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Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity

Author

Listed:
  • Katheryn N. Russ

    (University of California, Davis
    National Bureau of Economic Research)

  • Jay C. Shambaugh

    (National Bureau of Economic Research
    George Washington University)

  • Sanjay R. Singh

    (University of California, Davis
    Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)

Abstract

In his papers during the lead up to the birth of the European Monetary Union, Obstfeld considered whether the countries forming the EMU were sufficiently similar to survive a single monetary policy—and more importantly, whether they had the capacity to adjust to asymmetric shocks given a single monetary and exchange rate policy. The convention at the time was to take the United States as the baseline for a smoothly functioning currency union. We expand on stylized facts in the literature to illustrate how stratification in local labor market outcomes appears far more persistent in later years than 3 decades ago in the context of what (Obstfeld and Peri in Econ Policy 13(26):205–259, 1998) call non-adjustment in unemployment rates. We then extend the currency union literature by adding an additional consideration: differences in regional cyclical sensitivity. Using measures of cyclicality and Obstfeld–Peri-type non-adjustment, we explore the characteristics of places that can get left behind when local labor markets respond differently to national shocks and discuss implications for policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Katheryn N. Russ & Jay C. Shambaugh & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024. "Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 152-195, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:72:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41308-023-00223-w
    DOI: 10.1057/s41308-023-00223-w
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • F66 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Labor

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