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Portfolio Substitution And Recent M1 Behavior

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  • BHARAT TREHAN
  • CARL E. WALSH

Abstract

A wide variety of explanations has been offered for the rapid M1 growth since early 1985. One such explanation focuses on a possible increase in the interest elasticity of money demand. We use a nonstructural framework and begin by simply asking how an increase in the degree of substitutability among monetary aggregates would affect the sample correlations among aggregates and interest rates. We then compare our answers with some summary statistics to argue that the 1980s have, in fact, witnessed a change in the behavior of money consistent with increased substitutability.

Suggested Citation

  • Bharat Trehan & Carl E. Walsh, 1987. "Portfolio Substitution And Recent M1 Behavior," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 5(1), pages 54-63, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:5:y:1987:i:1:p:54-63
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.1987.tb00244.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Spindt, Paul A, 1985. "Money Is What Money Does: Monetary Aggregation and the Equation of Exchange," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(1), pages 175-204, February.
    2. William Poole, 1969. "Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model," Special Studies Papers 2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Judd, John P & Scadding, John L, 1982. "The Search for a Stable Money Demand Function: A Survey of the Post-1973 Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 20(3), pages 993-1023, September.
    4. John P. Judd & John L. Scadding, 1982. "The search for a stable money demand function: a survey of the post- 1973 literature," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 109, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    5. William Poole, 1970. "Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 84(2), pages 197-216.
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    Cited by:

    1. Courtenay C. Stone & Daniel L. Thornton, 1987. "Solving the 1980s' velocity puzzle: a progress report," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Aug, pages 5-23.
    2. Yash P. Mehra, 1989. "Some further results on the source of shift in M1 demand in the 1980s," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 75(Sep), pages 3-13.
    3. John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan, 1987. "Portfolio substitution and the reliability of M1, M2 and M3 as monetary policy indicators," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sum, pages 5-29.
    4. Glennon, Dennis & Lane, Julia, 1996. "Financial innovation, new assets, and the behavior of money demand," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 207-225, March.
    5. Yash P. Mehra, 1987. "Velocity and the variability of money growth: evidence from Granger- causality tests reevaluated," Working Paper 87-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

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