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Which Industries are shifting the Beveridge Curve?

Author

Listed:
  • Regis Barnichon

    (CREi)

  • Michael Elsby

    (University of Edinburgh)

  • Bart Hobijn

    (Fed. Reserve Bank San Francisco, and VU University Amsterdam)

  • Aysegul Sahin

    (Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

Abstract

The negative relationship between the unemployment rate and the job openings rate, known as the Beveridge curve, has been relatively stable in the U.S. over the last decade. Since the summer of 2009, in spite of firms reporting more job openings, the U.S. unemployment rate has not declined in line with the Beveridge curve. We decompose the recent deviation from the Beveridge curve into different parts using data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). We find that most of the current deviation from the Beveridge curve can be attributed to a shortfall in hires per vacancy. This shortfall is broad-based across all industries and is particularly pronounced in construction, transportation, trade, and utilities, and leisure and hospitality. Construction alone accounts for more than half of the Beveridge curve gap.

Suggested Citation

  • Regis Barnichon & Michael Elsby & Bart Hobijn & Aysegul Sahin, 2011. "Which Industries are shifting the Beveridge Curve?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-157/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20110157
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    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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