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The Welfare Consequences of ATM Surcharges: Evidence from a Structural Entry Model

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  • Gautam Gowrisankaran

    () (John M. Olin School of Business, Washington University in St. Louis)

  • John Krainer

    () (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)

Abstract

We estimate a structural model of the market for automatic teller machines (ATMs) evaluate the implications of regulating ATM surcharges on ATM entry and consumer producer surplus. We estimate the model using data on firm and consumer locations, the parameters of the model by exploiting a source of local quasi–experimental variation, state of Iowa banned ATM surcharges during our sample period while the state of Minnesota not. We develop new econometric methods that allow us to estimate the parameters equilibrium models without computing equilibria. Monte Carlo evidence shows estimator performs well. We find that a ban on ATM surcharges reduces ATM entry percent, increases consumer welfare by about 10 percent and lowers producer profits percent. Total welfare remains about the same under regimes that permit or prohibit surcharges and is about 17 percent lower than the surplus maximizing level. This paper shed light on the theoretically ambiguous implications of free entry on consumer welfare for differentiated products industries in general and ATMs in particular.

Suggested Citation

  • Gautam Gowrisankaran & John Krainer, 2004. "The Welfare Consequences of ATM Surcharges: Evidence from a Structural Entry Model," Working Papers 04-16, NET Institute, revised Nov 2004.
  • Handle: RePEc:net:wpaper:0416
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ariel Pakes & Michael Ostrovsky & Steven Berry, 2007. "Simple estimators for the parameters of discrete dynamic games (with entry/exit examples)," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 38(2), pages 373-399, June.
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    9. Fumiko Hayashi & Richard J. Sullivan & Stuart E. Weiner, 2006. "A guide to the ATM and debit card industry - 2006 update," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number 2006agttaadci2.
    10. Christopher R. Knittel & Victor Stango, 2003. "Compatibility and pricing with indirect network effects: evidence from ATMs," Working Paper Series WP-03-33, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    11. Raphael Thomadsen, 2005. "The Effect of Ownership Structure on Prices in Geographically Differentiated Industries," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 36(4), pages 908-929, Winter.
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    13. Chernew, Michael & Gowrisankaran, Gautam & Fendrick, A. Mark, 2002. "Payer type and the returns to bypass surgery: evidence from hospital entry behavior," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 451-474, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhu Wang & Fumiko Hayashi, 2011. "Product Innovation and Network Survival in the U.S. ATM and Debit Card Industry," 2011 Meeting Papers 725, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Paul B. Ellickson & Sanjog Misra, 2008. "Supermarket Pricing Strategies," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(5), pages 811-828, 09-10.
    3. Christopher R. Knittel & Victor Stango, 2009. "HOW DOES INCOMPATIBILITY AFFECT PRICES?: EVIDENCE FROM ATM'S -super-," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(3), pages 557-582, September.
    4. repec:wsi:apjorx:v:29:y:2012:i:01:n:s0217595912400015 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Hannan, Timothy H., 2007. "ATM surcharge bans and bank market structure: The case of Iowa and its neighbors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1061-1082, April.
    6. Hannan Timothy H. & Borzekowski Ron, 2007. "Incompatibility and Investment in ATM Networks," Review of Network Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Hayashi, Fumiko & Wang, Zhu, 2008. "Product innovation and network survival in the U.S. ATM and debit card network industry," Research Working Paper RWP 08-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, revised 01 Jan 2011.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L5 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy

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