier & Timo Reinelt & Immo Schott, 2022, "Corporate Debt Maturity Matters For Monetary Policy," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2022_360, Jul.
  19. Adam, Klaus & Pfäuti, Oliver & Reinelt, Timo, 2022, "Subjective Housing Price Expectations, Falling Natural Rates and the Optimal Inflation Target," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17187, Apr.
  20. Dedola, Luca & Osbat, Chiara & Reinelt, Timo, 2022, "Tax thy neighbour: Corporate tax pass-through into downstream consumer prices in a monetary union," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2681, Jul.
  21. Sushant Acharya & Keshav Dogra & Sanjay Singh, 2022, "The Financial Origins of Non-fundamental Risk," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 22-4, Jan, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2022-4.
  22. Pablo Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2022, "Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and Assessment," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 346, Jan.
  23. Antonio Fatás & Sanjay R. Singh, 2022, "Supply or Demand? Policy Makers' Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 347, Apr.
  24. Fatás, Antonio & Singh, Sanjay R., 2022, "Supply or Demand? Policy Makers’ Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 17232, Apr.
  25. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2022, "Fiscal Policies for Job Creation and Innovation: The Experiences of US States," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10158.
  26. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2022, "The Road of Federal Infrastructure Spending Passes Through the States," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2022-03, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2022-03.

2021

  1. Geert Mesters & Régis Barnichon, 2021, "Reconciling Fiscal Ceilings with Macro Stabilization," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1277, Jul.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2021, "Fiscal targeting," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1793, Jul.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2021, "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9150.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Good Intentions," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 89784, Feb.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Lessons from History, Policy for Today," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 90082, Mar.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "The Last Resort in a Changing Landscape," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 91338, Apr.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Climate Risk and the Fed: Preparing for an Uncertain Certainty," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 92795, Jun.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "From Gaps to Growth: Equity as a Path to Prosperity," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93096, Sep.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Wage Dynamics: Theory, Data, and Policy," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93097, May.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "The Agency of Humanness," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93098, May.
  11. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Policymaking in a Time of Uncertainty," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93376, Nov.
  12. Leila Bengali & Mary C. Daly & Olivia Lofton & Robert G. Valletta, 2021, "The Economic Status of People with Disabilities and their Families since the Great Recession," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2021-05, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2021-05.
  13. Shelby R. Buckman & Laura Choi & Mary C. Daly & Lily Seitelman, 2021, "The Economic Gains from Equity," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2021-11, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2021-11.
  14. Troy Davig & Andrew Foerster, 2021, "Communicating Monetary Policy Rules," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2021-12, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2021-12.
  15. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio & Tiago Tristao, 2021, "Taylor Rule Estimation by OLS," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2018-11, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2018-11.
  16. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Sanjay R. Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2021, "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 339, Feb.
  17. Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2021, "Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2019-2, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2019-02.

2020

  1. Christian Matthes & Davide Debortoli & Régis Barnichon, 2020, "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1145, Jan.
  2. Geert Mesters & Régis Barnichon, 2020, "A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Macro Policy Evaluation," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1171, Apr.
  3. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020, "Optimal policy perturbations," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1716, Apr.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020, "The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the "Fed Information Effect"," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 8151.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020, "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-25, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-25.
  6. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020, "An Alternative Explanation for the “Fed Information Effect”," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 27013, Apr.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "U.S. Monetary Policy: A Global View," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87407, Jan.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "The New Stone Soup," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87544, Feb.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "3D Public Servants: The Courage to Be Human," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87898, Apr.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "We Can’t Afford Not To," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88155, Jun.
  11. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "Ambassadors of Hope," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88492, Jun.
  12. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "College is Opportunity," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88493, Jun.
  13. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "Is the Federal Reserve Contributing to Economic Inequality?," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88987, Oct.
  14. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "2020 Lessons, 2021 Priorities," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93099, Dec.
  15. Rebucci, Alessandro & Benigno, Gianluca & Foerster, Andrew & Otrok, Christopher, 2020, "Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14545, Mar.
  16. Jason Choi & Andrew Foerster, 2020, "Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2019-3, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2019-03.
  17. Andrew Foerster & Christian Matthes, 2020, "Learning about Regime Change," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-15, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-15.
    • Andrew Foerster & Christian Matthes, 2022, "Learning About Regime Change," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 63, issue 4, pages 1829-1859, November, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12585.
  18. Òscar Jordà & Martin Kornejew & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2020, "Zombies at large? Corporate debt overhang and the macroeconomy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 042, Dec.
  19. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Singh, Sanjay, 2020, "The long-run effects of monetary policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14338, Jan.
  20. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Singh, Sanjay, 2020, "Longer-run economic consequences of pandemics," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14543, Mar.
  21. Taylor, Alan M. & Cloyne, James & Jordà , Òscar, 2020, "Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14544, Mar.
  22. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz, 2020, "Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14559, Apr.
  23. Daniel L. Greenwald & John Krainer & Pascal Paul, 2020, "The Credit Line Channel," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-26, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-26.
  24. Rhys Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Shapiro, 2020, "Online Appendix to "De-leveraging or de-risking? How banks cope with loss"," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-100.
  25. Shelby R. Buckman & Reuven Glick & Kevin J. Lansing & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau & Lily Seitelman, 2020, "Replicating and Projecting the Path of COVID-19 with a Model-Implied Reproduction Number," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-24, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-24.
  26. Matthias Meier & Timo Reinelt, 2020, "Monetary Policy,Markup Dispersion, and Aggregate TFP," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2020_161, Mar.
  27. Klaus Adam & Oliver Pfäuti & Timo Reinelt, 2020, "Falling Natural Rates, Rising Housing Volatility and the Optimal Inflation Target," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2020_235, Nov.
  28. Sanjay R. Singh & Nicolas Caramp, 2020, "Bond Premium Cyclicality and Liquidity Traps," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 336, Jan.
  29. Adam Hale Shapiro & Moritz Sudhof & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "Measuring News Sentiment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-1, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-01.
  30. Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "Weather, Social Distancing, and the Spread of COVID-19," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-23, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-23.
  31. Brigitte Roth Tran & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "The Local Economic Impact of Natural Disasters," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-34, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-34.

2019

  1. Geert Mesters & Régis Barnichon, 2019, "The Phillips Multiplier," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1070, Jan.
  2. Geert Mesters & Régis Barnichon, 2019, "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1097, May.
  3. Barnichon, Regis, 2019, "The Ins and Outs of Labor Force Participation," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 13481, Jan.
  4. Barnichon, Regis & Zylberberg, Yanos, 2019, "A Menu of Insurance Contracts for the Unemployed," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 13959, Aug.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Aeimit Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2019, "Market-based monetary policy uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7621.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Achieving Full Employment in the Modern Economy," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 191, Feb.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or is it just Hibernating?," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 192, Feb.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "The Bumpy Road to 2 Percent: Managing Inflation in the Current Economy," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 193, Mar.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Monetary Strategies in Practice," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 194, May.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Bloom Where You’re Planted," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 195, May.
  11. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Becoming Owners: The Business Case for Customer-Centered Banking," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 196, Jun.
  12. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "A New Balancing Act: Monetary Policy Tradeoffs in a Changing World," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 197, Sep.
  13. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Beyond Fairness: The Value of an Inclusive Economy," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 198, Oct.
  14. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Why Climate Change Matters to Us," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 199, Nov.
  15. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "Net-Net: Opportunity," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 200, Nov.
  16. Stephanie Aaronson & Mary C. Daly & William L. Wascher & David W. Wilcox, 2019, "Okun Revisited: Who Benefits Most from a Strong Economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-072, Sep, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.072.
  17. Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Mark Watson & Pierre-Daniel Sarte, 2019, "Sectoral and Aggregate Structural Change," 2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 532.
  18. Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2019, "Inflation Globally," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 850, Oct.
  19. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz, 2019, "The Total Risk Premium Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 13595, Mar.
  20. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar, 2019, "Riders on the Storm," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 13978, Sep.
  21. Rhys M. Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2019, "De-leveraging or De-risking? How Banks Cope with Loss," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-3, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-03.
  22. David P. Glancy & John Krainer & Robert J. Kurtzman & Joseph B. Nichols, 2019, "Intermediary Segmentation in the Commercial Real Estate Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-079, Nov, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.079.
  23. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019, "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-24, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-24.
  24. Peter Jorgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2019, "Anchored Inflation Expectations and the Slope of the Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2019-27, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2019-27.
  25. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2019, "Using Brexit to Identify the Nature of Price Rigidities," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2019-13, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2019-13.
  26. Sanjay R. Singh & Pablo Cuba-Borda, 2019, "Understanding Persistent Stagnation," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 329, Feb.
  27. Sanjay R. Singh & Vaishali Garga, 2019, "Output Hysteresis and Optimal Monetary Policy," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 331, Aug.
  28. Moretti, Enrico & Wilson, Daniel, 2019, "Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 14077, Oct.

2018

  1. Mary C. Daly, 2018, "Sustaining Growth: The Balancing Act," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 189, Oct.
  2. Mary C. Daly, 2018, "A Strong Economy—But We Can Aim Higher," Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 190, Nov.
  3. Troy Davig & Andrew T. Foerster, 2018, "Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2018-12, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2018-12.
  4. Òscar Jordà & Katharina Knoll & Dmitry Kuvshinov & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2018, "The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870-2015," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6899.
  5. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Ward, Felix, 2018, "Global financial cycles and risk premiums," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 12969, Jun.
  6. Kevin J. Lansing, 2018, "Real Business Cycles, Animal Spirits, and Stock Market Valuation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2018-8, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2018-08.
  7. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2018, "From NY to LA: A Look at the Wage Phillips Curve Using Cross-Geographical Data," 2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1290.

2017

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017, "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6571.
  2. Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Òscar, 2017, "The effects of quasi-random monetary experiments," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11801, Jan.
  3. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Richter, Björn & Schularick, Moritz, 2017, "Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11934, Mar.
  4. Lamont K. Black & John Krainer & Joseph B. Nichols, 2017, "Safe Collateral, Arm’s-Length Credit: Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Market," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-19, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-19.
  5. Lamont K. Black & John Krainer & Joseph B. Nichols, 2017, "Safe Collateral, Arm's-Length Credit : Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Mortgage Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2017-056, May, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2017.056.
  6. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2017, "Approximating Multisector New Keynesian Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-12, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-12.
  7. Daniel J. Wilson, 2017, "Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and their Asset Price Responses," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-13, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-13.

2016

  1. Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian, 2016, "Gaussian Mixture Approximations of Impulse Responses and The Non-Linear Effects of Monetary Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11374, Jul.
  2. Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian & Ziegenbein, Alexander, 2016, "Assessing the Non-Linear Effects of Credit Market Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11410, Jul.
  3. Barnichon, Regis & Brownlees, Christian, 2016, "Impulse Response Estimation By Smooth Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11726, Dec.
  4. Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes & Alexander Ziegenbein, 2016, "Theory Ahead of Measurement? Assessing the Nonlinear Effects of Financial Market Disruptions," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 16-15, Dec.
  5. David M. Byrne & John G. Fernald & Marshall B. Reinsdorf, 2016, "Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-3, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-03.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2016, "The intensive and extensive margins of real wage adjustment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-4, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-04.
  7. Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn, 2016, "The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-14, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-14.
  8. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz, 2016, "Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 11587, Oct.
  9. Moritz Schularick & Alan Taylor & Oscar Jorda, 2016, "The Great Mortgaging," 2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 185.
  10. Antonio Doblas-Madrid & Kevin J. Lansing, 2016, "Credit-fuelled bubbles," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-2, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-02.
  11. Carlos Carvalho & Andrea Ferrero & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Demographics and real interest rates: inspecting the mechanism," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-5, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-05.
  12. Carlos Carvalho & Eric Hsu & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on monetary policy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-6, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-06.
  13. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Online Appendix to "Factor Specificity and Real Rigidities," Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 15-199.
  14. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Sanjay R. Singh, 2016, "Log-linear Approximation versus an Exact Solution at the ZLB in the New Keynesian Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 22784, Oct.
  15. Gauti Eggertsson & Neil Mehrotra & Sanjay Singh & Lawrence Summers, 2016, "A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation," 2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1701.
  16. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2016, "Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from U.S. States," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5771.
  17. Daniel J. Wilson, 2016, "The Impact of Weather on Local Employment: Using Big Data on Small Places," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2016-21, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2016-21.
  18. Jordi Jofre-Monseny & Simon Loretz & Valeria Merlo & Daniel J. Wilson, 2016, "Taxation, multinationals and foreign direct investment / Tributación, multinacionales e inversión extranjera directa / Tributació, multinacionals i inversió estrangera directa," IEB Reports, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB), number ieb_report_2_2016.

2015

  1. Andrew Figura & Régis Barnichon, 2015, "Labor Market Heterogeneity and the Aggregate Matching Function," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 727, Sep.
  2. Andrew Figura & Régis Barnichon, 2015, "Declining Labor Force Attachment and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 728, Sep.
  3. Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian, 2015, "Stimulus versus Austerity: The Asymmetric Government Spending Multiplier," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10584, May.
  4. Barnichon, Regis & Garda, Paula, 2015, "Forecasting Unemployment across Countries: the Ins and Outs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10910, Nov.
  5. Regis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2015, "Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 21252, Jun.
  6. Christian Matthes & Regis Barnichon, 2015, "Measuring the Non-Linear Effects of Monetary Policy," 2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 49.
  7. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2015, "Resolving the Spanning Puzzle in Macro-Finance Term Structure Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5187.
  8. Michael D. Bauer, 2015, "Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5241.
  9. Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2015, "Robust Bond Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5541.
  10. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Nicolas Ziebarth, 2015, "Protecting working-age people with disabilities: experiences of four industrialized nations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2015-8, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2015-08.
  11. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2015, "Leveraged Bubbles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5489.
  12. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2015, "Leaning Against the Credit Cycle," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2015/04, Feb.
  13. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2015, "Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2015/11, Jun.
  14. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio, 2015, "Sticker shocks: using VAT changes to estimate upper-level elasticities of substitution," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2015-17, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2015-17.
  15. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio, 2015, "Sticker Shocks: VAT changes and the substitution across expenditure categories," 2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 697.
  16. Moretti, Enrico & Wilson, Daniel, 2015, "The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 10600, May.

2014

  1. Régis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2014, "The Effects of Unemployment Benefits on Unemployment and Labor Force Participation: Evidence from 35 Years of Benefits Extensions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2014-65, Aug.
  2. Michael D. Bauer, 2014, "Inflation Expectations and the News," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2014-9, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-09.
  3. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2014-11, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-11.
  4. Andrew T. Foerster & José Mustre-del-Río, 2014, "Search with wage posting under sticky prices," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 14-17, Dec.
  5. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4993.
  6. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Betting the House," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5147.
  7. Reint Gropp & John Krainer & Elizabeth Laderman, 2014, "Did Consumers Want Less Debt? Consumer Credit Demand Versus Supply in the Wake of the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2014-8, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-08.
  8. Kevin J. Lansing & Jun Ma, 2014, "Explaining Exchange Rate Anomalies in a Model with Taylor-Rule Fundamentals and Consistent Expectations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2014-22, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-22.
  9. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio & Fang Yao, 2014, "Monetary Policy and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sticky-Price Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2014-17, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-17.
  10. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Factor SpecifiÂ…city and Real Rigidities," 2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1241.

2013

  1. Régis Barnichon & Christopher J. Nekarda, 2013, "The ins and outs of forecasting unemployment: Using labor force flows to forecast the labor market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2013-19.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2013, "Monetary Policy Expectations at the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-18, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-18.
  3. Glenn Rudebusch & Michael Bauer, 2013, "The Shadow Rate, Taylor Rules, and Monetary Policy Lift-off," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 691.
  4. Christopher Candelaria & Mary C. Daly & Galina Hale, 2013, "Persistence of Regional Inequality in China," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-06, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-06.
  5. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2013, "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidities Bend the Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-08, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-08.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson, 2013, "Inequality and Mortality: New Evidence from U.S. County Panel Data," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-13, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-13.
  7. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2013, "Shocks and Adjustments," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-32, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-32.
  8. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Duncan McVicar & Roger Wilkins, 2013, "Disability Benefit Growth and Disability Reform in the U.S.: Lessons from Other OECD Nations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-40, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-40.
  9. Zha, Tao & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & , & Foerster, Andrew, 2013, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9464, May.
  10. Andrew T. Foerster, 2013, "Monetary policy regime switches and macroeconomic dynamic," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 13-04.
  11. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013, "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4431.
  12. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar, 2013, "The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9646, Sep.
  13. Òscar Jordà, 2013, "Assessing the Historical Role of Credit: Business Cycles, Financial Crises, and the Legacy of Charles S. Peirce," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-19, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-19.
  14. Joshua D. Angrist & Òscar Jordà & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2013, "Semiparametric Estimates of Monetary Policy Effects: String Theory Revisited," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-24, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-24.
  15. Oscar Jorda & John Fernald & Fernanda Nechio & Mary Daly, 2013, "Okun’s Macroscope: Changes in the Cyclical Behavior of Productivity and the Comovement between Output and Unemployment," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1155.
  16. Moritz Schularick & Alan Taylor & Oscar Jorda, 2013, "When Credit Bites Back," 2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 71.
  17. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing, 2013, "House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2013/05, Feb.
  18. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2013, "Factor Specificity and Real Rigidities," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-31, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-31.
  19. Moretti, Enrico & Wilson, Daniel, 2013, "State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 9594, Aug.
  20. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2013, "Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2013-16, DOI: 10.24148/wp2013-16.

2012

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Christopher J. Neely, 2012, "International channels of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-12.
  2. Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan Taylor, 2012, "When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles and Crises," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 172, Oct.
  3. Òscar Jordà & Malte Knuppel & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012, "Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-05.
  4. William Hedberg & John Krainer, 2012, "Housing supply and foreclosures," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-20.
  5. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2012, "House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: Implications for monetary and macroprudential policy," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2012/08, Aug.
  6. Kevin J. Lansing & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2012, "Top incomes, rising inequality, and welfare," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2012/10, Oct.
  7. Kevin J. Lansing, 2012, "Speculative Growth, Overreaction, and the Welfare Cost of Technology-Driven Bubbles," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2008-08, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2008-08.
  8. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2012, "Do people undestand monetary policy?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-01.
  9. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2012, "Real exchange rate dynamics in sticky-price models with capital," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-08.
  10. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "Roads to prosperity or bridges to nowhere? theory and evidence on the impact of public infrastructure investment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-04.
  11. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "Should transportation spending be included in a stimulus program? a review of the literature," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2012-15.

2011

  1. Régis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2011, "What drives matching efficiency? a tale of composition and dispersion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2011-10.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2011, "Unbiased estimate of dynamic term structure models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-12.
  3. Michael D. Bauer, 2011, "Nominal interest rates and the news," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-20.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2011, "The signaling channel for Federal Reserve bond purchases," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-21.
  5. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Robert G. Valletta, 2011, "The recent evolution of the natural rate of unemployment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-05.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Theodore S. Wiles, 2011, "Aggregate real wages: macro fluctuations and micro drivers," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-23.
  7. Andrew T. Foerster, 2011, "Financial crises, unconventional monetary policy exit strategies, and agents' expectations," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 11-04.
  8. Ching Wai Chiu & Bjorn Eraker & Andrew T. Foerster & Tae Bong Kim & Hernan D. Seoane, 2011, "Estimating VAR's sampled at mixed or irregular spaced frequencies : a Bayesian approach," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 11-11.
  9. Travis J. Berge & Òscar Jordà, 2011, "A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain 1850-2011," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-28.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2011, "Performance Evaluation of Zero Net-Investment Strategies," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 17150, Jun.
  11. John Krainer & James A. Wilcox, 2011, "Regime shifts in real estate markets: Time-varying effects of the U.S. and Japanese economies on house prices in Hawaii," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-24.
  12. John Krainer & Elizabeth Laderman, 2011, "Prepayment and delinquency in the mortgage crisis period," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-25.
  13. Kevin J. Lansing, 2011, "Asset pricing with concentrated ownership of capital," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2011/18, Dec.
  14. Zinzhu Chen & Prakash Kannan & Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2011, "New evidence on cyclical and structural sources of unemployment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-17.
  15. Milton H. Marquis & Wuttipan Tantivong & Bharat Trehan, 2011, "The wage premium puzzle and the quality of human capital," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2011-06.
  16. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2011, "Tax Competition Among U.S. States: Racing to the Bottom or Riding on a Seesaw?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3535.

2010

  1. Régis Barnichon & Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2010, "Which industries are shifting the Beveridge curve?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-32.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2010, "What drives movements in the unemployment rate? a decomposition of the Beveridge curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2010-48.
  3. Christopher Candelaria & Mary C. Daly & Galina Hale, 2010, "Beyond Kuznets: Persistent Regional Inequality in China," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-07, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-07.
  4. Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Oswald & Daniel J. Wilson & Stephen Wu, 2010, "The happiness - suicide paradox," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-30.
  5. Oscar Jorda, 2010, "Carry Trade," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 196, Nov.
  6. Oscar Jorda & Hsieh Fushing & Shu-Chun Chen & Travis J. Berge, 2010, "A Chronology of International Business Cycles Through Non-parametric Decoding," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 216, Nov.
  7. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Knüppel, Malte & Jordà , Òscar, 2010, "Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7797, Apr.
  8. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar & Chong, Yanping, 2010, "The Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis: Real Exchange Rates and their Long-Run Equilibrium," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7902, Jun.
  9. Travis J. Berge & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2010, "Currency Carry Trades," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16491, Oct.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2010, "Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16567, Dec.
  11. Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy, 2010, "Risk aversion and stock price volatility," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-24.
  12. Kevin J. Lansing, 2010, "Some new variance bounds for asset prices: a comment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-29.
  13. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2010, "Aggregation and the PPP puzzle in a sticky-price model," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-06.
  14. Fernanda Nechio, 2010, "Foreign stock holdings: the role of information," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-26.
  15. Bharat Trehan, 2010, "Survey Measures of Expected Inflation and the Inflation Process," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-10, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-10.
  16. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "Can Lower Tax Rates be Bought? Business Rent-Seeking and Tax Competition among U.S. States," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3121.
  17. Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "Fiscal spending multipliers: evidence from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-17.
  18. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "Job creation tax credits and job growth: whether, when, and where?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2010-25.

2009

  1. Régis Barnichon, 2009, "Demand-driven job separation: reconciling search models with the ins and outs of unemployment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2009-24.
  2. Régis Barnichon, 2009, "Vacancy posting, job separation and unemployment fluctuations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2009-35.
  3. Barnichon, Regis, 2009, "Building a composite Help-Wanted Index over 1951-2009," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19541, Dec.
  4. Oscar Jorda & Travis Berge, 2009, "The Classification of Economic Activity into Expansions and Recessions," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 308, Nov.
  5. Taylor, Alan M. & Jordà , Òscar, 2009, "The Carry Trade and Fundamentals: Nothing to Fear But FEER Itself," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 7568, Nov.
  6. John Krainer & Stephen F. LeRoy & Munpyung O, 2009, "Mortgage Default and Mortgage Valuation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-20, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-20.
  7. John Krainer & Elizabeth Laderman, 2009, "Mortgage Loan Securitization and Relative Loan Performance," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-22, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-22.
  8. Stephen LeRoy & Munpyung O & John Krainer, 2009, "Subprime Mortgages," 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1077.
  9. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 2009, "Capital-Labor Substitution and Equilibrium Indeterminacy," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2008-06, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2008-06.
  10. Milton H. Marquis & Wuttipan Tantivong & Bharat Trehan, 2009, "The Role of Capital Service-Life in a Model with Heterogenous Labor and Vintage Capital," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-24, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-24.
  11. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2009, "A State Level Database for the Manufacturing Sector: Construction and Sources," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2009-21, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2009-21.

2008

  1. Régis Barnichon, 2008, "International Reserves and Self-Insurance against External Shocks," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2008/149, Jun.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson, 2008, "Happiness, Unhappiness, and Suicide: An Empirical Assessment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2008-19, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2008-19.
  3. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Jeff Larrimore & Joyce Kwok, 2008, "The Transformation in Who is Expected to Work in the United States and How it Changed the Lives of Single Mothers and People with Disabilities," Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center, number wp187, Sep.
  4. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Philip R. de Jong, 2008, "Curing the Dutch Disease: Lessons for United States Disability Policy," Working Papers, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center, number wp188, Sep.
  5. Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2008, "Sectoral vs. aggregate shocks : a structural factor analysis of industrial production," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 08-07.
  6. Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2008, "Path Forecast Evaluation," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 131, Jul.
  7. Kevin J. Lansing, 2008, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-15, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2006-15.
  8. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 2008, "Capital-Labor Substitution, Equilibrium Indeterminacy, and the Cyclical Behavior of Labor Income," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 200804, Apr, revised Apr 2008.

2007

  1. Régis Barnichon, 2007, "Productivity, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Fluctuations," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0819, Aug.
  2. Régis Barnichon, 2007, "The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0823, Aug.
  3. Mr. Shanaka J Peiris & Régis Barnichon, 2007, "Sources of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2007/032, Feb.
  4. Mary C. Daly & Norman J. Johnson & Daniel J. Wilson, 2007, "Relative Status and Well-Being: Evidence from U.S. Suicide Deaths," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-12, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-12.
  5. Òscar Jordà & Sharon Kozicki, 2007, "Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-56, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-56.
  6. Oscar Jorda, 2007, "Joint Inference and Counterfactual experimentation for Impulse Response Functions by Local Projections," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 107, Feb.
  7. Oscar Jorda, 2007, "Inference for Impulse Responses," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 201, Jun.
  8. Mark Doms & John Krainer, 2007, "Innovations in Mortgage Markets and Increased Spending on Housing," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-05, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-05.
  9. Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2007, "Regional Economic Conditions and the Variability of Rates of Return in Commercial Banking," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-21, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-21.
  10. Mark Doms & Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2007, "Subprime Mortgage Delinquency Rates," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-33, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-33.
  11. Kevin J. Lansing, 2007, "Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles without Drift," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-10, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-10.
  12. Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan, 2007, "Productivity Shocks in a Model with Vintage Capital and Heterogeneous Labor," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2007-06, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2007-06.
  13. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2007, "State Investment Tax Incentives: A Zero-Sum Game?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1895.
  14. Daniel J. Wilson, 2007, "Beggar Thy Neighbor? The In-State, Out-of-State, and Aggregate Effects of R&D Tax Credits," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2005-08, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2005-08.

2006

  1. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson, 2006, "Keeping Up with the Joneses and Staying Ahead of the Smiths: Evidence from Suicide Data," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-12, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2006-12.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2006, "Cross-National Trends in Earnings Instability and Earnings Inequality," 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 746.
  3. Oscar Jorda & Sharon Kozicki, 2006, "Projection Minimum Distance: An Estimator for Dynamic Macroeconomic Models," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 154, Aug.
  4. Patrick Bajari & Han Hong & John Krainer & Denis Nekipelov, 2006, "Estimating Static Models of Strategic Interaction," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12013, Feb.
  5. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Maintenance Expenditures and Indeterminacy under Increasing Returns to Scale," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2005-10, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2005-10.
  6. Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan, 2006, "Relative Productivity Growth and the Secular “Decline” of U.S. Manufacturing," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2005-18, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2005-18.
  7. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2006, "State Investment Tax Incentives: What Are the Facts?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-49, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2006-49.

2005

  1. John Krainer & Mark M. Spiegel & Nobuyoshi Yamori, 2005, "Asset Price Declines and Real Estate Market Illiquidity: Evidence from Japanese Land Values," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-16, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2004-16.
  2. Kevin J. Lansing, 2005, "Lock-in of Extrapolative Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-06, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-06.
  3. Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan, 2005, "On Using Relative Prices to Measure Capital Specific Technological Progress," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2005-02, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2005-02.
  4. Bharat Trehan & Milton Marquis, 2005, "Accounting for the Secular "Decline" of U.S. Manufacturing," 2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 455.
  5. Randy Becker & John Haltiwanger & Ron Jarmin & Shawn Klimek & Dan Wilson, 2005, "Micro and Macro Data Integration: The Case of Capital," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 05-02, May.

2004

  1. Kenneth A. Couch & Mary C. Daly, 2004, "The Improving Relative Status of Black Men," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-02, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2004-02.
  2. Bajari, Patrick & Benkard, C. Lanier & Krainer, John, 2004, "House Prices and Consumer Welfare," Research Papers, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business, number 1840, Jan.
  3. Milton H. Marquis & John Krainer, 2004, "Mortgages as Recursive Contracts," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings, Econometric Society, number 434, Aug.
  4. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2004, "Using Securities Market Information for Bank Supervisory Monitoring," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-05, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2004-05.
  5. Gautam Gowrisankaran & John Krainer, 2004, "The Welfare Consequences of ATM Surcharges: Evidence from a Structural Entry Model," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2005-01, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2005-01.
  6. Patrick Bajari & John Krainer, 2004, "An Empirical Model of Stock Analysts' Recommendations: Market Fundamentals, Conflicts of Interest, and Peer Effects," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 10665, Aug.
  7. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 2004, "Tax reform with useful public expenditures," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 98-09.
  8. Bharat Trehan & Tao Wu, 2004, "Time-Varying Equilibrium Real Rates and Monetary Policy Analysis," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-10, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2004-10.
  9. Daniel Wilson, 2004, "Investment Behavior of U.S. Firms Over Heterogenous Capital Goods: A Snapshot," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 04-19, Dec.
  10. Daniel Wilson, 2004, "IT and Beyond: The Contribution of Heterogenous Capital to Productivity," Working Papers, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, number 04-20, Dec.

2003

  1. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2003, "Left Behind: SSI in the Era of Welfare Reform," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2003-12, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2003-12.
  2. Mary C. Daly & John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "Does Regional Economic Performance Affect Bank Conditions? New Analysis of an Old Question," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2004-01, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2004-01.
  3. Oscar Jorda & James D. Hamilton, 2003, "A model for the federal funds rate target," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 176, Jan.
  4. Oscar Jorda & Selva Demiralp, 2003, "The Pavlovian Response of Term Rates to Fed Announcements," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 192, Jan.
  5. Oscar Jorda & Alvaro Escribano, 2003, "Improved Testing And Specification Of Smooth Transition Regression Models," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 210, Jan.
  6. Oscar Jorda, 2003, "Random-Time Aggregation In Partial Ajustment Models," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 212, Jan.
  7. Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2003, "Stochastic Processes Subject To Time Scale Transformations: An Application To High-Frequency Fx Data," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 273, Jan.
  8. Kevin Salyer & Oscar Jorda, 2003, "The Response of Term Rates to Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 274, Jan.
  9. Oscar Jorda & Holly Liu & Jeffrey Williams & Selva Demiralp, 2003, "The Announcement Effect: Evidence from Open Market Desk Data," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 282, Jan.
  10. Oscar Jorda, 2003, "Model-Free Impulse Responses," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 305, Aug.
  11. Oscar Jorda & Paul Bergin, 2003, "Monetary Policy Coordination: A New Empirical Approach," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 313, Jan.
  12. Oscar Jorda & Holly Liu & Jeffrey Williams, 2003, "Non-Institutional Market Making Behavior: The Dalian Futures Exchange," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 41, Jan.
  13. Oscar Jorda & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2003, "Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 65, Feb.
  14. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "Forecasting supervisory ratings using securities market information," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number 847.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing & Bharat Trehan, 2003, "Forward-Looking Behavior and the Optimality of the Taylor Rule," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-03, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-03.
  16. Milton H. Marquis & Bharat Trehan, 2003, "Some Implications of Using Prices to Measure Productivity in a Two-Sector Growth Model," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-10, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-10.
  17. Francesco Caselli & Daniel J. Wilson, 2003, "Importing Technology," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2003-04, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2003-04.

2002

  1. Régis Barnichon & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2002, "Phillips Meets Beveridge," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2024-22, Jul, DOI: 10.24148/wp2024-22.
  2. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis, 2002, "Self-Reported Work Limitation Data: What They Can and Cannot Tell Us," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2002-22, May, DOI: 10.24148/wp2002-22.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville, 2002, "Employment Declines Among People with Disabilities: Population Movements, Isolated Experience, or Broad Policy Concern?," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2002-24, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2002-24.
  4. Sakellaris, Plutarchos & Wilson, Daniel J., 2002, "Quantifying embodied technological change," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 158, Jul.

2001

  1. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis, 2001, "Economic Outcomes of Working-Age People with Disabilities over the Business Cycle: An Examination of the 1980s and 1990s," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-07, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-07.
  2. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville & Nigar Nargis, 2001, "The Employment of Working-Age People with Disabilities in the 1980s and the 1990s: What Current Data Can and Cannot Tell Us," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-20, Nov, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-20.
  3. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2001, "United States Disability Policy in a Changing Environment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2002-21, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2002-21.
  4. Liu, Holly & Williams, Jeffrey C. & Jorda, Oscar, 2001, "Market-Making Behavior In Futures Markets," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management, number 18961, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.18961.
  5. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2001, "Incorporating Equity Market Information into Supervisory Monitoring Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-14, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-14.
  6. Daniel J. Wilson, 2001, "Is Embodied Technology the Result of Upstream R&D? Industry-Level Evidence," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-17, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-17.
  7. Daniel J. Wilson, 2001, "Embodying Embodiment in a Structural, Macroeconomic Input-Output Model," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-18, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-18.
  8. Plutarchos Sakellaris & Daniel J. Wilson, 2001, "The production-side approach to estimating embodied technological change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2001-20.

2000

  1. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2000, "Changing Family Behavior and the U.S. Income Distribution," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society, number 1640, Aug.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2000, "Inequality and Poverty in the United States: The Effects of Rising Male Wage Dispersion and Changing Family Behavior," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2000-06, Jun, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-06.
  3. Kenneth A. Couch & Mary C. Daly, 2000, "Black-White Wage Inequality in the 1990s: A Decade of Progress," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2000-07, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-07.
  4. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2000, "The Supplemental Security Income Program," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2001-06, Sep, DOI: 10.24148/wp2001-06.
  5. Oscar Jorda & Kevin Hoover, 2000, "Measuring Systematic Monetary Policy," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 203, Dec.
  6. Oscar Jorda & Paul Bergin, 2000, "Measuring Monetary Policy Interdependence," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 72, Dec.
  7. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 2000, "Growth Effects of Shifting from a Progressive Tax System to a Flat Tax," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2000-15, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-15.
  8. Kevin J. Lansing, 2000, "Learning About a Shift in Trend Output: Implications for Monetary Policy and Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2000-16, Dec, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-16.
  9. Ramon Moreno & Bharat Trehan, 2000, "Common Shocks and Currency Crises," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2000-05, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2000-05.

1999

  1. Mary C. Daly & Greg J. Duncan & Peggy McDonough & David Williams, 1999, "Optimal indicators of socioeconomic status for health research," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99-03.
  2. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1999, "Fiscal policy and productivity growth in the OECD," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99-02.
  3. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1999, "Fiscal policy, increasing returns, and endogenous fluctuations," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99-08.

1998

  1. Oscar Jorda, 1998, "Decision Rules for Selecting between Exponential and Logistic STAR," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 207, Jan.
  2. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1998, "Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 98-04.
  3. Kevin J. Lansing, 1998, "Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 99-01.

1997

  1. Mary C. Daly & Greg J. Duncan, 1997, "Earnings mobility and instability, 1969-1995," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97-06.
  2. Escribano, Álvaro & Jordá, Óscar, 1997, "Testing nonlinearity: decision rules for selecting between logistic and exponential star models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, number 6216, Sep.
  3. John Krainer & Stephen F. LeRoy, 1997, "Returns on illiquid assets: are they fair games?," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97-05.
  4. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1997, "Indeterminacy and stabilization policy," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9708, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199708.
  5. Chan Guk Huh & Kevin J. Lansing, 1997, "Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9713, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199713.
  6. Ramon Moreno & Bharat Trehan, 1997, "Location and the growth of nations," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 97-02.

1996

  1. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1996, "Welfare, stabilization, or growth: a comparison of different fiscal objectives," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9614, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199614.
  2. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1996, "Growth effects of a flat tax," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9615, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199615.

1995

  1. Mary C. Daly & John Bound, 1995, "Worker Adaptation and Employer Accommodation Following the Onset of a Health Impairment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5169, Jul.
  2. David E. Altig & Charles T. Carlstrom & Kevin J. Lansing, 1995, "Computable general-equilibrium models and monetary policy advice," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9503.
  3. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1995, "Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9509.
  4. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1995, "Optimal taxation of capital income in a growth model with monopoly profits," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9510.

1994

  1. Kevin J. Lansing, 1994, "Optimal fiscal policy when public capital is productive: a business- cycle perspective," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9406.
  2. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1994, "The welfare effects of tax simplification: a general-equilibrium analysis," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9409.
  3. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1994, "Tax structure, welfare, and the stability of equilibrium in a model of dynamic optimal fiscal policy," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9410.
  4. Robert Ingenito & Bharat Trehan, 1994, "Money, income, prices and interest rates: a comment," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 94-14.

1993

  1. Kevin J. Lansing, 1993, "Dynamic optimal fiscal and monetary policy in a business cycle model with income redistribution," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9308.
  2. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1993, "The cyclical behavior of prices: interpreting the evidence," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 93-14.

1992

  1. Chan Guk Huh & Bharat Trehan, 1992, "Modelling the time series behavior of the aggregate wage rate," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 92-04.

1988

  1. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1988, "Seigniorage and tax smoothing in the United States: 1914-1986," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88-05.
  2. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1988, "Testing intertemporal budget constraints: theory and applications to U. S. federal budget and current account deficits," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88-03.
  3. John P. Judd & Brian Motley & Bharat Trehan, 1988, "The demand for money: where do we stand?," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 88-02.

1987

  1. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1987, "On the limitations of government borrowing: a framework for empirical testing: comment," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87-07.
  2. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1987, "Velocity in the 1980s: an analysis of interactions among monetary components," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87-05.
  3. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1987, "Common trends, the government's budget constraint, and revenue smoothing," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87-11.

1986

  1. John P. Judd & Brian Motley & Bharat Trehan, 1986, "Financial change and the design of monetary policy: lessons from the U. S. experience," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 87-01.

1985

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1985, "Consistent tests of the rational expectations-monetary neutrality hypothesis," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 85-01.

1983

  1. Robert G. King & Bharat Trehan, 1983, "The Implications of an Endogenous Money Supply for Monetary Neutrality," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 1175, Aug.

Journal articles

2026

  1. Régis Barnichon & Aayush Singh, 2026, "What Can History Tell Us About Tariff Shocks?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 01, pages 1-5, January.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Aayush Singh, 2026, "Calibrating Monetary Policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 17, pages 1-5, June.
  3. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2026, "Policy evaluation with sufficient macro statistics: a primer," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 29, issue 1, pages 27-68.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Wesley Wasserburger, 2026, "Fed Communications and Inflation Expectations," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 08, pages 1-6, March.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2026, "The AI Moment? Possibilities, Productivity, and Policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 06, pages 1-8, February.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2026, "Regionalism at the Federal Reserve: Many Voices, One Purpose," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 10, pages 1-5, April.
  7. Hamza Abdelrahman & Andrew Foerster, 2026, "Have We Entered an Era of High Productivity Growth?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 14, pages 1-5, May.
  8. Naomi Halbersleben & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2026, "The Effects of Tariffs on the Components of Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 07, pages 1-6, March.
  9. Kevin J. Lansing & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2026, "Using Inflation Shock Patterns to Help Forecast Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 18, pages 1-6, July.
  10. Alexander Cline & Christian Garciga & Ina Hajdini & Timo Reinelt & Robert W. Rich, 2026, "The (Re)Anchoring of US Firms’ Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, volume 2026, issue 11, pages 1-7, May, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-ec-202611.
  11. Ina Hajdini & Simar Malhotra & Timo Reinelt, 2026, "Firms’ Inflation Expectations During the Pandemic-Era Surge," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 19, pages 1-6, July.
  12. Stephie Fried & Tobin Graf & Simar Malhotra & Sanjay R. Singh, 2026, "What Do Financial Officers Predict for Price Growth?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 11, pages 1-6, May.
  13. Daniel J. Wilson & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "Unauthorized Immigration Effects on Local Labor Markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2026, issue 05, pages 1-5, February.

2025

  1. Bauer, Michael D. & Offner, Eric A. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2025, "Green stocks and monetary policy shocks: Evidence from Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 177, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105044.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2025, "Current Perceptions About Monetary Policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 05, pages 1-6, February.
  3. Martin C. Hänsel & Michael D. Bauer & Moritz A. Drupp & Gernot Wagner & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2025, "Climate policy curves highlight key mitigation choices," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 3, pages 504-510, March, DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2024.2392744.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Dynamic Central Bank Communication," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 15, pages 1-6, June.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Steady Through Change: In Policy, Business, and Life," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 22, pages 1-4, September.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Modern Central Banking: Monetary Policy Implementation and Communication," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 27, pages 1-6, November.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2025, "Ben Bernanke: Solving a Crisis, Changing the Fed," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 02, pages 1-7, January.
  8. Sabrina J. Considine & Andrew Foerster, 2025, "The Changing Disparity in Prices Across States," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 08, pages 1-6, April.
  9. Gianluca Benigno & Andrew Foerster & Christopher Otrok & Alessandro Rebucci, 2025, "Estimating macroeconomic models of financial crises: An endogenous regime‐switching approach," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-47, January, DOI: 10.3982/QE2038.
  10. Rohit Garimella & Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh, 2025, "Tracking Labor Market Stress," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 19, pages 1-6, August.
  11. Naomi Halbersleben & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2025, "The Economic Effects of Tariffs," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 29, pages 1-6, November.
  12. Daniel L. Greenwald & John Krainer & Pascal Paul, 2025, "The Credit Line Channel," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 80, issue 6, pages 3137-3183, December, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13486.
  13. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025, "A simple measure of anchoring for short-run expected inflation in FIRE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 246, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.112050.
  14. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025, "Anchored inflation expectations and the slope of the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 178, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105073.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing, 2025, "Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 14, pages 1-6, June.
  16. Jordá, Óscar & Nechio, Fernanda & Pappa, Evi, 2025, "Introduction to the special issue on climate risks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 171, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104895.
  17. Hale, Galina & Leer, John & Nechio, Fernanda, 2025, "Fiscal policy design and inflation: The COVID-19 pandemic experience," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 150, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103210.
  18. Carlos Carvalho & Andrea Ferrero & Felipe Mazin & Fernanda Nechio, 2025, "Underlying Trends in the U.S. Neutral Interest Rate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 10, pages 1-6, April.
  19. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio, 2025, "The Effects of Tariffs on Inflation and Production Costs," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2025, issue 12, pages 1-6, May.
  20. Ursel Baumann & Annalisa Ferrando & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Timo Reinelt, 2025, "Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored during a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area Firms," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 115, pages 266-270, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251019.
  21. Adam, Klaus & Pfäuti, Oliver & Reinelt, Timo, 2025, "Subjective housing price expectations, falling natural rates, and the optimal inflation target," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 149, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103647.
  22. Brigitte Roth Tran & Daniel J. Wilson, 2025, "The Local Economic Impact of Natural Disasters," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, volume 12, issue 6, pages 1667-1704, DOI: 10.1086/735533.

2024

  1. Barnichon, Régis & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2024, "Phillips meets Beveridge," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 148, issue S, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103660.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2024, "How Much Has the Cooling Economy Reduced Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 30, pages 1-5, November.
  3. Michael Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2024, "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 79, issue 1, pages 173-217, February, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.13276.
  4. Zoë Arnaut-Hull & Michael D. Bauer, 2024, "Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 07, pages 1-6, March.
  5. Michael D Bauer & Carolin E Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2024, "Perceptions About Monetary Policy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 139, issue 4, pages 2227-2278.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Price Stability Built to Last," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 01, pages 1-6, February.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Getting It Right: Meeting Uncertainty with Conditionality," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 17, pages 1-6, July.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2024, "Landing Softly Is Just the Beginning," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 28, pages 1-6, October.
  9. Andrew Foerster & Zinnia Martinez, 2024, "Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 16, pages 1-5, June.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Aren S. Yalcin, 2024, "When Is Shelter Services Inflation Coming Down?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 23, September.
  11. River Bell & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio & Aditi Poduri & Stephanie Stewart, 2024, "International Influences on U.S. Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 27, pages 1-6, October.
  12. Lansing, Kevin J., 2024, "Replicating business cycles and asset returns with sentiment and low risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 167, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104921.
  13. Hamza Abdelrahman & Kevin J. Lansing & Luiz E. Oliveira, 2024, "Examining the Performance of FOMC Inflation Forecasts," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 29, pages 1-6, November.
  14. Leila Bengali & Fernanda Nechio & Stephanie Stewart, 2024, "Wildfires and Real Estate Values in California," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 22, pages 1-5, August.
  15. Matthias Meier & Timo Reinelt, 2024, "Monetary Policy, Markup Dispersion, and Aggregate TFP," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 4, pages 1012-1027, July, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01226.
  16. Pablo Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024, "Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and Assessment," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 3, pages 389-416, July, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210453.
  17. Fatás, Antonio & Singh, Sanjay R., 2024, "Supply or demand? Policy makers’ confusion in the presence of hysteresis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 161, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104617.
  18. Jean-Paul L’Huillier & Sanjay R Singh & Donghoon Yoo, 2024, "Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 91, issue 5, pages 3013-3046.
  19. Katheryn N. Russ & Jay C. Shambaugh & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024, "Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 72, issue 1, pages 152-195, March, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00223-w.
  20. Brigid C. Meisenbacher & Daniel J. Wilson, 2024, "The Long-Run Fiscal Outlook in the United States," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2024, issue 04, pages 1-5, February.
  21. Velma K Lopez & Estee Y Cramer & Robert Pagano & John M Drake & Eamon B O’Dea & Madeline Adee & Turgay Ayer & Jagpreet Chhatwal & Ozden O Dalgic & Mary A Ladd & Benjamin P Linas & Peter P Mueller & Ja, 2024, "Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, volume 20, issue 5, pages 1-25, May, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200.

2023

  1. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2023, "A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Macro Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 113, issue 11, pages 2809-2845, November, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20220581.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2023, "An Alternative Explanation for the "Fed Information Effect"," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 113, issue 3, pages 664-700, March, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20201220.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Ben S. Bernanke & Eric Milstein, 2023, "Risk Appetite and the Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 37, issue 1, pages 77-100, Winter, DOI: 10.1257/jep.37.1.77.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2023, "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 105, issue 5, pages 1255-1270, September, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01109.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2023, "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 37, issue 1, pages 87-155, DOI: 10.1086/723574.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 08, pages 1-8, March.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "The Choice to See," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 12, pages 1-4, May.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2023, "What the Moment Demands," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 30, pages 1-6, November.
  9. Davig, Troy & Foerster, Andrew, 2023, "Communicating Monetary Policy Rules," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104290.
  10. Troy Davig & Andrew Foerster, 2023, "Evaluating Monetary Policy with Inflation Bands and Horizons," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 05, pages 1-6, February.
  11. Andrew Foerster, 2023, "The Evolution of Disagreement in the Dot Plot," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 21, pages 1-6, August.
  12. Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda, 2023, "Inflation and wage growth since the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104474.
  13. Òscar Jordà & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2023, "Does Monetary Policy Have Long-Run Effects?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 23, pages 1-6, September.
  14. Zoë Arnaut-Hull & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2023, "The Bell Curve of Global CO2 Emission Intensity," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 27, pages 1-6, October.
  15. Erin E. Crust & Kevin J. Lansing & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, 2023, "Reducing Inflation along a Nonlinear Phillips Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 17, pages 1-5, July.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing & Federico C. Nucera, 2023, "Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve, and Stock Prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 24, pages 1-6, September.
  17. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2023, "Challenges to Disinflation: The Brazilian Experience," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 54, issue 1 (Spring, pages 217-241.
  18. Nicolas Caramp & Sanjay R Singh, 2023, "Bond Premium Cyclicality and Liquidity Traps," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 90, issue 6, pages 2822-2879.
  19. Enrico Moretti & Daniel J. Wilson, 2023, "Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, volume 15, issue 2, pages 424-466, May, DOI: 10.1257/pol.20200685.
  20. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson & Cindy Zhao, 2023, "Will a Cooler Labor Market Slow Supercore Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 18, pages 1-6, July.
  21. Brigid C. Meisenbacher & Daniel J. Wilson, 2023, "Recent and Near-Term Fiscal Policy: Headwind or Tailwind?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2023, issue 09, pages 1-5, November.
  22. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2023, "Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from US States," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, volume 76, issue 3, pages 481-523, DOI: 10.1086/724973.

2022

  1. Régis Barnichon & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022, "What’s the Best Measure of Economic Slack?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 04, pages 1-05, February.
  2. Régis Barnichon, 2022, "What If? Monetary Policy in Hindsight," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 28, pages 1-6, October.
  3. Regis Barnichon & Yanos Zylberberg, 2022, "A Menu of Insurance Contracts for the Unemployed," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 89, issue 1, pages 118-141.
  4. Regis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2022, "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It’s in the Sign," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 89, issue 1, pages 87-117.
  5. Regis Barnichon & Christian Matthes & Alexander Ziegenbein, 2022, "Are the Effects of Financial Market Disruptions Big or Small?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 104, issue 3, pages 557-570, May, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00972.
  6. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2022, "Current Recession Risk According to the Yield Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 11, pages 1-05, May.
  7. Michael D Bauer & Aeimit Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2022, "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 132, issue 644, pages 1290-1308.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "This Time Is Different…Because We Are," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 05, pages 1-08, February.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Steering Toward Sustainable Growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 10, pages 1-6, April.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Policy Nimbleness Through Forward Guidance," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 17, pages 1-07, June.
  11. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "The Singularity of the Dual Mandate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 27, pages 1-8, October.
  12. Mary C. Daly, 2022, "Resolute and Mindful: The Path to Price Stability," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 23, pages 1-6, November.
  13. Jason Choi & Taeyoung Doh & Andrew Foerster & Zinnia Martinez, 2022, "Monetary Policy Stance Is Tighter than Federal Funds Rate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 30, pages 1-5, November.
  14. Taeyoung Doh & Andrew Foerster, 2022, "Have Lags in Monetary Policy Transmission Shortened?," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue December , pages 1-3, December.
  15. Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2022, "Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 130, issue 12, pages 3286-3333, DOI: 10.1086/720763.
  16. Andrew Foerster & Christian Matthes, 2022, "Learning About Regime Change," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 63, issue 4, pages 1829-1859, November, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12585.
  17. Andrew T. Foerster & José Mustre‐Del‐Río, 2022, "Search with Wage Posting under Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 54, issue 2-3, pages 599-626, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12824.
  18. Òscar Jordà & Celeste Liu & Fernanda Nechio & Fabián Rivera-Reyes, 2022, "Why Is U.S. Inflation Higher than in Other Countries?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 07, pages 1-06, March.
  19. Òscar Jordà & Celeste Liu & Fernanda Nechio & Fabián Rivera-Reyes, 2022, "Wage Growth When Inflation Is High," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 25, pages 1-6, September.
  20. Òscar Jordà & Martin Kornejew & Moritz Schularick & Alan M Taylor, 2022, "Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 35, issue 10, pages 4561-4586.
  21. Oscar Jorda & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2022, "Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 104, issue 1, pages 166-175, March, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01042.
  22. David Glancy & John R. Krainer & Robert J. Kurtzman & Joseph B. Nichols, 2022, "Intermediary Segmentation in the Commercial Real Estate Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 54, issue 7, pages 2029-2080, October, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12889.
  23. Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022, "Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 197, issue C, pages 50-72, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.01.028.
  24. Kevin J. Lansing & Luiz E. Oliveira & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2022, "Will Rising Rents Push Up Future Inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 03, pages 1-05, February.
  25. Kevin J. Lansing, 2022, "Untangling Persistent versus Transitory Shocks to Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 13, pages 1-05, May.
  26. Dedola, Luca & Osbat, Chiara & Reinelt, Timo, 2022, "Tax thy neighbour: local corporate taxes and consumer prices across German regions," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 95.
  27. Shapiro, Adam Hale & Sudhof, Moritz & Wilson, Daniel J., 2022, "Measuring news sentiment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 228, issue 2, pages 221-243, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.053.
  28. Augustus Kmetz & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2022, "Can the News Drive Inflation Expectations?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2022, issue 31, pages 1-6, November.
  29. Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J Wilson, 2022, "Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 89, issue 5, pages 2768-2805.

2021

  1. Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021, "The Phillips multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 689-705, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.04.005.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2021, "Can Government Spending Help to Escape Recessions?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 02, pages 01-05, February.
  3. Régis Barnichon & Luiz E. Oliveira & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2021, "Is the American Rescue Plan Taking Us Back to the ’60s?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 27, pages 1-06, October.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2021, "Climate Change Costs Rise as Interest Rates Fall," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 28, pages 1-05, October.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Lessons from History, Policy for Today," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 07, pages 01-07, March.
  6. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "The Last Resort in a Changing Landscape," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 12, pages 01-07, May.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Climate Risk and the Fed: Preparing for an Uncertain Certainty," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 17, pages 1-08, June.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "From Gaps to Growth: Equity as a Path to Prosperity," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 26, pages 01-07, October.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2021, "Policymaking in a Time of Uncertainty," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 31, pages 1-06, November.
  10. Sarah Albert & Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2021, "Employment Effects of COVID-19 across States, Sectors," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 32, pages 1-05, November.
  11. Andrew Foerster & Nick Garvey & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2021, "Anatomy of a Pandemic Recovery Across Sectors and Regions," Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, volume 21, issue 40, December.
  12. Jason Choi & Andrew Foerster, 2021, "Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 42, pages 333-346, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2020.11.007.
  13. Òscar Jordà & Björn Richter & Moritz Schularick & Alan M Taylor, 2021, "Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 88, issue 1, pages 260-286.
  14. Rhys Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Shapiro, 2021, "De-leveraging or de-risking? How banks cope with loss," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 39, pages 100-127, January, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2020.06.014.
  15. Lansing, Kevin J., 2021, "Endogenous forecast switching near the zero lower bound," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 153-169, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.12.003.
  16. Peter Lihn Jørgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2021, "Return of the Original Phillips Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 21, pages 01-06, August.
  17. Hobijn, Bart & Nechio, Fernanda & Shapiro, Adam Hale, 2021, "Using Brexit to identify the nature of price rigidities," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 130, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2021.103448.
  18. Carvalho, Carlos & Nechio, Fernanda & Tristão, Tiago, 2021, "Taylor rule estimation by OLS," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 124, issue C, pages 140-154, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.10.010.
  19. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021, "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 117, issue C, pages 871-886, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.06.005.
  20. Daniel J. Wilson, 2021, "Where Is the U.S. COVID-19 Pandemic Headed?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 11, pages 01-06, April.
  21. Samuel R. Tarasewicz & Daniel J. Wilson, 2021, "How Strongly Are Local Economies Tied to COVID-19?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2021, issue 30, pages 1-5, November.

2020

  1. Régis Barnichon & Winnie Yee, 2020, "Adjusting the Unemployment Thermometer," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 27, pages 01-05, September.
  2. Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020, "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 135, issue 4, pages 2255-2298.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020, "Interest Rates under Falling Stars," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 110, issue 5, pages 1316-1354, May, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20171822.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "We Can’t Afford Not To," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 15, pages 1-08, June.
  5. Shelby R. Buckman & Mary C. Daly & Lily Seitelman, 2020, "The Unequal Impact of COVID-19: Why Education Matters," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 17, pages 1-5, June.
  6. Erin E. Crust & Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2020, "The Illusion of Wage Growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 26, pages 01-05, August.
  7. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "Is the Federal Reserve Contributing to Economic Inequality?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 32, pages 1-07, October.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "The New Stone Soup," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 04, pages 1-07, February.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2020, "2020 Lessons, 2021 Priorities," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 37, pages 01-08, December.
  10. Andrew Foerster & Christian Matthes & Lily Seitelman, 2020, "The Highs and Lows of Productivity Growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 21, pages 1-5, August.
  11. Gianluca Benigno & Andrew Foerster & Christopher Otrok & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020, "Sudden Stops and COVID-19: Lessons from Mexico’s History," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 33, pages 01-05, November.
  12. Andrew Foerster & Lily Seitelman, 2020, "Permanent and Transitory Effects of the 2008–09 Recession," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 36, pages 01-05, November.
  13. Andrew Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2020, "The Effects of Permanent and Transitory Shocks under Imperfect Information," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 41-59, DOI: 10.21144/eq1060201.
  14. Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2020, "The effects of quasi-random monetary experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, pages 22-40, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.021.
  15. Òscar Jordà & Noah Kouchekinia & Colton Merrill & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020, "The Fog of Numbers," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 20, pages 1-5, July.
  16. Galina Hale & John Krainer & Erin McCarthy, 2020, "Aggregation Level in Stress-Testing Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-46, September.
  17. Lamont K Black & John R Krainer & Joseph B Nichols & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020, "Safe Collateral, Arm’s-Length Credit: Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 33, issue 11, pages 5173-5211.
  18. Kevin J. Lansing & Winnie Yee, 2020, "Wringing the Overoptimism from FOMC Growth Forecasts," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 03, pages 1-05, February.
  19. Kevin J. Lansing, 2020, "Assessing Recent Stock Market Valuation with Macro Data," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 31, pages 01-06, October.
  20. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Singh, Sanjay R., 2020, "The Effect of Foreign Shocks on the Indian Economy," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-54.
  21. Shelby R. Buckman & Adam Hale Shapiro & Moritz Sudhof & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "News Sentiment in the Time of COVID-19," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 08, pages 1-05, April.
  22. Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "The COVID-19 Fiscal Multiplier: Lessons from the Great Recession," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2020, issue 13, pages 1-5, May.

2019

  1. Regis Barnichon & Yanos Zylberberg, 2019, "Underemployment and the Trickle-Down of Unemployment," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 11, issue 2, pages 40-78, April.
  2. Régis Barnichon, 2019, "Is the Hot Economy Pulling New Workers into the Labor Force?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Regis Barnichon & Christian Brownlees, 2019, "Impulse Response Estimation by Smooth Local Projections," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 101, issue 3, pages 522-530, July.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2019, "Zero Lower Bound Risk according to Option Prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 2019, "A New Balancing Act: Monetary Policy Tradeoffs in a Changing World," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  6. Andrew Foerster & Sylvain Leduc, 2019, "Why Is the Fed’s Balance Sheet Still So Big?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2019, "How Have Changing Sectoral Trends Affected GDP Growth?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  8. Troy Davig & Andrew Foerster, 2019, "Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 51, issue 7, pages 1857-1887, October, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12562.
  9. Òscar Jordà & Chitra Marti & Fernanda Nechio & Eric Tallman, 2019, "Inflation: Stress-Testing the Phillips Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Chitra Marti & Fernanda Nechio & Eric Tallman, 2019, "Why Is Inflation Low Globally?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  11. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2019, "Riders on the Storm," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  12. Galina Hale & Òscar Jordà & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019, "The Economics of Climate Change: A First Fed Conference," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2019, issue 31, pages 1-5, December.
  13. Òscar Jordà & Katharina Knoll & Dmitry Kuvshinov & Moritz Schularick & Alan M Taylor, 2019, "The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 134, issue 3, pages 1225-1298.
  14. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor & Felix Ward, 2019, "Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 67, issue 1, pages 109-150, March, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-019-00077-1.
  15. Reint Gropp & John Krainer & Elizabeth Laderman, 2019, "Deleveraging and Consumer Credit Supply in the Wake of the 2008-09 Financial Crisis," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 15, issue 3, pages 205-251, September.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019, "Real business cycles, animal spirits, and stock market valuation," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, volume 15, issue 1, pages 77-94, March, DOI: 10.1111/ijet.12204.
  17. Gelain, Paolo & Iskrev, Nikolay & J. Lansing, Kevin & Mendicino, Caterina, 2019, "Inflation dynamics and adaptive expectations in an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 258-277, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.12.002.
  18. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019, "Improving the Phillips Curve with an Interaction Variable," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  19. Galina Hale & Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Doris Wilson, 2019, "How Much Do We Spend on Imports?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  20. Galina Hale & Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Doris Wilson, 2019, "Inflationary Effects of Trade Disputes with China," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  21. Neil Gerstein & Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2019, "The Brexit Price Spike," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  22. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio, 2019, "Sticker Shocks: Using VAT Changes to Estimate Upper-Level Elasticities of Substitution," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 17, issue 3, pages 799-833.
  23. Eggertsson, Gauti B. & Singh, Sanjay R., 2019, "Log-linear approximation versus an exact solution at the ZLB in the New Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 105, issue C, pages 21-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.09.011.
  24. Daniel J. Wilson, 2019, "Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and Their Asset Price Responses," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 1, issue 3, pages 373-388, December.
  25. Sylvain Leduc & Chitra Marti & Daniel J. Wilson, 2019, "Does Ultra-Low Unemployment Spur Rapid Wage Growth?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  26. Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2019, "The Evolution of the FOMC’s Explicit Inflation Target," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

2018

  1. Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian, 2018, "Functional Approximation of Impulse Responses," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 99, issue C, pages 41-55, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.04.013.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes & Alexander Ziegenbein, 2018, "The Financial Crisis at 10: Will We Ever Recover?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2018, "On the Demographic Adjustment of Unemployment," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 100, issue 2, pages 219-231, May.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018, "Economic Forecasts with the Yield Curve," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Thomas M. Mertens, 2018, "Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  6. Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2018, "Robust Bond Risk Premia," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 31, issue 2, pages 399-448.
  7. Michael D. Bauer, 2018, "Restrictions on Risk Prices in Dynamic Term Structure Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 36, issue 2, pages 196-211, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2016.1164707.
  8. Mary C. Daly, 2018, "Raising the Speed Limit on Future Growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  9. Mary C. Daly, 2018, "Getting from Diversity to Inclusion in Economics," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  10. Mary C. Daly & Joseph H. Pedtke & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau & Annemarie Schweinert, 2018, "Why Aren’t U.S. Workers Working?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  11. Andrew T. Foerster & Eric LaRose & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2018, "Idiosyncratic Sectoral Growth, Balanced Growth, and Sectoral Linkages," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 79-101.
  12. Joshua D. Angrist & Òscar Jordà & Guido M. Kuersteiner, 2018, "Semiparametric Estimates of Monetary Policy Effects: String Theory Revisited," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 36, issue 3, pages 371-387, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2016.1204919.
  13. Rhys M. Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2018, "How Do Banks Cope with Loss?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  14. James Aylward & Kevin J. Lansing & Tim Mahedy, 2018, "Can the Income-Expenditure Discrepancy Improve Forecasts?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing & Michael Tubbs, 2018, "Using Sentiment and Momentum to Predict Stock Returns," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  16. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J Lansing & Gisle James Natvik, 2018, "Leaning Against the Credit Cycle," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 16, issue 5, pages 1350-1393.
  17. Kevin J. Lansing & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2018, "Top Incomes, Rising Inequality and Welfare," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 608, pages 262-297, February, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12411.
  18. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Gisle J. Natvik, 2018, "Explaining the Boom–Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse‐Engineering Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 8, pages 1751-1783, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12504.
  19. Carvalho, Carlos & Nechio, Fernanda, 2018, "Approximating multisector New Keynesian models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 163, issue C, pages 193-196, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.11.032.
  20. Tim Mahedy & Daniel J. Wilson, 2018, "Fiscal Policy in Good Times and Bad," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

2017

  1. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2017, "How Tight Is the U.S. Labor Market?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  2. Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes, 2017, "The Natural Rate of Unemployment over the Past 100 Years," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes & Timothy Sablik, 2017, "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Asymmetric?," Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue March.
  4. Régis Barnichon & Christian Matthes & David A. Price, 2017, "Are the Effects of Fiscal Policy Asymmetric?," Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue September.
  5. Michael D. Bauer, 2017, "Bridging the Gap: Forecasting Interest Rates with Macro Trends," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  6. Michael D. Bauer, 2017, "A New Conundrum in the Bond Market?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017, "Resolving the Spanning Puzzle in Macro-Finance Term Structure Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, volume 21, issue 2, pages 511-553.
  8. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Joseph H. Pedtke, 2017, "Disappointing Facts about the Black-White Wage Gap," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  9. Jason Choi & Andrew T. Foerster, 2017, "The Changing Input-Output Network Structure of the U.S. Economy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q II, pages 23-49.
  10. Andrew T. Foerster, 2017, "Characterizing the 2014–16 Slowdown in Investment," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-4, December.
  11. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2017, "Monetary Policy Medicine: Large Effects from Small Doses?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  12. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2017, "Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 31, issue 1, pages 213-263, DOI: 10.1086/690241.
  13. Lamont Black & John Krainer & Joseph Nichols, 2017, "From Origination to Renegotiation: A Comparison of Portfolio and Securitized Commercial Real Estate Loans," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 55, issue 1, pages 1-31, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-016-9548-1.
  14. Lansing, Kevin J. & Ma, Jun, 2017, "Explaining exchange rate anomalies in a model with Taylor-rule fundamentals and consistent expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 62-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.08.004.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing, 2017, "R-star, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing, 2017, "Stock Market Valuation and the Macroeconomy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. Carlos Carvalho & Andrea Ferrero & Fernanda Nechio, 2017, "Demographic Transition and Low U.S. Interest Rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  18. Enrico Moretti & Daniel J. Wilson, 2017, "The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 107, issue 7, pages 1858-1903, July.
  19. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2017, "Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, volume 9, issue 2, pages 253-292, May.
  20. Chirinko, Robert S. & Wilson, Daniel J., 2017, "Tax competition among U.S. states: Racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 155, issue C, pages 147-163, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2017.10.001.
  21. Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel J. Wilson, 2017, "What's in the News? A New Economic Indicator," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  22. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2017, "Has the Wage Phillips Curve Gone Dormant?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

2016

  1. Barnichon, Regis & Garda, Paula, 2016, "Forecasting unemployment across countries: The ins and outs," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, pages 165-183, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.10.006.
  2. Regis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2016, "Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 30, issue 1, pages 449-494, DOI: 10.1086/685969.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2016, "Do macro variables help forecast interest rates?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  4. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016, "Why Are Long-Term Interest Rates So Low?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016, "Monetary Policy Expectations at the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 48, issue 7, pages 1439-1465, October, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12338.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Benjamin Pyle, 2016, "What's up with wage growth?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. Jason Choi & Andrew T. Foerster, 2016, "Consumption Growth Regimes and the Post-Financial Crisis Recovery," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q II, pages 25-48.
  8. Andrew T. Foerster, 2016, "Monetary Policy Regime Switches And Macroeconomic Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 57, issue 1, pages 211-230, February, DOI: 10.1111/iere.12153.
  9. Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016, "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 7, issue 2, pages 637-669, July.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016, "Sovereigns Versus Banks: Credit, Crises, And Consequences," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, volume 14, issue 1, pages 45-79, February.
  11. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016, "Bubbles, Credit, and Their Consequences," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  12. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016, "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, volume 31, issue 85, pages 107-152.
  13. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2016, "The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 126, issue 590, pages 219-255, February.
  14. Galina Hale & John Krainer, 2016, "Aggregation in bank stress tests," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  15. Lansing, Kevin J., 2016, "On variance bounds for asset price changes," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, volume 28, issue C, pages 132-148, DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2015.06.002.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing, 2016, "Projecting the Long-Run Natural Rate of Interest," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. Kevin J. Lansing & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2016, "Consequences of Rising Income Inequality," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  18. Carvalho, Carlos & Ferrero, Andrea & Nechio, Fernanda, 2016, "Demographics and real interest rates: Inspecting the mechanism," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, pages 208-226, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.04.002.
  19. Carlos Carvalho & Eric Hsu & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Fed communication and the zero lower bound," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  20. Julia Bevilaqua & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Fed policy liftoff and emerging markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  21. Fernanda Nechio & Rebecca Regan, 2016, "Fed Communication: Words and Numbers," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  22. Fernanda Nechio & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016, "Has the Fed Fallen behind the Curve This Year?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  23. Fernanda Nechio & Daniel J. Wilson, 2016, "How Important Is Information from FOMC Minutes?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  24. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Factor Specificity and Real Rigidities," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 22, pages 208-222, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2016.08.002.
  25. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Neil R. Mehrotra & Sanjay R. Singh & Lawrence H. Summers, 2016, "A Contagious Malady? Open Economy Dimensions of Secular Stagnation," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 64, issue 4, pages 581-634, November, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-016-0019-8.
  26. Catherine van der List & Daniel J. Wilson, 2016, "Clearing the Fog: The Effects of Weather on Jobs," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

2015

  1. Regis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2015, "Labor Market Heterogeneity and the Aggregate Matching Function," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 7, issue 4, pages 222-249, October.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2015, "Optimal policy and market-based expectations," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Erin McCarthy, 2015, "Can we rely on market-based inflation forecasts?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  4. Michael D. Bauer, 2015, "Inflation Expectations and the News," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 11, issue 2, pages 1-40, March.
  5. Michael D. Bauer, 2015, "Nominal Interest Rates and the News," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 2-3, pages 295-332, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12177.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau & Robert G. Valletta & John C. Williams, 2015, "Redefining the labor market. SF Fed economists Rob Valletta, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, and Mary C. Daly share their thoughts on the U.S. labor market with fellow economist President John Williams," Annual Report, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 08-08.
  7. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2015, "Why is wage growth so slow?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  8. Mary C. Daly & Fernanda Nechio & Benjamin Pyle, 2015, "Finding normal: natural rates and policy prescriptions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  9. Foerster, Andrew T., 2015, "Financial crises, unconventional monetary policy exit strategies, and agents׳ expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, pages 191-207, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.10.001.
  10. Bjørn Eraker & Ching Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Andrew T. Foerster & Tae Bong Kim & Hernán D. Seoane, 2015, "Bayesian Mixed Frequency VARs," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 13, issue 3, pages 698-721.
  11. Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015, "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 96, issue S1, pages 2-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.12.011.
  12. Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015, "Leveraged bubbles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 76, issue S, pages 1-20, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.08.005.
  13. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2015, "Mortgaging the future?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  14. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2015, "Interest rates and house prices: pill or poison?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing, 2015, "Asset Pricing with Concentrated Ownership of Capital and Distribution Shocks," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 7, issue 4, pages 67-103, October.
  16. Kevin J. Lansing & Benjamin Pyle, 2015, "Persistent overoptimism about economic growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. Kevin J. Lansing, 2015, "Assessing the Recent Behavior of Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  18. Reuven Glick & Kevin J. Lansing & Daniel Molitor, 2015, "What’s different about the latest housing boom?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  19. Kevin J. Lansing, 2015, "Discussion of Ling, Ooi, and Le," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue S1, pages 127-132, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12195.
  20. Zheng Liu & Fernanda Nechio & Mark M. Spiegel & John C. Williams, 2015, "China in the global economy. SF Fed President John Williams talks with Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel, and Fernanda Nechio of the international research team about China's economic slowdown and how it's affecting global economic activity," Annual Report, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 07-07.
  21. Fernanda Nechio, 2015, "Have long-term inflation expectations declined?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  22. Carlos Carrillo-Tudela & Bart Hobijn & Patryk Perkowski & Ludo Visschers, 2015, "Majority of Hires Never Report Looking for a Job," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, volume 2015, issue 10, pages 1-5, March, DOI: 10.24148/el2015-10.
  23. Bharat Trehan, 2015, "Survey Measures of Expected Inflation and the Inflation Process," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 1, pages 207-222, February, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12174.
  24. Daniel J. Wilson, 2015, "Competing for jobs: local taxes and incentives," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  25. Tim Mahedy & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Daniel J. Wilson, 2015, "The puzzle of weak first-quarter GDP growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  26. Benjamin Pyle & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Daniel J. Wilson, 2015, "Residual seasonality and monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

2014

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014, "Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 104, issue 1, pages 323-337, January.
  2. Bauer, Michael D. & Neely, Christopher J., 2014, "International channels of the Fed's unconventional monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 24-46, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.12.007.
  3. Michael D. Bauer & Jens H. E. Christensen, 2014, "Financial market outlook for inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  4. Michael D. Bauer, 2014, "Options-based expectations of future policy rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2014, "The Signaling Channel for Federal Reserve Bond Purchases," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 10, issue 3, pages 233-289, September.
  6. Yifan Cao & Mary C. Daly & K. Jody Hoff & John C. Williams, 2014, "Does college matter?," Annual Report, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue 1, pages 1-24.
  7. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Interpreting deviations from Okun’s Law," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  8. Leila Bengali & Mary C. Daly, 2014, "Is it still worth going to college?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  9. Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Mixed signals: labor markets and monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  10. Andrew T. Foerster, 2014, "The asymmetric effects of uncertainty," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 5-26.
  11. Andrew T. Foerster, 2014, "The asymmetric effects of uncertainty on employment," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-2, September.
  12. Daly, Mary C. & Fernald, John G. & Jordà, Òscar & Nechio, Fernanda, 2014, "Labour Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 228, issue , pages 58-64, May.
  13. Jordà, Òscar, 2014, "Assessing the historical role of credit: Business cycles, financial crises and the legacy of Charles S. Peirce," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 3, pages 729-740, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.02.003.
  14. Fushing, Hsieh & Jordà, Òscar & Beisner, Brianne & McCowan, Brenda, 2014, "Computing systemic risk using multiple behavioral and keystone networks: The emergence of a crisis in primate societies and banks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 3, pages 797-806, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.11.001.
  15. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Private credit and public debt in financial crises," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  16. Early Elias & Helen Irvin & Òscar Jordà, 2014, "Monetary policy when the spyglass is smudged," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  17. John Krainer, 2014, "The slowdown in existing home sales," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  18. John Krainer & Erin McCarthy, 2014, "Housing market headwinds," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  19. John Krainer & Elizabeth Laderman, 2014, "Mortgage Loan Securitization and Relative Loan Performance," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, volume 45, issue 1, pages 39-66, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10693-013-0161-7.
  20. Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F., 2014, "Risk aversion, investor information and stock market volatility," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 88-107, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.03.009.
  21. Gelain, Paolo & Lansing, Kevin J., 2014, "House prices, expectations, and time-varying fundamentals," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 29, issue C, pages 3-25, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.05.002.
  22. Cindy Li, 2014, "China’s interest rate liberalization reform," Asia Focus, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue May.
  23. Carvalho, Carlos & Nechio, Fernanda, 2014, "Do people understand monetary policy?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 66, issue C, pages 108-123, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2014.04.013.
  24. Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Fed tapering news and emerging markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  25. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2014, "Household expectations and monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  26. Marquis, Milton H. & Trehan, Bharat & Tantivong, Wuttipan, 2014, "The wage premium puzzle and the quality of human capital," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 100-110, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2014.03.010.
  27. Moretti, Enrico & Wilson, Daniel J., 2014, "State incentives for innovation, star scientists and jobs: Evidence from biotech," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 79, issue C, pages 20-38, DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2013.07.002.
  28. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2014, "Fueling road spending with federal stimulus," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  29. Enrico Moretti & Daniel J. Wilson, 2014, "Innovation and incentives: evidence from biotech," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  30. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2014, "Infrastructure Spending as Fiscal Stimulus: Assessing the Evidence," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, volume 5, issue 1.

2013

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2013, "What caused the decline in long-term yields?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july8.
  2. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2013, "Expectations for monetary policy liftoff," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov18.
  3. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2013, "Labor markets in the global financial crisis," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  4. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Timothy Ni, 2013, "The path of wage growth and unemployment," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july15.
  5. Mary C. Daly & Brian Lucking & Jonathan A. Schwabish, 2013, "The future of Social Security Disability Insurance," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue june24.
  6. Leila Bengali & Mary C. Daly, 2013, "U.S. economic mobility: the dream and the data," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar4.
  7. Leila Bengali & Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2013, "Will labor force participation bounce back?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may13.
  8. Benjamin Bradshaw & Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2013, "Gauging the momentum of the labor recovery," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct15.
  9. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2013, "The changing role of disabled children benefits," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sept3.
  10. Guangye Cao & Andrew Foerster, 2013, "Expectations of large-scale asset purchases," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q II, pages 5-29.
  11. Jordà, Òscar & Knüppel, Malte & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2013, "Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 3, pages 456-468, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.12.002.
  12. Early Elias & Òscar Jordà, 2013, "Crises before and after the creation of the Fed," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may6.
  13. √Íscar Jord√Ä & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013, "When Credit Bites Back," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue s2, pages 3-28, December.
  14. Travis Berge & Òscar Jordà, 2013, "A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850–2011," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 4, issue 1, pages 1-34, March, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-012-0095-6.
  15. John Krainer & James A. Wilcox, 2013, "Evidence and Implications of Regime Shifts: Time-Varying Effects of the United States and Japanese Economies on House Prices in Hawaii," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, volume 41, issue 3, pages 449-480, September.
  16. John Krainer, 2013, "Commercial real estate and low interest rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr22.
  17. William Hedberg & John Krainer, 2013, "Why are housing inventories low?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct21.
  18. Airaudo, Marco & Cardani, Roberta & Lansing, Kevin J., 2013, "Monetary policy and asset prices with belief-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 8, pages 1453-1478, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.03.002.
  19. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2013, "House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 9, issue 2, pages 219-276, June.
  20. Cindy Li, 2013, "Shadow banking in China: expanding scale, evolving structure," Asia Focus, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Apr.
  21. Maura Lynch & Bharat Trehan, 2013, "Consumer inflation views in three countries," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov25.
  22. Israel Malkin & Daniel J. Wilson, 2013, "Taxes, transfers, and state economic differences," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec2.
  23. Brian Lucking & Daniel J. Wilson, 2013, "Fiscal headwinds: Is the other shoe about to drop?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue june3.
  24. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson & Norman J. Johnson, 2013, "Relative Status and Well-Being: Evidence from U.S. Suicide Deaths," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 95, issue 5, pages 1480-1500, December.
  25. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2013, "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 27, issue 1, pages 89-142, DOI: 10.1086/669173.

2012

  1. Regis Barnichon & Christopher J. Nekarda, 2012, "The Ins and Outs of Forecasting Unemployment: Using Labor Force Flows to Forecast the Labor Market," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, volume 43, issue 2 (Fall), pages 83-131.
  2. Barnichon, Regis, 2012, "Vacancy posting, job separation and unemployment fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 315-330, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.09.006.
  3. Michael D. Bauer, 2012, "Monetary policy and interest rate uncertainty," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec24.
  4. Michael D. Bauer, 2012, "Fed asset buying and private borrowing rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may21.
  5. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2012, "Correcting Estimation Bias in Dynamic Term Structure Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 3, pages 454-467, April, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.693855.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Aysegül Sahin & Robert G. Valletta, 2012, "A Search and Matching Approach to Labor Markets: Did the Natural Rate of Unemployment Rise?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 26, issue 3, pages 3-26, Summer, DOI: 10.1257/jep.26.3.3.
  7. Daly, Mary, 2012, "Health at Older Ages: The Causes and Consequences of Declining Disability among the Elderly. David M. Cutler and David A. Wise, eds. The University of Chicago Press, 2009, ISBN 978-0-226 13231-0, 512 pages," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, volume 11, issue 1, pages 119-120, January.
  8. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Brian Lucking, 2012, "Why has wage growth stayed strong?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr2.
  9. Mary C. Daly & Early Elias & Bart Hobijn & Òscar Jordà, 2012, "Will the jobless rate drop take a break?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec17.
  10. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2012, "Social Security Disability Insurance: Time For Fundamental Change," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 31, issue 2, pages 454-461, March.
  11. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2012, "Response To Virginia Reno," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 31, issue 2, pages 469-471, March.
  12. Jordà, Òscar & Taylor, Alan M., 2012, "The carry trade and fundamentals: Nothing to fear but FEER itself," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 88, issue 1, pages 74-90, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2012.03.001.
  13. Òscar Jordà, 2012, "Credit: a starring role in the downturn," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr16.
  14. Yanping Chong & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2012, "The Harrod–Balassa–Samuelson Hypothesis: Real Exchange Rates And Their Long‐Run Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 53, issue 2, pages 609-634, May, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2354.2012.00694.x.
  15. John Krainer, 2012, "Consumer debt and the economic recovery," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug20.
  16. William Hedberg & John Krainer, 2012, "Credit access following a mortgage default," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct29.
  17. Lansing, Kevin J., 2012, "Speculative growth, overreaction, and the welfare cost of technology-driven bubbles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 83, issue 3, pages 461-483, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2012.02.011.
  18. Marius Jurgilas & Kevin J. Lansing, 2012, "Housing bubbles and homeownership returns," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun25.
  19. James R. Barth & Tong Li, 2012, "Us Debt and Deficits: Time to Reverse the Trend," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, volume 32, issue 3, pages 97-101, October, DOI: ecaf2181.
  20. Galina Hale & Fernanda Nechio, 2012, "Pricey oil, cheap natural gas, and energy costs," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug6.
  21. Israel Malkin & Fernanda Nechio, 2012, "U.S. and euro-area monetary policy by regions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb27.
  22. Galina Hale & Elliot Marks & Fernanda Nechio, 2012, "Are U.S. corporate bonds exposed to Europe?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun4.
  23. Jinzhu Chen & Prakash Kannan & Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2012, "New evidence on cyclical and structural sources of unemployment," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue March, pages 1-23.
  24. Bharat Trehan & Oskar Zorrilla, 2012, "The financial crisis and inflation expectations," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep24.
  25. Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "Fiscal Spending Jobs Multipliers: Evidence from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, volume 4, issue 3, pages 251-282, August.
  26. Foote Christopher L. & Hurst Erik & Mian Atif R. & Wilson Daniel J., 2012, "Empirical Macroeconomics Using Geographical Data: Guest Editors' Introduction," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 12, issue 2, pages 1-3, March, DOI: 10.1515/1935-1690.2478.
  27. Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "Government spending: an economic boost?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb6.
  28. Brian Lucking & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "U.S. fiscal policy: headwind or tailwind?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july2.
  29. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012, "Highway grants: roads to prosperity?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov26.

2011

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2011, "Signals from unconventional monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.21.
  2. Michael D. Bauer, 2011, "What moves the interest rate term structure?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.7.
  3. Daly, Mary C. & Oswald, Andrew J. & Wilson, Daniel & Wu, Stephen, 2011, "Dark contrasts: The paradox of high rates of suicide in happy places," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 80, issue 3, pages 435-442, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.04.007.
  4. Kenneth A. Couch & Mary C. Daly & Colin Gardiner, 2011, "Life-cycle shocks and income," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar14.
  5. Andrew T. Foerster & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2011, "Sectoral versus Aggregate Shocks: A Structural Factor Analysis of Industrial Production," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 119, issue 1, pages 1-38, DOI: 10.1086/659311.
  6. Travis J. Berge & Òscar Jordà, 2011, "Evaluating the Classification of Economic Activity into Recessions and Expansions," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 3, issue 2, pages 246-277, April.
  7. Òscar Jordà, 2011, "Variable capital rules in a risky world," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug29.
  8. Travis J. Berge & Early Elias & Òscar Jordà, 2011, "Future recession risks: an update," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.14.
  9. Òscar Jordà & Sharon Kozicki, 2011, "Estimation And Inference By The Method Of Projection Minimum Distance: An Application To The New Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, volume 52, issue 2, pages 461-487, May.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M Taylor, 2011, "Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 59, issue 2, pages 340-378, June.
  11. Travis Berge & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2011, "Currency Carry Trades," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, volume 7, issue 1, pages 357-388, DOI: 10.1086/658309.
  12. Gautam Gowrisankaran & John Krainer, 2011, "Entry and pricing in a differentiated products industry: evidence from the ATM market," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, volume 42, issue 1, pages 1-22, March, DOI: j.1756-2171.2010.00123.x.
  13. John Krainer & James A. Wilcox, 2011, "Fluctuating fortunes and Hawaiian house prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec.19.
  14. William Hedberg & John Krainer, 2011, "When will residential construction rebound?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july25.
  15. Bart Hobijn & John Krainer & David Lang, 2011, "Cap rates and commercial property prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep19.
  16. Reuven Glick & Kevin J. Lansing, 2011, "Consumers and the economy, part I: Household credit and personal saving," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan10.
  17. Kevin J. Lansing, 2011, "Gauging the impact of the Great Recession," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue july11.
  18. Glenn Yago & Tong Li, 2011, "Deleveraging Corporate America: Job and Business Recovery Through Debt Restructuring," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, volume 23, issue 1, pages 77-83, January.
  19. Barth James R. & Li Tong & Prabhavivadhana Apanard, 2011, "Greece's "Unpleasant Arithmetic" Containing the Threat to the Global Economy," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, volume 11, issue 4, pages 1-15, December, DOI: 10.2202/1524-5861.1829.
  20. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2011, "Aggregation and the PPP Puzzle in a Sticky-Price Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 101, issue 6, pages 2391-2424, October.
  21. Fernanda Nechio, 2011, "Monetary policy when one size does not fit all," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue june13.
  22. Fernanda Nechio, 2011, "Long-run impact of the crisis in Europe: reforms and austerity measures," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar7.
  23. Bharat Trehan, 2011, "Household inflation expectations and the price of oil: it's déjà vu all over again," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may23.
  24. Jeremy Gerst & Daniel J. Wilson, 2011, "What's in your wallet? the future of cash," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct24.

2010

  1. Barnichon, Regis, 2010, "Building a composite Help-Wanted Index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 109, issue 3, pages 175-178, December.
  2. Barnichon, Regis, 2010, "Productivity and unemployment over the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 57, issue 8, pages 1013-1025, November.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2010, "Okun’s law and the unemployment surprise of 2009," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar8.
  4. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Joyce Kwok, 2010, "Labor force participation and the future path of unemployment," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep13.
  5. Travis J. Berge & Òscar Jordà, 2010, "Future recession risks," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug9.
  6. Òscar Jordà, 2010, "Diagnosing recessions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb16.
  7. Òscar Jordà & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2010, "Path forecast evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 635-662, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1166.
  8. Òscar Jord�, 2010, "Book Review: New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 2, pages 243-246, April, DOI: 10.1080/07474930903472868.
  9. Bajari, Patrick & Hong, Han & Krainer, John & Nekipelov, Denis, 2010, "Estimating Static Models of Strategic Interactions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 28, issue 4, pages 469-482.
  10. John Krainer & Mark M. Spiegel & Nobuyoshi Yamori, 2010, "Asset Price Persistence and Real Estate Market Illiquidity: Evidence from Japanese Land Values," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, volume 38, issue 2, pages 171-196, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6229.2010.00264.x.
  11. John Krainer & Stephen F. LeRoy, 2010, "Risky mortgages and mortgage default premiums," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec20.
  12. John Krainer, 2010, "Mortgage choice and the pricing of fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb1.
  13. William Hedberg & John Krainer, 2010, "Mortgage prepayments and changing underwriting standards," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul19.
  14. John Krainer & Stephen F. LeRoy, 2010, "Underwater mortgages," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct18.
  15. KevinJ. Lansing, 2010, "Rational and Near-Rational Bubbles Without Drift," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 120, issue 549, pages 1149-1174, December.
  16. Reuven Glick & Kevin J. Lansing, 2010, "Global household leverage, house prices, and consumption," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan11.
  17. David Lang & Kevin J. Lansing, 2010, "Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep27.
  18. James R. Barth & Tong Li & Wenling Lu, 2010, "Bank Regulation in the United States -super-1," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 1, pages 112-140, March.
  19. Fernanda Nechio, 2010, "The Greek crisis: Argentina revisited?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov1.
  20. Marquis, Milton & Trehan, Bharat, 2010, "Relative productivity growth and the secular "decline" of U.S. manufacturing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue 1, pages 67-74, February.
  21. Puneet Chehal & Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2010, "Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug2.
  22. Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "The U.S. and world economic geography before and after the downturn: conference summary," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr26.
  23. Jeremy Gerst & Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "Fiscal crises of the states: causes and consequences," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun28.
  24. Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "Is the recent productivity boom over?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep20.
  25. Robert S. Chirinko & Daniel J. Wilson, 2010, "State business taxes and investment: state-by-state simulations," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 13-28.

2009

  1. Regis Barnichon, 2009, "The Optimal Level of Reserves for Low-Income Countries: Self-Insurance against External Shocks," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 56, issue 4, pages 852-875, November.
  2. Christopher Candelaria & Mary C. Daly & Galina Hale, 2009, "Interprovincial inequality in China," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr10.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Joyce Kwok, 2009, "Did welfare reform work for everyone? a look at young single mothers," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug3.
  4. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Joyce Kwok, 2009, "Labor supply responses to changes in wealth and credit," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan30.
  5. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn & Joyce Kwok, 2009, "Jobless recovery redux?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun5.
  6. Mary C. Daly & Mark Doms & Jeremy Gerst, 2009, "Regional growth and resilience: evidence from urban IT centers," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 1-11.
  7. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson, 2009, "Happiness, Unhappiness, and Suicide: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, volume 7, issue 2-3, pages 539-549, 04-05.
  8. Òscar Jordà, 2009, "Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Impulse Responses," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 91, issue 3, pages 629-647, August.
  9. John Krainer, 2009, "House prices and bank loan performance," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb6.
  10. John Krainer, 2009, "Recent developments in mortgage finance," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct26.
  11. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2009, "Do supervisory rating standards change over time?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 13-24.
  12. Guo, Jang-Ting & Lansing, Kevin J., 2009, "Capital-labor substitution and equilibrium indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 12, pages 1991-2000, December.
  13. Reuven Glick & Kevin J. Lansing, 2009, "U.S. household deleveraging and future consumption growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may15.
  14. Kevin Lansing, 2009, "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 12, issue 2, pages 304-326, April, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2008.07.002.
  15. Bharat Trehan, 2009, "Predicting crises, part I: Do coming crises cast their shadows before?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep21.
  16. Puneet Chehal & Bharat Trehan, 2009, "Talking about tomorrow’s monetary policy today," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov9.
  17. Wilson, Daniel J., 2009, "IT and Beyond: The Contribution of Heterogeneous Capital to Productivity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, pages 52-70.
  18. Daniel J. Wilson, 2009, "Are fiscal stimulus funds going to the "right" states?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr17.
  19. Charles Notzon & Daniel J. Wilson, 2009, "Tax credits for job creation and retention: What can we learn from the states?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb20.
  20. Daniel J. Wilson, 2009, "Beggar Thy Neighbor? The In-State, Out-of-State, and Aggregate Effects of R&D Tax Credits," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 91, issue 2, pages 431-436, May.

2008

  1. Régis Barnichon & Shanaka J. Peiris, 2008, "Sources of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, volume 17, issue 5, pages 729-746, November.
  2. Mary Daly, 2008, "Women, Men, Work and Family in Europe – Edited by Rosemary Crompton, Suzan Lewis and Claire Lyonette," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, volume 46, issue 1, pages 205-206, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8543.2007.00672_4.x.
  3. Daly, Mary C. & Valletta, Robert G., 2008, "Cross-national trends in earnings inequality and instability," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 99, issue 2, pages 215-219, May.
  4. Philip Armour & Mary C. Daly, 2008, "Retirement savings and decision errors: lessons from behavioral economics," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun6.
  5. John Krainer, 2008, "Falling house prices and rising time on the market," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar21.
  6. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2008, "Using Securities Market Information for Bank Supervisory Monitoring," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 4, issue 1, pages 125-164, March.
  7. Kevin J. Lansing, 2008, "Speculative bubbles and overreaction to technological innovation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun20.
  8. Kevin J. Lansing, 2008, "Monetary policy and asset prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct31.
  9. Marquis, Milton H. & Trehan, Bharat, 2008, "On using relative prices to measure capital-specific technological progress," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 4, pages 1390-1406, December.
  10. Wayne Huang & Bharat Trehan, 2008, "Unanchored expectations? Interpreting the evidence from inflation surveys," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul25.
  11. Daniel Wilson, 2008, "Investment Behavior Of U.S. Firms Over Heterogeneous Capital Goods: A Snapshot," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, volume 54, issue 2, pages 269-278, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4991.2008.00273.x.
  12. Chirinko, Robert S. & Wilson, Daniel J., 2008, "State investment tax incentives: A zero-sum game?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 92, issue 12, pages 2362-2384, December.
  13. Charles Notzon & Daniel J. Wilson, 2008, "Recent trends in economic volatility: conference summary," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb15.
  14. Daniel J. Wilson, 2008, "Research on the effects of fiscal stimulus: symposium summary," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul3.

2007

  1. Mary C. Daly & Tali Regev, 2007, "Labor force participation and the prospects for U.S. growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov2.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Daniel J. Wilson, 2007, "Relative comparisons and economics: empirical evidence," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct5.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Osborne Jackson & Robert G. Valletta, 2007, "Educational attainment, unemployment, and wage inflation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 49-61.
  4. Galina Hale & Òscar Jordà, 2007, "Do monetary aggregates help forecast inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr13.
  5. Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2007, "The subprime mortgage market: national and Twelfth District developments," Annual Report, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 6-17.
  6. Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2007, "Regional economic conditions and community bank performance," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul27.
  7. Mark Doms & Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2007, "House prices and subprime mortgage delinquencies," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun8.
  8. Jang‐Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 2007, "Maintenance expenditures and indeterminacy under increasing returns to scale," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, volume 3, issue 2, pages 147-158, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1742-7363.2007.00052.x.
  9. Kevin J. Lansing, 2007, "Asset price bubbles," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct26.
  10. Trehan, Bharat & Wu, Tao, 2007, "Time-varying equilibrium real rates and monetary policy analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 5, pages 1584-1609, May.
  11. John G. Fernald & David Thipphavong & Bharat Trehan, 2007, "Will fast productivity growth persist?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr6.
  12. Bharat Trehan, 2007, "Changing productivity trends," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug31.
  13. Tali Regev & Daniel J. Wilson, 2007, "Changes in income inequality across the U.S," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep21.

2006

  1. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2006, "Inequality and Poverty in United States: The Effects of Rising Dispersion of Men's Earnings and Changing Family Behaviour," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, volume 73, issue 289, pages 75-98, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2006.00449.x.
  2. Andrew T. Foerster & Leonardo Martinez, 2006, "Are we working too hard or should we be working harder? A simple model of career concerns," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, volume 92, issue Win, pages 79-91.
  3. John Krainer, 2006, "Economics, Real Estate and the Supply of Land, edited by Alan W. Evans," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, volume 46, issue 4, pages 796-798, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9787.2006.00478_5.x.
  4. John Krainer, 2006, "Mortgage innovation and consumer choice," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec29.
  5. John Krainer, 2006, "Residential investment over the real estate cycle," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun30.
  6. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Tax Reform with Useful Public Expenditures," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, volume 8, issue 4, pages 631-676, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9779.2006.00282.x.
  7. Lansing, Kevin J., 2006, "Lock-In Of Extrapolative Expectations In An Asset Pricing Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 10, issue 3, pages 317-348, June.
  8. Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Will moderating growth reduce inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec22.
  9. John G. Fernald & Bharat Trehan, 2006, "Is a recession imminent?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov24.
  10. Jason Tjosvold & Bharat Trehan, 2006, "Inflation targets and inflation expectations: some evidence from the recent oil shocks," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep1.
  11. Daniel J. Wilson, 2006, "The mystery of falling state corporate income taxes," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec8.
  12. Daniel J. Wilson, 2006, "Productivity growth: causes and consequences - conference summary," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb24.

2005

  1. Mary C. Daly & Frederick T. Furlong, 2005, "Gains in U.S. productivity: stopgap measure or lasting change?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar11.
  2. Òscar Jordà, 2005, "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 95, issue 1, pages 161-182, March, DOI: 10.1257/0002828053828518.
  3. Òscar Jordà, 2005, "Can monetary policy influence long-term interest rates?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may20.
  4. Bajari, Patrick & Benkard, C. Lanier & Krainer, John, 2005, "House prices and consumer welfare," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 58, issue 3, pages 474-487, November.
  5. John Krainer, 2005, "Housing markets and demographics," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug26.
  6. Gautam Gowrisankaran & John Krainer, 2005, "Bank ATMs and ATM surcharges," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec16.
  7. Kevin J. Lansing, 2005, "Spendthrift nation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov10.
  8. Bharat Trehan, 2005, "Oil price shocks and inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct28.
  9. Bharat Trehan, 2005, "Why has output become less volatile?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep16.
  10. John G. Fernald & Bharat Trehan, 2005, "Why hasn't the jump in oil prices led to a recession?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov18.
  11. Daniel J. Wilson, 2005, "Are state R&D tax credits constitutional? an economic perspective," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun3.
  12. Daniel J. Wilson, 2005, "The rise and spread of state R&D tax credits," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct14.

2004

  1. Mary C. Daly & John Williams, 2004, "Technology, productivity, and public policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar12.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2004, "Performance of urban information technology centers: the boom, the bust, and the future," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 1-18.
  3. Òscar Jordà & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2004, "Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 25, issue 6, pages 873-894, November, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2004.00383.x.
  4. Bergin, Paul R. & Jorda, Oscar, 2004, "Measuring monetary policy interdependence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 5, pages 761-783, September.
  5. Demiralp, Selva & Jorda, Oscar, 2004, "The Response of Term Rates to Fed Announcements," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 36, issue 3, pages 387-405, June.
  6. John Krainer, 2004, "What determines the credit spread?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec10.
  7. John Krainer & Chishen Wei, 2004, "House prices and fundamental value," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct1.
  8. Krainer, John & Lopez, Jose A, 2004, "Incorporating Equity Market Information into Supervisory Monitoring Models," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 36, issue 6, pages 1043-1067, December.
  9. Kevin J. Lansing, 2004, "Inflation-induced valuation errors in the stock market," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct29.
  10. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 2004, "Growth Effects of Shifting from a Graduated-rate Tax System to a Flat Tax," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 42, issue 2, pages 194-213, April.
  11. Caselli, Francesco & Wilson, Daniel J., 2004, "Importing technology," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 51, issue 1, pages 1-32, January.
  12. Daniel J. Wilson, 2004, "Do differences in countries' capital composition matter?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr9.
  13. Plutarchos Sakellaris & Daniel J. Wilson, 2004, "Quantifying Embodied Technological Change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-26, January, DOI: 10.1016/S1094-2025(03)00052-8.

2003

  1. Mary C. Daly, 2003, "Understanding state budget troubles," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug15.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Mark Doms, 2003, "The Bay Area economy: down but not out," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov7.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta, 2003, "Earnings inequality and earnings mobility in the U.S," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep26.
  4. Jordà, Òscar & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2003, "Modeling High-Frequency Foreign Exchange Data Dynamics," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 7, issue 4, pages 618-635, September.
  5. Oscar Jorda & Kevin Salyer, 2003, "The Response of Term Rates to Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 6, issue 4, pages 941-962, October, DOI: 10.1016/S1094-2025(03)00022-X.
  6. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "The current strength of the U.S. banking sector," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec19.
  7. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "Using equity market information to monitor banking institutions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan24.
  8. John Krainer, 2003, "House price bubbles," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar7.
  9. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "Monitoring debt market information for bank supervisory purposes," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov28.
  10. John Krainer & Milton H. Marquis, 2003, "Mortgage refinancing," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct3.
  11. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2003, "How might financial market information be used for supervisory purposes?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 29-45.
  12. Guo Jang-Ting & Lansing Kevin J, 2003, "Globally-Stabilizing Fiscal Policy Rules," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 7, issue 2, pages 1-15, July, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1103.
  13. Lansing, Kevin J. & Trehan, Bharat, 2003, "Forward-looking behavior and optimal discretionary monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 81, issue 2, pages 249-256, November.
  14. Kevin J. Lansing, 2003, "Growth in the post-bubble economy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun20.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing, 2003, "Should the Fed react to the stock market?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov14.
  16. Bharat Trehan, 2003, "Productivity shocks and the unemployment rate," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 13-27.
  17. Bharat Trehan, 2003, "Technological change," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar21.
  18. Daniel J. Wilson, 2003, "Where to find the productivity gains from innovation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb21.
  19. Daniel J. Wilson, 2003, "Are we running out of new ideas? a look at patents and R&D," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep12.
  20. Daniel Wilson, 2003, "Embodying Embodiment in a Structural, Macroeconomic Input-Output Model," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 15, issue 3, pages 371-398, DOI: 10.1080/0953531032000111817.

2002

  1. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 2002, "Policy Watch: U.S. Disability Policy in a Changing Environment," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 16, issue 1, pages 213-224, Winter.
  2. Mary C. Daly & Frederick T. Furlong, 2002, "Profile of a recession - the U.S. and California," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb22.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Lily Hsueh, 2002, "Recession in the West: not a rerun of 1990-1991," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar8.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 2002, "Riding the IT wave: surging productivity growth in the West," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov15.
  5. Richard Burkhauser & Mary Daly & Andrew Houtenville & Nigar Nargis, 2002, "Self-reported work-limitation data: What they can and cannot tell US," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), volume 39, issue 3, pages 541-555, August, DOI: 10.1353/dem.2002.0025.
  6. Selva Demiralp & Òscar Jordà, 2002, "The announcement effect: evidence from open market desk data," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, volume 8, issue May, pages 29-48.
  7. James D. Hamilton & Oscar Jorda, 2002, "A Model of the Federal Funds Rate Target," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 110, issue 5, pages 1135-1167, October, DOI: 10.1086/341872.
  8. John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez, 2002, "Off-site monitoring of bank holding companies," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may17.
  9. John Krainer, 2002, "House price dynamics and the business cycle," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may3.
  10. John Krainer, 2002, "Stock market volatility," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct25.
  11. John Krainer & Stephen F. LeRoy, 2002, "Equilibrium valuation of illiquid assets," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 19, issue 2, pages 223-242.
  12. Guo, Jang-Ting & Lansing, Kevin J., 2002, "Fiscal Policy, Increasing Returns, And Endogenous Fluctuations," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 6, issue 5, pages 633-664, November.
  13. Kevin J. Lansing, 2002, "Searching for value in the U.S. stock market," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may24.
  14. Kevin J. Lansing, 2002, "Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct4.
  15. Kevin J. Lansing, 2002, "Real-time estimation of trend output and the illusion of interest rate smoothing," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 17-34.
  16. Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2002, "Predicting when the economy will turn," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar15.
  17. Bharat Trehan, 2002, "Technical change and the dispersion of wages," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug9.
  18. Daniel J. Wilson, 2002, "ETC (embodied technological change), etc," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar1.
  19. Daniel J. Wilson, 2002, "Productivity in the Twelfth District," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov8.
  20. Daniel J. Wilson, 2002, "Is Embodied Technology the Result of Upstream R&D? Industry-Level Evidence," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 5, issue 2, pages 285-317, April, DOI: 10.1006/redy.2002.0163.

2001

  1. Mary C. Daly & Frederick T. Furlong, 2001, "Rising price of energy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr.20.
  2. Mary C. Daly, 2001, "Economic impact of rising natural gas prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb.9.
  3. Mary C. Daly, 2001, "Information technology and growth in the Twelfth District," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov9.
  4. Kevin D. Hoover & Òscar Jordà, 2001, "Measuring systematic monetary policy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 83, issue Jul, pages 113-144.
  5. Álvaro Escribano & Oscar Jordá, 2001, "Testing nonlinearity: Decision rules for selecting between logistic and exponential STAR models," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 3, issue 3, pages 193-209.
  6. Krainer, John, 2001, "A Theory of Liquidity in Residential Real Estate Markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 49, issue 1, pages 32-53, January.
  7. John Krainer, 2001, "Retail sweeps and reserves," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan.19.
  8. John Krainer, 2001, "Banking and the business cycle," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct26.
  9. John Krainer, 2001, "Natural vacancy rates in commercial real estate markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct5.
  10. Kevin J. Lansing, 2001, "Uncertainties in projecting federal budget surpluses," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr.13.
  11. Bharat Trehan, 2001, "Recent research on sticky prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug24.
  12. Bharat Trehan, 2001, "Unemployment and productivity," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct12.

2000

  1. Daly, Mary C. & Buchel, Felix & Duncan, Greg J., 2000, "Premiums and penalties for surplus and deficit education: Evidence from the United States and Germany," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, volume 19, issue 2, pages 169-178, April.
  2. Mary C. Daly, 2000, "Have Californians kept up in the 1990s?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug25.
  3. Carol D'Souza & Mary C. Daly, 2000, "The shipping news: Western exports rebound," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.3.
  4. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly & Andrew J. Houtenville, 2000, "Recent declines in work and income among men with disabilities," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep22.
  5. Mary C. Daly & Heather Royer, 2000, "Cyclical and demographic influences on the distribution of income in California," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 1-13.
  6. John Krainer, 2000, "REITs and the integration between capital markets and real estate markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan28.
  7. Frederick T. Furlong & John Krainer, 2000, "Tech stocks and house prices in California," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep15.
  8. Huh, Chan G. & Lansing, Kevin J., 2000, "Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 52, issue 1-2, pages 51-86.
  9. Kevin J. Lansing, 2000, "Exploring the causes of the Great Inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul7.
  10. Kevin J. Lansing, 2000, "Learning about a shift in trend output: implications for monetary policy and inflation," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  11. Casey Cornwell & Bharat Trehan, 2000, "Information technology and productivity," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov.10.
  12. Bharat Trehan, 2000, "Evaluating the stock market," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun23.
  13. Wilson, Daniel J., 2000, "Estimating Returns to Scale: Lo, Still No Balance," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 2, pages 285-314, April.

1999

  1. Mary C. Daly, 1999, "East Asia's impact on regional growth in California," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan15.
  2. Mary C. Daly, 1999, "Understanding the Social Security debate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun25.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Heather Royer, 1999, "Who has benefited from California's recovery?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep3.
  4. Burkhauser, Richard V. & Amy Crews Cutts & Mary C. Daly & Stephen P. Jenkins, 1999, "Testing the Significance of Income Distribution Changes over the 1980s Business Cycle: A Cross-National Comparison," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 14, issue 3, pages 253-272, May-June.
  5. Kenneth Couch & Mary Daly & Douglas Wolf, 1999, "Time? money? both? the allocation of resources to older Parents," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), volume 36, issue 2, pages 219-232, May, DOI: 10.2307/2648110.
  6. Jorda, Oscar, 1999, "Random-Time Aggregation in Partial Adjustment Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 17, issue 3, pages 382-395, July.
  7. John Krainer, 1999, "Hot and cold real estate markets in the San Francisco Bay Area," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug6.
  8. John Beauchamp & John Krainer, 1999, "Small business lending patterns in California," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan22.
  9. John Krainer, 1999, "Real estate liquidity," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 14-26.
  10. Steven P. Cassou & Kevin J. Lansing, 1999, "Fiscal Policy and Productivity Growth in the OECD," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 32, issue 5, pages 1215-1226, November.
  11. Guo, Jang-Ting & Lansing, Kevin J., 1999, "Optimal taxation of capital income with imperfectly competitive product markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 7, pages 967-995, June.
  12. Lansing, Kevin J., 1999, "Optimal redistributive capital taxation in a neoclassical growth model," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, volume 73, issue 3, pages 423-453, September.
  13. Kevin J. Lansing & Jeffrey Thalhammer, 1999, "Output and inflation: a 100-year perspective," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may28.
  14. Kevin J. Lansing, 1999, "Rates of return from Social Security," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov12.
  15. Bharat Trehan, 1999, "Supply shocks and the conduct of monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul2.
  16. Bharat Trehan, 1999, "Economic activity and inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar12.

1998

  1. Mary C. Daly, 1998, "East Asia's effect on the Twelfth District," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar27.
  2. Mary C. Daly, 1998, "Slower growth in California: the role of manufacturing," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov27.
  3. Mary C. Daly & Greg J. Duncan, 1998, "Income inequality and mortality risk in the United States: is there a link?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct3.
  4. Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly, 1998, "Disability and work: the experiences of American and German men," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 17-29.
  5. John Krainer, 1998, "The 1997 Nobel Prize in economics," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb13.
  6. John Krainer, 1998, "The separation of banking and commerce," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul3.
  7. Kevin J. Lansing, 1998, "Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Business Cycle Model with Public Capital," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 31, issue 2, pages 337-364, May.
  8. Cassou, Steven P. & Lansing, Kevin J., 1998, "Optimal fiscal policy, public capital, and the productivity slowdown," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 22, issue 6, pages 911-935, June.
  9. Guo, Jang-Ting & Lansing, Kevin J., 1998, "Indeterminacy and Stabilization Policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 82, issue 2, pages 481-490, October.
  10. Kevin J. Lansing, 1998, "Can the stock market save Social Security?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec11.
  11. Chan Guk Huh & Kevin J. Lansing, 1998, "Federal Reserve credibility and inflation scares," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-16.
  12. Kelly Ragan & Bharat Trehan, 1998, "Is it time to look at M2 again?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar6.
  13. Kelly Ragan & Bharat Trehan, 1998, "Cities and growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep11.

1997

  1. Mary Daly & Felix Büchel & Greg J. Duncan, 1997, "Premiums and Penalties for Over- and Undereducation Cross-Time and Cross-National Comparisons in the United States and Germany," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 66, issue 1, pages 25-31.
  2. Burkhauser, Richard V. & Crews, Amy D. & Daly, Mary C., 1997, "Recounting winners and losers in the 1980s: A critique of income distribution measurement methodology," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 1, pages 35-40, January.
  3. Mary C. Daly, 1997, "Labor market effects of welfare reform," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug29.
  4. Mary C. Daly, 1997, "The "shrinking" middle class?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar7.
  5. Mary C. Daly, 1997, "Assessing the benefits of economic growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct17.
  6. Richard V. Burkhauser & Amy D. Crews & Mary C. Daly, 1997, "A new look at the distributional effects of economic growth during the 1980s: a comparative study of the United States and Germany," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 18-31.
  7. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1997, "Tax structure and welfare in a model of optimal fiscal policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Q I, pages 11-23.
  8. Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 1997, "Job creation and destruction," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may2.
  9. Moreno, Ramon & Trehan, Bharat, 1997, "Location and the Growth of Nations," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, volume 2, issue 4, pages 399-418, December.
  10. Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 1997, "Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-15.
  11. Bharat Trehan, 1997, "A new paradigm?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct10.

1996

  1. Jagadeesh Gokhale & Kevin J. Lansing, 1996, "Social Security: are we getting our money's worth?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Jan.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1996, "Monetary policy: measurement and management," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar29.
  3. Robert Ingenito & Bharat Trehan, 1996, "Using monthly data to predict quarterly output," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-11.
  4. Benjamin Bridgman & Bharat Trehan, 1996, "What do wages tell us about future inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan19.

1995

  1. Kevin J. Lansing, 1995, "Is public capital productive? A review of the evidence," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Mar.
  2. Chan Guk Huh & Bharat Trehan, 1995, "Modeling the time-series behavior of the aggregate wage rate," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-13.
  3. Reuven Glick & Bharat Trehan, 1995, "Monetary policy in a changing financial environment," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may5.
  4. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1995, "Has the Fed gotten tougher on inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar31.
  5. Judd, John P & Trehan, Bharat, 1995, "The Cyclical Behavior of Prices: Interpreting the Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 27, issue 3, pages 789-797, August.
  6. Bharat Trehan, 1995, "The credibility of inflation targets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jan6.

1994

  1. Jang-Ting Guo & Kevin J. Lansing, 1994, "Tax structure, optimal fiscal policy, and the business cycle," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, volume 30, issue Q IV, pages 2-14.
  2. David E. Altig & Charles T. Carlstrom & Kevin J. Lansing, 1994, "Computable general equilibrium models and monetary policy advice," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 1472-1505.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1994, "The recent behavior of interest rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct7.
  4. Bharat Trehan, 1994, "Trade and growth: some recent evidence," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul1.

1993

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1993, "Real interest rates," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov5.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1993, "Why has employment grown so slowly?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr9.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1993, "Bank lending and the transmission of monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep3.

1992

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1992, "Predicting contemporaneous output," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-11.
  2. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1992, "Money, credit, and M2," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep4.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1992, "An unprecedented slowdown?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue may8.

1991

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1991, "Real wages in the 1980s," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov22.
  2. Chan Guk Huh & Bharat Trehan, 1991, "Real business cycles: a selective survey," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Spr, pages 3-17.
  3. Trehan, Bharat & Walsh, Carl E, 1991, "Testing Intertemporal Budget Constraints: Theory and Applications to U.S. Federal Budget and Current Account Deficits," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 23, issue 2, pages 206-223, May.
  4. Bharat Trehan, 1991, "Using consumption to forecast income," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun7.
  5. Frederick T. Furlong & Bharat Trehan, 1991, "Controlling inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb8.

1990

  1. Trehan, Bharat & Walsh, Carl E., 1990, "Seigniorage and tax smoothing in the United States 1914-1986," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 1, pages 97-112, January.
  2. Frederick T. Furlong & Bharat Trehan, 1990, "Interpreting recent money growth," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep28.
  3. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1990, "Working harder?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun22.
  4. Bharat Trehan, 1990, "Lessons from the oil shocks of the 1970s," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov9.
  5. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1990, "Unemployment and inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar9.
  6. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1990, "What does unemployment tell us about future inflation?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sum, pages 15-26.

1989

  1. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1989, "Optimal inflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug4.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1989, "Interpreting recent growth in M2," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov10.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1989, "Forecasting growth in current quarter real GNP," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Win, pages 39-52.
  4. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1989, "Unemployment-rate dynamics: aggregate-demand and -supply interactions," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Fall, pages 20-37.
  5. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1989, "Do deficits cause inflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jul21.

1988

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1988, "The practice of monetary targeting: a case study of the West German experience," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Spr, pages 30-44.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1988, "Monetary policy in West Germany," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue apr22.
  3. Trehan, Bharat & Walsh, Carl E., 1988, "Common trends, the government's budget constraint, and revenue smoothing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 12, issue 2-3, pages 425-444.

1987

  1. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1987, "Portfolio substitution and the reliability of M1, M2 and M3 as monetary policy indicators," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sum, pages 5-29.
  2. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1987, "Portfolio Substitution And Recent M1 Behavior," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, volume 5, issue 1, pages 54-63, January, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.1987.tb00244.x.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1987, "Oil supply shocks and the U.S. economy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue feb20.
  4. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1987, "How reliable is M1A?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct2.
  5. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1987, "Downgrading M1," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar13.

1986

  1. Reuven Glick & Bharat Trehan, 1986, "The outlook for net exports," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep26.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1986, "Oil prices, exchange rates and the U.S. economy: an empirical investigation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Fall, pages 25-43.
  3. Ramon Moreno & Bharat Trehan, 1986, "OPEC and oil prices," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun6.
  4. Bharat Trehan, 1986, "Does OPEC set oil prices?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec19.

1985

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1985, "Signaling the Fed's intentions," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun28.
  2. Frederick T. Furlong & Bharat Trehan, 1985, "Signals from M1 and M2," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep20.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1985, "The September G-5 meeting and its impact," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue dec13.
  4. Bharat Trehan, 1985, "The information content of credit aggregates," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Spr, pages 28-39.
  5. Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1985, "Examining the recent surge in M1," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov15.
  6. Frederick T. Furlong & Bharat Trehan, 1985, "Deposit deregulation and the behavior of M1," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct11.
  7. Michael M. Hutchison & Bharat Trehan, 1985, "A monetary cure for the high dollar?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug10.

1984

  1. King, Robert G. & Trehan, Bharat, 1984, "Money : Endogeneity and neutrality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 14, issue 3, pages 385-393, November.
  2. Bharat Trehan, 1984, "Market expectations and Fed policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug24.
  3. Bharat Trehan, 1984, "Are commodity prices foretelling deflation?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep14.

Books

2013

  1. Morten Balling & Jesper Berg (ed.), 2013, "Property Prices and Real Estate Financing in a Turbulent World," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 2013/4, ISBN: ARRAY(0x975f8988), October.

Chapters

2025

  1. Òscar Jordà, 2025, "Comment on "Local Projections or VARs? A Primer for Macroeconomists" 2," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40".

2024

  1. Regis Barnichon & Adam Shapiro, 2024, "Phillips Meets Beveridge," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Inflation in the COVID Era and Beyond".
  2. Carlos Carvalho & Andrea Ferrero & Felipe R. Mazin & Fernanda Nechio, 2024, "Demographics and Real Interest Rates Across Countries and Over Time," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2024".

2022

  1. Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2022, "A Reassessment of Monetary Policy Surprises and High-Frequency Identification," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2022, volume 37".

2020

  1. Gianluca Benigno & Andrew T. Foerster & Christopher Otrok & Alessandro Rebucci, 2020, "COVID-19: A double whammy of financial and economic sudden stops for emerging economies," CEPR Press Book Chapters, Centre for Economic Policy Research, chapter 1, in: Simeon Djankov & Ugo Panizza, "COVID-19 in Developing Economies".
  2. Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2020, "Inflation Globally," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile, chapter 8, in: Gonzalo Castex & Jordi Galí & Diego Saravia, "Changing Inflation Dynamics,Evolving Monetary Policy".
  3. João Barata R.B. Barroso & Fernanda Nechio, 2020, "Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in Brazil," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Financial market development, monetary policy and financial stability in emerging market economies".
  4. Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2020, "Using Brexit To Identify the Nature of Price Rigidities," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2020".

2017

  1. Canyon Bosler & Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Bart Hobijn, 2017, "The Outlook for US Labor-Quality Growth," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Education, Skills, and Technical Change: Implications for Future US GDP Growth".
  2. Paul R. Bergin & Òscar Jordà, 2017, "Measuring Monetary Policy Interdependence," World Scientific Book Chapters, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., chapter 14, "International Macroeconomic Interdependence".

2016

  1. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016, "Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2016, Volume 31".

2015

  1. Regis Barnichon & Andrew Figura, 2015, "Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30".

2014

  1. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Betting the House," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014".

2013

  1. Òscar Jordà & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013, "Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Sovereign Debt and Financial Crises".

2012

  1. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2012, "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27".

2010

  1. Travis Berge & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2010, "Currency Carry Trades," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010".

2006

  1. Randy A. Becker & John Haltiwanger & Ron S. Jarmin & Shawn D. Klimek & Daniel J. Wilson, 2006, "Micro and Macro Data Integration: The Case of Capital," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "A New Architecture for the US National Accounts".

2003

  1. Mary Daly & Richard V. Burkhauser, 2003, "The Supplemental Security Income Program," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States".

1995

  1. Bharat Trehan, 1995, "Discussion of 'The Determinants of Long-Run Growth'," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Palle Andersen & Jacqueline Dwyer & David Gruen, "Productivity and Growth".

Software components

2020

  1. Jason Choi & Andrew Foerster, 2020, "Code and data files for "Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-148, revised .
  2. Rhys Bidder & John Krainer & Adam Shapiro, 2020, "Code and data files for "De-leveraging or de-risking? How banks cope with loss"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 19-100, revised .

2016

  1. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2016, "Code and data files for "Factor Specificity and Real Rigidities"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 15-199, revised .

2008

  1. Kevin Lansing, 2008, "Code for "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 07-129, revised .

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