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Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Author

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  • Mary C. Daly
  • John G. Fernald
  • Òscar Jordà
  • Fernanda Nechio

Abstract

This note examines labor market performance across countries through the lens of Okun?s Law. We find that after the 1970s but prior to the global financial crisis of the 2000s, the Okun?s Law relationship between output and unemployment became more homogenous across countries. These changes presumably reflected institutional and technological changes. But, at least in the short term, the global financial crisis undid much of this convergence, in part because the affected countries adopted different labor market policies in response to the global demand shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2014. "Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly," Working Paper Series 2014-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2014-11
    DOI: 10.24148/wp2014-11
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sandrine Cazes & Sher Verick & Fares Al Hussami, 2013. "Why did unemployment respond so differently to the global financial crisis across countries? Insights from Okun’s Law," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 2(1), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2013. "Labor markets in the global financial crisis," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    3. Mary C. Daly & John G. Fernald & Òscar Jordà & Fernanda Nechio, 2013. "Shocks and Adjustments," Working Paper Series 2013-32, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. Michael C. Burda & Jennifer Hunt, 2011. "What Explains the German Labor Market Miracle in the Great Recession," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 42(1 (Spring), pages 273-335.
    5. Susanto Basu & John Fernald, 2001. "Why Is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?," NBER Chapters, in: New Developments in Productivity Analysis, pages 225-302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Laurence M. Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2013. "Okun's Law: Fit at Fifty?," NBER Working Papers 18668, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Mary C Daly & Elliot M Marks, 2014. "The Labor Market in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 49(3), pages 149-155, July.
    8. Edward S. Knotek, 2007. "How useful is Okun's law?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 92(Q IV), pages 73-103.
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Les marchés du travail lors de la Grande Récession
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-05-18 00:55:00

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Levin, Andrew T., 2014. "The design and communication of systematic monetary policy strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 52-69.
    2. Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022. "Explaining Deviations from Okun's Law," CEPR Discussion Papers 17369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Mark Elder & Magnus Bengtsson & Lewis Akenji, 2016. "An Optimistic Analysis of the Means of Implementation for Sustainable Development Goals: Thinking about Goals as Means," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-24, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Okun’s Law; Labor Markets; Labor Hoarding;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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