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Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks

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  • Huixin Bi
  • Andrew Foerster
  • Nora Traum

Abstract

Using a two-country monetary-union framework with financial frictions, we study sovereign default and liquidity risks and quantify the efficacy of asset purchases. Default risk increases with government indebtedness and shifts in the fiscal limit perceived by investors. Liquidity risks increase when the default probability affects credit market tightness. The framework indicates that shifts in fiscal limits, more than rising government debt, played a crucial role for Italy around 2012. While both default and liquidity risks can dampen economic and financial conditions, the model suggests that the magnifying effect from liquidity risks can be more consequential. In this context, asset purchases can stabilize economic conditions especially under scenarios of elevated financial stress.t purchases can effectively stabilize economic conditions, especially in scenarios of elevated financial stress.

Suggested Citation

  • Huixin Bi & Andrew Foerster & Nora Traum, 2024. "Asset Purchases in a Monetary Union with Default and Liquidity Risks," Research Working Paper RWP 24-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:99294
    DOI: 10.18651/RWP2024-13
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions

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