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Inflationary Effects of Trade Disputes with China

Author

Listed:
  • Galina Hale
  • Bart Hobijn
  • Fernanda Nechio
  • Doris Wilson

Abstract

Imports from China are an important part of overall U.S. imports of consumer and investment goods. Thus, tariffs on these imports are likely to have sizable effects on consumer, producer, and investment prices in this country. Tariffs implemented thus far may have contributed an estimated 0.1 percentage point to consumer price inflation and 0.4 percentage point to price inflation for business investment goods. If implemented, an across-the-board 25% tariff on all Chinese imports would raise consumer prices an additional 0.3 percentage point and investment prices an additional 1.0 percentage point.

Suggested Citation

  • Galina Hale & Bart Hobijn & Fernanda Nechio & Doris Wilson, 2019. "Inflationary Effects of Trade Disputes with China," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00187
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