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Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate


  • Puneet Chehal
  • Prakash Loungani
  • Bharat Trehan


Downturns in the construction and finance sectors played a significant role in the recent recession. A stock-market-based measure that captures sectoral shocks shows that these disturbances are important for explaining long-duration unemployment. This is consistent with the intuition that sectoral shocks cause workers to engage in time-consuming moves across industries in their searches for work. It also suggests that it will take a while before the more than 1.8 million unemployed construction workers and close to a half million unemployed finance and insurance workers find jobs.

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  • Puneet Chehal & Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan, 2010. "Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue aug2.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2010:i:aug2:n:2010-23

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Abraham, Katharine G & Katz, Lawrence F, 1986. "Cyclical Unemployment: Sectoral Shifts or Aggregate Disturbances?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(3), pages 507-522, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Phiri, 2017. "The Unemployment-Stock Market Relationship in South Africa: Evidence from Symmetric and Asymmetric Cointegration Models," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 15(3 (Fall)), pages 231-254.


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